Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Rags to Riches/Belmont try? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12667)

philcski 05-08-2007 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I have a strong feeling she may regress off the SA efforts when faced with a real horse race. IF she runs her race, it's all over, she will win by 3, but if she takes a step or two back and another takes a step forward, suddenly the event becomes a lot different.

Those eligible to move forward at a price (taking into account the mile and an eighth, pace, etc.): High Heels, Dreaming of Anna, Tough Tiz's Sis, Autobahn Girl, Sealy Hill.

Wow, this group did a lot of running. :rolleyes:
I tried too hard to beat a layup winner. Figured SOMEONE interesting would do some running, but it wasn't meant to be.

She ran great, and galloped out strong. Had nice seats at the clubhouse turn and she hardly looked winded.

Thoroughbred Fan 05-08-2007 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by witchdoctor
Wonder if that what the owners of Ruffian were thinking in her match race with Foolish pleasure?

The risk of breakdown is constant. Believe it or not horses even get cast in their stalls. They are fragile, but this is a sport. By definition it means to compete.

NTamm1215 05-08-2007 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
Exactly...Silverbulletday was considered equal to or superior to the 3yo colts, she tried the 1999 Belmont went off at 5-1 and finished a tired 7th! She had a good turn of speed and set the pace without being challenged...

Breeding wise it is hard to imagine Silverbulletday was better suited to the Belmont than Rags to Riches.

Silverbulletday, while an extremely nice filly, beat up on a lot of subpar fillies in the spring of '99. In the Belmont that year there was a pretty decent cast of characters, including Charismatic bidding for the Triple Crown. That was a fast running of the race and clearly Silverbulletday wanted no part of 1 1/2 miles.

NT

somerfrost 05-08-2007 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thoroughbred Fan
Somer stop being such a wuss. It seems racing can't make anyone happy. If horses dodge one another, we cry about not getting to see the matchups we want. Then ,if someone does something "sporting" (good word for it Cannon)you're already calling them dumb for trying.

She can clearly beat the fillies without a top effort. Racing doesn't need another filly who picks her spots to retire with a nearly pristine record (Azeri, Ashado, etc), they need something over the top. A big G1 win by a filly over males would be a huge boost to the sport. Either way, if she runs, I'll actually be rooting for Pletcher. I can't believe I just said that.

Who are you to call me names? I'm pointing out the facts and I'm every bit as much entitled to state my opinion as you or anyone else...I never called Pletcher "dumb", you don't win as many races as he has and be dumb, I merely stated my damn opinion and asked if maybe he's getting despirate for a classic win. I presented historical facts and even the PF's which indicate why he IS considering the race! Just cause I don't agree with your point of view, you call me a wuss...back at you, wimp!

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
Exactly...Silverbulletday was considered equal to or superior to the 3yo colts, she tried the 1999 Belmont went off at 5-1 and finished a tired 7th! She had a good turn of speed and set the pace without being challenged...

How did it hurt her?

philcski 05-08-2007 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I think that this is a pretty weak group of colts and very few have breeding that suggests that they will relish the distance. She has enough speed to get the right trip and will catch the best colts coming off of 2 hard efforts and coming back on short rest. If she loses then she can resume beating up on fillies in the Test/Alabama. Plus Pletcher will make his other owners happy by getting Octave a grade 1 win in the Acorn or Mother Goose without having to mess with Rags.

The problem is the two best colts both are bred to go the mile and a half and look like they will relish it.

The rest of them? Not so much.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by witchdoctor
Wonder if that what the owners of Ruffian were thinking in her match race with Foolish pleasure?

Do you think her leg broke because she was racing against a colt?

somerfrost 05-08-2007 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Do you think her leg broke because she was racing against a colt?

No, her leg may well have been injured coming out of the gate (there is some evidence that she struck the metal as the gate opened), it was a tragic event that I suspect had little to do with who she was racing against.

paisjpq 05-08-2007 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Her broodmare value is moot because there is only one guy who could afford her now other than her current owners and there is zero chance that Tabor and co. would let him have her.

But it would be a historic win if she won

I heard the lads will be offering her to the sheikhs at the end of the season as a peace offering:D

somerfrost 05-08-2007 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
How did it hurt her?


I don't know, you'd have to ask her! Seriously though, I think SBD was a good example of a filly that many thought was better than the colts (Charismatic was not that highly regarded going into the Derby) so her 7th place finish is an example of a top filly going against colts. I agree the breeding is different (SBD vs Rags), but the Belmont has a history of favoring speed types.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by paisjpq
I heard the lads will be offering her to the sheikhs at the end of the season as a peace offering:D

I'd like to be there for the handoff

ateamstupid 05-08-2007 05:38 PM

The question still hasn't been answered of where a better spot to try colts would be.

