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-   -   ARISTIDES: Fabulous Strike 'comes out'.. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13764)

Bobby Fischer 06-03-2007 07:40 AM

wasn't Strikes last 5f race at Mountaineer in about 57 seconds ?

Dunbar 06-03-2007 07:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles
115 Beyer.

And Cougar Cat got a 110.

--Dunbar

cmorioles 06-03-2007 10:12 AM

Whatever I decide to go with for a speed figure, and the Beyer is definitely in the ballpark, the pace figure will be much lower, about 16 points. In other words, the race was over very early.

I don't think anyone needed numbers to know that.

JJP 06-03-2007 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
The first 1/4 in 22.31 is a remarkably slow fraction at Churchill Downs for 6 furlongs, especially for that kind of race. Not disparaging the effort just pointing out how the race was over after that.

Exactly. Earlier in the day, older $20K fillies ran the opening quarter in 21 3/5.

10 pnt move up 06-03-2007 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles
Whatever I decide to go with for a speed figure, and the Beyer is definitely in the ballpark, the pace figure will be much lower, about 16 points. In other words, the race was over very early.

I don't think anyone needed numbers to know that.

dont sell your contemporaries short

SentToStud 06-05-2007 05:08 AM

Fabulous Strike ran fast but still hasn't won off anything close to a contested pace.

You'll never see a horse get a softer pace trip than he did this weekend.

The Indomitable DrugS 06-05-2007 05:28 AM

I agree that he won with yet another smoke and mirrors kind of trip.....but what more could he have done? It's his 4th straight stakes win, all with his ears pricked while never asked.

He is a tactically gifted horse...but like you say....he may not look like the greatest thing since sliced bread if he gets hooked by a couple inferior speed balls and is softened.

cmorioles 06-05-2007 05:55 AM

I will make the argument that FS was at best the co-most impressive 6f winner at CD last week, and probably only second best.

SentToStud 06-05-2007 06:41 AM

I like the horse. A lot. They've run thousands (tens of thousands?) of 6f races at Churchill and his is among the handful or less of fastest ever. And he can only beat what's thrown his way.

I'm looking forward to the Smile. I'd like to see him draw inside and take pace pressure. So far, he's run admirably when doing so but no more than just that. Personally, I'll be hoping he does so.

The Indomitable DrugS 06-05-2007 07:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles
I will make the argument that FS was at best the co-most impressive 6f winner at CD last week, and probably only second best.

I'm assuming you're talking about the two horses off of the 2nd and 3rd place finish to Go Bucky Go, who ran 111 and 110 Beyers at CD on Wednesday.

Really, with the kind of trip FS got---and knowing what kind of figures he has on the go back---there's almost nothing he could have done to be "impressive" when the race is put under the microscope.

He certainly has something in common with Street Sense---in that they've both managed to get four superb trips in a row (over a natural dirt surface in SS's case) and that is flat out rare....and as you know, the quality of competiton you get the trips against is something that is GIGANTICALLY overrated.

Consensus division leader Smokey Stover, had a dramatic string of bad luck comparable to the run of good luck that horses like SS and FS have been having. He was losing races against lesser horses at tracks like Turf Paradice and to a couple moderate horses in alw races at Del Mar.

When they finally put him in much tougher races, and he hooked some of the best sprinters in the country---he beat them because he simply didn't have the same kind of horrible trips he kept getting against much lesser horses.

I realize you know this...but I'm only saying this so the silly comments about class---and the silly comments about "good horses always have good trips" doesn't start back up.

cmorioles 06-05-2007 07:53 AM

I'm only talking about the winner. The horse was in last behind a pace very similar to that set by Fabulous Strike in the Aristides. Despite that, he was able to run down the pace setters and get up late in a time only .02 off that of FS.

The figure I gave him, 110, compares very favorably to the 113 I gave FS when you consider the trips each had.

The Bid 06-05-2007 08:37 AM

Benny the Bull is a really nice horse.

His number came back 111 with a 1 rag for his efforts against the Maggi Moss horse.

Bobby Fischer 06-05-2007 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles
I'm only talking about the winner. The horse was in last behind a pace very similar to that set by Fabulous Strike in the Aristides. Despite that, he was able to run down the pace setters and get up late in a time only .02 off that of FS.

The figure I gave him, 110, compares very favorably to the 113 I gave FS when you consider the trips each had.

What is the name of this horse for comparison?

cmorioles 06-05-2007 08:52 AM

Benny the Bull I believe. He has recently changed hands and appears to have really improved.

Bobby Fischer 06-05-2007 10:14 AM

thanks

King Glorious 06-05-2007 11:11 AM

I'm surprised that number came back as a 111 for Benny. The track seemed like the Bonneville Salt Flats that day. The other 6f race on the card went in 1:08.68 The 6.5f race went in 1:16.51 and the two 7f races went in 1:21.54 and 1:22.73

I feel that anytime u can have two sub 1:09's and a sub 1:22 on a card and it's not the Summit of Speed day at Calder, the track is playing crazy fast and the numbers mean a little less to me.

The Bid 06-05-2007 12:32 PM

No doubt about it the track was fast that day, but that was an exceptional run. Running against what seemed to be a slower opening quarter

The Bid 07-02-2007 08:17 AM

Benny the Bull, the horse that we touched on about a month ago came back in very impressive fashion in Iowa. He was in the Iowa Sprint stake and inhaled the field the last 16th. 110 for his effort, and the time was 108 and some change. I think he is a horse for us all to keep an eye on down the road. Hes now paired up his breakout performance at CHD, beating the Ronny Warner horse that ran second to fabulous strike pretty easily


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