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-   -   Street Sense to skip Belmont (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13748)

ArlJim78 05-31-2007 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I'd actually cast my vote for the impossible to root for Steve Asmussen.

IMO, Larry Jones wasn't being a "straight-shooter" with some of the things he'd said after the Southwest Stakes with Hard Spun. I realize he trains for an owner who seems like a pest, and he's not a "big name" trainer---but, that wasn't straight-talk coming out of LJ's mouth. He may have "cowboy" as his nickname...and may try to act like he's not the sharpest tool in the shed...but I've heard other quotes from him that suggest to me that he has a racing IQ above the average trainer.

To Asmussen's credit....he's stayed the course with Curlin. He didn't go out of his way to make a case that his horse ran as well as Street Sense in the Derby inspite of the 8 length margin of defeat---and believe me, it wouldn't have been hard to make that case. And, he was also the only trainer who took the heat and allowed HBO's Real Sports to interview him in the story they did about top trainers and their bad tests.

While Nafzger may not win any awards for "best sport" --- I'm sure he's doing only what he believes is right by the horse...and how much can you really fault him for that?

Good post, I agree with you.
The moment that Curlin crossed the wire first in the Preakness I assumed that Street Sense would not run in the Belmont. Without a TC on the line, sporting or not it just doesn't seem like a race that you just have to attend at all costs.

byalip 05-31-2007 05:01 PM

I'm going...and as long as Curlin goes I don't care who else shows up.

Rags, though, would be nice.

King Glorious 05-31-2007 05:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
How is Nafzger such an "old school guy" when he skips the third leg of the Triple Crown with a horse that he has not acknowledged to be injured or in poor condition?

"Old school guys" ran their horses more.

The biggest "sport" of this year's Triple Crown is Larry Jones.

I agree with the first part and if u add Asmussen, I'd agree with the second part too.

How old are guys like Asmussen and Jones and Pletcher? I ask because, for them, maybe the Belmont is not as important as it might be for some of the older guys. I remember back in the early days of the BC. My favorite horse was Java Gold. I remember how his people (Paul Mellon and Mack Miller) were more interested in winning the JCGC than the BC. The BC wasn't even in the plans until he lost the JCGC and they knew they needed the Classic to get HOY. Same thing even in 2003 with Mineshaft. Will Farish was content to point Mineshaft to the JCGC and never was interested in going to the BC with him. For some, winning a grade one at Saratoga with a $100k purse is more important to them than winning a grade one somewhere else with a $500k purse while for others, winning a $500k purse in a grade three might be more important. So there are different outlooks on what's important. I don't know what Nafzger and the owner's backgrounds are so I couldn't say but obviously the Travers is very important to them, moreso than the Belmont, and they are doing what they think is best to get them to that race. I think about Harry Aleo and Lost in the Fog. He said once that he got more enjoyment watching Fog win at home, where he and all of his friends could watch him than he did in the bigger races on the road. I think about a guy like John Mabee, who would probably rather win the Pacific Classic than any other race in the country because it's at his home. I think about how Ron McAnally was specifically looking for a horse for the Craigs that could win them a Pacific Classic. Different people have different ideas on what's most important so for that reason, I don't have any issue with Tafel deciding what he did.

Mortimer 05-31-2007 05:22 PM

Geez.

fpsoxfan 05-31-2007 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by byalip
I'm going...and as long as Curlin goes I don't care who else shows up.

Rags, though, would be nice.

Absolutley......You will have a blast. I just hope NYRA works their a.ss off to give us a good undercard.

fpsoxfan 05-31-2007 05:48 PM

I've been back and forth since the Preakness about what the final decision should be. As a traditionalist, natural competitor and recent "jumper" on the Street Sense bandwagon I wanted him to go. However as a realist, I agree with the decision. I hope nothing "goofy" happens over the next few months that would change Nafgers plans with SS. I haven't been to the Travers in several years, but if he goes I'm there. Let's face it no matter who runs in the Belmont....Will we watch? Yes Will we have Belmont parties? Most of Us....Will we bet the Shiat out of the undercard...Yep.....Will there be a Triple Crown winner this year? Nope.....Have we had some entertaining, informative, interesting debate along the way? You betcha....Let's line them all up on June 9th and have a great time!!

saratoga guy 05-31-2007 06:07 PM

I'm hoping everyone expecting a big, fabulous Travers party gets their wish.

The thing is: We know the horse is racing-fit right now. And we know his two main competitors are pointing towards the Belmont.

We don't have any idea if all of these things will be true in three months.

the_fat_man 05-31-2007 06:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
He's doing what he feels is right by the horse.


