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-   -   not to beat a dead horse but, ... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6940)

dr. fager 11-17-2006 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
Affirmed, Slew, Secretariat, etc... were of a different era of horses. They were great ones yes. I meant the horses of today were going to need luck to prove their greatness in the triple crown.

People are devious and want their horse to win, not someone elses. That is what it boils down to Dr. Fager. Not nice, but that seems to be the way it is.

See, but that's what I was saying was the question to me is was Bailey trying to win the race....not in my opinion.

I have no issues with Damascus having Hedevar, Dr. Fager had his Achilles heel and that was he wouldn't rate and didn't like anyone in front of him. Have fun with him up to a mile though:D

declansharbor 11-17-2006 10:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
Why do you think it has taken this long for another horse to win it? I was just stating that everyone is mad about the Solis and Bailey rides and wants to punish them. Was everyone all up in arms about the 1988 Preakness when they did the same thing to Winning Colors? It is a part of racing. EVERYONE wants it to be their horse to win the triple crown.

Should Gary Stevens have held Victory Gallop up to let Real Quiet win? Now I am not saying I agree with what Solis and Bailey did, but just stating that why should we be talking about it still? Smarty was a very good horse. He just didn't win the triple crown.

My thing is, it's a jocks job to put his horse in the best position to win the race..They didn't ride to win, they rode to beat Smarty and ensure he did not win the TC..Just look at Eddington..I'm pretty sure Bailey takes him to the whip a few times BEFORE they are half way down the BACKSTRETCH.There is a thin line between a bad rde and a crooked one, and it's blatantly obvious Bailey did not want to win that race..

Bernardini 11-17-2006 11:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor
just got done watching that crime otherwise known as the Belmont Stakes 2004. The jockeys on RHTen and EDDIngton (eddington esp.) shouldve been stripped of their liscense to ride in NY..Smarty's preakness ranks in the top three races i have ever witnessed, as his dominance was well displayed..Stewie shouldve known that the "top tier" jockeys werent gonna let a drunken 5k claimer jock win the TC, a feat that neither of them have achieved..Smarty was a once in a lifetime horse and its a damn shame that it had to end like that..Absolutely pitiful..Who should take the brunt of the blame here??

How about Silverbulletday ? did she compromise Charismatic's chances ??

todko 11-17-2006 01:02 PM

Play the tape and watch Birdstone. He was motoring right along during the fast mid fractions. Actually starting gaining on the far turn. A slower pace and Smarty would have had to fight Birdstone earlier. Birdstone didn't get left behind during those fractions.

I don't believe that's a fight Smarty would have won. A protracted duel with a well trained, well rested, and well bred horse ridden by Edgar Prado at Belmont. Birdstone would have hooked him earlier and the late fractions would have been faster. And I believe the result would have been the same.

The time was right at 2:27. A very solid Belmont time. Better than Afleet Alex ran -- far better.

1st_Saturday_in_May 11-17-2006 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Revolution
Great horses find ways to win. Very good ones do not. Smarty, like Ghostzapper and Candy Ride was very good, not great.

Wait, so you're saying that Ghostzapper isnt great, but didnt he find a way to win? How many horses are undefeated? Are they the only ones the all-mighty Revolution will call great? Man O War lost, Secretariat lost, does that make them not great because they couldnt find a way to win on that day? I'm really not sure what you're trying to say...but it doesnt make much sense to me.

alysheba4 11-17-2006 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
I think that the other jocks would be criticized no matter what they did. I think that if they would have taken their horses back, people would have criticized them for giving Smarty an easy lead.

I'm very sursprised that anyone would be angry at Solis or Bailey. I think that there are a number of things that got Smarty beat in the Belmont. The fast pace was a factor. The distance was a factor. The fact that the race was his 5th race in 11 weeks was a huge factor. The fact that Elliot asked the horse for everything and won the Preakness by 11 lengths, instead of winning by 5 lengths under a strangle-hold was a huge factor. Elliot made a huge mistake winning the Preakness by 11 lengths. I think he pretty much squeezed the lemon dry.

