Derby Trail Forums - 5/31: BEL-$166k; HOL-$356k C/O's; CD P4

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- - 5/31: BEL-$166k; HOL-$356k C/O's; CD P4 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22896)

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Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT-

i thought kent fell asleep at the wheel on the #6

-bt-

For once I wish he did.

Boys I ve been here live at BEL since R2 and its listed as sloppy and good all day and the clouds are moving in again.
Ron

Well this is the early Pick 4 at Hollywood for me. Came home for lunch to play this. I had to be part of the day :)

$1 Pick 4 Wheel
1-3-6-8/2/2-3/2-4-5-6-10

typhoon tycoon...... wow, i wish i would have slept in today

gl all

-bt-

Quote:

Originally Posted by Handicappy

For once I wish he did.

Except for that 6th race, I'd still be in the pick 6. Had typhoon Tycoon in the 8th. Still alive with late pick 4 with
7 6
8 4/5
9 2/7
10 7

We have to be looking at another carry. If not, someone is cashing huge.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

We have to be looking at another carry. If not, someone is cashing huge.

I don't see this carrying at this point. I'm headed for 4 of 6 in the Pick 6, having the runner-up in both losing legs (Race 7 and 8).

Wow, 3,7,8,& 9 payout.

$111k for the chalk.

With no favs winning the odds are pretty good for a carry....nevermind

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Wow, 3,7,8,& 9 payout.

$111k for the chalk.

I know. With a little help in the 6th and 9th I would be looking at that. Oh well. It was fun.

Oh boy, made it home from work in time to make a wager on the Hollywood pick 6.

1-9-10/6/2-3-8/3-5-8-11/1/1-4-13

$216.

5,6,9,10/6/3,8/2,11/1/1,2,3,4,10,13

$192

Gl

Quote:

Originally Posted by Handicappy

Tough card here at Belmont. For what it's worth here is my take after reviewing Steve's post:

5th I think you missed Prime Obsession #5 WON
who despite being steadied and pinched back at the break got up for 3rd in his last, missing by 3. A length behind your top choice. In a race lacking alot of speed I like the 4, Phobia as well.

6th Southern Prince # 3 LAST has the controlling speed. Silver Timber 7 FORTH, second off the layoff is hard to not see but Redefined 6 SECOND, coming in off an 8 month layoff comes in with a solid work tab, will get covered up by Kenny D. and should be driving in the stretch.

7th Caesar Beware WON
makes a big drop in company indicating Mclaughlin wants to make room for all those 2 yo's from Darley/Shadwell and has a couple works with the Belmont crew who tend to tighten the screws well. Nacascolo 2, is a solid second choice. I don't see Loushe doing much though. Very erratic performer against much less company than he will see here.

8th Flip a coin time. I like Writingonthewall 8, but hate betting first time against winners. But he has been impressive in his only two starts and figures to improve, 2nd off layoff. Not sure if he'll get the distance but is bred well for the turf. Like Gold Pageantry 5 here with second off layoff. But Typhoon Tycoon WON
looks interesting. 1st off 5 month layoff but 1st time lasix and a switch to Alan Garcia who has his moments but has been riding very well with alot of confidence.

9th Raw Silk WON
will take them all out for a ride and does come in with a bullet work but he won't sustain his run. He does ensure a bit of an honest pace for the Alwajeeha FOURTH/I Lost My Choo SECOND freight train. Life Is Sweet THIRD is formidable but I think Kenny D will have a sour taste in his mouth at the end.

10th Buddha Calling SECOND
is a great single in a fairly single-less card. However, Piper's Fort WON
, the 9 has been putting up good fig's of late, runs well on wet or dry and adds Blinks. Add that he is 2 for 3 at the distance and, well, there goes the single.

Nice analysis....you basically gave out a $2700 pick 4, here..(with a little luck).

Quote:

Originally Posted by Handicappy

I know. With a little help in the 6th and 9th I would be looking at that. Oh well. It was fun.

That was a strong run at it with a really well built play! Was a quirky as hell sequence.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

That was a strong run at it with a really well built play! Was a quirky as hell sequence.

Thanks alot. You know you have those days where you just seem to be on. But thanks I've only been around the game for about 7 years. I enjoy the show and really enjoy the site here. It'll be my must stop whenever I am handicapping a card.

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush

Nice analysis....you basically gave out a $2700 pick 4, here..(with a little luck).

Thanks. Alas, a little luck didn't happen.

I'm surprised nobody mentioned that despite the labelling of the courses as good the turf was obviously firm.

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I'm surprised nobody mentioned that despite the labelling of the courses as good the turf was obviously firm.

Labelling turf (dirt too, for that matter) course condition is a joke throughout the country.

Zero consitency from track to track (or circuit to circuit).