He doesn't want this horse facing Curlin going 1 1/2 miles at Belmont. Whatever else comes into play, be it tradition, race strategy for the rest of year, etc.

the last thing this horse needs right now is a sound thrashing. He knows that. He'd run otherwise.

fpsoxfan 05-31-2007 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
He doesn't want this horse facing Curlin going 1 1/2 miles at Belmont. Whatever else comes into play, be it tradition, race strategy for the rest of year, etc.

the last thing this horse needs right now is a sound thrashing. He knows that. He'd run otherwise.

That's the furthest thing from reality I've heard today.

Coach Pants 05-31-2007 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
He doesn't want this horse facing Curlin going 1 1/2 miles at Belmont. Whatever else comes into play, be it tradition, race strategy for the rest of year, etc.

the last thing this horse needs right now is a sound thrashing. He knows that. He'd run otherwise.

So is it a safe bet to put $20 across on Curlin?

Danzig 05-31-2007 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Danzig, you know you're one of my favorites but I think you are way off here. You are acting as if the horse just retired healthy. He's planning a summer/fall campaign, with a start in the BC. Horses are different, Nafzger is an old school guy and thought it was in his best interest to sit it out and wait for a prep for the Travers. I don't see the big deal.

that was my first post on the subject, typed as soon as i saw the news. chalk it up to disappointment.
i'm still disappointed...not surprised, but disappointed.
just don't think their fall campaign will be much, a race or two and the bcc. i'm not thrilled with a horse running probably three more times ever.

oh hell...
and thanks for saying i'm one of your faves! you're one of mine as well....but of course no guarantee we'll always agree.

Danzig 05-31-2007 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Has the thought ever occured to you guys that perhaps the horse isn't sound as a dollar and they'd rather not run the risk of permanently injuring him? There's a reason he trains and races in wraps.

ah, that doesn't mean anything! i mean, look at smarty, he trained/raced in wraps!


er.....:rolleyes:

Danzig 05-31-2007 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I'm hoping we see him next year. To my knowledge they haven't made any plans for him to stand anywhere, although I might have missed it. Anyone know?

i'd like to see all the big guys come back....but so often anymore it doesn't happen.
no doubt all of the major players are putting out feelers tho.

the_fat_man 05-31-2007 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
That's the furthest thing from reality I've heard today.

Can you imagine, they turn for home and SS, after one of those long runs of his, has the lead and then he just shortens stride. Getting run down the way he did in the Preakness was bad enough.

Of course, the above assumes that he gets his usual good setup and clear trip.

They can spin this any way they want and it can be interpreted any number of ways. Nafzger's been around long enough to know when he's overmatched.

fpsoxfan 05-31-2007 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Can you imagine, they turn for home and SS, after one of those long runs of his, has the lead and then he just shortens stride. Getting run down the way he did in the Preakness was bad enough.

Of course, the above assumes that he gets his usual good setup and clear trip.

They can spin this any way they want and it can be interpreted any number of ways. Nafzger's been around long enough to know when he's overmatched.

Well...that's your take. Although it could have been the result, IMO you are way off as to that being the reason why they are not running the horse.

Danzig 05-31-2007 06:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I'm hoping we see him next year. To my knowledge they haven't made any plans for him to stand anywhere, although I might have missed it. Anyone know?

this sure doesn't sound promising:


“Knowing the offers that are coming in on this horse, which I don’t know the details of, but I know it’s getting economically impossible to run,” he said. “But I also know Mr. Tafel. He’s a sportsman and he wants to win.”

Danzig 05-31-2007 06:38 PM

from drf:

Nafzger said Street Sense would instead have two major objectives the rest of the year, the Travers Stakes Aug. 25 at Saratoga, and the Breeders' Cup Classic Oct. 27 at Monmouth Park. No horse has ever won the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, Derby, Travers, and Classic, a superfecta Nafzger said "would be history."

Had Street Sense run in the Belmont, that too would have been history. Curlin, who won the Preakness after finishing third in the Derby, and Hard Spun, who was second in the Derby and third in the Preakness, both are heading to Belmont Park for the 1 1/2-mile race. Had all three run, it would have been the first time the same three horses took the first three spots in the Derby and Preakness and then competed in the Belmont.

and like another trainer said (several were surprised at the announcement) there are only three classics...much as some like to refer to the travers as the 'fourth' there are only three.

i know the preakness gets a bad rap, especially because of the state of pimlico--but it's played a significant role the last couple years in year-end voting. if this trend continues, it's the belmont that will be on life support, not the preakness.

