Derby Trail Forums - 4/27: Official Hollywood Carryover Thread

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- - 4/27: Official Hollywood Carryover Thread (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12421)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

2 tickets

4)1,6,8,10
5)6
6)3,5,8,9
7)1,3,5
8)2
9)3,7,8

Longshot ticket
4)4,8
5)7
6)3,9
7)5,6
8)2
9)3,9

Root,
I see you included the 9 in both your pick 6 tickets for race #6.
What's your angle here?
I don't see anything to think he'll like the turf.

This is my late pick 4 wager

Leg C - 2-3-4-9
Leg D - 1-2-3-4-7
Leg E - 2-3-4
Leg F - 2-3-10

$180

I like the 7 in here at a price. Has moved up significantly since moving to the lawn and gelded, has made a nice move midstretch the last two and just missed. At 13-1 he's worth a gamble.

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski

I like the 7 in here at a price. Has moved up significantly since moving to the lawn and gelded, has made a nice move midstretch the last two and just missed. At 13-1 he's worth a gamble.

I would have to agree with your analysis. Any of these horses could win this race. It is a very very evenly matched field.

pick 4
3,5,7
3,5
1,3,6
2,7,10

Taking a leap of faith here.

$1 Pick 4

6) 2,3,4,8,9
7) 2,4
8) 2
9) 7,8,10

$30

come on 5...think he got it

You could have given me $5000 and there is no way i would have had the 6--3-5 combo so far in the pick 6.

here is my pk4

3,5,8,9
1,3,5,6
1,2
3,7,8

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants

pick 4
3,5,7
3,5
1,3,6
2,7,10

Good luck pillow. I am so cheering for you. Great job.

What is the possibility of a three day carryover?

Nice work PP! half way home

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

4. Tough Maiden race – I will probably wait to see who is getting bet on the board and might change these around if some of the firsters are live.
#1 Mystery Hunter 5-1 The March 29 drill BREEZING out of the gate seals the deal for me
#10 Oscar The Mayor 4-1 Gosh I hate using Mulhall at all, much less a first timer. Owner trainer combo is respectable though, and this one is training well.
#6 Silver Stetson Man 9-2 Not sold here….but use out of fear. No 6f drills and only the last two are the typical Baffert style
#4 Southern Man 12-1 Speedy, Fit and now on home track. Like better then Frank

5. To single or not single…..that is the question.
#6 Chanel My Belle 2-1 May have to single and pray. If she comes close to repeating last effort she crushes these. Love that one was at 6.5f and she can stay right off the #4 and take over turning for home. Bred for Turf/Dirt, which does well on All Weather.
#4 It’s Another Story 3-1 Speed of the speed, but not sure she can hold on stretching out from 5.5 to 6.5f
#7 Catblewbyu 12-1 Will be close enough to the first group and could be the only one left standing at the wire.
#3 Happy Celyna 6-1 This will go off closer to 10-1 and could plod along in time if the race falls apart with the 6,4,8 going psycho up front.

6. Most difficult race of the night – Tough One Part 1
#3 Legate 9-2
#5 Repetoire 8-1 Can stalk the quick pace and while lacks a real closing kick may just need to pick up the pieces.
#9 Fortunate Victory 15-1 His dam has dropped a turf winner and a stakes winner, and this one is fit and has the tactical speed to be close enough.
#8 Isipingo 6-1 Great first time out and poor effort going 9f last time. Espinoza gets off, not good, but I can’t help but think if Baze can keep this one off the pace and come with one run he may surprise.

7. Another Tough One Part 2

#3 Watch Me Win 5-2 Nice, but no lock
#5 Awesome Beginning 8-1 Back class and speed figs, and check out that April 21st drill……
#1 Silber 5-1 Will get a bigger price and not sure about this one. By Bertando, should take to the surface. Just hope the race sets up for her.
#6 So Happy Together 30-1 Interesting price play - never run this low and if regains form close to last spring she could really rock the boat.

