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-   -   Who was closer to the Triple Crown...Smarty or Alex? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=5710)

eurobounce 10-16-2006 12:33 PM

Why isnt Real Quiet mentioned in this thread--unless I missed it. He was closer than Smarty or Alex in my opinion.

Cajungator26 10-16-2006 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
Too many people are as Bold would say goo-goo and just flat out rediculous about the horse, he's very good, probably the best in training, but not what all of the goo-goo's make him out to be...I am sick of hearing about him, Repent could bring these people the pain they need to zap them back to reality...

I still don't see why he deserves "hatred"...

The horse has done everything he's asked and then some... if you want to hate his connections, then so be it, but the horse doesn't deserve to be hated. And this is coming from a non-Bernie believer... JMO.

Sightseek 10-16-2006 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
Too many people are as Bold would say goo-goo and just flat out rediculous about the horse, he's very good, probably the best in training, but not what all of the goo-goo's make him out to be...I am sick of hearing about him, Repent could bring these people the pain they need to zap them back to reality...

I think you could say that about A LOT of horses...................

Buffymommy 10-16-2006 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
Not sure what Scrappy T has to do with AA losing the Triple Crown, he didn't run in the Derby and despite the bad trip AA beat him in the Preakness....


I would think RHT and Eddington are better horses than Scrappy T...

In my opinion Smarty was a better horse, but there's no arguing this with Repent. Why can't he just take this hatred to a horse that deserves it like Bernardini...


I meant that Scrappy T gave AA a hard time winning in the Preakness in almost falling on his face, yet AA still found a way to win. Just meant that AA faced trouble with other horses too. He just missed in the derby.

It really is a strong argument for both horses. They were both really nice horses who had a heck of a run at the triple crown.

P.S. RHT would have crushed both of them in their 4 yr old campaigns. (BUT THAT IS JUST MY OPINION).

And why should we hate on Bernardini? Shouldn't hate the horse. Horse is a good horse. Everyone is just tired of people calling him "GREAT". He hasn't proved that yet. To me anyway.

So don't hate any horse, they are only doing what they are asked to do. Hate the playas. :)

Pointg5 10-16-2006 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I still don't see why he deserves "hatred"...

The horse has done everything he's asked and then some... if you want to hate his connections, then so be it, but the horse doesn't deserve to be hated. And this is coming from a non-Bernie believer... JMO.


Settle down, I was joking...I don't hate the horse, just the rediculous praise he's received...Repent would have these people crying....

Cajungator26 10-16-2006 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
Settle down, I was joking...I don't hate the horse, just the rediculous praise he's received...Repent would have these people crying....

LOL... I'm settled, I'm settled. :p

It just cracks me up because the horses don't give a shiat about who likes em or who doesn't... LOL :D

oracle80 10-16-2006 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I still don't see why he deserves "hatred"...

The horse has done everything he's asked and then some... if you want to hate his connections, then so be it, but the horse doesn't deserve to be hated. And this is coming from a non-Bernie believer... JMO.

Noone hates this horse. I think that the superlatives being thrown around without beating a good or large field or setting any track records has caused the polarity between the worshippers and those who dont worship him.

Those who worship the horse think those who don't are irrational, and vice versa.

I can't wait for the BC to be run and hope he stamps himself one way of the other.
A narrow loss with a troubled trip is my worst nightmare as we will have to listen to the debate over how good he was for decades.
Lets let him get it on, and have the final judgement come after the last chapter in the book is written.

kentuckyrosesinmay 10-16-2006 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Noone hates this horse. I think that the superlatives being thrown around without beating a good or large field or setting any track records has caused the polarity between the worshippers and those who dont worship him.

Those who worship the horse think those who don't are irrational, and vice versa.

I can't wait for the BC to be run and hope he stamps himself one way of the other.
A narrow loss with a troubled trip is my worst nightmare as we will have to listen to the debate over how good he was for decades.
Lets let him get it on, and have the final judgement come after the last chapter in the book is written.

That's about the most logical thing that anyone has said all day long. It will be decided on November 4th...I can't wait!!!

Bold Reasoning 10-16-2006 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
Settle down, I was joking...I don't hate the horse, just the rediculous praise he's received...Repent would have these people crying....

The problem is that Repent likes Bernardini.:D

Pointg5 10-16-2006 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
That's about the most logical thing that anyone has said all day long. It will be decided on November 4th...I can't wait!!!

