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-   -   Why Lukas went downhill (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4666)

Rupert Pupkin 09-19-2006 12:34 AM

One thing that really separates Lukas from the other trainers is that he will practically never give his horses time off, even if they have a serious injury. he will run them until it is basically impossible for them to run any more. Unless they have a broken leg, he'll keep running them. You will practically never see a Lukas horse take 6-12 months off and then come back better than ever. The reason is beacuse he won't turn them out until they're so badly injured that they will never be the same. Once permanent damage is done, the horse will never be the same, even if you give them a year off.

With other trainers, you will often see their horse come back from layoffs better than ever. It happens all the time. The reason is because most trainers will stop on a horse if they have a slight injury. If you stop on them and give them time to heal, there is a good chance that they will come back 100%.

DiscreetCat=Monster 09-19-2006 12:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
What was the last grade you finished in school?


I guess you have no idea what the GRE test is and you know stooping to calling names is gonna get you suspended you better chill. I am sure you have already read the P Val post and now your blood is boiling take a walk it will cool you down.

:D

DiscreetCat=Monster 09-19-2006 12:40 AM

Look Going Wild is still running here is the PP

Track Date Race Class Distance Condition Jockey FP
Turfway 09/09/06 9 STAKES [3U] All Weather Track, 1M wf Mojica, O 6
Saratoga 08/25/06 3 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $75,000 Dirt, 7F wf Hill, C 5
Saratoga 07/30/06 3 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $75,000 Dirt, 6F wf Bejarano, R 2
Churchill 07/09/06 8 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Dirt, 6 1/2F wf Lanerie, C 3
Churchill 06/25/06 5 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Turf, 5F sf Lanerie, C 5
Churchill 06/14/06 8 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Dirt, 1M wf Leparoux, J 6
Churchill 05/18/06 6 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Turf, 5F ft Jacinto, J 5
Turfway 09/17/05 13 Kentucky Cup Sprint S. (Grade 3) Stakes [3] 6 Furlongs Fast McKee J 3
Saratoga 08/07/05 9 Amsterdam S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 6 Furlongs Fast Velasquez C H 7
Belmont Park 06/11/05 8 Riva Ridge Breeders' Cup S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 7 Furlongs Fast Bailey J D 6
Pimlico 05/21/05 12 Preakness S. (Grade 1) Stakes [3] 1 3/16 Miles Fast Albarado R 14
Churchill 05/07/05 10 Kentucky Derby (Grade 1) Stakes [3] 1 1/4 Miles Fast Valdivia, Jr. J 18
Keeneland 04/23/05 9 Coolmore Lexington S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 1 1/16 Miles Sloppy Stevens G L 5
Aqueduct 04/09/05 9 Wood Memorial S. (Grade 1) Stakes [3] 1 1/8 Miles Fast Espinoza V 7
Santa Anita 03/05/05 5 Santa Catalina S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 1 1/16 Miles Fast Bejarano R 2

DiscreetCat=Monster 09-19-2006 12:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
If calling you an idiot gets me suspended, so be it. Far worse is said on here every day. You would know a thing or two about being suspended right? I know what the GRE test is, and judging by your vocabulary, and overall grasp of the english language I think you may be mixing it up with GED. Which honestly, makes a lot of sense. Goodnight!!!!


I never said i couldn't go ghetto on someone you don't know where people grow up before they are able to get an education, so it does make alot of sense to people that can relate to not having alot growing up. There is nothing wrong with a GED I have friends that have GED's and do just fine for themselves. Now you have CLOWNED on the HANDICAP and people with GED's and had nothing to add that is of any use.

Rupert Pupkin 09-19-2006 01:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LOSE=GLUE
Look Going Wild is still running here is the PP

Track Date Race Class Distance Condition Jockey FP
Turfway 09/09/06 9 STAKES [3U] All Weather Track, 1M wf Mojica, O 6
Saratoga 08/25/06 3 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $75,000 Dirt, 7F wf Hill, C 5
Saratoga 07/30/06 3 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $75,000 Dirt, 6F wf Bejarano, R 2
Churchill 07/09/06 8 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Dirt, 6 1/2F wf Lanerie, C 3
Churchill 06/25/06 5 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Turf, 5F sf Lanerie, C 5
Churchill 06/14/06 8 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Dirt, 1M wf Leparoux, J 6
Churchill 05/18/06 6 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING [3U] $80,000 Turf, 5F ft Jacinto, J 5
Turfway 09/17/05 13 Kentucky Cup Sprint S. (Grade 3) Stakes [3] 6 Furlongs Fast McKee J 3
Saratoga 08/07/05 9 Amsterdam S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 6 Furlongs Fast Velasquez C H 7
Belmont Park 06/11/05 8 Riva Ridge Breeders' Cup S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 7 Furlongs Fast Bailey J D 6
Pimlico 05/21/05 12 Preakness S. (Grade 1) Stakes [3] 1 3/16 Miles Fast Albarado R 14
Churchill 05/07/05 10 Kentucky Derby (Grade 1) Stakes [3] 1 1/4 Miles Fast Valdivia, Jr. J 18
Keeneland 04/23/05 9 Coolmore Lexington S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 1 1/16 Miles Sloppy Stevens G L 5
Aqueduct 04/09/05 9 Wood Memorial S. (Grade 1) Stakes [3] 1 1/8 Miles Fast Espinoza V 7
Santa Anita 03/05/05 5 Santa Catalina S. (Grade 2) Stakes [3] 1 1/16 Miles Fast Bejarano R 2

Going Wild is a perfect example of a horse that Lukas kept running after he was hurt. If he would have stopped on the horse right after the Lexington and given the horse six months off, the horse might have come back fine. Instead, he kept running the horse until the horse was so messed up that no amount of time off would help. It's a shame. That horse actually had a lot of talent.

