I would be suprised, I think enough people will bail on him to push him up a bit, but I guess since he is off my win tix it doesn't matter much.

I think half of this field is fairly easy to toss:

#5 Line of David (will be fried early and could finish last)
#6 Stately Victor (just not a dirt horse)
#7 American Lion (wrong style for this one and just not very good)
#8 Dean's Kitten (turf pedigree and one bad dirt start = toss)
#9 Make Music for Me (nothing at all to like)
#10 Paddy O'Prado (still seems awfully 'turfy' to me despite the works)
#12 Conveyance (extremely unlikely to carry that speed 10f in this race)
#13 Jackson Bend (the best horse on my toss list, he's okay, but a very unlikely winner)
#15 Discreetly Mine (see American Lion)
#19 Homeboykris (just plain overmatched)

Dutrow went from his "babe" act of guaranteeing an Amen Hallelujah/Homeboykris Oaks/Derby double yesterday to saying they hope to "pick up a check" with Homeboykris today. TOSS.

really? :D

i agree with all of these and i'm adding sidneys candy to this list. i gotta toss one favorite. front runner on poly.....see ya........

I don't know man, now that Sadler can perform his magic on the road, Sidney's Candy looks like a near standout to me, or at least as much of one as possible in a 20 horse field with a horse that's never run on the surface.

I don't get the love for Ice Box, but who knows.

sidneys candy, conveyance auto toss

I'm keying Sidney's Candy.. so :D