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-   -   Met Mile, other stakes moved to Belmont Day (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=53135)

NTamm1215 03-02-2014 07:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz (Post 967983)
i can understand the other sides argument that you are moving a heavy handle race to a day that doesn't need a y help with handle..it does create a horseplayers wet dream but at the cost of another day that will now be on life support...

Memorial Day at Belmont is now on life support? That couldn't be farther from the truth.

RockHardTen1985 03-02-2014 09:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 967986)
Memorial Day at Belmont is now on life support? That couldn't be farther from the truth.

Those new turf races should get gigantic fields.

tanner12oz 03-03-2014 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stickhorse (Post 964962)
So my wagering will probably only be made on Belmont Day now instead of both Belmont and Memorial Day.

ya really think he's the only one skipping memorial day for the super Belmont? life support may be a little strong but memorial day is going to resemble more like your average weekday then the met mile days of old...just my opinion of course...only so many wagering dollars to go around

blackthroatedwind 03-03-2014 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tanner12oz (Post 968012)
ya really think he's the only one skipping memorial day for the super Belmont? life support may be a little strong but memorial day is going to resemble more like your average weekday then the met mile days of old...just my opinion of course...only so many wagering dollars to go around

Can you give me the handle for Memorial Day over the last, say, ten years please. Then, give me the average weekday handle at Belmont for that time of year. Thanks in advance.

Cannon Shell 03-03-2014 03:08 PM

http://www.drf.com/news/aqueduct-nyr...-gotham-stakes

Not sure why this is newsworthy but this one line made me smile

"Kay said he was sick, feeling the effects of what he said has been a vigorous work schedule that “took its toll. [Saturday], I got up and felt awful. I certainly intended to be there to present the trophy."

pmayjr 03-03-2014 11:15 PM

Here's the thing- The Met being on Memorial Day/Memorial weekend: I think people's family/friend/work plans dictate whether they have time to go to Belmont/simulcast regardless if the Met Mile is happening or not.

So I don't see how there would be THAT much of drop-off in handle/attendance that weekend, because holiday weekend plans are holiday weekend plans. I mean sure, a big G1 race like that can only help those numbers, but I don't think the impact is that big.

ranger5830 03-04-2014 03:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 968019)
Can you give me the handle for Memorial Day over the last, say, ten years please. Then, give me the average weekday handle at Belmont for that time of year. Thanks in advance.

Here you go, the average handle for the last ten Memorial Day cards at BEL is $15,057,854.10, ranging from a low of $13,046,747 in 2011 to a high of $17,127,488 back in '04. The average handle for the race day following Memorial Day (usually Thursday but they did run on Wednesday once) is $7, 283,730.10 ranging from $5,634,793 in '12 to $10,123,254 in '07 ($262k pick six carryover that day tho)

To say it will be like a regular weekday is obviously hyperbole, but if you were to set the over/under total handle at $15 million, I would take the under.

Danzig 03-04-2014 06:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ranger5830 (Post 968071)
Here you go, the average handle for the last ten Memorial Day cards at BEL is $15,057,854.10, ranging from a low of $13,046,747 in 2011 to a high of $17,127,488 back in '04. The average handle for the race day following Memorial Day (usually Thursday but they did run on Wednesday once) is $7, 283,730.10 ranging from $5,634,793 in '12 to $10,123,254 in '07 ($262k pick six carryover that day tho)

To say it will be like a regular weekday is obviously hyperbole, but if you were to set the over/under total handle at $15 million, I would take the under.

so...memorial average is double the daily average, but being the brave soul, you'd take the under.

who can argue with that? :rolleyes:

ranger5830 03-04-2014 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 968074)
so...memorial average is double the daily average, but being the brave soul, you'd take the under.

who can argue with that? :rolleyes:

Sorry if I wasn't clear, I was saying that this year's Memorial Day handle would be under $15 mil, as that was what the discussion was about, whether taking the Met Mile off the Memorial Day card would significantly impact handle. Five of the last 10 years they've handled over $15 million, four times they've gone over 16 million. So I thought setting the over/under at $15 million seemed like a reasonable number.

blackthroatedwind 03-04-2014 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ranger5830 (Post 968094)
Sorry if I wasn't clear, I was saying that this year's Memorial Day handle would be under $15 mil, as that was what the discussion was about, whether taking the Met Mile off the Memorial Day card would significantly impact handle. Five of the last 10 years they've handled over $15 million, four times they've gone over 16 million. So I thought setting the over/under at $15 million seemed like a reasonable number.

I'm not exactly sure what the discussion was about, but I appreciate you researching the numbers. What the discussion REALLY should be about, at least from a handle perspective, is whether or not the impact of moving the Met Mile to Belmont Day will positively affect the overall handle between the two days. In other words, will the increase we get from the Met Mile versus whatever race we would have run on Belmont Day, overcome any possible losses of handle on Memorial Day. Given last year's Met Mile, a super race by any account, was $1.7 million, I cannot understand any argument that thinks this will not be the case. And, this isn't even taking into account the increased percent we get on our simulcast rates on Belmont Day.

Another important thing to keep in mind is that by bunching all of these big races on one day, and substantially increasing their purses, you greatly increase the possibility of getting shippers. Imagine the trainer that has one horse to ship to the Met Mile but opts not to, as shipping just one horse may not make sense to him. Now, with many additional Stakes over the two day period, that same trainer may find three or four horses in his ( or her ) barn to ship. This can increase the number of planes coming from California and thus increase overall participation.

There are a lot of factors to consider. Focusing in on the possible negative effects this change will have on the Memorial Day handle is, at best, a narrow minded approach. It's also grossly misunderstanding the bigger picture.

tanner12oz 03-16-2014 09:31 PM

Would be nice for nyra to get ticketing information out

Alan07 03-17-2014 02:22 PM

Belmont Stakes Day pricing, hospitality features announced


http://www.nyra.com/belmont/springsu...CN8GkE.twitter

tanner12oz 03-29-2014 10:22 AM

anyone have a belmont stakes presale code?

herkhorse 05-18-2014 06:17 AM

This is gonna be HUGE!

3kings 05-18-2014 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by herkhorse (Post 978869)
This is gonna be HUGE!

Will you be attending?

freddymo 05-18-2014 09:01 AM

Figuring out if moving the Met to Belmont day was a net handle builder just got more complicated. Now the analysis requires the inclusion of potential TC winner. Not an easy figure to put your hands around

tanner12oz 05-18-2014 05:32 PM

Have tickets been mailed yet? Ordered first onsale date and still waiting


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