By the way, Wayne does have some good qualities. He is an incredibly hard worker and he is very driven. He's a real workaholic. To be a successful trainer, it takes a lot more than just being good at training. You have to have good help. You have to have good vets and you have to know how to properly utilize your vets. You have to have good people skills to attract owners. You have to be a good self-promoter and things like that. Wayne is very presentable and make sa great first impression on people. He is impeccably dressed and well-spoken. He's a bright guy. That's hal the battle. It helps to be a good business man. Wayne had all these qualities. Not only that, but the guys is just a winner. He almost reminds me a litle of Donald Trump in a way. He comes across as a guy who does everything first-class. His barn is absolutely immaculate. He always had the nicest and cleanest barn on the backstretch. He would probably be better than practically anyone at teaching a class on "the business of training".

oracle80 09-19-2006 07:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Never said there was anything wrong with a GED, I just thought maybe you had it mixed up. Please provide an example of me clowning on handicapped people, because I sure can't find it. You seems to be stirring the pot, I clowned on you, because with most of your posts you seem to be begging for someone to do it. Your name alone begs for an argument. On a horse racing board the name Lose=Glue is sort of low class, don't you think?

LOL!!!
Da Hoss here is one good lesson for you to learn. Never argue with someone so stupid as to spell insight, insite.

oracle80 09-19-2006 07:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I know, I know. I guess I was bored during the game last night. I just don't like the dude, and his stupid posts.

I could never be bored enough to talk with him.

oracle80 09-19-2006 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
Pure HOGWASH. Less than 5% of horses turned out EVER come back to the ability they had before they left the track. That goes for cheap claimers right up to Triple Crown winners.

This is true. Heck even horses who have small chips removed rarely if ever come back to what they were before the chip.
Tendons? Well maybe if you give em 2-3 years they can be ok. Fractures? Well sometimes it works with the screws but most of the time it doesn't.
I still find it hysterical that the guy won yet another championship last year and that at his age people hold him up to scrutiny as if he were a spring chicken.
The bashers sure see something i don't see and I will cite two glaring reasons why.
1) Many breeders I know will not go to a new sire they feel was trained by a "juice guy". There are several trainers who have trained a lotta good horses and have yet to have trained a really good sire.
D Wayne has trained many great or good sires. Dynaformer, Carson City, Capote, Cat Thief, Gulch, Grand Slam, Honour and Glory, Jump Start, Is It True, Yes Its True, Mt Livermore, Orientate, Slew City Slew, Salt Lake, Thunder Gulch, etc.
If they were all moved up so much by his "mystery methods" why do they still produce in the shed unlike many other name trainers horses?
2) The guy obviously has been a tremendous teacher of horseman. Todd Pletcher, Mark Hennig, Randy Bradshaw, Bobby Barnett, Dallas Stewart, Mike Maker, Kiarin McLaughlin, all learned under him. What are the chances that he doesnt know horsemanship with a roster of pupils like that?

Guys trained so many champions and grade one winners its too long a list to name. Hes also 71 years old. I think I'll cut him some slack.

Rupert Pupkin 09-19-2006 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
This is true. Heck even horses who have small chips removed rarely if ever come back to what they were before the chip.
Tendons? Well maybe if you give em 2-3 years they can be ok. Fractures? Well sometimes it works with the screws but most of the time it doesn't.
I still find it hysterical that the guy won yet another championship last year and that at his age people hold him up to scrutiny as if he were a spring chicken.
The bashers sure see something i don't see and I will cite two glaring reasons why.
1) Many breeders I know will not go to a new sire they feel was trained by a "juice guy". There are several trainers who have trained a lotta good horses and have yet to have trained a really good sire.
D Wayne has trained many great or good sires. Dynaformer, Carson City, Capote, Cat Thief, Gulch, Grand Slam, Honour and Glory, Jump Start, Is It True, Yes Its True, Mt Livermore, Orientate, Slew City Slew, Salt Lake, Thunder Gulch, etc.
If they were all moved up so much by his "mystery methods" why do they still produce in the shed unlike many other name trainers horses?
2) The guy obviously has been a tremendous teacher of horseman. Todd Pletcher, Mark Hennig, Randy Bradshaw, Bobby Barnett, Dallas Stewart, Mike Maker, Kiarin McLaughlin, all learned under him. What are the chances that he doesnt know horsemanship with a roster of pupils like that?

Guys trained so many champions and grade one winners its too long a list to name. Hes also 71 years old. I think I'll cut him some slack.

