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-   -   Admiral Alex in the Travers (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=37955)

blackthroatedwind 08-25-2010 10:48 PM

I never see people's avatars....I blocked them when I joined.

RockHardTen1985 08-25-2010 10:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 687858)
I never see people's avatars....I blocked them when I joined.


OK, well its a great pic of you.
I think they got your good side.

Indian Charlie 08-25-2010 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 687858)
I never see people's avatars....I blocked them when I joined.

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 687859)
OK, well its a great pic of you.
I think they got your good side.

You believed him?

RockHardTen1985 08-25-2010 11:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 687861)
You believed him?

He has a reputation in the Saratoga/Ballston Spa area as being an honest guy.

Coach Pants 08-25-2010 11:03 PM

...

RockHardTen1985 08-25-2010 11:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 687863)
...

You coming this weekend?
Who do you like?

Coach Pants 08-25-2010 11:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 687864)
You coming this weekend?
Who do you like?

Yeah I'm leaving on Friday.

I like Trappe Shot but it looks like McPalsy doesn't have the good stuff this meet.

blackthroatedwind 08-25-2010 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 687861)
You believed him?

I actually really don't see people's avatars. It's one of the first things I learned to block when I started going to message boards.

Later I started blocking posters.

RockHardTen1985 08-25-2010 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 687868)
Yeah I'm leaving on Friday.

I like Trappe Shot but it looks like McPalsy doesn't have the good stuff this meet.

I would not argue with anyone saying Trappe Shot is the most talented horse in here.

RockHardTen1985 08-25-2010 11:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 687869)
I actually really don't see people's avatars. It's one of the first things I learned to block when I started going to message boards.

Later I started blocking posters.

In this case, I feel even more special that Im not blocked.

Indian Charlie 08-25-2010 11:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 687869)
I actually really don't see people's avatars. It's one of the first things I learned to block when I started going to message boards.

Later I started blocking posters.

I stand corrected.

You'd think it would be the other way around though.

Indian Charlie 08-25-2010 11:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 687869)
I actually really don't see people's avatars. It's one of the first things I learned to block when I started going to message boards.

Later I started blocking posters.

I think you'd appreciate my new avatar, btw.

It's a picture of Archie Bunker, and I'm using it to pay homage to TFM.

Coach Pants 08-25-2010 11:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 687870)
I would not argue with anyone saying Trappe Shot is the most talented horse in here.

I'm using two horses. The other is Ice Box. Lezcano off is H-U-G-E

the_fat_man 08-25-2010 11:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 687870)
I would not argue with anyone saying Trappe Shot is the most talented horse in here.

What do you base that on?

randallscott35 08-25-2010 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 687877)
I'm using two horses. The other is Ice Box. Lezcano off is H-U-G-E

C'mon coach you know how this story ends

RockHardTen1985 08-25-2010 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 687878)
What do you base that on?


The lack of any brilliance. His huge Belmont win crushing a horse who has come back to run 2 triple digit beyers. His Monmouth races were strong losing to only the divisions leader while defeating at least 4 of these already. I'd say most raw talent is him or Afleet Express.

Coach Pants 08-25-2010 11:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 687880)
C'mon coach you know how this story ends

Yeah changing my mind and throwing him out and watching Leparoux move him wide down the stretch to a victory?

The Belmont there was no excuse. Last race it's well documented that Lezcano has been on another planet. Probably one of those new planets NASA is going to announce tomorrow. So throwing the last out and going back to Fla. Derby and Ky Derby if there is a slight improvement he has as good a shot as any.

And the price should be good.

richard 08-26-2010 01:10 AM

Admiral Alex, I salute you .

RockHardTen1985 08-26-2010 01:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 687886)
Yeah changing my mind and throwing him out and watching Leparoux move him wide down the stretch to a victory?

The Belmont there was no excuse. Last race it's well documented that Lezcano has been on another planet. Probably one of those new planets NASA is going to announce tomorrow. So throwing the last out and going back to Fla. Derby and Ky Derby if there is a slight improvement he has as good a shot as any.

And the price should be good.

Coach, as much as I have been against Ice Box, he is the one Im tossing Im most worried about. The pace could be swift and he might be running late.

the_fat_man 08-26-2010 07:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 687881)
The lack of any brilliance. His huge Belmont win crushing a horse who has come back to run 2 triple digit beyers. His Monmouth races were strong losing to only the divisions leader while defeating at least 4 of these already. I'd say most raw talent is him or Afleet Express.

