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-   -   Zenyatta v. Rail Trip?? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35997)

parsixfarms 05-09-2010 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 645423)
Who the **** with a decent horse wants to pick the most challenging races ALL the time? For the most part, they pick out a few races a year they point to.

I agree, and Zenyatta hasn't faced a "challenging" field yet this year (although the Apple Blossom was no fault of hers). Now is the time to challenge her, in a race over her home track.

Just like RA had nothing to do with the original topic, neither did Quality Road. However, if Quality Road were to win the Met Mile and Whitney while Zenyatta continues to beat up on SoCal females, Zenyatta's connections will put her in the position where she has to win the BC Classic to win a HOY title.

CSC 05-09-2010 11:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus (Post 645435)
I routinely forget that racing is all about the Breeders' Cup. I better get on board, and quick.

That's where the money and 99% of the connections in the world are pointing for, since it is on dirt this year, I thought you would agree.

blackthroatedwind 05-09-2010 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 645426)
Really? Weren't you a strong detractor of RT just last year? How does she 'enhance' her reputation by losing to a 'distance challenged' horse? Of course, he now has a real jock.

What do you envision: a MILE match race?

What does this have to do with the topic?

Yes, I was wrong about Rail Trip. Happy? I doubt it....as you are as miserable as they come.

Now, that we have gotten past that, try to actually make one post that is related to the actual discussion. Surely you can do this once.

the_fat_man 05-09-2010 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 645436)
I agree, and Zenyatta hasn't faced a "challenging" field yet this year (although the Apple Blossom was no fault of hers). Now is the time to challenge her, in a race over her home track.

Just like RA had nothing to do with the original topic, neither did Quality Road. However, if Quality Road were to win the Met Mile and Whitney while Zenyatta continues to beat up on SoCal females, Zenyatta's connections will put her in the position where she has to win the BC Classic to win a HOY title.

Depends on who QR beats in these races. If it's the same contingent he handled down in Florida, or that RA beat last year, then I'm not buying it. Any 'special' older males running this year? It certainly doesn't appear that there's a special 3 year old this year. And, let's face it, QR is not going 10F down at CD.

If I owned this mare and I brought her back, at an age when most would retire her, because I felt that she should've been Horse of the Year last year, why would I go out of my way to put her under extra pressure? Especially when the reigning Horse of the Year doesn't appear up to it this year.

This is not to say that RT, or anything else out in CALI, offers much in the way of competion for her in a fairly run race.

parsixfarms 05-09-2010 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 645433)
She has already proven she can handle males on synth, if beating Gio Ponti and gang in the classic was not enough to appease her naysayers what is beating Rail Trip in the Hollywood Gold Cup to prove? Her final test is to beyer 115, win on dirt and beat the classic field at CD's, if she can throw in a race against males in the fall as the Goodward as a prep I can see this being a far more logical campaign that will hopefully make everyone happy

Actually, as Cardus points out, there is more to racing than the Breeders' Cup, and who's to say that she'll even make it to that race six months from now.

We all know that she'll probably only have, at most, four lifetime starts. And I think it's a pretty safe bet to say that, if she's racing in the fall, the final two starts of her career would likely be the the race formerly known as the Lady's Secret and the BC Classic. (And for the reason TFM noted above, I'd have no problem with the Lady's Secret, knowing it was a prep for the Classic.) There is absolutely no excuse for her not to run in the Hollywood Gold Cup, unless the mid-season portion of her campaign is simply about ducking meaningful competition until the Breeders' Cup.

parsixfarms 05-09-2010 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 645442)
Depends on who QR beats in these races. If it's the same contingent he handled down in Florida, or that RA beat last year, then I'm not buying it. Any 'special' older males running this year? It certainly doesn't appear that there's a special 3 year old this year. And, let's face it, QR is not going 10F down at CD.

Actually, if Zenyatta continues to simply face females, it probably won't, because of the competition that Zenyatta will have faced in the Apple Blossom and is likely to face in SoCal F/M races. Even if the Donn, Met Mile and Whitney were to turn up (by historical standards) sub-par races, HOY voters are probably going to favor the horse that won those races over the horse that won the Santa Margarita, Apple Blossom and Vanity. If Zenyatta were to win a race like the Hollywood Gold Cup against the top handicap horse on the West Coast, it completely changes the equation.

stonegossard 05-09-2010 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by v j stauffer (Post 645429)
I'd just like to make it through the decade with a job.

Hey Vic did ya catch The Lone Star Derby yesterday? Great race.

stonegossard 05-09-2010 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus (Post 645414)
I didn't see Rachel Alexandra's name mentioned until your post, Fat Man.

This is some thread. It has both TFM and Stauffer. Not sure who is more of a grade one jacka##. Although I gotta give Stauffer an iota of credit. He doesn't start threads mentioning rides by Tim Thornton on 6-5 shots. That was a beaut by TFM. He must hold the record for most threads started with ZERO replies.

Stuaffer though really needs to stay off the internet...........

stonegossard 05-09-2010 12:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by v j stauffer (Post 645392)
I'm not trying to fool anyone. I don't care if you think I'm classy or not. I don't have to answer to internet posters.

Of course I would love to have the opportunity to call Zenyatta and Rail Trip. Who wouldn't?

My only opinion is that to say that Zenyatta's team DESERVES ABUSE is a ridiculous joke of a post.

99 of a hundred people would have retired her. Sherriffs and the Moss's brought her back and DESERVE ABUSE for mapping her campaign as they see fit?

Forget this year. That wraps up the decade!!!

