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-   -   2009 Breeders' Cup (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32101)

Scav 10-15-2009 11:47 AM

Great job Steve.....Looking forward to the pre-entries on the 26th

lemoncrush 10-15-2009 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
$5 million Breeders' Cup Classic



$2 million Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Sprint

Zensational (Baffert)
Fatal Bullet (Baker)
Capt. Candyman Can (Wilkes)
Kodiak Kowboy (Asmussen)
Gayego (bin Suroor)
Cost of Freedom (Sadler)
Square Eddie (O'Neill)
Riley Tucker (Baffert)

.


And with Kodiak Kowboy questionable, this is the worst sprint field in years. I think Midnight Lute could come out of retirement tomorrow and easily beat this field.

Kasept 10-15-2009 05:25 PM

LOOKIN AT LUCKY, ZENSATIONAL IN FAST PREPS FOR BREEDERS’ CUP

Lookin At Lucky and Zensational, favorites for their respective Breeders’ Cup races, worked with alacrity typical of Bob Baffert runners Thursday morning, recording bullet drills under former jockey Joe Steiner on Santa Anita’s Pro-Ride main track.

Lookin At Lucky, an unbeaten 2-year-old son of Smart Strike prepping for the $2 million Grey Goose Juvenile at 1 1/16 miles at Oak Tree, went four furlongs in :46 seconds flat, in company with the filly Always a Princess, who was given :46.60.

Zensational, winner of three straight Grade I sprints, went six furlongs in 1:10.60, handily from the gate, in company with El Martillo, who was clocked in 1:11.80, also handily from the gate. In Zensational’s last nine published workouts dating back to July 22, seven have been of the bullet variety, the fastest at the distance. The 3-year-old son of Unbridled’s Song is working towards the $2 million Sentient Jet Sprint at six furlongs.

The Juvenile and the Sprint are on Nov. 7. They are two of 14 World Championships events worth $25.5 million, six on Friday, Nov. 6, and eight on Saturday, Nov. 7.

“The horses are right on schedule,” said Baffert, Oak Tree’s leader through 12 days with 10 wins from 32 starters, an average of 31 percent. He also has six seconds and three thirds, with purse earnings of $596,016.

“I worked Zensational from the gate because he drew the one hole twice down at Del Mar and want to make sure he’s comfortable,” Baffert said. “He flew out of there and cruised around the backside. I just wanted to wake him up.”


In other Breeders’ Cup news:

Belmont Stakes winner Summer Bird had an uneventful coast-to-coast trip in quest of victory in the $5 million Classic. The 3-year-old son of Birdstone, who defeated older horses in the Jockey Club Gold Cup at Belmont Park on Oct. 3, arrived at Santa Anita Monday, galloped one mile Thursday, and is scheduled to work five furlongs Saturday.

“He shipped great, and so far, he’s been great,” trainer Tim Ice said on a picturesque Thursday morning filled with blue skies and sunshine. “It was about a six-hour flight, and he took the trip well. It didn’t take anything out of him. He ate up all his feed the night he got in and hasn’t been off of it since, so everything looks good.”

This is Summer Bird’s first extensive experience on a synthetic surface, but Ice has few, if any, qualms. “He seemed to handle the track fine,” Ice said. “He’s run every race on dirt, but he was out here from last October until I got him in January. He has nine workouts over this track as a 2-year-old, so it’s not totally new to him, but he’s never run on a synthetic.”

Defending Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint champion Desert Code worked three furlongs on Pro-Ride Thursday in :35.40. “He went nice and easy,” trainer David Hofmans said. “He’ll work five-eighths or three-quarters on the grass Wednesday with (Richard) Migliore.”

Kentucky Derby winner Mine That Bird galloped his customary two miles Thursday.

