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-   -   Steve Haskin;s Top Derby Contendars (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8856)

SentToStud 01-16-2007 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
We will see come year end when Zito is again no better than 20th in trainer stats.

Just because someone doesn't start a zillion horses doesn't mean he's not a top trainer.

Maybe he has chosen to have a smaller stable than in prior years.

As far as I'm concerned, anyone who can train Anromedas Hero to earnngs of $800,000+ doesn't deserve to be in the Hall of Fame; he probably deserves to have his own wing.

KY_Sasquash 01-16-2007 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Combine 31st in trainer stats with the 20th last year and you can see a nice pattern developing here. He was 8th in 2005, 9th in 2004, 14th in 2003 and 23rd in 2002. I think the year 2002, 2006 and so far in 2007 is more reflective of his training skill. He fits between 20-40. A couple of good years. But Zito is avg at best. I can name 20 trainers I would rather have than Zito. And apparently so can many owners.


Zito had 3 graded stakes winners and trainers that had more than him were: Pletcher, Frankel, Mott, R.Mandella, Biancone, McLaughlin, Matz, Canani, ONeill, Clement, bin Surroor, Baffert, and Tagg.
He doesnt have the stable size of Pletcher and doesnt have a stable on the West Coast, doesnt receive horses from the Sheiks, and two of his top clients (Live Oak-distributes their horses amongst 4-5 trainers and LaPenta-he buys yearlings for him and the pinhook them at the 2yo sales, keeping the ones that dont meet their reserve (on a side note they've done very well with this plan)) Thus he's doing pretty well in his spot, considering he's in the top 13 for graded stakes winners.

brianwspencer 01-16-2007 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
As far as I'm concerned, anyone who can train Anromedas Hero to earnngs of $800,000+ doesn't deserve to be in the Hall of Fame; he probably deserves to have his own wing.

:D Beautiful.

lecasting 01-16-2007 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Good question. IF TGM comes out of retirement and wins then he is at the top of everyone'e list.

The 16 million dollar bust? I see turf in his future.

Sightseek 01-16-2007 02:59 PM

Good news guys!

I just got back from lunch and picked up a "I'm sorry your career is slipping away" card for Zito....would anyone else like to sign it?

eurobounce 01-16-2007 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Good news guys!

I just got back from lunch and picked up a "I'm sorry your career is slipping away" card for Zito....would anyone else like to sign it?

I think we need to make a movie about is. It would be the most over-hyped movie ever--sort of like Zito's career.

lecasting 01-16-2007 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
I think we need to make a movie about is. It would be the most over-hyped movie ever--sort of like Zito's career.

I can't bash Zito, because he is who he is, but he has mishandled Sun King's career. This horse ran the two best races of his life in a 7F sprint and the Met Mile. So what does Nick do? Run him in the Classic at a mile and a 1/4.

Sightseek 01-16-2007 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jax Cajun
I can't bash Zito, because he is who he is, but he has mishandled Sun King's career. This horse ran the two best races of his life in a 7F sprint and the Met Mile. So what does Nick do? Run him in the Classic at a mile and a 1/4.

What about his Whitney?

SniperSB23 01-16-2007 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jax Cajun
I can't bash Zito, because he is who he is, but he has mishandled Sun King's career. This horse ran the two best races of his life in a 7F sprint and the Met Mile. So what does Nick do? Run him in the Classic at a mile and a 1/4.

Considering the horse had only lost by a nose at 9 furlongs to the horse that won the Classic it is tough to say he shouldn't have been there.

lecasting 01-16-2007 03:20 PM

True true. He did have that outside post on the rail friendly Breeder's Classic.

Linny 01-16-2007 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jax Cajun
I can't bash Zito, because he is who he is, but he has mishandled Sun King's career. This horse ran the two best races of his life in a 7F sprint and the Met Mile. So what does Nick do? Run him in the Classic at a mile and a 1/4.

What was he to do? Lay him off for a year and bring him back in the '07 BC Mile and 70yards?

kentuckyrosesinmay 01-16-2007 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Only that I think Street Sense is leaps and bounds ahead of where Private Vow ever stood in terms of talent -- which should be factored into the equation of how they may handle similar situations.

I have to agree with you. Street Sense is much better than Private Vow ever was.

eurobounce 01-16-2007 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Well this thread certainly took a turn for the worse. Haskin's list is pretty good IMO. And you'll be hard pressed to find a better trainer than Zito. You don't win the races he has because of luck. As for the decline in his career, it's very difficult to be a top 10 trainer every year when you don't have the starters that Lake, Asmussen or pletcher does. His career as a whole speaks for itself and anyone bad mouthing him is either looking for attention or a troll. Or both....

