Derby Trail Forums - Least & Most Vulnerable Favorites?

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- Breeders' Cup Archive (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=22)

- - Least & Most Vulnerable Favorites? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=39129)

declansharbor

10-31-2010 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard (Post 714137)

I'm comfortable with Quality Road as a solid fav .

Cue the tomatoes.

Dahoss

10-31-2010 04:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard (Post 714137)

I'm comfortable with Golden Missile behind me .

FTFY

RockHardTen1985

10-31-2010 05:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315 (Post 714124)

I want to believe you know better than this.

Dont, BRO.

NTamm1215

10-31-2010 05:37 PM

Winter Memories is going to be overbet off of a race that really might not be much, if at all better than Kathmanblu's Jessamine or the Natalma.

declansharbor

10-31-2010 06:00 PM

Off topic...

Does anyone possess a link where I could find out what the best wagers of past year's BC's have been? (i.e. - rolling p3's, DD's, ex, tri's . . .)

Any help would be greatly appreciated. thank you in advance.

Indian Charlie

10-31-2010 09:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 714185)

www.google.com

declansharbor

10-31-2010 09:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 714245)

www.google.com

Zenyatta

CharlieR

10-31-2010 09:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 714185)

I have not downloaded a copy yet for this year, but the express bet wagering guide usually has some of the info you are looking for.

PatCummings

10-31-2010 10:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 714185)

Call me crazy, but isn't that like handicapping the fifth race with the fourth race past performances? Inconsequential.

Travis Stone

10-31-2010 10:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PatCummings (Post 714268)

Call me crazy, but isn't that like handicapping the fifth race with the fourth race past performances? Inconsequential.

Looking over past payoffs in the BC is somewhat inconsequential because everything pays well, but getting your head wrapped around the insane value of various wagers is good for the mindset.

I have a binder with past BC charts and refer to it each year to remember things that worked, didn't etc. Plus, to remind myself at how valuable wagers like the P4 and Trifecta are.

chucklestheclown

10-31-2010 11:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 714185)

Here's a start:
http://www.brisnet.com/library/softw...s/oct10brs.pdf

After you crack page 8 please give me a shout.

knickslions2

11-01-2010 09:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard (Post 714137)

I'm comfortable with Quality Road as a solid fav .

LOL I hope he is the favorite. Means plenty of money to win

santana

11-01-2010 09:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 714362)

LOL I hope he is the favorite. Means plenty of money to win

Wont Zenyatta be th chalk ?

jwkniska

11-01-2010 09:54 AM

most vulnerable... any fav that draws in the double digit starting holes.

knickslions2

11-01-2010 10:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by santana (Post 714363)

Wont Zenyatta be th chalk ?

I would think.

NoLuvForPletch

11-01-2010 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 714160)

Winter Memories is going to be overbet off of a race that really might not be much, if at all better than Kathmanblu's Jessamine or the Natalma.

Street Chimes disappointed mightily yesterday, and I would say moves the Natalma back a considerate amount in how it is viewed vs. some other preps. Also, that doesn't bode well for Pluck who ran a second slower than the girls did that day. That's just my opinion, of course.

-BT-	11-01-2010 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pweizer (Post 713751)

I hope he goes favored. I am not sure I will be this race either but at first glance, Awesome Gem looks interesting to me. While no win machine himself, he has won graded stakes races and he has faced much better consistently than will line up for the marathon.

Paul

i was thinking the same thing paul, i'm willing to toss the last 2 races if i can get a square price on this guy. Plus, as you mentioned, this is a step down from what he's been facing.

-bt-

cakes44

11-01-2010 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT- (Post 714375)

i was thinking the same thing paul, i'm willing to toss the last 2 races if i can get a square price on this guy. Plus, as you mentioned, this is a step down from what he's been facing.

-bt-

Agreed that he stands out on class, but this 1 3/4 miles thing is a whole different animal. I'd like him more if someone like Sheppard was his trainer.

hockey2315

11-01-2010 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch (Post 714370)

Pluck's bad. I don't think New Normal can be downgraded by anything Street Chimes does because of the nature of her performance.

hockey2315

11-01-2010 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 714160)

Winter Memories is going to be overbet off of a race that really might not be much, if at all better than Kathmanblu's Jessamine or the Natalma.

I'm not sure what races you were watching.

That being said, I'm betting the Reddam horse.

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