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-   -   Trying To Make Money On Big Brown Today... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24320)

GPK 08-04-2008 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
While I agree with you, look at the P4 yesterday at Monmouth and tell me that wasn't a missed opportunity, $900 per $1 with a 1/5, and two other horses that were until $12 (I think)


Silver Tree paid $5.80, another paid $12 and change and another paid $16 and change.

jms62 08-04-2008 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
While I agree with you, look at the P4 yesterday at Monmouth and tell me that wasn't a missed opportunity, $900 per $1 with a 1/5, and two other horses that were until $12 (I think)

Even 78 for the P3 @ 1.00 was very generous considering that 2 favorites won... That's the beauty of the big event days.

jms62 08-04-2008 10:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I'm being honest. It's been a massacre so far.

Hang in there. It can change with one swing of the bat. Just don't chase by upping your bets.

Coach Pants 08-04-2008 10:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I'm being honest. It's been a massacre so far.

Hey there are two turf sprints in the late pick 4 sequence today. :rolleyes:

Scav 08-04-2008 10:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Hey there are two turf sprints in the late pick 4 sequence today. :rolleyes:

Not only two turf sprints, but the great Mike Dini making an appearance at the Spa......

stonegossard 08-04-2008 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
You might be right. My X5 requires Premium Unleaded. I should factor in about $7.00 for gas. Boy am I stupid :) How come nobody on this board advised me against my strategy.

Hey at least I had fun watching the race and I don't think I lost anything. Big Brown finished strong and regardless of whether he is Travers, BCC bound or stud, he gave me a few thrills this summer.

For those of you calling him Big Crap, I think that is a little out of line. He still beat 19 horses in the KD from a post that nobody had in nearly a century. And his Preakness and FL Derby was not too shabby either.

Or maybe there is still something left in this horse.

Big Brown finished strong?

You mean Coal Play finsished weak. Big Brown didnt pass Coal Play. Coal Play passed Big Brown as he was collapsing. Anyone who thinks BB was impressive yesterday must have watched a different race. But hey.....congrats on your tri bet....2.70 profit. Muy impressivo.

RollerDoc 08-04-2008 11:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stonegossard
Big Brown finished strong?

You mean Coal Play finsished weak. Big Brown didnt pass Coal Play. Coal Play passed Big Brown as he was collapsing. Anyone who thinks BB was impressive yesterday must have watched a different race. But hey.....congrats on your tri bet....2.70 profit. Muy impressivo.

That would be 12.70 profit. Big deal...I know but I am a race fan not a gambler. I have enjoyed the journey with Big Brown this year and made several hundred on him throughout his races (most of it in the KD). It makes watching/rooting for him extra exciting. I will take 12.70 or hundreds in a race as a winner over losing any day.

And YES...Big Brown did finished strong. Strong enough to win. In the end, that's all that matters. I also saw a horse in Big Brown that had plenty left beyond the finish line as well. Big Brown was impressive yesterday after a long layoff and who knows what happened at The Belmont.

Danzig 08-05-2008 07:00 AM

no, he didn't finish strong. a front runner finally ran out of gas before the wire, benefitting big brown tremendously. talk about being in the right place at the right time.
and the gallop out many times is overrated. you do know horses never win a dime for winning the gallop out?

ArlJim78 08-05-2008 08:03 AM

since when is not running in a straight line and drifting out to the 10 path part of the definition of a strong finish?

Danzig 08-05-2008 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
since when is not running in a straight line and drifting out to the 10 path part of the definition of a strong finish?

since diehard big brown fans don't want to face reality.

jms62 08-05-2008 09:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
no, he didn't finish strong. a front runner finally ran out of gas before the wire, benefitting big brown tremendously. talk about being in the right place at the right time.
and the gallop out many times is overrated. you do know horses never win a dime for winning the gallop out?

The internet is a wonderful and funny thing. People read something and immediately jump on the bandwagon.
It is in vogue to call Big Brown's performance bad... A little due diligence provides a different story however.

Haskell 2008

1st call 46.59 (Second fastest in last 10 years)
2nd call 110.85 (5th fastest)
Final 148.31 (3rd fastest)

Come Home 37.46 (2nd fastest Not counting 2 lengths that Big Brown was behind at the half)

Beyer of 106 compares to Big Browns best...

How is this a bad performance ???

Coal Play ran the race of his life in setting the table for Cool Coal man who didn't deliver.

Antitrust32 08-05-2008 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62
The internet is a wonderful and funny thing. People read something and immediately jump on the bandwagon.
It is in vogue to call Big Brown's performance bad... A little due diligence provides a different story however.

Haskell 2008

1st call 46.59 (Second fastest in last 10 years)
2nd call 110.85 (5th fastest)
Final 148.31 (3rd fastest)

Come Home 37.46 (2nd fastest Not counting 2 lengths that Big Brown was behind at the half)

Beyer of 106 compares to Big Browns best...

How is this a bad performance ???

Coal Play ran the race of his life in setting the table for Cool Coal man who didn't deliver.


Thank you for your voice of reason! We have some real big brown haters on this site.. and he could win the Breeders Cup this year and people (especially Danzig) will still talk ****.

Gander 08-05-2008 09:26 AM

I'm hardly a fan of Big Brown, I actually think the whole story stinks.
But I think he did very well to win this race. He could have easily given up but he grinded it out and won a 750K race. Wow, I wish I had the intuition to cheat people out of their money so I could buy a horse like this.

The Travers is coming up real weak. I dont think hes avoiding any of these cows. Its more of a timing thing and it makes total sense. Why rush a horse back to run in a glorified Grade 3 against crows hes already crushed?

Antitrust32 08-05-2008 09:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
I'm hardly a fan of Big Brown, I actually think the whole story stinks.
But I think he did very well to win this race. He could have easily given up but he grinded it out and won a 750K race. Wow, I wish I had the intuition to cheat people out of their money so I could buy a horse like this.

The Travers is coming up real weak. I dont think hes avoiding any of these cows. Its more of a timing thing and it makes total sense. Why rush a horse back to run in a glorified Grade 3 against crows hes already crushed?

exactly... eventhough it was a 1 million dollar race!

who the hell would he avoid in the Travers? Hes beaten basically all the colts in his division already... save Harlem Rocker who I really doubt scares dutrow all that much.

Gander 08-05-2008 09:53 AM

If Harlem Rocker runs to all the hype, he will win the Travers under a hand ride. You can forget about getting a price on him. Mambo in Seattle is the other logical horse who is the up and comer, but may be an underlay in a race crying out for a bomb. I'm glad Pletcher ran Atoned in the Haskell (and not the Travers) because if he was in the Travers, I would have taken a huge shot with him. Man, he ran terrible. Stop like he had a piano dropped on him.

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-05-2008 09:59 AM

Anybody Think Frank S Will Bring Down A Good One..from Canada..

jms62 08-05-2008 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
If Harlem Rocker runs to all the hype, he will win the Travers under a hand ride. You can forget about getting a price on him. Mambo in Seattle is the other logical horse who is the up and comer, but may be an underlay in a race crying out for a bomb. I'm glad Pletcher ran Atoned in the Haskell (and not the Travers) because if he was in the Travers, I would have taken a huge shot with him. Man, he ran terrible. Stop like he had a piano dropped on him.

So you are basically saying it finally dawned on you that Atoned is GROSSLY overrated.. Hopefully it didn't cost too much to come to that conclusion.


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