Fogonazo broke about 2 slow in that last. Think he will be right on/near the pace with a solid break. I would be against McLaughlin's first timer; his horses always seem to run much better in their 2nd start. The sleeper may be Bob and the Gang, who led two tough horses for 4 furlongs back on March 9. Pletcher's runner can't be dismissed.

Race 11
In Fogonazo's debut, he did break slow,made a nice middle move and stayed in the race although nobody was passing anyone. My worry about him is the 2 months since his last race and the erratic work pattern since. I'm using him, but need to include Siliver Lining John and Herd Mentality too.

I think I'll stand against the Proctor horse, and the Kirian horse looks like he'll need one. The Parboo horse (11) worries me, as does Bob and the Gang, who showed speed and faded in his debut on the inside going 7F. Cuts back, bullet work, jock upgrade.....some things to consider.

Herd Mentality worked an eighth at the sale in 10.1 and was pretty impressive. Big price for a son of Dance With Ravens, even if his half-brother Romancing the Gold was somewhat "hot" at the time. I'd have to think the horse could be live.

Klaravich 1st time starters are typically very very live when sprinting.....and it seems the ones they give to Pompay even more so. I will be narrow in this race for sure. I will probably be 5 7 and allow myself big coverage elsewhere. Need strong opinions in this sequence and this will be one of mine.

The worst race in the sequence, IMO, is the $6250 claimer. There's a few no-chancers, and maybe 4 or even 5 that could possibly win, but I don't see any of them being 10-1 or higher.

I'm still wrestling with the 12th.
I keep ending up on Film Making, but he's such a hanger and that
1 for 19 record is just staring me in the face. There looks to be a few who need the lead, so a decent pace seems assured and I don't envision someone stealing it on the front end. The 10 Forever Conga is my second choice right now but after that, I'm just not sure.

The weather forecast is looking grim for today:

http://www.nbcmiami.com/news/Tornado...201465351.html

I can't trust Film Making, he really is a hanger's hanger. I think that Diez may be live for Wolfson off the troubled trip last out and an upgrade to Castellano. If he can break decently and get a mid pack trip saving ground from the 2 hole, there should be plenty of speed here to close into. Other then that, I am having a hard time making a case for anyone in this field.

I'm wondering if the race will stay on the turf. Good chance of heavy afternoon rain.

it's the last day of the meet. it won't come off the grass.

i meant "will".

It's been raining in Clearwater all day, and this is heading towards South Fl:



On or off, it is going to be a mess.

$1,961,806.16 the official C/O into closing day.

its going to be huge tomorrow.

Great, a sloppy mess and probably lots of scratches to come. No need to stay up all night capping now.

Anyone else think Running Wildcat might relish the 7 furlong distance tomorrow in the 10th? ESP if the track is muddy.

I like the Vitali in the 12th too. My top choice in that one is the horse to his inside, Forever Conga. 10,2,11,3,9 in there. I'll probably end up only going 3 deep.

I was thinking the same thing about Running Wildcat. And Vitali/Bocachica have been cleaning up in these cheap claimers all meet.

All Turf races in the Rainbow 6 sequence are OFF THE TURF per Mike Welsch tweet, @DRFWelsch

This is great news. I hope it is a scratch fest!

There are quite a number of scratches, but you have horses drawing in, too. Doesn't help that much. Also the likely PT fav got scratched in the 11th.

I think two of those three races are now a whole lot less competitive with the move to dirt.

I happen to disagree with you, I think the sequence became much easier with the three surface switches.