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-   -   TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL: Probables/Possibles (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=63955)

Kasept 03-30-2018 02:19 PM

WOOD MEMORIAL (Current)

Enticed (Kiaran McLaughlin)
Evaluator (Michael Dilger)
Firenze Fire (Jason Servis)
King Zachary (Dale Romans)
Marconi (Todd Pletcher)
Old Time Revival (Kenneth Decker)
Solomini (Bob Baffert)
Vino Rosso (Pletcher)

Possible:

American Lincoln (Linda Rice)
California Night (Mike Maker)
Kanthaka (Jerry Hollendorfer

cakes44 03-30-2018 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1107359)
WOOD MEMORIAL (Current)

Enticed (Kiaran McLaughlin)
Evaluator (Michael Dilger)
Firenze Fire (Jason Servis)
King Zachary (Dale Romans)
Marconi (Todd Pletcher)
Old Time Revival (Kenneth Decker)
Solomini (Bob Baffert)
Vino Rosso (Pletcher)

Possible:

American Lincoln (Linda Rice)
California Night (Mike Maker)
Kanthaka (Jerry Hollendorfer

Would be a smart move for Hollendorfer IMO.

RHT2004 03-30-2018 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1107397)
Would be a smart move for Hollendorfer IMO.

To ship and be the 5th most likely winner?

richard burch 03-30-2018 11:35 PM

I got no feeling whatsoever with these horses so far. Really feeling a long shot in the K.D. this year.;)

Kasept 03-31-2018 07:14 PM

McKinzie defection opens up door(s) in SA Derby..


Bolt d'Oro (Ruis)
Justify (Baffert) ~ Possible pending Monday work..
Instilled Regard (Hollendorfer)
Shivermetimbers (Hollendorfer)
Ayacara (Desormeaux)
Pepe Tono (Garcia)

knickslions2 03-31-2018 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1107518)
McKinzie defection opens up door(s) in SA Derby..


Bolt d'Oro (Ruis)
Justify (Baffert) ~ Possible pending Monday work..
Instilled Regard (Hollendorfer)
Shivermetimbers (Hollendorfer)
Ayacara (Desormeaux)
Pepe Tono (Garcia)

Wonder if McKinzie will be in the derby now???

cakes44 03-31-2018 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1107405)
To ship and be the 5th most likely winner?

No killers in that group.

RHT2004 03-31-2018 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1107520)
No killers in that group.

I agree. He feels like a sprinter to me though. I think he would be 5th or 6th most likely winner based on the probables.

cakes44 04-01-2018 08:31 AM

Possibly 5th or 6th most likely to win, but maybe most likely clunk up for 3rd, which would probably get him in the derby. Better than trying Justify and BDO, where you ain’t finishing 1st or 2nd, so you’re dealing with a bunch of other horses just trying to suck up for 3rd as well. Just my opinion.

cakes44 04-01-2018 08:32 AM

And I agree that he’s a 7f-1M horse, and maybe a very good one.

Kasept 04-03-2018 11:03 AM

4/7/18 ~ Blue Grass (1 1/8M) Keeneland (100-40-20-10)

1.) Zing Zang (Bridgmohan/Asmussen) 30-1
2.) Sporting Chance (Saez/Lukas) 10-1
3.) California Night (Gaffalione/Maker) 30-1
4.) Kanthaka (Leparoux/Hollendorfer) 10-1
-- Quip SCR
6.) Marconi (R. Moore/Pletcher) 15-1
7.) Blended Citizen (Frey/O'Neill) 15-1
8.) Gotta Go (Landeros/Wilkes) 30-1
9.) Tiz Mischief (Lanerie/Romans) 30-1
10.) Free Drop Billy (I. Ortiz/Romans) 5-1
11.) Good Magic (J. Ortiz/Brown) 2-1
12.) Flameaway (Lezcano/Casse) 6-1
13.) Machismo (Radosevich/Quartarolo) 20-1
14.) Arawak (Cruz/O'Neill) 30-1
15.) Determinant

Kitan 04-03-2018 02:32 PM

Was able to snap a close-up of Mendelssohn in the parade ring. Beautiful animal.


Kasept 04-04-2018 09:39 AM

WOOD MEMORIAL

Current field.. Machismo NOT coming now..

Enticed (Junior Alvarado)
Evaluator (Kendrick Carmouche)
Firenze Fire (Manny Franco)
Heartfullofstars (Dylan Davis)
King Zachary (Robby Albarado)
Old Time Revival (Jeremy Rose)
Restoring Hope (Flavien Prat)
Vino Rosso (John Velazquez)

Possible..

American Lincoln (Rice)
National Flag (Pletcher)

Dunbar 04-06-2018 06:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1107585)
4/7/18 ~ Blue Grass (1 1/8M) Keeneland (100-40-20-10)

1.) Zing Zang (Bridgmohan/Asmussen) 30-1
2.) Sporting Chance (Saez/Lukas) 10-1
3.) California Night (Gaffalione/Maker) 30-1
4.) Kanthaka (Leparoux/Hollendorfer) 10-1
5.) Quip (Geroux/Brisset) 6-1
6.) Marconi (R. Moore/Pletcher) 15-1
7.) Blended Citizen (Frey/O'Neill) 15-1
8.) Gotta Go (Landeros/Wilkes) 30-1
9.) Tiz Mischief (Lanerie/Romans) 30-1
10.) Free Drop Billy (I. Ortiz/Romans) 5-1
11.) Good Magic (J. Ortiz/Brown) 2-1
12.) Flameaway (Lezcano/Casse) 6-1
13.) Machismo (Radosevich/Quartarolo) 20-1 ~ Will cross enter Wood and decide..
14.) Arawak (Cruz/O'Neill) 30-1
15.) AE-Determinant ~ Running Friday in Transylvania..

