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Here are six horses from 1987 that were clearly better 3YOs than Lost in the Fog.....
Alysheba Bet Twice Gulch Java Gold Cryptoclearance Gone West and Lost Code and Polish Navy were probably better. |
LITF defeated Kelly's Landing but how many 3yo G1 sprints do they write?
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Wouldn't include him in 3YO accomplishments because they weren't there. Unfortunately for him, he was 2nd fiddle in his own barn at that point. |
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What I was going to say was what about Egg Head and More Smoke? I know, I know. But hear me out. When he beat More Smoke in March, it didn't mean much but then More Smoke came back in April to win the Lafayette with a 114 Beyer. Fog beat him by over five lengths. When Fog faced Egg Head in the Riva Ridge, Egg Head was coming off of a 112 Beyer. Again, I know what you all are saying. Probably shaking your heads over me bringing up Egg Head and More Smoke. But up until Fog ran the 116 in the Carry Back, the 112 and 114 earned by those other two were the highest 3yo sprint Beyers of the year and higher than all the figures that the eventual field for the BC Sprint ran that year, save for Gygistar (115), Wildcat Heir (117), and Pomeroy (114). So not only was Fog criss-crossing the country to win these races while giving away lots of weight, he was beating whatever was the next best out there and doing it handily. It's too bad Egg Head died. I think he could have become a grade one winner. Also wanted to add that Fog had destroyed Social Probation and Santana Strings. Those two nobodies finished 1-2 over eventual BC Sprint winner Silver Train. |
Egg Head was a very good horse
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Congaree, Perfect Drift, Medaglia d'Oro, Mineshaft, Candy Ride, Milwaukee Brew, and Pleasantly Perfect. Out of that group of seven, Mineshaft only faced one of those horses (Perfect Drift). He only faced that one horse one time. And he LOST. But he was the HOY. Go figure. |
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I respectfully disagree he was better as a 3YO than a lot of the ones listed here- he was a pedestrian 6-3-0-2 with a maiden win, the Queens Plate, and the Jim Dandy- potential notwithstanding. However, his 4YO campaign was about as good as it gets. Trust me, he's one of my personal favorites and I'm thrilled he's doing so well at stud... |
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well, on paper, yeah, he wasnt the greatest 3yo of the last 20 years, that's for certain. still, at the end of his 3yo campaign, i'd have taken him over MANY on these lists. |
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Is this " stubborn " for " Thanks, I forgot about that one? " |
He would have won the Malibu healthy, he would have won the BCS healthy.
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Java Gold would have drowned him at 7F as would have Bet Twice. The others? Maybe. However, while I understand the point you are trying to make I think in overall talent they were better. They were, IMO, better at what they did than he was at what he did. |
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I couldn't figure out which race it was either.
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i'm pretty sure on the line was from this same crop as well, and he would have kicked lost in the fog's ass, at any distance from 3f to 10f.
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Here's another one that would have drowned him in sprints in 1987.......Afleet. |
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For the most part. As was pointed out, he ran a couple of fast races, but for the most part he was nowhere near as fast as made out to be. Discreet Cat ran as fast as Lost in the Fog, on the same day, in his 2YO debut. |
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I mentioned him. |
Comparing LITF to Discreet Cat is like comparing chocolate icecream to s hit
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That's a little unfair to Lost in the Fog....don't you think? |
Haha oh boy.
I just really like the horse think he was exceptional |
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Yes, but you left yourself open for that one. Just be glad DrugS isn't around to interfere in this thread. |
Drugs is on the LITF hate wagon?
You dont think the three 100+ beyers as a 2yo show superior talent? The horse never ran a sub 103 until the BC and by that time he was filled with cancer |
You know how I feel about Java Gold. Lost Code is also on my list of the top 25 as are Alysheba and Bet Twice. So I'm with you when it comes to looking at their overall quality. But when it comes to sprinting, we are far apart. I can't see Java Gold coming within five lengths of Fog at 7f or within 10 lengths at 6f. On the Line was a very talented horse and that would have been a good matchup. But Afleet and Lost Code? In sprints? Lost Code was a very nice horse and he had nice front end speed but front-end route speed is vastly different than front-end sprint speed. See Commentator. All four of Lost Code's 3yo stakes wins came at 9f. Afleet wouldn't have been able to stay in the same pan shot with Fog in a sprint race.
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I think he was a terrific horse and I really liked him. I just don't think that overall he displayed a talent that was as good as the one many people believed. That doesn't necessarily make me right, and clearly you and I disagree on him, but overall I think he was a cut below what I would consider special. I actually wanted him to win that BC Sprint just to prove that he really did have an explosive A-game. Ultimately I'm just not sure he did. But, as you said, illness may have prevented him from displaying it. Part of my problem is that I read so much misplaced adulation on boards like this that I sometimes fall victim to going overboard the other way when I see horses being overrated. No doubt that was the case with Smarty Jones. |
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Take a look at Java Gold's 3YO debut. |
My initial feeling after the BC was that he had blown his opportunity to silence his doubters. I was not ready to buy the illness excuse when it first came out. The fact that he was dead a very short time later.....yeah that made me accept the illness excuse. I also don't think that Gilchrist did him any favors with that schedule. He wasn't just shipping from North Cal to South Cal or from NY to Florida. He was shipped completely across the country and back 13 times. That's bound to take a toll on any horse.
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I know he was earlier.....but he would have drowned Lost in the Fog at 7F. |
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I will give you this... I highly doubt he would have hit the board in the '04 BCC. What we do know is the one horse that beat him has never earned the respect he should get- he's one of a very select group that has won NY's premier age restricted races (Champagne, Belmont, Travers). Who knows what he would have done at 4? I don't think it's fair to speculate either way. |
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