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Stud they DON'T run as many miles as you would think at the highest level. They run the Gotham(other than Easy Goer, three year olds don't approach that mark that early in the season, and yes I remember the day EAsy Goer ran his race and the track was just as fast, if not faster). The Westchester is run each year, but thats not a grade one and doesn't draw grade one milers. The only big mile race thats run at Aqueduct for elders is the Cigar, formerly the NYRA mile. |
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I'm not at all in any way demeaning DC's performance by stating this. I just happen to get sick to my stomach when they make a track so fast as they did on Saturday. It makes it so very hard to gauge performances. I wanted to post a " this is why Nobiz got all the media hype" thread in regards to his Champagne that you and I both gushed over and said he was the better horse. But my enthusiam about him, though still very high, was tempered by the fact that I dunno what he proved either. He loped behind moderate fractions and hit them with a burst of speed that on a track like that is gonna win you the race. I'd have liked it a lot better had the track been honest and he had done the same thing. I still think hes the goods, but have to wait until spring to confirm it in my mind now. |
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My bitterness about that track stemmed from the 3rd race. I didn't play much Meadowlands this year because I've told you I'm not a nighttime bettor. But one Saturday night I played a big pik-3 and needed Bark Dust at 3-5 to wrap it up. It was a 5 1/2 furlong race and he was putrid, being defeated with no excuses by a Charles Town shipper, I **** you not. To watch him go 7F in 1:21:4 wire to wire, well, that was an indication to me that the track was so incredibly fast as to be stupid. Look at his pp's, can't beat a CT shipper at the Meadowlands with no excuses in a 5 1/2 furlong race yet he can go 7F on Saturday in 1:21:4? Please. At that point times became irrelevant to me on that card, all you could do is base evaluation of winners on the way they accomplished the win. |
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Honestly, I think they lowballed this Beyer. I got a 129 on my figures (highest of the year.) That's about a 121 Beyer equivalent. The other races fell in line with this number, the winner/2nd/3rd was +- 2 lengths of their last at this number. In the Cigar itself, even Sharp Humor ran back dead on to his last even though he was beaten 13 lengths. Does anybody know what they gave the Demoiselle winner? I got the figure I had in my mind going in and once again, it was terrible. This is one awful group of 2YO fillies. |
The Westchester is the opening day feature at Belmont and has been for quite a few years now. Najran ( I think that's his name) set a track record in winning it a few years ago.
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I do not post to get a reaction. I am too old for that. I post because of something I feel like saying. And I dont think I waver on anything. Sure, maybe I have changed my mind after someone points something out to me that I havent thought of. But if you can find something that I have wavered on then show me. Other than that, I post what I think and feel. |
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OK, reality check time, as apparently there are so few good horses these days that when a nice one comes along the whole world seems poised to declare him the second coming. Discreet Cat is a very nice horse but people are getting seriously carried away.
Here's a comparison.....Congaree was a VERY good horse, but I don't know that he was perceived with the reverance Discreet Cat seems to be receiving here, and at least one of his Cigar Mile wins was more impressive than Discreet Cat's. Now, Discreet Cat may improve, as he certainly hasn't had an extensive campaign, but who knows how ANY horse will return from Dubai. A few days ago Bernardini was the greatest thing since sliced bred, at least according to a number of people here, despite not running faster than many of the top horses we have seen over the last quarter century. People were talking about his beautiful stride, the ease with which he won, and blah blah blah. Then, you know what happened? he faced a competitive field. Suddenly he was just another good horse who lost to another good horse. Let the horses REALLY do the talking. Appreciate them for what they are but stop setting them up to disappoint. Discreet Cat could, and well may, lose to another good horse, should one hopefully come along. It won't diminish his actual ability, just as Invasor's BC win didn't diminish Bernardini's, only the unreal expectations and accolades placed upon him. |
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Watch out, in speaking with reality you are gonna get hit with a "hater" response. I sure did. Congaree and Holy Bull are the two most underrated horses of my lifetime. Congaree's Cigar performance was as incredible, one of the best three performances I ever saw. |
We have several good horses and I think we should enjoy them without over analyzing. There were so many good performances over the weekend. Tiz Wonderful, No Biz Like Show Biz, Discreet Cat, Premium Tap, Showing Up, Deep Impact etc etc....I know I left out a couple. Anyway, it was sure fun watching these horses race and win. Sometimes it is good to be just a fan and not a gambler or owner.
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I'm going to go out on a limb and say that Discreet Cat's last race will be the World Cup. Seems like the Sheikhs plan is to slowly, but surely, control the breeding industry. |
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See, THAT is why I prefer the Sir Tyler T's of the world. Not fast, but they show up over....and over.....and over....you get the point. If they're too good to run at Aqueduct in February I'll pass! |
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I also think that many people are catching the "potential" bug and that is not only contageous but also an easy target for critisizm. Eric |
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I was told I was "talking down" to people when I asked if I was the only one who had seen the undercard. Nonsense. I simply couldn't believe the gushing over the raw time and honestly felt like people must not have seen the undercard and realized how fast the track was playing. That doesn't mean I didn't appreciate the effort, or the horse. But a few folks jumped the gun on the raw time in their excitement over the horse, and I think all times or races have to be viewed in the proper context. When Bark Dust and Mister Supremo go 7F in 1:21:4 on the same card and track, any references to time, short of a shattering of a track record to me become a small issue. Different people view races and horses in different ways, exactly as you suggest. To me, Premium's Tap effort was just as worthy of praise. Running back on short rest off a big race he not only toyed with the field, but did so in a manner that would suggest a huge breakthrough race and that he is really in incredible shape and form. The fact that he didn't tie a track record on a track that wasn't playing that fast doesn't get him as much hype as DC's race did due to the raw time. I'm not saying it was a better effort, but certainly in the same league and was worthy of more hype than it got. Thor's Echo's race was also awesme and will get a HUGE fig on a track that was playing pretty slow on the undercard. |
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