Quip is going to Arkansas Derby instead. Determinant draws into Blue Grass. (Bloodhorse)

cakes44 04-06-2018 06:11 PM

I think Baffert sending Restoring Hope to the Wood probably says enough about the race.

The fact that he’ll be under 5-1...

taxicab 04-07-2018 12:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1107697)
I think Baffert sending Restoring Hope to the Wood probably says enough about the race.

The fact that he’ll be under 5-1...

I think Restoring Hope is a good play Saturday.
He looked outstanding in his work the other day.
He's getting good in a hurry.....


https://www.xbtv.com/video/solomini-...pril-2nd-2018/

Kasept 04-08-2018 06:34 AM

1. Good Magic 134 (e Five Racing & Stonestreet Stables) Chad Brown/$1,838,400
2. Audible 110 (China Horse Club, Head of Plains, Starlight Racing & WinStar Farm) Todd Pletcher/$803,520
3. Noble Indy 110 (WinStar Farm & Repole Stable) Todd Pletcher/$640,000
4. Vino Rosso 107 (Repole Stable & St. Elias Stable) Todd Pletcher/$572,500
5. Bolt d’Oro 104 (Ruis Racing) Mick Ruis/$980,000
6. Enticed 103 (Godolphin Racing) Kiaran McLaughlin/$545,880
7. Mendelssohn 100 (Derrick Smith, Mrs. John Magnier & Michael Tabor) Aidan O’Brien/$1,947,299
8. Justify 100 (China Horse Club, Head of Plains, Starlight Racing & WinStar Farm) Bob Baffert/$600,000
9. $-Flameaway 70 (John C. Oxley) Mark Casse/$672,260
10. Bravazo 54 (Calumet Farm) D. Wayne Lukas/$359,913
11. Promises Fulfilled 52 (Robert J. Baron) Dale Romans/$266,480
12. Magnum Moon 50 (Lawana L. & Robert E. Low) Todd Pletcher/$540,000 ~ AR Derby
13. $-Runaway Ghost 50 (Joe Peacock) Todd Fincher/$520,310
14. Quip 50 (WinStar Farm, China Horse Club & SF Racing) Rodolphe Brisset/$212,000 ~ AR Derby
15. Free Drop Billy 44 (Albaugh Family Stables) Dale Romans/$597,200
16. Lone Sailor 42 (G M B Racing) Tom Amoss/$273,347
— f-Rayya 40 (Sheikh Rashid Bin Humaid Al Nuaimi) Bob Baffert/$600,000
17. Hofburg 40 (Juddmonte Farms) Bill Mott/$192,000
18. Firenze Fire 39 (Mr. Amore Stable) Jason Servis/$647,500
19. Solomini 34 (Zayat Stables, Mrs. John Magnier, Michael B. Tabor & Derrick Smith) Bob Baffert/$616,000 ~ AR Derby
< 20. Gronkowski (Phoenix Thoroughbred) Jeremy Noseda/$79,496
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
21. My Boy Jack 32 (Don’t Tell My Wife Stables & Monomoy Stables) Keith Desormeaux/$502,000 ~ AR Derby/Lexington
22. Instilled Regard 29 (Oxo Equine) Jerry Hollendorfer/$246,000
23. Snapper Sinclair 22 (Bloom Racing Stable) Steve Asmussen/$321,810
24. Combatant 22 (Winchell Thoroughbreds & Willis Horton Racing) Steve Asmussen/$300,000 ~ AR Derby
25. $-Blended Citizen 22 (Greg Hall & SAYJAY Racing) Doug O’Neill/$159,644
26. Reride 20 (Winchell Thoroughbreds) Steve Asmussen/$298,000
27. Dream Baby Dream 20 (Dream Baby Dream Racing Stable) Steve Asmussen/$176,000 ~ AR Derby
27. Restoring Hope 20 (Gary & Mary West) Bob Baffert /$100,000
28. Old Time Revival 20 (Fred Brei) Kenneth Decker /$100,000
29. Sporting Chance 12 (Robert C. Baker & William L. Mack) D. Wayne Lukas /$337,000
30. Givemeaminit 12 (Valene Farms) Dallas Stewart / $196,000
31. Greyvitos 10 (Triple B Farms) Adam Kitchingman /$300,000 ~ Lexington
32. Pony Up 8 (Calumet Farm) Todd Pletcher/ $81,580
33. Title Ready 5 (Charles E. Fipke) Steve Asmussen /$45,000 ~ AR Derby
34. City Plan 4 (Godolphin Racing ) Eoin Harty /$67,345

tector 04-08-2018 11:29 AM

I like My Boy Jack a bit, but unless they have given up on the Derby he has to go to Oaklawn. His running style is not often favored at KEE, and on the reduced points in the Lexington he would have to win to be in. In the AD a second would do.

I am looking for quality closers at a price in this Derby.

Kasept 04-08-2018 06:10 PM

Arkansas Derby (As of Sunday): Beautiful Shot, Combatant, Dream Baby Dream, Magnum Moon, Quip, Solomini, Tenfold.

Merlinsky 04-08-2018 10:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1107857)
Arkansas Derby (As of Sunday): Beautiful Shot, Combatant, Dream Baby Dream, Magnum Moon, Quip, Solomini, Tenfold.

Tenfold's another Curlin? And Combatant's another Scat Daddy? It's been quite a year for both on the Derby trail, and it's only April. Just makes you all the more disgusted that we lost Scat Daddy so young. Thrilled for Curlin to have all this success. He really earned his way and they believed in and supported him. Quite an accomplishment. I realize these two colts are unlikely to get in the KD field, it's just that it's a testament to the embarrassment of riches we've got going on with both stallions' offspring so far.


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