Haskins list is pretty good. I agree with you. Hard to argue with his list. Makes sense now, but I am sure it will change come April. And I think people have a right to bash Zito. Take a couple of years out of his career and he is a avg trainer at best.

slotdirt 01-16-2007 04:29 PM

Yeah, if by "couple" you mean those like 10 or 12 years where he was training Bird Town, Birdstone, Go for Gin, Louis Quatorze, Strike the Gold, Thirty Six Red, Bellamy Road, Sun King, Albert the Great and many others, he really was average.

eurobounce 01-16-2007 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
Yeah, if by "couple" you mean those like 10 or 12 years where he was training Bird Town, Birdstone, Go for Gin, Louis Quatorze, Strike the Gold, Thirty Six Red, Bellamy Road, Sun King, Albert the Great and many others, he really was average.

Bellamy Road and Sun King--are you serious. Take 1991 to 1996 out and you have a very avg trainer with an occassional good horse.

eurobounce 01-16-2007 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Why take a couple of years off of his career, because they were very successful? I always loved that line of thinking. In that case the opposite would be to take a couple of his less successful years and his career looks even better. Either way, this is ridiculous.

Pick any of his down years and his career is still avg. Face it, the man is a low life scum who is given more credit than he deserves--just my opinion of the so called man.

blackthroatedwind 01-16-2007 04:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Face it, the man is a low life scum who is given more credit than he deserves--just my opinion of the so called man.


The internet works well for you I see.

eurobounce 01-16-2007 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The internet works well for you I see.

I would tell that to his face and have many of times.

SentToStud 01-16-2007 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Pick any of his down years and his career is still avg. Face it, the man is a low life scum who is given more credit than he deserves--just my opinion of the so called man.

Before you were sounding trollish or attention seeking.

Now you just sound stupid.

Guy's horses have earned nearly $100 Million and he's in the Hall of Fame.

Won every TC race and, of course, the last two runnings of the FW Hooper (no mean feat!).

Sightseek 01-16-2007 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
Before you were sounding trollish or attention seeking.

Now you just sound stupid.

Guy's horses have earned nearly $100 Million and he's in the Hall of Fame.

Won every TC race and, of course, the last two runnings of the FW Hooper (no mean feat!).

Is it three consecutive Hooper's with Pies Prospect?

eurobounce 01-16-2007 04:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
Before you were sounding trollish or attention seeking.

Now you just sound stupid.

Guy's horses have earned nearly $100 Million and he's in the Hall of Fame.

Won every TC race and, of course, the last two runnings of the FW Hooper (no mean feat!).

How do you define nearly $100mm. From my research he is about $28mm from $100mm. That means he needs to train another 7 years before he reaches the 100mm mark.

Derby - 2-19
Preakness - 1-16
Belmonmt - 1 - 13

So 4 for 48 is not too bad but nothing to really get all excited about.

*NOTE: I believe these numbers are correct. If they, aren't please forgive me and give me the correct numbers.

SentToStud 01-16-2007 04:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
How do you define nearly $100mm. From my research he is about $28mm from $100mm. That means he needs to train another 7 years before he reaches the 100mm mark.

Derby - 2-19
Preakness - 1-16
Belmonmt - 1 - 13

So 4 for 48 is not too bad but nothing to really get all excited about.

*NOTE: I believe these numbers are correct. If they, aren't please forgive me and give me the correct numbers.

You're the only one getting excited.

I'm going to need to consult with my psychic advisor before any further replies to you.

GPK 01-16-2007 05:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
You're the only one getting excited.

I'm going to need to consult with my psychic advisor before any further replies to you.

B....do you use Dionne Warwick too??!!:eek:

SentToStud 01-16-2007 05:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by T3B
B....do you use Dionne Warwick too??!!:eek:

No way.

I use Mystic Zelda.

http://www.helpself.com/zelda1.htm?

GPK 01-16-2007 05:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
No way.

I use Mystic Zelda.

http://www.helpself.com/zelda1.htm?


"Wouldn't you like to have the same physical/sexual vigor and vitality you had 10-20 years ago?"

Sh*t....I'd settle for the same sexual vigor I had 2 years ago:o

Coach Pants 01-16-2007 05:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud

As far as I'm concerned, anyone who can train Anromedas Hero to earnngs of $800,000+ doesn't deserve to be in the Hall of Fame; he probably deserves to have his own wing.

That's strong!!

Knocking Zito is laughable. Great thread.

Coach Pants 01-16-2007 05:35 PM

Quote:

1) Street Sense — He's planning only two starts before the Derby—a one-turn race (possibly the grade II Hutcheson) and then the grade I Toyota Blue Grass.
No, no, no, no!!! What in the hell is going on with this?

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-16-2007 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
You're the only one getting excited.

