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-   -   Delmar Late Pick 4 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66523)

knickslions2 08-16-2019 06:07 PM

August 16, 2019

Race 5
A - 4,6
B - 2,10,11

Race 6
A - 3,6
B - None

Race 7
A - 1,5
B - 4,7

Race 8
A - 5,6
B - 2

GL

knickslions2 08-16-2019 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gamlin1 (Post 1130046)
Much Appreciated my man.

Good luck Gamlin. Tomorrow going to be fun

knickslions2 08-17-2019 03:56 PM

August 17, 2019

Great looking overall card and a very difficult late pick 4/5. The pacific classic is a head scratcher which no horse will surprise me. Pace could be slow and many distance concerns. Leaning on Campaign in that one but covering a host. Ticket structure and a little luck hopefully can lead to a decent score. Good luck to everyone playing.

Race 8
A - 6,7
B - 4,8

Race 9
A - 1
B - 7,10,12

Race 10
A - 2,8
B - 3,5,6,7,10

Race 11
A - 7,11
B - 10

knickslions2 08-23-2019 05:24 PM

August 23, 2019

Sorry been busy week. Last weekend was a lot of fun. Hope everyone is cashing

Race 4
A -2,9,10
B - 5,7

Race 5
A - 4,5
B - 8

Race 6
A - 2,6
B - 4

Race 7
A - 3
B - 1,6

GL

knickslions2 08-24-2019 05:26 PM

August 24, 2019

Nice little winner last night $135 and change. Keeps the bankroll going

Race 7
A - 4,7
B - 6

Race 8
A - 2,7,9
B - 1,3,5

Race 9
A - 7
B - None

Race 10
A - 1,4,9
B - 3,5,7

GL

knickslions2 08-28-2019 04:14 PM

August 28, 2019

Race 5
A - 1,2
B - 4

Race 6
A - 2, 5
B - 4,7,8,9

Race 7
A - 5
B - none

Race 8
A - 9,12,13
B - 2,6,9,10,11

GL

knickslions2 09-01-2019 11:44 AM

September 1, 2019

Race 7
A - 2,4,5
B - 1,6

Race 8
A - 4,8,10
B - 5,9

Race 9
A - 10
B - 5,9

Race 10
A - 6
B - 4

GL

knickslions2 09-02-2019 03:37 PM

September 2, 2019

Well crapped the bed yesterday so let’s see if we can get some last day. Been fun meet!!

Race 7
A - 1,2
B - 9

Race 8
A - 6,8
B - 1

Race 9
A - 2,4
B - 5,7

Race 10
A - 2,3,5
B - 1,4

Plays

Race 5
Mandatory pick 6
6
4,5,10,11
1,2
8
2,4
2,3,5

Race 6 pick 5
10
1,2,9
1,6,8
2,4,5,7
1,2,3,4,5

Race 7 pick 4
1,2,9
1,6,8
2,4,5,7
1,2,3,4,5

GL

knickslions2 09-02-2019 09:05 PM

Pick 4

1/6/7/2 $482.75

Good way to end the meet. Loved getting a 35/1 home. Hope everyone got a piece.

Dahoss 09-02-2019 09:34 PM

Just curious if you’re ranking horses as A and B’s were you typically playing caveman tickets or tickets that weighted your A’s higher than B’s?

knickslions2 09-02-2019 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1130793)
Just curious if you’re ranking horses as A and B’s were you typically playing caveman tickets or tickets that weighted your A’s higher than B’s?

I usually limit tickets to $50-60 on pick 4s and tried to keep the a and b fit this in the thread. Sometimes I’ll go 72 on big days or $90 max. Today I played all them ($90) as I posted since it was last day. But that’s very rare. I don’t see value in long run going higher. When it gets too high I did weigh a’ and best bets higher. I like the 2/3/4/5 structure or 1/4/5/6 ($60 bets). I put the a and b in this thread to give some direction on my opinions. I’m trying to get better at these. I still think dd’s are the best values but enjoyed trying this for the meet. I am ready for a break. Cheers

Dahoss 09-03-2019 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1130794)
I usually limit tickets to $50-60 on pick 4s and tried to keep the a and b fit this in the thread. Sometimes I’ll go 72 on big days or $90 max. Today I played all them ($90) as I posted since it was last day. But that’s very rare. I don’t see value in long run going higher. When it gets too high I did weigh a’ and best bets higher. I like the 2/3/4/5 structure or 1/4/5/6 ($60 bets). I put the a and b in this thread to give some direction on my opinions. I’m trying to get better at these. I still think dd’s are the best values but enjoyed trying this for the meet. I am ready for a break. Cheers

You should read Steve Crist’s Book on exotic betting if you are serious about playing pick 4’s. It helped me a lot on ticket structure which was an area I really struggled.

knickslions2 09-03-2019 08:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1130798)
You should read Steve Crist’s Book on exotic betting if you are serious about playing pick 4’s. It helped me a lot on ticket structure which was an area I really struggled.

I'll take a look at it. I still enjoy dd's better as I like to handicap in real time to find value but pick 4's are fun when you have some time. Appreciate the info.

Dahoss 09-03-2019 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1130800)
I'll take a look at it. I still enjoy dd's better as I like to handicap in real time to find value but pick 4's are fun when you have some time. Appreciate the info.

I hear ya. It’s beneficial for any area of exotic betting (DD’s, pk3, pk4, exacta, triples, etc). The idea is to maximize your strong opinions. In essence to weigh your A’s more heavily in tickets so when your stronger opinions cash, you really cash.

That’s why I was asking if you were playing caveman tickets. I realize on here it’s a pain to post multiple tickets. But I think in the long run it’s a more cost effective approach as well as a way to make your opinions matter when they win. The hardest thing for me was accepting the fact I might miss a score or two because I didn’t spread as heavily. But, when I hit, I was hitting for amounts way higher than before. I don’t play like that as much anymore, but for the year or so I was, I did really well.


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