8. Another Tough One Part 3

#2 Really Indian 3-1
#3 Mister T 6-1
#1 Entry
#4 St. Chrisjon

9. Another Tough One Part 4

#8 Stompin Gia 7-2 scratched at SA a bit back to race on the all weather here
#3 Chestnut Chips 15-1 Sneaky Trainer and LOVE the work pattern.
#7 Fleur De Lune 4-1 6yr old will love the added dist and will be around late
#9 Leith Code 12-1

Ticket (awaiting changes)
4)
5)
6)
7)
8)
9)

Man....if I only had the cash half way through I had them

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

2.3 mil carryover?

Well it wouldnt be 2.3 mm. They would have to take their cut and pay out to 5 of 6. I would say that there could be a 1mm carryover.

Thanks whod.

Not sure about a 3 day carryover. The 5 stuck out on ultimates. At least to me it did.

With that 5 coming in in the 6th, I think the odds are greatly enhanced that there will be a carryover...

ALostTexan

Totally zoned out on the 5....
Oh well...
Nice hit for those who included him in the pk 4.
Get chalk the rest of the way and it will still pay sweet.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

Man....if I only had the cash half way through I had them

You would be sitting pretty. I think if we see another $30 dollar winner we are going to have a three day carryover.

Quote:

Originally Posted by whodey17

Well it wouldnt be 2.3 mm. They would have to take their cut and pay out to 5 of 6. I would say that there could be a 1mm carryover.

I stand corrected Whodey, that's more like it....long day:o

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants

Thanks whod.

Not sure about a 3 day carryover. The 5 stuck out on ultimates. At least to me it did.

You are prob correct. You never know. The 6-3-5 combo so far was tough to have. The pick 3 paid $796.70. That tells you tough it was.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

here is my pk4

3,5,8,9
1,3,5,6
1,2
3,7,8

Again, missed the tri even though I clearly loved the first 3 finishers....$1,900 for a $1

I really like where I am in the pk4........Good Luck Pillow

Played a pk3 as well

6)3,5,8,9
7)1,3,5,6
8)2

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

I stand corrected Whodey, that's more like it....long day:o

Very long day. I have taken a beaten today. I have exhausted my gambling funds that I have been wagering with since Jan. I actually have to take a few days off (unless there is a 3 day carryover). The Derby and then the Preakness for me.

Quote:

Originally Posted by whodey17

You are prob correct. You never know. The 6-3-5 combo so far was tought to have. The pick 3 paid $796.70. That tells you tought it was.

I just hope this pick 4 comes home for me. :D

Ok--Root and Pillow, good luck guys. To see if I have this correct:

Root you have the following left:
1,3,5,6
1,2
3,7,8

Pillow you have the following left:
3,5
1,3,6
2,7,10

Ok you guys need the 3 or 5; 1; 7 so you both can hit it.

Awesome...i am pumped for you two.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants

pick 4
3,5,7
3,5
1,3,6
2,7,10

So, we can both hit this if these win.....
7)3 or 5
8)1
9)7

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

So, we can both hit this if these win.....
7)3 or 5
8)1
9)7

That is how I see it as well. Lets go you two.

time to cover the pk4

4,5,6
1,2,4
3,8,9
$27

Well i am down so much, what is another $96 for me. I had to actually deposit money into my TVG account via debit card

Leg A - all
Leg B - 5-6-7-8
Leg C - 1-2-10

Unreal. Either A) there is only one ticket alive or 2) we are looking at another carryover. This is unreal.

Cushion Track can get ****ed for all I care.

MOTHER FU**** need a carryover, actually maybe someone needs to hit it so I dont dump another $300 into this damn thing

That 8 was impossible. I have no idea how anyone could still be alive at this point.

Root--do you really think there is a ticket alive out there? I got lucky in the pick 3 but my heart goes out to you two.

i got a better chance picking winners at Australia B then picking winners from this F#cking card

there has to be a carryover bomb after bomb

-bt-

I used four horses and didnt have any of the top 3 finishers.....freaken amazing. Test that horse.