AeWingnut 05-31-2007 06:56 PM

I doubt I even bother to watch let alone bet the Belmont. Short field with zero chance of a Sarava-esque upset

Danzig 05-31-2007 06:57 PM

i'll watch...

pletcher still on the fence between the quay and rags to riches.

he needs to run the filly! circular quay has had two shots at the big boys. give the gal a chance.

letswastemoney 05-31-2007 10:16 PM

i wouldn't discount Tiago from winning

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-31-2007 10:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by estreetposse
Sorry to be a piss pot, thought you were gonna start things up again even after I agreed with you(especially about SS!!) I think running him back at CD and then on to Monmouth would be a good route for his connections to take.

I also agree with what KG says.

Nice "STONE" ...great craftmanship, where can I get one like that?

estreetposse 06-01-2007 08:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Nice "STONE" ...great craftmanship, where can I get one like that?

I make house calls!! Haven't done much in the Sand Flats but many of my fine crafted memorials can be viewed all over the Mohawk Valley and Capital District.(shameless plug):D

As far as SS...many people gave his connections the utmost respect prior to and following the derby...myself wasn't one of them. I really don't understand all the 2nd guessing and seemingly disrespectful tone they have been getting since the decision not to run. It is their horse...they are the responsible ones for the horses future & if they don't see a positive reason for running him then that's fine...don't run him & look towards the future. Most will still be fans of the horse and the sport if he doesn't run in the Belmont...the rest can keep playing owner/trainer on their laptops at home.

ARyan 06-01-2007 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I'd actually cast my vote for the impossible to root for Steve Asmussen.

IMO, Larry Jones wasn't being a "straight-shooter" with some of the things he'd said after the Southwest Stakes with Hard Spun. I realize he trains for an owner who seems like a pest, and he's not a "big name" trainer---but, that wasn't straight-talk coming out of LJ's mouth. He may have "cowboy" as his nickname...and may try to act like he's not the sharpest tool in the shed...but I've heard other quotes from him that suggest to me that he has a racing IQ above the average trainer.

To Asmussen's credit....he's stayed the course with Curlin. He didn't go out of his way to make a case that his horse ran as well as Street Sense in the Derby inspite of the 8 length margin of defeat---and believe me, it wouldn't have been hard to make that case. And, he was also the only trainer who took the heat and allowed HBO's Real Sports to interview him in the story they did about top trainers and their bad tests.
While Nafzger may not win any awards for "best sport" --- I'm sure he's doing only what he believes is right by the horse...and how much can you really fault him for that?

Take the heat!!! By not answering for anything!!

HBO: "How do you explain these test results?"
Assmussen: "I don't explain them."
HBO: "What do you mean you don't explain them?"
Assmussen: "Do you know how successful I am? Don't you think people are out to see me fail?"

Wow! What a great defense! He is simply so logical in his statements!

I can't stand him...

I feel bad for the horse. I think he is a great horse, but the fact he is in Assmussen's care sickens me.

Withers 06-01-2007 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Belmont's stretch isn't that long. Wide sweeping turns yes. Long, long stretch, no.

Fair enough. But it's long, long after a mile and a half, no? ;)

hockey2315 06-01-2007 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ARyan
Take the heat!!! By not answering for anything!!

HBO: "How do you explain these test results?"
Assmussen: "I don't explain them."
HBO: "What do you mean you don't explain them?"
Assmussen: "Do you know how successful I am? Don't you think people are out to see me fail?"

Wow! What a great defense! He is simply so logical in his statements!

I can't stand him...

I feel bad for the horse. I think he is a great horse, but the fact he is in Assmussen's care sickens me.

He had a point, though. . . Why would he use 750 times the legal limit of a substance that's easily detectable?

ARyan 06-01-2007 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
He had a point, though. . . Why would he use 750 times the legal limit of a substance that's easily detectable?

Why?

Maybe because he uses these types of drugs on many of his horses, and someone got sloppy. Who knows the truth, but the fact is he has been suspended multiple times, and does use these types of drugs on his horses.

He has no point, he is a liar, and a cheat. I hope someday, when he is caught again, he has his license revoked in every state.

I hope PA sets an example with Vaders and other states follow PA's lead.

Cannon Shell 06-01-2007 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
He had a point, though. . . Why would he use 750 times the legal limit of a substance that's easily detectable?

Maybe because he has got away with it for a long time and the labs finally were testing for it? The defense is the oldest trick in the book. The "I'm not possibly that dumb to do that" trick?

Cannon Shell 06-01-2007 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
And, he was also the only trainer who took the heat and allowed HBO's Real Sports to interview him in the story they did about top trainers and their bad tests.

Actually he had no idea what they were going to ask him. They told him it was going to be about Curlin.