Actually Vic, if real racing fans had a choice of seeing Zenyatta campaign the same old boring "run vs 5 horse fields of mediocre horses in So-Cal" or staying retired most would say stay retired.

I was one of the ones who applauded The Mosses for coming back......hoping that with The BC being at CD in 2010 they would try something different and campaign outside of So-Cal. Yes they did ship to OP which was great. But instead of going to CD and run in a real race (Stephen Foster ) on the same track as The BC, they once again take the easy way out. Nice race for ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZenyata coming up at HP.

But of course since you are the race caller for HP you probably think it's great that the Mosses are running at your home track against probably 5 optional claimers. Hopefully Mr. Moss grows some balls and at least runs vs Railbird in The Gold Cup after Zenyatta wins her next practice race.

zippyneedsawin 05-09-2010 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 645442)
Depends on who QR beats in these races. If it's the same contingent he handled down in Florida, or that RA beat last year, then I'm not buying it. Any 'special' older males running this year? It certainly doesn't appear that there's a special 3 year old this year. And, let's face it, QR is not going 10F down at CD.

If I owned this mare and I brought her back, at an age when most would retire her, because I felt that she should've been Horse of the Year last year, why would I go out of my way to put her under extra pressure? Especially when the reigning Horse of the Year doesn't appear up to it this year.

This is not to say that RT, or anything else out in CALI, offers much in the way of competion for her in a fairly run race.



Like open company versus restricted?

letswastemoney 05-09-2010 02:03 PM

But will there still be free Zenyatta bobbleheads if she runs in the HGC instead????

Smooth Operator 05-09-2010 03:55 PM

Ah, can't ya just feel the love in the air here at DT … lol


Would've been great to see Z in that Foster, but can't blame the connections AT ALL for pointing her to the Vanity again instead.

She's on the verge of doing something historic … and obviously has a better chance of breaking the record by racing at home against females.

Doing anything else AT THIS POINT would be foolish, in my estimation.


If things go as planned in the V, wouldn't be surprised if they point her to the Gold Cup NEXT.

blackthroatedwind 05-09-2010 03:57 PM

Historic for sure!

No supposed top horse has ever dodged competitive races like Zenyatta. Hooray!

stonegossard 05-09-2010 04:04 PM

She kinda reminds me of that horse that ran in New Mexico who won 16 races or so against the SAME horses over and over. I can't remember the horses name.....shocking.

Mawhip 05-09-2010 04:13 PM

I love how everyone applauds the Mosses for keeping her in training. They guy is in his mid 70's. The chances of seeing Zenyatta's babies run is not great. Further is there any guarantee they will be any good. It certainly looks like they enjoy watching her win. Why would they have retired her if she's sound. Especially since they are going to run her against creme puffs all year.

Smooth Operator 05-09-2010 04:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonegossard (Post 645584)
She kinda reminds me of that horse that ran in New Mexico who won 16 races or so against the SAME horses over and over. I can't remember the horses name.....shocking.

Nothing stopping the supposed HotY from coming out to test the dual BC champ on 6/13...

stonegossard 05-09-2010 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator (Post 645590)
Nothing stopping the supposed HotY from coming out to test the dual BC champ on 6/13...


Still sore about Zenyatta losing eh?

Why would 2010 HOY Rachel Alexandra want to go run on a different surface than the BC in a meaningless race at a meaningless track. I am sure the connections will run her at a real track like Belmont or Saratoga.

miraja2 05-09-2010 04:53 PM

Although this thread is unfortunately becoming yet another RA-Zenyatta thread, I think the original poster raised an interesting point.
Personally I can't really blame the connections of Zenyatta if they decide they don't want to follow Quality Road and Rachel (and whomever else might emerge this year as a decent runner) all around the country the entire year. Perhaps they figure they have the best horse and so it isn't their job to make a big race happen, particularly after they did their part at Oaklawn earlier in the year.

That's all fine. But when there is a big (and historically significant) race IN SoCal, with a pretty darn good horse running in it, it strikes me as a different matter. They already know there isn't going to be any competition for her from fillies or mares on the synthetic. Everyone knows that. So why not run in the bigger race against the better competition? If they truly want her to be considered an all-time great, running in races like the HGC against a real horse sure seems like a better way to get that done than beating up on a couple of hopelessly overmatched allowance-types.

Not wanting to ship all over the place chasing the top horses in the entire country is one thing. Deciding not to seek out a race against a good horse on your own track is something different.

letswastemoney 05-09-2010 04:58 PM

Cigar's 1995 campaign included all these races. He didn't need to reserve his best race for one big one. He traveled all around the country and took on open company on dirt anywhere.

His only flaw was his disdain for turf surfaces.

Oaklawn Handicap
Gulfstream Park Handicap
Hollywood Gold Cup
Jockey Club Gold Cup
Pimlico Special
Breeders' Cup Classic
Donn Handicap
Massachusetts Handicap
Woodward Stakes

cmorioles 05-09-2010 06:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2 (Post 645598)
Not wanting to ship all over the place chasing the top horses in the entire country is one thing. Deciding not to seek out a race against a good horse on your own track is something different.

The other horses aren't going to chase her to California because of the silly surface they are running on. Like it or not, no other big time racing outside of Keeneland's few weeks each year run on the stuff, and we all know they do it because they sell the stuff.

NYRA...no. Churchill...no. Gulfstream...no. Until Zenyatta beats talented horses on dirt, she'll just be a specialist on a surface that will most likely be gone in a decade.


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