I think that Smarty was a great horse. I think that if even one of those factors that I mentioned would have been different, I think that Smarty could have won the race.

.......exactly, thats why so few horses have won the triple crown......... smarty was simply not good enough and the jock
choked big time.

kgar311 11-17-2006 02:22 PM

I cant believe all the crying ealier in these posts about, well if he had it his own way and nobody challenged him he would of won. Thats a bunch of horse s*it. If he was an alltime great he would of fought off all challenges. You dont let a horse waltz to a triple crown. Praise be to Bailey for challenging him down the backside. And ah Elliot didnt have to pull a Secretariat move down the back side either. SJ was no tremendous machine.

pmayjr 11-18-2006 09:12 AM

Revolution- Don't list the 'Zapper as good. He was great... He was an f'n machine. That's why he went out on top. It's just too bad we live in an age of ****in pussies who won't race their horses after they win a single Grade 1... The stud $$$ will come. Another bad thing about Barbaro's leg, is that just slams home this paranoid theory that owners have that "you better cash in on the stud $$$ now before your horse gets hurt and is worthless".

Sorry, kinda went off on a tangent. But what I was getting at there is horses don't race long enough anymore to know if they're truly great over time. Some have "great" spurts. But that's all they're capable of proving anymore because they don't race long enough and their starts are so infrequent in between.

OH YEAH- SORRY FOR THE CAPS, BUT FOR THE MAIN PART OF THIS DISCUSSION-

I believe Bailey did try to run Smarty into the ground by rushing Eddington to the lead. But! Smarty still has to beat him, learn to rate, run his own race. So it still falls on Smarty to find a way to win.

randallscott35 11-18-2006 09:27 AM

You know I guess the thing I am struck by at the beginning at this thread is the lack of respect for Birdstone. On his day with proper rest he ran some very fast races. He was a really good horse, not some tin cup Commendable winning the Belmont. He got the trip but he still had to run an A race to beat Smarty.....I was surprised Smarty lost but race riding is a fact of life and something you need to get over.

georgewashington 11-18-2006 09:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
You know I guess the thing I am struck by at the beginning at this thread is the lack of respect for Birdstone. On his day with proper rest he ran some very fast races. He was a really good horse, not some tin cup Commendable winning the Belmont. He got the trip but he still had to run an A race to beat Smarty.....I was surprised Smarty lost but race riding is a fact of life and something you need to get over.

Birdstone is very underrated. However your shot at Commendable is pretty low. He is actually in South Korea now but he had a nice race career. Not only did he win a Classic, but he ran well in the Travers too. That Travers was an incredible race where Unshaded nosed out Three Chimneys Albert the Great. I don't remember it but he also was second in the Super Derby. Not a great horse, but he deserves a little respect.

randallscott35 11-18-2006 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by georgewashington
Birdstone is very underrated. However your shot at Commendable is pretty low. He is actually in South Korea now but he had a nice race career. Not only did he win a Classic, but he ran well in the Travers too. That Travers was an incredible race where Unshaded nosed out Three Chimneys Albert the Great. I don't remember it but he also was second in the Super Derby. Not a great horse, but he deserves a little respect.

George, almost universally Commendable is regarded as the worst winner of the Belmont in the last few decades. The race was insanely slow, came back with insanely slow figures and shows how a bad horse can win a big race if they are allowed to run with a pace of 1:14 and 2 for 3/4 and then stay for a 2:31 and change win.

georgewashington 11-18-2006 09:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
George, almost universally Commendable is regarded as the worst winner of the Belmont in the last few decades. The race was insanely slow, came back with insanely slow figures and shows how a bad horse can win a big race if they are allowed to run with a pace of 1:14 and 2 for 3/4 and then stay for a 2:31 and change win.

I agree, but he ran a few other nice races in the Travers and Super Derby. I would take him over another nice horse like Sarava. Remember Thunder Gulch was a second slower than Commendable.


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