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-   -   9/12: BEL C/O ($608k Friday!!) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24949)

golfer 09-10-2008 06:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Seth, gonna live and die with CH huh?:D

Obviously this isn't real money, although I may put some real money on him, but he's getting ONE MORE CHANCE. His last race, 2nd in the slop to the Contessa layoff monster, was probably a pretty strong effort.

philcski 09-10-2008 07:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Is it really? They crawled home.

I have to see the scratches, as Fra Lippo getting in will play a huge role in how the race is run.

Otherwise, two I think have a decent shot are:

City Sneakers: terrible footwork last out; assuming Rice can straighten him out, he should get a similar trip to DD (I typically don't like the outside, especially with the pace types, in these sprints)

Tee With the Tiger: no shot in race that didn't come back last out AND Samyn took his time getting him around/outside in the stretch; a multi-move race and the extra distance could get this hanger home.

But, this is very tough race.

Agree on Fra Lippo... tough read on whether this one is an uncontrollable runoff or cutting back to the sprint gets him to run like his first start, which wasn't a bad debut.

The entry, no way it goes off at 8-1 but I think it's a must-cover. Check the works on the 2 on turf.

Tee With the Tiger? Seriously?? I can't STAND these career maidens. His career best race, two back, was an absolute suck up against a horrible group. Pano's Love was an 0-18 maiden who was 3-1 for Sciacca.

I'm probably being too cheap here but I'd be happy standing with the 2,11 and possibly the 10,12.

blackthroatedwind 09-10-2008 08:03 AM

The 9th is off the turf.....the others are on.

Kasept 09-10-2008 08:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The 9th is off the turf.....the others are on.

Thx And!

GPK 09-10-2008 08:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfer
Obviously this isn't real money, although I may put some real money on him, but he's getting ONE MORE CHANCE. His last race, 2nd in the slop to the Contessa layoff monster, was probably a pretty strong effort.


With the way my golf game has been of late, I am more apt to use Triple Bogey Blues:wf

richard burch 09-10-2008 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
$2,000 budget...

4: NYB Mdn Clm (6f)
5: NYB-ALW/N1X (8.5f-T)
6: NYB-MSW (6f-IT)
7: OC/N3X (7f-T)
8: CLM/N2L (6f)
9: MSW (1m-T)

who the hell has a $2,000 budget? Can we get rid of 2 of those zeros?

Gate Dancer 09-10-2008 08:14 AM

Let's play:

R 4: 2,7,8
R 5: 2,3,8
R 6: 2,3,10,11
R 7: 7,8
R 8: 1,10
R 9: 1,2,4,5,9,11

Kasept 09-10-2008 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch
who the hell has a $2,000 budget? Can we get rid of 2 of those zeros?

You haven't been following this concept I take it...

The idea is to demonstrate the difficulty of hitting the P6.. While cute little $24 tickets have hit P6's, without using big money plays, it's pretty hopeless. The objective is to learn how to construct multiple tickets (main and backups), and MANY here have been immeasurably helped in their multi-race wagering by the exercise.

philcski 09-10-2008 08:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The 9th is off the turf.....the others are on.

thx andy... is the 9th still at a mile?

blackthroatedwind 09-10-2008 08:55 AM

Why wouldn't it be?

philcski 09-10-2008 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Why wouldn't it be?

saratoga hangover i guess... 1 1/16 -> 7f, etc.

can't do any work on that till scratches come, anyways

philcski 09-10-2008 09:02 AM

The 7th is IMPOSSIBLE. HELP!!!

blackthroatedwind 09-10-2008 09:03 AM

The 9th is now between the 10, 14 and 15 if that helps.

cassie 09-10-2008 09:11 AM

2,3,5,6,7/1,2,4/1,2,11,12/3,7,8,9/7,10/14,15 $1920:)

philcski 09-10-2008 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The 9th is now between the 10, 14 and 15 if that helps.

Was looking at the same on the first run through... I'm assuming you feel none of the firsters are killers, at least on dirt.

Interesting pedigree notes on those three:
10 is a 3/4 to the incomparable SAARLAND
14 is a 3/4 to Pyro
15 is a 3/4 to Alumni Hall

ninetoone 09-10-2008 09:35 AM

R4: 2,3,4,7,8
R5: 2,3,7,10
R6: 10,11
R7: 1,2,7,8
R8: 7,8
R9: 10,14,15

$1920

richard burch 09-10-2008 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
You haven't been following this concept I take it...

The idea is to demonstrate the difficulty of hitting the P6.. While cute little $24 tickets have hit P6's, without using big money plays, it's pretty hopeless. The objective is to learn how to construct multiple tickets (main and backups), and MANY here have been immeasurably helped in their multi-race wagering by the exercise.

got it now...thanks.

philcski 09-10-2008 10:00 AM

edit- scratch that

richard burch 09-10-2008 10:07 AM

#4 7/2/4/6
#5 2/7/3
#6 11/3/10
#7 2/7/1
#8 7/10/1
#9 1/10/4

$972
Ka-Ching!

ninetoone 09-10-2008 11:09 AM

Just edited my selections @ 12:09 EST


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