Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Big $ MTH "uber meet" experiment moving forward (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=34613)

freddymo 03-09-2010 11:41 AM

Suffolk is closing great news

freddymo 03-09-2010 11:49 AM

I would think the biggest names will stay in NY unless told to ship with a horse.

richard 03-09-2010 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
80k maidens...So comedy!

It'll be a cavalry charge challenging the Kentucky Derby. Except they probably have the sense to limit the field to 12 horses like they do in NY.

freddymo 03-09-2010 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard
It'll be a cavalry charge challenging the Kentucky Derby. Except they probably have the sense to limit the field to 12 horses like they do in NY.

9 12 horse fields will be outstanding

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan07
I would have to think places like Churchill will be affected more that Woodbine. In addition, you can probably forget about any ''decent'' (if at all racing) at Suffolk, which would force them to out of business at the end of the year, if not sooner. At least half the stables are expected to be empty at Suffolk this year.

CD and NY will be the ones most effected horse-wise. Suffolk can still count on Clement to make 40 starts to keep the old % high.

parsixfarms 03-09-2010 02:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
CD and NY will be the ones most effected horse-wise. Suffolk can still count on Clement to make 40 starts to keep the old % high.

What about Delaware? Haven't they be competing with Monmouth for the same "B string" horses from the big outfits the past few years. Now, they will be at a real competitive disadvantage from a dollars perspective.

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 02:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
I would think the biggest names will stay in NY unless told to ship with a horse.

The most of the biggest names in NY already stable a string at Monmouth unless Pletcher, Clement, mcLaughlin, Levine and Dutrow arent considered big names anymore

NTamm1215 03-09-2010 02:49 PM

Isn't this all kind of a setup for the casinos to tell the state that the tracks are not getting anything starting in 2011?

NT

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
What about Delaware? Haven't they be competing with Monmouth for the same "B string" horses from the big outfits the past few years. Now, they will be at a real competitive disadvantage from a dollars perspective.

They will be effected somewhat but the reality of Monmouth is that the big guys are going to run a lot of thier 'A' string horses there which may make the races really tough. A lot of the midwest guys Pat Pope brings in wont have the horses to win a lot there. The MD guys dont have the stock either. I really think NY get hurt the worst simply because no track has less "contorl" over their horses or trainers than they do. Money talks and if given the choice of an 80k or a 45k purse NY is going to lose. Lets face it there are a handful of trainers who are going to win the lionshare of the money at monmouth. the claiming guys will be dropping hard and the usual suspects will dominate the maiden and allowance ranks. An 80k purse sounds great but if you cant hit the board why bother?

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Isn't this all kind of a setup for the casinos to tell the state that the tracks are not getting anything starting in 2011?

NT

The casinos still are scared that the tracks will get slots and if the meet is deemed sucessful (at least by the politicians) it will be in the Casino's best interests to just pay the tracks off. They might get away with a smaller number though.

NTamm1215 03-09-2010 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
The casinos still are scared that the tracks will get slots and if the meet is deemed sucessful (at least by the politicians) it will be in the Casino's best interests to just pay the tracks off. They might get away with a smaller number though.

It just seemed to me that this was kind of a "put up or shut up" type move by the governor where he's letting them know the results of the meet are going to be monitored closely.

I have the imagine the Philly setup is hurting AC quite a bit as well, so I think they'll be a tad less willing to part with even a dollar for racetracks.

NT

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
It just seemed to me that this was kind of a "put up or shut up" type move by the governor where he's letting them know the results of the meet are going to be monitored closely.

I have the imagine the Philly setup is hurting AC quite a bit as well, so I think they'll be a tad less willing to part with even a dollar for racetracks.

NT

Trying to handicap politicians is tough. I just think that if the meet goes off as a success, daily handle up, attendance up (both are close to slam dunks with the shorter meet), lower expenses, media praise, etc. the pols are gonna elbow the casinos in the ribs and say "Hey isnt racing without slots great? Lets keep this system in effect."

If the success is measured against the doubling of total handle, then we should enjoy the summer at Monmouth this year. There may not be another.


You know i was also thinking that Monmouth would be a great destination for a CA outfit looking to get off the poly and diminishing purses. Wouldnt be shocked if a few CA outfits shipped in.

freddymo 03-09-2010 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
The most of the biggest names in NY already stable a string at Monmouth unless Pletcher, Clement, mcLaughlin, Levine and Dutrow arent considered big names anymore

We were talking about Jocks not owners..I am well aware of the bigger names that have stables in NJ..

freddymo 03-09-2010 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
They will be effected somewhat but the reality of Monmouth is that the big guys are going to run a lot of thier 'A' string horses there which may make the races really tough. A lot of the midwest guys Pat Pope brings in wont have the horses to win a lot there. The MD guys dont have the stock either. I really think NY get hurt the worst simply because no track has less "contorl" over their horses or trainers than they do. Money talks and if given the choice of an 80k or a 45k purse NY is going to lose. Lets face it there are a handful of trainers who are going to win the lionshare of the money at monmouth. the claiming guys will be dropping hard and the usual suspects will dominate the maiden and allowance ranks. An 80k purse sounds great but if you cant hit the board why bother?

Will a stable like a Sciacca be free to run in NJ without issue in your opinion?

freddymo 03-09-2010 03:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Trying to handicap politicians is tough. I just think that if the meet goes off as a success, daily handle up, attendance up (both are close to slam dunks with the shorter meet), lower expenses, media praise, etc. the pols are gonna elbow the casinos in the ribs and say "Hey isnt racing without slots great? Lets keep this system in effect."

If the success is measured against the doubling of total handle, then we should enjoy the summer at Monmouth this year. There may not be another.


You know i was also thinking that Monmouth would be a great destination for a CA outfit looking to get off the poly and diminishing purses. Wouldnt be shocked if a few CA outfits shipped in.

How do they go back?

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 03:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
We were talking about Jocks not owners..I am well aware of the bigger names that have stables in NJ..

I'm sorry for the mistake.

freddymo 03-09-2010 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
The casinos still are scared that the tracks will get slots and if the meet is deemed sucessful (at least by the politicians) it will be in the Casino's best interests to just pay the tracks off. They might get away with a smaller number though.

It's getting to a point that I am not so sure they care about slots or anything else.. The casinos save the Borgata and a little Harrahs are dead! Philly starts table games in April.. I do agree a deal will get done because its cheaper to pay off the track then compete.

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Will a stable like a Sciacca be free to run in NJ without issue in your opinion?

What are they gonna do to him? He runs a shitload of horses, especially in the winter. There are plenty of empty stalls in ny in the winter

Cannon Shell 03-09-2010 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
How do they go back?

Same way they got there?

freddymo 03-09-2010 03:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
What are they gonna do to him? He runs a shitload of horses, especially in the winter. There are plenty of empty stalls in ny in the winter

So you dont think a trainer with 20 to 50 stalls is going to be concerned to leave town and support a rival meet?


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:35 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.