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Scav 08-15-2007 12:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJP
I believe Arlington had 24 breakdowns last year, not 40. As for the earlier comment about randomness with Polytrack, there's no question its more random. Until the majority of horses have run 5-6 times over it, one can only draw limited conclusions. I'll bet TP, where 95% of the non-maidens have run over it, and I feel speed at least has some chance. But the crap that they run on at Kee, AP and Dmr is just brutal to watch. It looks like all the speed tires, and the deep closers can't get in gear quick enough, and the midpack runners basically inherit the win with their one paced style. And ALL the runners look like they are struggling in the stretch. Let's hope PETA doesnt watch these debacles.

I find some horseman's comments very strange: they talk about the surface not "breaking away" like dirt, yet the horses' hooves must be sinking in further because the times are so much slower. What gives? And supposedly the horses come back after a race or workout and barely blowing? Yet it seems that every horse is struggling in the stretch....yet another contradiction.

JJ, I was including morning breakdowns also in that 40 number, 24 was during races. I think that 40 number is actually larger

Cannon Shell 08-15-2007 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
JJ, I was including morning breakdowns also in that 40 number, 24 was during races. I think that 40 number is actually larger

Why are you up so late?

JJP 08-15-2007 08:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
JJ, I was including morning breakdowns also in that 40 number, 24 was during races. I think that 40 number is actually larger

Thats quite possible if you factor in the morning training.

I think there's going to be one very strong angle when Hawthorne opens: speed horses who tired at AP.

Scav 08-15-2007 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Why are you up so late?

No job, I can do whatever I want now, it is awesome

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJP
I think there's going to be one very strong angle when Hawthorne opens: speed horses who tired at AP.

JJP, lets keep that angle to ourselves, that is an amazing thought process right there. We can really unload on that the first couple days and let the minions figure it out at a later date. Great find right there. Speed horses that are off form suddenly find Hawthorne form. Big fan right there.

Cannon Shell 08-15-2007 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
No job, I can do whatever I want now, it is awesome


Why aren't you in Saratoga then?

Scav 08-15-2007 10:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Why aren't you in Saratoga then?

I have alot of commitments in the next couple weeks up here. A wedding, handicapping contest, two Cubs games, and a Bears preseason game. Still cleaning my wounds from the first trip, almost healed.

ArlJim78 08-16-2007 06:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Why aren't you in Saratoga then?

he'd be handy around the barn...

Bigsmc 08-16-2007 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I have alot of commitments in the next couple weeks up here. A wedding, handicapping contest, two Cubs games, and a Bears preseason game. Still cleaning my wounds from the first trip, almost healed.

I hope you didn't pay for those tickets. Preseason football is absolutely unwatchable.

One of the biggest travesties in sports is the NFL Owners forcing their season ticket holders to buy tickets to preseason games at full price.

I can't give them away, nobody wants to go see a 4-12 team (for that matter, I couldn't give them away after they won the Super Bowl), playing scrubs after one series, in 95 degree heat with not a breath of wind blowing through the stadium.

Scav 08-16-2007 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I hope you didn't pay for those tickets. Preseason football is absolutely unwatchable.

One of the biggest travesties in sports is the NFL Owners forcing their season ticket holders to buy tickets to preseason games at full price.

I can't give them away, nobody wants to go see a 4-12 team (for that matter, I couldn't give them away after they won the Super Bowl), playing scrubs after one series, in 95 degree heat with not a breath of wind blowing through the stadium.

We always go to one preseason just for the hell of it, it keeps us out of trouble. Never pay for them.

Word here is that the Bears are HUNGRY this year and no let down. Schedule is playable and the offensive looks to be real serious. Who knows if that holds but pretty excited. Upgrading the jerseys this weekend as I am going to get a Benson and a Harris Jersey, so when they are on offensive going to rock the benson jersey and when on D going to rock the Harris jersey, and no, not Walt Harris.

viscount26 08-16-2007 09:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
We always go to one preseason just for the hell of it, it keeps us out of trouble. Never pay for them.

Word here is that the Bears are HUNGRY this year and no let down. Schedule is playable and the offensive looks to be real serious. Who knows if that holds but pretty excited. Upgrading the jerseys this weekend as I am going to get a Benson and a Harris Jersey, so when they are on offensive going to rock the benson jersey and when on D going to rock the Harris jersey, and no, not Walt Harris.

I only got to one Patriots game last year. Good job it was against the Bears Scav.

ArlJim78 08-16-2007 09:27 AM

I agree with Bigs, there is nothing worse than preseason football.

dearheart54 08-16-2007 09:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
I agree with Bigs, there is nothing worse than preseason football.

Pre-season baseball isn't all it's cracked up to be either.

