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Exactly. But whos to say he will ever get looked in the eye?
Stay tuned, he meets a very good Invasor next week and Dylan Thomas who supposedly is all the rage. I hear they sing folk songs about him in the mountains. |
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Gander, Just look at the cold hard facts, he's beaten nobody in average times, he's done nothing to justify the "superhorse" label he has received. Don't tell me about Grade I wins either -- Giacomo won a bigger race than Bernardini, Smarty won more impressively without a rest, Birdstone took down the Belmont and then the Travers. None were called "superhorse". Why should Bernardini be? To me, and he may prove me wrong (but I doubt it), he's a product of the press hoping to move away from Barbaro. A "superhorse" proves it against tough company. Ghostzapper vs. Roses In May or St. Liam cutting a 1 1/4 in 1:59 and change. Bernardini may get a free ride all the way. He surely doesn't have any Ghostzapper, Roses In May, or St. Liam to run against even if he gets past Invasor. He's just a lucky horse in the right place at the right time -- just like Giacomo was. |
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I think this is known as posting for a reaction. This is your 8th post here...perhaps proving you are NOT a troll would be a great idea before trolling. |
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I'll have to resepctfully disagree, but I get your point.
As far as final times go, why would this horse exert himself when he has an open length lead at the 1/8th pole and barely ran that fast to get it? Do you want him to sprint home like 3 turf horses in a flying finish to the wire? What we should agree on is that next weekend will answer many of the doubts about Bernardini. Like him or not, we should all appreciate that hes sticking around to try elders. Unlike Point Given who never gave it a shot, yet gets heralded as some super horse when all he did was beat E Dubai and Touch Tone. |
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I don't think that Invasor will be any match for this horse. One could also say that Invasor has gotten lucky from a weak older handicap division as well. Who has he beaten? An injured Flower Alley? Where are those extraordinary times that he has been putting up? Now I think Invasor is an extremely nice horse and deserves top older horse honors in the division if he can outdo Lava Man in the BCC, but I think Bernardini is going to prove to be better than him. My opinion is that Bernardini is going to be your HOY. Another thing, I don't know how much weight this holds because something might have been going on with Invasor in Dubai (didn't like the climate, minor injury, didn't ship well), but look at what Discreet Cat did to him in Dubai... |
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Off the top of my head, I'd say there's maybe a 1/3 chance that Invasor will finish ahead of Bernardini. It's not going to shock me either way. However, it WOULD shock me if Invasor wins by 8. It would not shock me if Bernardini wins by 8. That's the difference to me. We've probably seen the best or nearly the best from Invasor. We don't know what Bernardini's best is yet. --Dunbar |
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Well, personally I can't wait until the JCGC. I haven't been as impressed with Bernardini as most either and I think that Invasor will beat him. If I'm wrong, then I'll admit that I'm wrong, but I think that Invasor is the better horse.
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Bluegrass Cat wore front wraps for the first time in the Travers. He had issues before the race. It might not be on the pps, but look at the tapes. Any horse that has run like he has run in GI races can't cut better than a :48+ and 1:12+? He was not the same BC than ran in the Derby and afterward we found that out. Lucky he's alive. He normally wouldn't be injured trying to keep up with a :48+ half and a nearly 1:13 6f call. He was very capable of keeping up with those fractions given normal health. It's not like Bernardini was Ghostzapper and Bluegrass Cat blew out a pastern trying to keep up with a phenomenal pace. A healthy BC would have been well ahead of Bernardini. |
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You obviously didn't watch Bernardini's Preakness when he sat off the pace of a sub 47 half mile and made a brillant move around the far turn. Why run any faster than you have to? I think Bernardini's best races are going to be those in which he sits off of the pace, and blows by horses, like he did in the Preakness. He found himself on the lead in the Jim Dandy and the Travers because no one else took it. His final time for the Travers was still very fast. Anyway, I'm not excessively big on BSFs. I use them with a red flag because they can be biased. However, when a horse consistently puts up those kind of numbers, he is the real deal. The numbers also show that the horse is improving. A lot of people have had a lot of luck using the numbers and sheets. I personally like watching the replays and looking at the horses in the post parade when betting. Bernardini is the real deal. In watching his races, you can see that he is improving with every start, from his 4th place in his maiden to his Travers. He beat those same horses that he beat by nine lengths in the Jim Dandy, by about 15 lenghts in the Travers. It was also Bernardini's first race going a mile and a quarter. I watch the races, and what I see is a horse with extraordinary talent. |
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Why compare Ghostzapper and Bernardini now? Bernardini isn't done racing. You don't know what he will become. He could be another overhyped horse, or he could be the next superhorse. From what I have seen, I am banking on the latter. Even if the older horses do beat him...Secretariat, Spectacular Bid, and Affirmed even got beat by older as 3 yos. However, if he beats these horse in the JCGC and BCC, I don't think that there are too many people that are going to leave him off their greatest of all time lists. He'll definitely be on mine. |
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YES there is something that can be done
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NC Tony |
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Since this is a public moderated forum it gets a little messy at times and you do have to spend some time wading through stuff that doesn't always have the highest value. I think each person has certain types of stuff that interest them and causes them to post, and not all posts of every poster are constructive. I personally am not in favor of more police activity and more banning. I think the current balance is about right. |
ArlingtonJim,
You're correct. I don't want to bother with that(policing) either. I'll just lurk and chime in when I find something worthwhile and sift through the junk. What was I thinking. I should have known better than to even think it. This site has grown real fast, so ironing out the kinks is something that will take some time. Steve, you got a lot of supporters on this site including me. ( You should know that already) NC Tony |
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