10 pnt move up 05-08-2007 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Wow, this group did a lot of running. :rolleyes:
I tried too hard to beat a layup winner. Figured SOMEONE interesting would do some running, but it wasn't meant to be.

She ran great, and galloped out strong. Had nice seats at the clubhouse turn and she hardly looked winded.

You stated a real horse race was the reason you did not like her, exactly what are the other filly races that where real horse races compared to the santa anita oaks, i just dont see it in this division this year.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
I don't know, you'd have to ask her! Seriously though, I think SBD was a good example of a filly that many thought was better than the colts (Charismatic was not that highly regarded going into the Derby) so her 7th place finish is an example of a top filly going against colts. I agree the breeding is different (SBD vs Rags), but the Belmont has a history of favoring speed types.

I know what you are saying but it would make a great storyline if SS loses the Preakness or even if he wins, it adds to the intrigue.

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
The question still hasn't been answered of where a better spot to try colts would be.

Ohio Derby

ateamstupid 05-08-2007 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Ohio Derby

No way.. Birdbirdistheword might show up there.

horseofcourse 05-08-2007 05:41 PM

All I know is if Street Sense beats Hard Spun in the Preakness in a very close race, and both of those show up in the Belmont with Rags to Riches that would be one of the greatest shows horse racing has ever put on.

somerfrost 05-08-2007 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Breeding wise it is hard to imagine Silverbulletday was better suited to the Belmont than Rags to Riches.

Silverbulletday, while an extremely nice filly, beat up on a lot of subpar fillies in the spring of '99. In the Belmont that year there was a pretty decent cast of characters, including Charismatic bidding for the Triple Crown. That was a fast running of the race and clearly Silverbulletday wanted no part of 1 1/2 miles.

NT

Silverbulletday was bred to get a distance though...Silver Deputy out of Rokeby Rose, she the daughter of Tom Rolfe (C,P) and he the son of Ribot (C,P), SBD's DP=6-1-9-0-6, DI=1.10, CD=0.05, that screams distance/stamina!

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
No way.. Birdbirdistheword might show up there.

I have no doubt that Birdbird could have kicked Cowtown cats ass in the Derby!!

philcski 05-08-2007 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up
You stated a real horse race was the reason you did not like her, exactly what are the other filly races that where real horse races compared to the santa anita oaks, i just dont see it in this division this year.

That was the point of busting my own balls. The 3YO fillies are horrifically bad this year...

but a great one runs next Friday ;)

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
Silverbulletday was bred to get a distance though...Silver Deputy out of Rokeby Rose, she the daughter of Tom Rolfe (C,P) and he the son of Ribot (C,P), SBD's DP=6-1-9-0-6, DI=1.10, CD=0.05, that screams distance/stamina!

Silver Deputy is not a 1 1/2 sire
awd of 17 crops 6.82 furlongs

paisjpq 05-08-2007 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Silver Deputy is not a 1 1/2 sire
awd of 17 crops 6.82 furlongs

I was just going to point this out....

Cannon Shell 05-08-2007 05:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by paisjpq
I was just going to point this out....

you are slipping....

somerfrost 05-08-2007 05:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Silver Deputy is not a 1 1/2 sire
awd of 17 crops 6.82 furlongs

I agree with that, but again...I'm one who believes that a horse gets stamina MAINLY through the dam...and that dam side is pretty solid...when was the last time you saw a top horse with six points in Professional catagory?

paisjpq 05-08-2007 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
you are slipping....

piss off... I'm sick

somerfrost 05-08-2007 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Silver Deputy is not a 1 1/2 sire
awd of 17 crops 6.82 furlongs

Roman has Silver Deputy's AWD at 7.85....

paisjpq 05-08-2007 06:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
Roman has Silver Deputy's AWD at 7.85....

that's (I believe) the average MAX winning distance...while the number chck gave is his overall ave. winning distance.

witchdoctor 05-08-2007 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Do you think her leg broke because she was racing against a colt?

No.
My point was these horses are not machines and there can be alot to lose.

ateamstupid 05-08-2007 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by witchdoctor
No.
My point was these horses are not machines and there can be alot to lose.

And the risk of her breaking down is greater against boys than against fillies?