ArlJim78 08-16-2007 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dearheart54
Pre-season baseball isn't all it's cracked up to be either.

no argument from me on that.

but for football whats so irritating is that they make you buy tickets for the preseason games when you purchase season tickets. and they're full price!

Scav 08-16-2007 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by viscount26
I only got to one Patriots game last year. Good job it was against the Bears Scav.

I was in vegas for that game, felt like my balls got hit with a hammer after that debacle. Should have beat them also. We are going undefeated this year so it is all good :)

Bears regular season tickets were out of control this year, sold out in 10 minutes. I only got one game, and only 4 tickets, and I needed 12 for the annual tailgating party. Home against the Lions

Bigsmc 08-16-2007 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dearheart54
Pre-season baseball isn't all it's cracked up to be either.

I thoroughly enjoy Spring Training....it may have something to do with the weather being nice, most games being during the day so work must be blown off, and the beer being cold. I also enjoy seeing National League teams that I don't normally get to see throughout the seasaon. The product on the field is not much to look at, but it is a fun afternoon out. The newer stadiums are very comfortable and clean. Legends Field in Tampa (Yankees) and Bright House in Clearwater (Phillies) are very nice.

Watch on Spring Training on TV? No way.

Scav 08-16-2007 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I thoroughly enjoy Spring Training....it may have something to do with the weather being nice, most games being during the day so work must be blown off, and the beer being cold. I also enjoy seeing National League teams that I don't normally get to see throughout the seasaon. The product on the field is not much to look at, but it is a fun afternoon out. The newer stadiums are very comfortable and clean. Legends Field in Tampa (Yankees) and Bright House in Clearwater (Phillies) are very nice.

Watch on Spring Training on TV? No way.

I agree, spring training is the bomb live. When i was like 12 i went to the Rangers camp, when Drugseco was there and caught like four of his homers. I played catch with Pudge Rodriguez(his first year up) because my dad knew the pitching coach at the time, Tom House. I learned the "Karatechop curve" from him, which is a breaking ball that has zero elbox pressure, for youngsters.

My dad got into verbal confrontation with Ruben Sierra becuase he was an ******* and shut his porsche door on me, pretty hilarious

SentToStud 08-16-2007 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I was in vegas for that game, felt like my balls got hit with a hammer after that debacle. Should have beat them also. We are going undefeated this year so it is all good :)

Bears regular season tickets were out of control this year, sold out in 10 minutes. I only got one game, and only 4 tickets, and I needed 12 for the annual tailgating party. Home against the Lions

I'll take the Lions + ... ?

Scav 08-16-2007 10:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
I'll take the Lions + ... ?

Smartass....I jinxed myself last year. NO WAGERS. I still owe you, don't think I forgot. I am hoping to come down there in the winter and check out Gulfstream so that is when we will party.

pgardn 08-16-2007 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
We always go to one preseason just for the hell of it, it keeps us out of trouble. Never pay for them.

Word here is that the Bears are HUNGRY this year and no let down. Schedule is playable and the offensive looks to be real serious. Who knows if that holds but pretty excited. Upgrading the jerseys this weekend as I am going to get a Benson and a Harris Jersey, so when they are on offensive going to rock the benson jersey and when on D going to rock the Harris jersey, and no, not Walt Harris.

Stick with the Harris Jersey. That guy is the goods.

Benson... errr... not good for a number one running back. Hope they got a good back up. Lots of team are going to a one two punch. Benson cant last the whole season. He gets hit way too hard. And unless his blocking has improved, dont expect Grossman to stay alive on a playfake.

Honu 08-16-2007 04:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Disagree about Cali. They had breakdowns, but the reasons are not so clear.

Weren't a lot of the breakdowns on each surface last year because of sore horses? I seem to remember a fantastic article written by Christine janks about it. Seems like a sore horse will breakdown on any surface, so instead of spending millions and millions of dollars, how about making a concerned effort to get horses that have problems off of the track.

I have been at the Del -Mar meet this whole season , there has not been one horse put down on the Poly , yes there have been injuries but if some of these would have happened on the old surface those horses would be dead and that is a fact.
I still hold by my theory on betting Poly at Del Mar , look at the P.P's , horses who have ran consistant 12 's with no fast beggining 1/4 and no fast finishing 1/4 are doing well , I cashed on Threadneedle with this angle and even tho I only bet 2 across I made 38.60, I picked Karlees Kitten the other day because of said above reason and she won also. I bet on our mare Ex Caeles even tho she was a route mare shortening back up because if you looked at her lines on dirt she ran 12's. Im not a handicapper or gambler or I would bet more than 2 across , but it sure seems this could be an angle to look at .


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