No it won't, if he wins people will say they want to see him as a 4yo and that he beat no one...If he loses, the lovers will think of something else...It will spiral out of control, and the only thing we will ever talk about is Bernardini and how great or overrated he is and Steve will have to change the name of the site to the something related to Bernardini...

Sightseek 10-16-2006 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
Settle down, I was joking...I don't hate the horse, just the rediculous praise he's received...Repent would have these people crying....

I can see where your coming from though...one of the dangers of reading internet boards is hearing about the same horses over and over and over again. (If I had to hear about AA's Immaculate Recovery one more time I was going to scream)

That said, I think there are two different sort of fans; those who read about all the greats and want to believe what they are seeing is it and those who question to the very end.

eurobounce 10-16-2006 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Noone hates this horse. I think that the superlatives being thrown around without beating a good or large field or setting any track records has caused the polarity between the worshippers and those who dont worship him.

Those who worship the horse think those who don't are irrational, and vice versa.

I can't wait for the BC to be run and hope he stamps himself one way of the other.
A narrow loss with a troubled trip is my worst nightmare as we will have to listen to the debate over how good he was for decades.
Lets let him get it on, and have the final judgement come after the last chapter in the book is written.

It really isnt his fault that he hasnt beaten a large field or a good field. He has run in the biggest races for three year olds except for the Derby and Belmont. He also ran in one of the biggest races for older horses as well. So you cant fault the horse for his competition. You can only judge by what the horses does in the races he competes in.

Also, he really hasnt been asked in any of his races to set a track record. The Travers and JCGC he was freaking jogging the entire time. I judge a horse based on what he does in big races regardless of his competition. Also, the fact that so many trainers dont want to face tells me they also think he is the best horse out there. That speaks volumes to me.

Dini should be regarded as the best race horse in training today based on fact, not what if or what should be scenarios.

oracle80 10-16-2006 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
I can see where your coming from though...one of the dangers of reading internet boards is hearing about the same horses over and over and over again. (If I had to hear about AA's Immaculate Recovery one more time I was going to scream)

That said, I think there are two different sort of fans; those who read about all the greats and want to believe what they are seeing is it and those who question to the very end.

I hear you on the AA recovery.
I mean it was an amazing thing to see, but only real dimwits who don't understand racing think it cost him more than a length, if that.
The amazing thing about that was that he recovered so quickly!! But he never really lost his momentum and its not like he got stopped and lost all his momentum and had to start over again. Victory length may have been one more length, but thats about it.
Folks were talking like he would have won by 20 lengths, and its just not so.

Kasept 10-16-2006 12:57 PM

Hadn't had the opp to chime in here and haven't read the whole thread, but it would seem pretty clear that Smarty Jones was by far closer to winning a crown than Afleet Alex.

While I consider any dual Classic winner who didn't win the third a "near miss", it's harder to make cases for those that don't win the Derby or Preakness than those that win the first two legs. Without the pressure of the three week lead-up to the Belmont, or even the pressure of going into the Preakness as the Derby winner, it's difficult to know how trainer and jock react. You also don't know who might have lined up in the races with different outcomes, etc.. The scenario of going into the Preakness with a Derby-winning Alex is totally different than that of them going in off the near miss at Louisville, etc..

Smarty Jones was yards away from a crown and would certainly have been a winner under a slightly revised race script that gets Elliott to avoid the harassment of Solis and Bailey so early and so long.

oracle80 10-16-2006 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
It really isnt his fault that he hasnt beaten a large field or a good field. He has run in the biggest races for three year olds except for the Derby and Belmont. He also ran in one of the biggest races for older horses as well. So you cant fault the horse for his competition. You can only judge by what the horses does in the races he competes in.

Also, he really hasnt been asked in any of his races to set a track record. The Travers and JCGC he was freaking jogging the entire time. I judge a horse based on what he does in big races regardless of his competition. Also, the fact that so many trainers dont want to face tells me they also think he is the best horse out there. That speaks volumes to me.

Dini should be regarded as the best race horse in training today based on fact, not what if or what should be scenarios.

The notion that he could have run much faster in either of his last two "if asked" is something I don't buy.
Historically based on FACTS as you say, Ragozins guys have done vast studies(I dont know if TG and Jerry Brown have, I assume they have) on horses and their best and fastest races, and concluded solidly that hores run their fastest races under no pressure in "easy wins".
Its something I first became aware of in 1992, and have used that as a guideline ever since then, much to my advantage.
I also used to conclude off an easy win that a horse was "just jogging" or could have gone much faster, but I was wrong.
If you check out horses and their performances, they run their best races "while jogging". Smarty Jones preakness comes to mind. He earned his best number that day.
I'm not sold that he can go faster, but it may not be necessary for him to go faster on Cup Day.

