might be a stupid question but oh well, does everyone think Rachel Alexandra is a free square for these PK4-5's? I've never seen her race but obviously her form looks impresssive.
with that being said i think FF is in for a tough race and would HIGHLY doubt she's 5-2 or less by post time. I really think Pegasus and Terrian have a good shot here, especially at those juicy prices

-bt-

the only argument people could have with her is first time FG's dirt strip, otherwise, she lays over the field

And the longgggggg stretch..definitely catches some horses by surprise, but Calvin is familiar with it.

Weather is still 50 to 60% rain, but they can't seem to decide when this front is coming through or if it will drop down far enough to affect us, but my suggestion is to cap for dry and back up with wet conditions.

Interesting tidbit didn't realize, if Friesan Fire wins the LA Derby he will be the first horse to win all 3 derby trials since Dixieland Heat in 1993.

Yep. Cross your fingers for $0.50 on the dollar and enjoy.

1/2??

Maybe, but I doubt it, she is probably 1/5, although people might play Four Gifts because of Assmussen

I know she'll be shorter than that, but that's why you just take what you can get and use her in multi-race wagers and find runners elsewhere, because you're looking at anything from $2.40-$3.00 as an absolute top.

How does that turf course take water?

The field for the $600,000 Louisiana Derby (gr. II) was reduced by one on March 12 as Fair Grounds officials learned that My Meadowview Farm’s Nowhere to Hide will be scratched.

Nowhere to Hide, who was fourth in the Risen Star Stakes (gr. III) on Feb. 7, will instead run in the Tampa Bay Derby (gr. III) – which goes to post on March 14, the same day as the Louisiana Derby. He is trained by Nick Zito

If it's a steady rain it takes it well, being sandy it drains well. But if we get a monsoonal type rain it will pool up.

One station says the big front and storms will move through around 6 pm but intermittent rain all day. Yet another station says the front may not make it down this far....:zz:

Here's some links to local weather radar:

http://www.wwltv.com/weather/pinpointmetro640a.html

http://www.wdsu.com/weather/grid.html

The Fair Grounds is near city park.

Damn radar is playing with my emotions right now, rain is just a smidge away New Orleans....

OH ROR!!...just saw your avytar....:D :p

Well it keeps changing...now they say rain overnite..which will actually help the turf...then rain off and on during the day...BUT then they are saying the front that was coming down is not BUT the the rain may now stay south along the gulf BUt we may have the front right around post time for the derby...:zz:

I give up...:wf All I can say is it IS going to rain in the next 36 hours.

FAST and FIRM as of 10:00 AM CDT.

http://www.fairgroundsracecourse.com...rogram-changes

NT

Looks iffy...

"I don't think the heavy stuff will come down for quite awhile...." :D

This is a really good sequence of races. I wish the Oaks was not part of their big pick four and pick five offering, as I really find it hard to go against Rachel Alexandra. That said, the NO Handicap has lots of factors at play, the Muniz is extremely wide-open and the LA Derby is filled with various opinions.

12:20 central... not looking good




Attachment 1205

I said this yesterday, but just placed a nice wager on Free Country, I'm giving this guy from my RTTR stable one more try, I think he has the best wet track breeding

Friesan Fire
Flying Pegasus
Papa Clem
Patena

Hey Borel, can you just ride your horse, quit trying to be so cute, and finish the race already?

everybody's gonna have Friesan Fire #1 on their lists now too ;)