I'm not saying a horse will come back better than ever if they had a serious injury. I'm saying that they will often times come back better than ever if you turn them out before a problem gets serious.

If you look at many of the good trainers, their win percentage is just as high with a horse coming off a 6 month layoff as with a horse that just ran a month ago. I don't have Pletcher's stats in front of me for horses coming back from a 6 months to a 1 year layoff, but I know his win percenatge for horses that haven't run for somewhere between 45 days and 6 months is 26%.

If you think that Lukas taught any of those guys how to trainn, you are crazy. He only hired guys that were great horsemen.

oracle80 09-19-2006 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
I'm not saying a horse will come back better than ever if they had a serious injury. I'm saying that they will often times come back better than ever if you turn them out before a problem gets serious.

If you look at many of the good trainers, their win percentage is just as high with a horse coming off a 6 month layoff as with a horse that just ran a month ago. I don't have Pletcher's stats in front of me for horses coming back from a 6 months to a 1 year layoff, but I know his win percenatge for horses that haven't run for somewhere between 45 days and 6 months is 26%.

If you think that Lukas taught any of those guys how to trainn, you are crazy. He only hired guys that were great horsemen.

Oh come on now Rup, thats an anti Lukas bias showing.
Those guys sure feel like he taught them something. They all use the white bridle as a tribute to their old boss, and none of them bash him.
I just don't buy that they were already good enough to go on their own and simply became paid slaves because they wanted the challenge.

Rupert Pupkin 09-19-2006 08:52 AM

[quote=oracle80]This is true. Heck even horses who have small chips removed rarely if ever come back to what they were before the chip.
Tendons? Well maybe if you give em 2-3 years they can be ok. Fractures? Well sometimes it works with the screws but most of the time it doesn't.
I still find it hysterical that the guy won yet another championship last year and that at his age people hold him up to scrutiny as if he were a spring chicken.

Take a guy like James Jerkens. His normal win percentage is 17%. His win percenatge for horses coming off 45-180 day layoffs is 23%. I guess you guys are right. You shouldn't give a horse time off if they have a slight problem. The time off won't do any good.

Sightseek 09-19-2006 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
I'm not saying a horse will come back better than ever if they had a serious injury. I'm saying that they will often times come back better than ever if you turn them out before a problem gets serious.

If you look at many of the good trainers, their win percentage is just as high with a horse coming off a 6 month layoff as with a horse that just ran a month ago. I don't have Pletcher's stats in front of me for horses coming back from a 6 months to a 1 year layoff, but I know his win percenatge for horses that haven't run for somewhere between 45 days and 6 months is 26%.

If you think that Lukas taught any of those guys how to trainn, you are crazy. He only hired guys that were great horsemen.

Flower Alley must have overslept during that barn meeting and never read the memo.

Rupert Pupkin 09-19-2006 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Oh come on now Rup, thats an anti Lukas bias showing.
Those guys sure feel like he taught them something. They all use the white bridle as a tribute to their old boss, and none of them bash him.
I just don't buy that they were already good enough to go on their own and simply became paid slaves because they wanted the challenge.

None of those guys train anything like Lukas. If he was so good, you would think they would have a similar style. When they interviewed McLauglin about his days with Lukas, the only thing he said with regards to what he learned from Lukas was that "He teaches you how to get owners and stuff like that."

oracle80 09-19-2006 08:56 AM

[quote=Rupert Pupkin]
Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
This is true. Heck even horses who have small chips removed rarely if ever come back to what they were before the chip.
Tendons? Well maybe if you give em 2-3 years they can be ok. Fractures? Well sometimes it works with the screws but most of the time it doesn't.
I still find it hysterical that the guy won yet another championship last year and that at his age people hold him up to scrutiny as if he were a spring chicken.

Take a guy like James Jerkens. His normal win percentage is 17%. His win percenatge for horses coming off 45-180 day layoffs is 23%. I guess you guys are right. You shouldn't give a horse time off if they have a slight problem. The time off won't do any good.

I never said that Rupert. Obviously horses need time off when they have a minor problem so it doesn't become major, and obviously D Wayne could have done a better job with giving horses time off. I think thats obvious.
Noone is disputing that. But you name a trainer and I can name weaknesses that he or she has, just like you are with D Wayne.

Rupert Pupkin 09-19-2006 09:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Flower Alley must have overslept during that barn meeting and never read the memo.

Who knows what they did to FA to get that big effort out of him in the BC Classic. He had just gotten beat by 15 lengths. If you have a horse with an injury and inject them to get one more race out of them, there is a good chance that they will not come back 100%. That is always the risk if you try to get one or two moe races out of a horse that is showing the beginning of a minor injury.

Sightseek 09-19-2006 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
Who knows what they did to FA to get that big effort out of him in the BC Classic. He had just gotten beat by 15 lengths. If you have a horse with an injury and inject them to get one more race out of them, there is a good chance that they will not come back 100%. That is always the risk if you try to get one or two moe races out of a horse that is showing the beginning of a minor injury.

He only got beat by 15 lengths prior to the BC because of Pletcher's poor use of a rabbit & Chantel Sutherland.


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