Seattleallstar 10-16-2006 01:01 PM

I never got that Orahole, why is it they run these fast times while jogging then everyone says they have another gear and so on, they could of run faster. But then when they are finally being worked on and whipped to no end they do not end up running faster.

eurobounce 10-16-2006 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
The notion that he could have run much faster in either of his last two "if asked" is something I don't buy.
Historically based on FACTS as you say, Ragozins guys have done vast studies(I dont know if TG and Jerry Brown have, I assume they have) on horses and their best and fastest races, and concluded solidly that hores run their fastest races under no pressure in "easy wins".
Its something I first became aware of in 1992, and have used that as a guideline ever since then, much to my advantage.
I also used to conclude off an easy win that a horse was "just jogging" or could have gone much faster, but I was wrong.
If you check out horses and their performances, they run their best races "while jogging". Smarty Jones preakness comes to mind. He earned his best number that day.
I'm not sold that he can go faster, but it may not be necessary for him to go faster on Cup Day.

I understand what you are saying and agree to a certain extent. But he hasnt needed to go fast. I certainly think he can go faster. I dont think he needs to go all that fast to win the Classic.

Sightseek 10-16-2006 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
The notion that he could have run much faster in either of his last two "if asked" is something I don't buy.
Historically based on FACTS as you say, Ragozins guys have done vast studies(I dont know if TG and Jerry Brown have, I assume they have) on horses and their best and fastest races, and concluded solidly that hores run their fastest races under no pressure in "easy wins".
Its something I first became aware of in 1992, and have used that as a guideline ever since then, much to my advantage.
I also used to conclude off an easy win that a horse was "just jogging" or could have gone much faster, but I was wrong.
If you check out horses and their performances, they run their best races "while jogging". Smarty Jones preakness comes to mind. He earned his best number that day.
I'm not sold that he can go faster, but it may not be necessary for him to go faster on Cup Day.

How would you explain a horse like Saint Liam then? He only ran his best numbers if heavily pressed (not that his others sucked).

Buffymommy 10-16-2006 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Hadn't had the opp to chime in here and haven't read the whole thread, but it would seem pretty clear that Smarty Jones was by far closer to winning a crown than Afleet Alex.

While I consider any dual Classic winner who didn't win the third a "near miss", it's harder to make cases for those that don't win the Derby or Preakness than those that win the first two legs. Without the pressure of the three week lead-up to the Belmont, or even the pressure of going into the Preakness as the Derby winner, it's difficult to know how trainer and jock react. You also don't know who might have lined up in the races with different outcomes, etc.. The scenario of going into the Preakness with a Derby-winning Alex is totally different than that of them going in off the near miss at Louisville, etc..

Smarty Jones was yards away from a crown and would certainly have been a winner under a slightly revised race script that gets Elliott to avoid the harassment of Solis and Bailey so early and so long.

I actually like both horses and I understand what you are saying about going into the belmont. I was looking on the three races as a whole not as one then another, then the last one.

I guess AA's ability to get back up and win impressed me more. (Not that I am a dimwit and think he would have won by 20) He reminded me of Alysheba in the derby that day and I guess it stuck in my head.

I would though agree with anyone that REAL QUIET should be the one who has come the closest to winning the triple crown. He is my fave anyway.


And by the way, don't think I wasn't mad at how Solis rode in that Belmont!!!! :mad: :mad: :mad: I was very upset when Gary didn't come back to ride him. I knew then that he wasn't going to win, but I didn't expect that kind of ride from Solis.

oracle80 10-16-2006 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar
I never got that Orahole, why is it they run these fast times while jogging then everyone says they have another gear and so on, they could of run faster. But then when they are finally being worked on and whipped to no end they do not end up running faster.

The whip will get you a length, tops, according to the finest jockeys.
Its a fallacy that the whip can get you so many lengths.
Also, most horses run best when they are free and running how they wanna run with no pressure alongside of them.
Its a different story when another horse gets in your face and you have to quicken NOW instead of when you wanna quicken.
I can't recall too many horses who "jogged" in a big stakes race who then came back and ran better in a dogfight.
If anyone can, name them.


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