I'm going to need to consult with my psychic advisor before any further replies to you.

so hes won the all of the tc races,,and the most coveted derby 2 times....yes he a total bust..lol..:D

Danzig 01-16-2007 08:08 PM

having a personal issue with someone is one thing, or not 'liking' them...but don't start writing fiction because of a FEELING. and they say women get emotional....

i mean, as a lifelong washington redskins fan, i automatically hated tom landry with all the passion of a youth. but the guy was a hell of a coach. to suggest otherwise would be laughable.

Scav 01-16-2007 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jax Cajun
I can't bash Zito, because he is who he is, but he has mishandled Sun King's career. This horse ran the two best races of his life in a 7F sprint and the Met Mile. So what does Nick do? Run him in the Classic at a mile and a 1/4.

You fail to realize that could have easily been an owners decision. Do you think Pletcher actually wanted to Keyed Entry in the Derby? um no

Danzig 01-16-2007 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
so hes won the all of the tc races,,and the most coveted derby 2 times....yes he a total bust..lol..:D

he should hang his head in shame...:rolleyes:

Danzig 01-16-2007 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jax Cajun
I can't bash Zito, because he is who he is, but he has mishandled Sun King's career. This horse ran the two best races of his life in a 7F sprint and the Met Mile. So what does Nick do? Run him in the Classic at a mile and a 1/4.


Winnings: 22 Starts: 6 - 4 - 5, $1,992,978

2004: 3rd BC Juvenile(G1,8.5F), Champagne S.(G1,8.5F)
2005: 1st Pennsylvania Derby(G2,9F), Tampa Bay Derby(G3,8.5F), Leonard Richards S.(G3,8.5F), 2nd Haskell H.(G1,9F), 3rd Jockey Club Gold Cup(G1,10F)

2006: 1st Commonwealth BCS.(G2,7F), 2nd Whitney H.(G1,9F), Metropolitan H.(G1,8F), Albert the Great S.(Bel,8.5F), 3rd Woodward S.(G1,9F)

lecasting 01-16-2007 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
You fail to realize that could have easily been an owners decision. Do you think Pletcher actually wanted to Keyed Entry in the Derby? um no

Without a doubt the owners have a lot of say. Any wonder why Sun King is not standing stud right now? Tracy Farmer loves to watch that horse run, so do I.

The Indomitable DrugS 01-17-2007 12:45 AM

Nice of Haskin to have 11 horses in his top 10.....and to include only 55 different horses in that write up. It must have painful to leave Tiago out.


In my opinion, you have six viable contenders as of right now. The top four of which are real elite contenders---you have a decent gap back to the 5th and 6th ranked contenders....and I believe you take a big step back after those two horses. You also have two sensationally talented horses, who are not viable contenders because they are lightly raced and wintering in Dubai. One of which (Day Pass) would also be quite doubtful to see out 10 furlongs against top company.

* My Elite 4 include:

Any Given Saturday, Nobiz Like Shobiz, Street Sense, and Tiz Wonderful.

* My two viable contenders who must further develop:

Great Hunter and Hard Spun.

* The two potential stars who I don't view as viable Derby candidates right now:

Day Pass and Minefield.

mark2061mn 01-17-2007 01:14 AM

My number one pick is the green tortoise!!

if rags to riches were a male, i'd give him a pretty big look, but she isn't, so i wont.

exhale did look really spectacular as well, and looked like he could run alot longer with no problem.

i think nobiz is overrated, but has a look. hard spun has a big look to me as well.

there is another horse that nobody mentions, but the name escapes me right now.

The Indomitable DrugS 01-17-2007 01:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
if rags to riches were a male, i'd give him a pretty big look, but she isn't, so i wont.

You just like her because she's an A.P. Indy half sibling to the immortal Jazil.

mark2061mn 01-17-2007 01:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
You just like her because she's an A.P. Indy half sibling to the immortal Jazil.


the ap indy part, yeah, that helps. you havent seen her win yet though, have you? her debut was pretty nice too, considering her pedigree and the distance (5.5 in june).

the other 3yo i like some is adore the gold. i havent heard what the plans are for him though.

lecasting 01-17-2007 07:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Nice of Haskin to have 11 horses in his top 10.....and to include only 55 different horses in that write up. It must have painful to leave Tiago out.


In my opinion, you have six viable contenders as of right now. The top four of which are real elite contenders---you have a decent gap back to the 5th and 6th ranked contenders....and I believe you take a big step back after those two horses. You also have two sensationally talented horses, who are not viable contenders because they are lightly raced and wintering in Dubai. One of which (Day Pass) would also be quite doubtful to see out 10 furlongs against top company.

* My Elite 4 include:

Any Given Saturday, Nobiz Like Shobiz, Street Sense, and Tiz Wonderful.

* My two viable contenders who must further develop:

Great Hunter and Hard Spun.

* The two potential stars who I don't view as viable Derby candidates right now:

Day Pass and Minefield.


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