Cannon Shell 06-01-2007 12:37 PM

I understand that most of the year turf writers have little to write about that anyone outside of diehards and people like us care about. I also understand that Street Sense being in the Belmont would make it a more interesting race. But the degree to which these guys are howling about this horse not running is stupid. It is one race in a 365 day schedule. Sure it is a classic but the problems of horse racing have almost nothing to do with the Triple Crown. The people who wont watch the Belmont because SS isn't in it aren't real fans anyway and probably wont be regardless of what happens. The people who support the game will be betting it despite his absense.

The guy made a choice to pass a demanding race with decreased relevance in the modern thoroughbred world. His horse may be lightly raced in the minds of some but the races are all tightly bunched and this would be his 4th race in 8 weeks. Which may not be a demanding schedule for a horse of past times but it is now. He doesn't wear front bandages because Carl has an endorsement deal with Vetwrap.

As a trainer I understand why he is doing this. And I think it is the right thing to do. I'm quite confident that his instincts are telling him to pass more than some possible stallion deal. As for the hysterical prophets of doom, What do you think they would have said if Frank Whitely would have passed on the match race?

fpsoxfan 06-01-2007 01:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I understand that most of the year turf writers have little to write about that anyone outside of diehards and people like us care about. I also understand that Street Sense being in the Belmont would make it a more interesting race. But the degree to which these guys are howling about this horse not running is stupid. It is one race in a 365 day schedule. Sure it is a classic but the problems of horse racing have almost nothing to do with the Triple Crown. The people who wont watch the Belmont because SS isn't in it aren't real fans anyway and probably wont be regardless of what happens. The people who support the game will be betting it despite his absense.

The guy made a choice to pass a demanding race with decreased relevance in the modern thoroughbred world. His horse may be lightly raced in the minds of some but the races are all tightly bunched and this would be his 4th race in 8 weeks. Which may not be a demanding schedule for a horse of past times but it is now. He doesn't wear front bandages because Carl has an endorsement deal with Vetwrap.

As a trainer I understand why he is doing this. And I think it is the right thing to do. I'm quite confident that his instincts are telling him to pass more than some possible stallion deal. As for the hysterical prophets of doom, What do you think they would have said if Frank Whitely would have passed on the match race?

Excellent Points Chuck......By the way, Phonsie and the boys are in the B-Finals on Saturday...Good Luck Spa Catholic!!

estreetposse 06-01-2007 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I understand that most of the year turf writers have little to write about that anyone outside of diehards and people like us care about. I also understand that Street Sense being in the Belmont would make it a more interesting race. But the degree to which these guys are howling about this horse not running is stupid. It is one race in a 365 day schedule. Sure it is a classic but the problems of horse racing have almost nothing to do with the Triple Crown. The people who wont watch the Belmont because SS isn't in it aren't real fans anyway and probably wont be regardless of what happens. The people who support the game will be betting it despite his absense.

The guy made a choice to pass a demanding race with decreased relevance in the modern thoroughbred world. His horse may be lightly raced in the minds of some but the races are all tightly bunched and this would be his 4th race in 8 weeks. Which may not be a demanding schedule for a horse of past times but it is now. He doesn't wear front bandages because Carl has an endorsement deal with Vetwrap.

As a trainer I understand why he is doing this. And I think it is the right thing to do. I'm quite confident that his instincts are telling him to pass more than some possible stallion deal. As for the hysterical prophets of doom, What do you think they would have said if Frank Whitely would have passed on the match race?


I was hoping you would give us your viewpoint. Thank you!!:)

estreetposse 06-01-2007 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
Excellent Points Chuck......By the way, Phonsie and the boys are in the B-Finals on Saturday...Good Luck Spa Catholic!!

He'll buy me a vodka yet damn it!!

fpsoxfan 06-01-2007 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by estreetposse
He'll buy me a vodka yet damn it!!

Buy you one....Heck I would've made you one last night. The Vodka Tonics were flowing like...uh....well....Vodka Tonics. Might stick to the Coors Light tonight.

estreetposse 06-01-2007 01:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
Buy you one....Heck I would've made you one last night. The Vodka Tonics were flowing like...uh....well....Vodka Tonics. Might stick to the Coors Light tonight.


Lord I'm Thirsty...Might have some Spritzas!!! or maybe just some "33's"

Nothing like an Ice Cold Rolling Rock on 90 degree day!!

brianwspencer 06-01-2007 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
Buy you one....Heck I would've made you one last night. The Vodka Tonics were flowing like...uh....well....Vodka Tonics. Might stick to the Coors Light tonight.

Last night in Ann Arbor shall be hereby declared Margaritas With Friends Night.


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