RockHardTen1985 10-15-2009 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
LOOKIN AT LUCKY, ZENSATIONAL IN FAST PREPS FOR BREEDERS’ CUP

Lookin At Lucky and Zensational, favorites for their respective Breeders’ Cup races, worked with alacrity typical of Bob Baffert runners Thursday morning, recording bullet drills under former jockey Joe Steiner on Santa Anita’s Pro-Ride main track.


Will these 2 Bafferts be the 2 shortest prices on Saturday?

Gander 10-15-2009 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
Will these 2 Bafferts be the 2 shortest prices on Saturday?

On Saturday, most likely yes. I guess Zenyatta runs Friday? I think she will be the lowest of the cup, even with Music Note & Careless Jewel in there.

What do you think the price of California Flag will be?

Scav 10-15-2009 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
On Saturday, most likely yes. I guess Zenyatta runs Friday? I think she will be the lowest of the cup, even with Music Note & Careless Jewel in there.

What do you think the price of California Flag will be?

Hopefully low....

And I think you are wrong about Zenyatta on Friday....I would say with 75% certainity they are going to the Classic

RockHardTen1985 10-15-2009 07:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Hopefully low....

And I think you are wrong about Zenyatta on Friday....I would say with 75% certainity they are going to the Classic


I hope your right.

Scav 10-15-2009 07:11 PM

[quote=RockHardTen1985]
Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Hopefully low....

And I think you are wrong about Zenyatta on Friday....I would say with 75% certainity they are going to the Classic[/QUOTE


I hope your right.

I learned a very hard lesson last year at Santa Anita with that turf sprint. Saving $8 cost me a 6200$ hit on the early P4 because I used all but two horses in the Turf Sprint.

Fact is that horses like Chamberline Bridge, Mr. Nightlinger, and Calfornia Flag have absolutely no shot in a race like this given the pace scenario. I will be betting any horses that have shown some stamina at 7f or greater, and/or mile race success

Kasept 10-16-2009 08:13 AM

If you missed it, suggest review of Crist's '08 prep angle analysis...
http://cristblog.drf.com/crist/2009/...the-world.html

Scav 10-16-2009 08:44 PM

Steve,

Burley's Gold doesn't look possible for the Dirt Mile as he is going in a race on the 21st at Aqueduct.

If Giralomo, Pyro, and Midshipman ALL run in the Dirt Mile, will they be coupled or no? Not sure of the coupling rules in California

GPK 10-17-2009 07:36 AM

$1 million Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

Pyro (bin Suroor)
Mr. Sidney (Mott) **
Crown of Thorns (Mandella)
Monzante (Mitchell)
Quality Road (Pletcher)
Girolamo (bin Suroor)
Midshipman (bin Suroor)
Tizway (Bond)
Burley's Gold (Dutrow)
Misremembered (Baffert)


Love this guy:tro:

brockguy 10-18-2009 06:59 PM

Twice Over to the classic possibly!!

RockHardTen1985 10-18-2009 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
$1 million Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile

Pyro (bin Suroor)
Mr. Sidney (Mott) **
Crown of Thorns (Mandella)
Monzante (Mitchell)
Quality Road (Pletcher)
Girolamo (bin Suroor)
Midshipman (bin Suroor)
Tizway (Bond)
Burley's Gold (Dutrow)
Misremembered (Baffert)


Love this guy:tro:

This field should be the heavy hitters in the Classic division next year....

From Quality Road down are all really good and I have herd nothing about retirment for any of them

my miss storm cat 10-18-2009 11:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
$2 million TVG Breeders' Cup Mile
Famous Name (Weld)

... to the Dirt Mile, according to TimesOnline.

VOL JACK 10-19-2009 12:07 AM

Steve, You need to add Furthest Land to the Poly Mile.

Kasept 10-19-2009 06:43 AM

Thanks all for the feeds... We'll keep adjusting through the 28th when we get pre-entries.

Kasept 10-19-2009 06:51 AM

Other new additions besides Furthest Land & Twice Over include BEETHOVEN (Juvy or Juvy Turf), ALFRED NOBEL (Juvenile) and MAMBO MEISTER (Dirt Mile).