GenuineRisk 05-08-2007 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bababooyee
Genuine Risk is one of my all-time favorite horses (and folks here ;) ), and I would really love to see R2R take on the boys in the Belmont. Maybe I am just a sucker for a good underdog type of story...

I'm with you. As bad as I want to see a Triple Crown winner while my knees are still young enough to take all the jumping up and down I'd be doing, it would be really cool to see a filly take the Belmont.

Scurlogue Champ 05-08-2007 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
Who are you to call me names? I'm pointing out the facts and I'm every bit as much entitled to state my opinion as you or anyone else...I never called Pletcher "dumb", you don't win as many races as he has and be dumb, I merely stated my damn opinion and asked if maybe he's getting despirate for a classic win. I presented historical facts and even the PF's which indicate why he IS considering the race! Just cause I don't agree with your point of view, you call me a wuss...back at you, wimp!


You aren't really entitled to your opinion here Somer....

Possibly slander here!!!!

somerfrost 05-08-2007 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moodwalker
You aren't really entitled to your opinion here Somer....

Possibly slander here!!!!


LOL...still smartin' from that beyer thread? Hey, it's not often that someone gives me the opportunity to call them a wimp! How can I pass that up?

AeWingnut 05-08-2007 07:48 PM

I think if a filly can set the pace against the colts she could wire. The boys won't want to pass her.

Scurlogue Champ 05-08-2007 07:49 PM

hahaha, I'm not smarting too bad. just worried about being served a summons.

I think I'll drop it, that last one was in bad taste.

Thoroughbred Fan 05-08-2007 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
LOL...still smartin' from that beyer thread? Hey, it's not often that someone gives me the opportunity to call them a wimp! How can I pass that up?

I give you kudos for the retort and not crying to mods to have this taken down. The real point was not to demean you in any way personally, but rather to poke a stick at your conservative approach.

The very best stock is unfortunately owned by a small group of people. These people, ass was stated, are the only ones who can afford what she hass already become. They will not let her pass into the others hands and frequently race therir own well-bred stock. The financial up/downside to them is really minimal.

I would applaud them for taking a chance on where they enter. Believe me, if this were a colt they would likely take your conservative approach.

I hope she runs!

Danzig 05-08-2007 09:11 PM

it's a shame that whenever it's mentioned that a filly might face off against colts, ruffian is brought up by someone!

why not mention genuine risk, or ouija board? lady's secret? winning colors?

as tho the fact ruffian was facing a colt somehow increased the odds of a breakdown. how ridiculous--so much for using your head, emotional responses are always so much more interesting.:rolleyes:

somerfrost 05-08-2007 10:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
it's a shame that whenever it's mentioned that a filly might face off against colts, ruffian is brought up by someone!

why not mention genuine risk, or ouija board? lady's secret? winning colors?

as tho the fact ruffian was facing a colt somehow increased the odds of a breakdown. how ridiculous--so much for using your head, emotional responses are always so much more interesting.:rolleyes:


I agree with that for the most part, when Go For Wand broke down it was a bit ironic (as well as very tragic) because she had been considered for the BCC and the owners opted for what they thought was a "softer" spot...unfortunately, they couldn't forsee what turned out to be a head-to-head duel all around the track with a talented and tough as nails older filly! The concern is always that when champion horses exert to the max they will run through warning pain often with tragic results, 12 furlongs will require max effort for this filly...I'm sorry but I'd wait for another spot!

ateamstupid 05-08-2007 10:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by somerfrost
I agree with that for the most part, when Go For Wand broke down it was a bit ironic (as well as very tragic) because she had been considered for the BCC and the owners opted for what they thought was a "softer" spot...unfortunately, they couldn't forsee what turned out to be a head-to-head duel all around the track with a talented and tough as nails older filly! The concern is always that when champion horses exert to the max they will run through warning pain often with tragic results, 12 furlongs will require max effort for this filly...I'm sorry but I'd wait for another spot!

Still waiting for that other spot.

King Glorious 05-08-2007 11:03 PM

The time to do it was in the SA Derby. That was a golden opportunity. The next best time to do it will be after the TC in the Haskell or WV Derby. Something like that after the TC has watered down the ranks. Or in a race like the Ohio Derby. The Kentucky Derby would have been the shot at immortality. Not the Belmont. The Belmont is an irrelevant race nowdays. What would she prove by winning it? That she's the best 12f 3yo in the country? Who cares? I would rather prove that I'm competitive with the best 3yo's at a distance that matters. I would not run in the Belmont.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:02 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.