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Won easy, yes. Pretty fast, yes. Beat anything? Absolutely not. |
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That's silly but he's got a lot of talent. It's hard to judge the mile races versus 7F races, as in general the miles have been much slower, perhaps due to the insufficient run-up, but both maiden races were run in 1:23 1/5. Both of those winners are promising, and I don't think it's unfair to say that his 1:35 3/5 is four to six lengths faster than those races. I haven't watched Gulfstream....is it a sealed track? If so that makes all the races tricky to take on face value. However, no matter how you cut it, Big Brown can run. |
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He was impressive against a weak field, perfect setup. Let's hope they bring him back in the Fountain of Youth so we can see if he's for real. Siegel was floored. Who's your other horse-Ready's Echo? |
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I still can't believe he was like 19-1 in his maiden win.
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We will have to agree to disagree on this. After watching the races, Big Brown got his 7F in 1:22.69 I believe. He won like he was supposed to and if he keeps it together physically, which I doubt, he's probably OK. Unfortunately for him he is going to be rushed, if he stays sound, most likely to the Blue Grass and then probably the Preakness after he fails to qualify for the Derby. If he was given a more sane program it's very possible, if he stays sound, that he could really have something to say later in the year. I highly doubt that will happen. As for Ready's Echo.....fast pace, weak field, sweet trip, but a very nice effort still after a six month layoff. I would imagine his connections won't be crazy enough to bury him in the Florida Derby. Maybe they will run him in a race like the Bay Shore on Wood Day or even the Withers three weeks later. I'm surprised he didn't have a lot more speed today ( obviously he wasn't going to be 25 lengths behind early ) but he also has the kind of running style that tends to make people overrate his performances. Still, he seems like a neat horse and could easily make some noise later. How far he goes remains to be seen but hopefully he won't get buried before he has a chance to show where his niche lies. |
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I heard Gulfstream got .01 inch of rain. I'm relieved they took the races off the turf.
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While the game is speed driven, it doesn't necessarily follow that it need be always considered from a speed perspective.
For example, all three winners today ran greenly. BB ran the straightest of the 3 in the stretch but he didn't exactly keep the most direct path for a horse that won in hand. And he was needlessly wide. But the real interesting question is who picks out Klaravich's horses? |
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I definitely agree. Big Brown is listed at 150-1 currently in the Vegas future book. I'll be in Nevada in a couple weeks, and will definitely take a flier at that price, mostly because I know IEAH will do everything they can to get him there, and outside of War Pass I haven't seen a colt that can run with him. |
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I'll be honest with you Phil.......I think he is much higher than 150-1 to win the Derby. I honestly don't know that he's even 10-1 to have the earnings for the Derby.
But, he's got a lot of ability. |
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