Kasept 10-19-2009 12:07 PM

WILLIAM HILLS LATEST ANTE POST PRICES

NEW MARKETS

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile: 2-1 Lookin At Lucky, 4-1 D'Funnybone, 8-1 Dave In Dixie, Homeboykris, Pulsion, 10-1 Noble's Promise, 12-1 Aikenite, Dublin, 14-1 Aspire, Gallant Gent, Western Smoke, 16-1 Smiling Tiger, 20-1Make Music For Me, Backtalk, (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies’: 9-2 Blind Luck, 5-1 Hot Dixie Chick, Mi Sueno, 7-1 Awesome Maria, She Be Wild, 8-1 Negligee, 10-1 Beautician, Devil May Care, 12-1 Always a Princess, Jealous Again, 14-1 Amen Hallelujah, La Nez, 16-1 Midst, Pure Class, Softly Singing, Worship the Moon, 20-1 Bickersons, Biofuel, Touching Beauty (EW 1/4 1,2,3)


MARKET MOVERS


HOT

Breeders’ Cup Turf: Presious Passion 7-1 from 8-1

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare: Lahaleeb 12-1 (inserted), Pure Clan 12-1 from 16-1, Criticism 25-1 from 33-1

Breeders’ Cup Mile: Gladiatorus 10-1 (inserted)

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint: Field Commision 7-1 (inserted), Gotta Have Her 8-1 (inserted)

Breeders’ Cup Sprint: Gayego 6-1 from 8-1, Not for Silver 20-1 from 33-1

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile: Quality Road 5-1 (inserted – new fav), Midshipman 8-1 (inserted), Girolimo 14-1 (inserted)


COLD

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare: Moneycan’tbuymelove 20-1 from 12-1

RockHardTen1985 10-19-2009 02:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
WILLIAM HILLS LATEST ANTE POST PRICES

NEW MARKETS

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile: 2-1 Lookin At Lucky, 4-1 D'Funnybone, 8-1 Dave In Dixie, Homeboykris, Pulsion, 10-1 Noble's Promise, 12-1 Aikenite, Dublin, 14-1 Aspire, Gallant Gent, Western Smoke, 16-1 Smiling Tiger, 20-1Make Music For Me, Backtalk, (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies’: 9-2 Blind Luck, 5-1 Hot Dixie Chick, Mi Sueno, 7-1 Awesome Maria, She Be Wild, 8-1 Negligee, 10-1 Beautician, Devil May Care, 12-1 Always a Princess, Jealous Again, 14-1 Amen Hallelujah, La Nez, 16-1 Midst, Pure Class, Softly Singing, Worship the Moon, 20-1 Bickersons, Biofuel, Touching Beauty (EW 1/4 1,2,3)


MARKET MOVERS


HOT

Breeders’ Cup Turf: Presious Passion 7-1 from 8-1

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare: Lahaleeb 12-1 (inserted), Pure Clan 12-1 from 16-1, Criticism 25-1 from 33-1

Breeders’ Cup Mile: Gladiatorus 10-1 (inserted)

Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint: Field Commision 7-1 (inserted), Gotta Have Her 8-1 (inserted)

Breeders’ Cup Sprint: Gayego 6-1 from 8-1, Not for Silver 20-1 from 33-1

Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile: Quality Road 5-1 (inserted – new fav), Midshipman 8-1 (inserted), Girolimo 14-1 (inserted)


COLD

Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare: Moneycan’tbuymelove 20-1 from 12-1


Gotta Have Her would be an overlay at 8-1 IMO. Shes really talented and has the right running style and experience over the course.

brockguy 10-19-2009 03:20 PM

Gladiatorus could be a big play in the mile as I can see him being sent off at 16-1+ especially if Goldi, Zacinto and Delagator show up..


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