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-   -   What did we learn...Pre BC? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=51949)

Sightseek 10-01-2013 07:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jay Frederick (Post 947475)
Going into the race I was more concerned that the connections decided to skip the Woodward with Cross Traffic. Why skip a race, over a surface you had just won at, if he was doing good?

Bad start and all, I think there is some merit to how cold he was on the board being a possible indication that he was not going to put forth his best.

They took 3 months off between an excellent Met Mile and won the Whitney, giving this particular horse time between races has worked well.

Why waste the time trying to read between the lines when the horse didn't even get a fair chance to run his best? I will be more concerned on whether he will hold up to the pace pressure he will meet in the BCC than any idea that he was over the top because the 3 year olds took more money.

Sightseek 10-01-2013 07:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 947491)
10 I believe.

Saint Liam broke from the 12.

randallscott35 10-01-2013 07:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 947493)
Saint Liam broke from the 12.

Yeah I think Tiznow was 10, they were all double digits I believe which was Andy's point.

Sightseek 10-01-2013 07:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 947494)
Yeah I think Tiznow was 10, they were all double digits I believe which was Andy's point.

Of course it was.

freddymo 10-01-2013 07:48 AM

Another one have thoughts on Cross Traffic being bred to Dreaming of Julia..lol

Jay Frederick 10-01-2013 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 947492)
They took 3 months off between an excellent Met Mile and won the Whitney, giving this particular horse time between races has worked well.

Why waste the time trying to read between the lines when the horse didn't even get a fair chance to run his best? I will be more concerned on whether he will hold up to the pace pressure he will meet in the BCC than any idea that he was over the top because the 3 year olds took more money.

The time off between the Met Mile and Whitney was planned. He didn't even make it back to the track to work for almost a full month after the Met Mile. The decision to skip the Woodward was a last minute decision. There is a difference.

Alabama Stakes 10-01-2013 09:18 AM

the 2 year old fillies in the east are slow and will be nowhere in the BC

Sightseek 10-01-2013 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 947522)
the 2 year old fillies in the east are slow and will be nowhere in the BC

I would wait through the weekend before making that assumption...

I'll be using Palace Malice coming out of the JCGC, noting Welsh's workout reports since he is usually a fantastic worker.

I didn't hate Authenticity's last race -- just the trip she received. The field is looking very short for the Lady's Classic.

asudevil 10-01-2013 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 947570)
I would wait through the weekend before making that assumption...

I'll be using Palace Malice coming out of the JCGC, noting Welsh's workout reports since he is usually a fantastic worker.

I didn't hate Authenticity's last race -- just the trip she received. The field is looking very short for the Lady's Classic.

Steve Haskin ‏@SteveHaskin
Despite getting beat 6 3/4 lengths in the JC Gold Cup, Palace Malice's time would have won the previous nine Gold Cups. #freakywinner

blackthroatedwind 10-01-2013 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 947594)
Steve Haskin ‏@SteveHaskin
Despite getting beat 6 3/4 lengths in the JC Gold Cup, Palace Malice's time would have won the previous nine Gold Cups. #freakywinner

Those kinds of comments do more harm than good.

asudevil 10-01-2013 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 947596)
Those kinds of comments do more harm than good.

Care to elaborate? Not being wise, just curious....

Calzone Lord 10-01-2013 06:35 PM

The surface changes speed day to day, let alone year to year.

blackthroatedwind 10-01-2013 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 947598)
Care to elaborate? Not being wise, just curious....

Raw times are meaningless, especially over different years, and confusing people by suggesting otherwise does no good....and harms the uninitiated that don't understand that.

In order to improve fan understanding of the game, the last thing we need to do is mislead them, and comments like that are misleading.

asudevil 10-01-2013 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 947602)
Raw times are meaningless, especially over different years, and confusing people by suggesting otherwise does no good....and harms the uninitiated that don't understand that.

In order to improve fan understanding of the game, the last thing we need to do is mislead them, and comments like that are misleading.

Would love to hear a possible explanation from Glen Kozak. More specifically, a technical discussion to help people understand the nuances of track maintenance.

randallscott35 10-01-2013 06:49 PM

You mean Monarchos wouldn't have won every Derby but Secretariat's? I'm crushed....time only matters in prison boys and girls.

blackthroatedwind 10-01-2013 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 947604)
Would love to hear a possible explanation from Glen Kozak. More specifically, a technical discussion to help people understand the nuances of track maintenance.

I assume this was meant as a nonsequitur?

GenuineRisk 10-01-2013 07:03 PM

Jay Cronley's column about his handicapping on the Gold Cup was entertaining reading:

http://espn.go.com/horse-racing/stor...988/we-execute

asudevil 10-01-2013 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 947607)
I assume this was meant as a nonsequitur?

Absolutely not.

blackthroatedwind 10-01-2013 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 947610)
Absolutely not.

But it is one.

cmorioles 10-01-2013 09:03 PM

I saw those comments on Twitter and was literally laughing out loud. I knew it would be a topic of discussion here.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 947600)
The surface changes speed day to day, let alone year to year.

Not only that, it often changes between races, particularly when a few turf races are thrown in between. Assuming the JCGC track speed was the same as the other dirt races is a pretty big leap.


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