He got a better trip last out than those also coming out of that race. Doutful he finishes 2nd if Bravo doesn't move prematurely on AA, leading to the collapse of the race. Now he's going 10F and will surely be forced to run at a critical point of the race, rather than last moving the field. No thanks.

miraja2 08-26-2010 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 687892)
Coach, as much as I have been against Ice Box, he is the one Im tossing Im most worried about. The pace could be swift and he might be running late.

He looks as if he might be one of those off-the-pace horses whose performance is relatively easy to predict. If you look at his last four races, they went fast early in the first two and he won one and finished a strong second in the other. The next two they didn't go fast early and he didn't do anything. That's obviously not surprising, given his running style, but he looks like he might be even more one-dimensional than many. Given the probable pace scenario here if there aren't any scratches, and a Zito off-the-pace exacta looks very possible to me.

randallscott35 08-26-2010 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 687886)
Yeah changing my mind and throwing him out and watching Leparoux move him wide down the stretch to a victory?

The Belmont there was no excuse. Last race it's well documented that Lezcano has been on another planet. Probably one of those new planets NASA is going to announce tomorrow. So throwing the last out and going back to Fla. Derby and Ky Derby if there is a slight improvement he has as good a shot as any.

And the price should be good.

Not what I meant. The story ends with Lezcano winning the Travers.

Coach Pants 08-26-2010 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 687922)
Not what I meant. The story ends with Lezcano winning the Travers.

He could be on Pegasus and f.uck it up. He's that bad.

randallscott35 08-26-2010 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 687923)
He could be on Pegasus and f.uck it up. He's that bad.

It is in the stars.

parsixfarms 08-26-2010 09:13 AM

Not that I think Admiral Alex is a probable winner of the Travers, but I don't recall in recent times a horse winning his debut in a two-turn dirt race and earning a higher figure than his 87. Am I forgetting someone?

Port Conway Lane 08-26-2010 09:16 AM

Czaravich ?

randallscott35 08-26-2010 09:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 687927)
Not that I think Admiral Alex is a probable winner of the Travers, but I don't recall in recent times a horse winning his debut in a two-turn dirt race and earning a higher figure than his 87. Am I forgetting someone?

Which signifies very little. Most horses don't run two turns on dirt to start their career therefore we'll never know....Affirmatif opened with a two turn 100 on the grass last spring.

RockHardTen1985 08-26-2010 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 687922)
Not what I meant. The story ends with Lezcano winning the Travers.

Fly Down started of as one of my mains, I just dont trust Lezcano and have not decided yet what to do with him.

parsixfarms 08-26-2010 10:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 687929)
Which signifies very little. Most horses don't run two turns on dirt to start their career therefore we'll never know....Affirmatif opened with a two turn 100 on the grass last spring.

I was aware of Affirmatif, and I'm also aware that it's not common for a horse to debut going two turns on dirt; that's why I posed the question that I did. Take any answer for what you think it's worth.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-26-2010 11:15 AM

Tapit ran a 90 Beyer when he won his debut at Delaware going two turns on dirt as a 2yo.

The Indomitable DrugS 08-26-2010 11:18 AM

Tale of the Cat won his debut by double digits with a 95 going 1 mile and 70 yards at MTH at age 3. Ran in the Haskell two starts later.

tjfla 08-26-2010 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2 (Post 687918)
He looks as if he might be one of those off-the-pace horses whose performance is relatively easy to predict. If you look at his last four races, they went fast early in the first two and he won one and finished a strong second in the other. The next two they didn't go fast early and he didn't do anything. That's obviously not surprising, given his running style, but he looks like he might be even more one-dimensional than many. Given the probable pace scenario here if there aren't any scratches, and a Zito off-the-pace exacta looks very possible to me.

To me the pace sets up alot better for Afleet Express more than it does Ice Box. Its gonna be a Belmont type pace as well as distance and we saw who finished 1/2/3 in that

parsixfarms 08-26-2010 12:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 688000)
Tale of the Cat won his debut by double digits with a 95 going 1 mile and 70 yards at MTH at age 3. Ran in the Haskell two starts later.

Thanks for both. That's a pair of nice horses,

Clip-Clop 08-26-2010 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 688000)
Tale of the Cat won his debut by double digits with a 95 going 1 mile and 70 yards at MTH at age 3. Ran in the Haskell two starts later.

That was a great crop.

miraja2 08-26-2010 03:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tjfla (Post 688012)
To me the pace sets up alot better for Afleet Express more than it does Ice Box. Its gonna be a Belmont type pace as well as distance and we saw who finished 1/2/3 in that

There is a pretty big difference between a 10f race and a 12f race.


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