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-   -   Big Brown is no Preakness lock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22222)

kgar311 05-05-2008 03:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Yeah, I didn't see that coming when you compared Harlem Rocker to Court Vision. :rolleyes:

Ill just be sure to come back to this thread when Harlem Rocker is a non factor in the Preakness.

SCUDSBROTHER 05-05-2008 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311
And you are right anything can happen in a race but I just cant get over the fact that NOBODY on this site can give credit where credit is due.

You're not talking to people that have problems giving out credit.I just think it's very difficult to know who to give the credit to.So,if this horse isn't getting the credit you'd like to see,then it's because a lot of us have no idea how good he is.I can't say that another trainer would have got him to run this well.I can't say he is doing this on his own.I don't know.If you want to see a horse get full props then people need to be pretty sure he is doing it all on his own. Many people have doubts about that.They are skeptical of it.This is the price someone pays when they have multi suspensions for breaking the rules.Nobody knows how good his horse actually is.Do I know how good Benny the Bull,Kip Deville,and Big Brown really are? No,sorry, I don't know that.Given these 3 horses,would any other trainer have the country's best turf miler,sprinter,and 3 year old? Would Diamond Stripes have had that extra reserve energy to come back(after being easily passed in the stretch) and win the Godoplhin Mile?Would another trainer been able to get Big Brown to win with the 20th post in the Derby,and the 12 post at Gulfstream? If your answer is yes,then give Big Brown the credit.If your like many here(with doubts about it,)then we honestly don't have any idea how much credit to give the horse.You're asking us to give credit,and we don't know where it goes.

lemoncrush 05-05-2008 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bid
I dont think hell need any excuses.

I would like to see Miners Claim run on a dirt surface, Preakness would be nice

As would I. I know Casse shipped him back to Toronto, and mentioned possibly trying one of the big summer stakes (Haskell or Travers), although with only 2 races this year, he would seem fit to try the Preakness if they wanted.

I'd also like to see Ready's Echo, but that's probably unlikely. Pletcher mentioned on At the Races a few weeks ago that they may try him in the Peter Pan.

hockey2315 05-05-2008 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311
Whats not to understand, sorry about your low IQ, theres plenty of higher learning establishments here in the us. Im sure Univ. of Phoenix is right up your alley

You're way off, buddy. . .

hockey2315 05-05-2008 05:21 PM

And you never really explained how Harlem Rocker and Court Vision have anything in common. . .

Coach Pants 05-05-2008 05:28 PM

Well at least he didn't compare Harlem Rocker to Yankee Bravo.

ArlJim78 05-05-2008 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311
So what are you saying Court Vision got no hype on DT going into the Derby??? Would you like me to pull up all the threads???

anyone that hyped Court Vision was immediately pounded by others that thought he was overrated. the same for Smooth Air, TomCito, monba and the rest of the cast. there were no universally hyped horses here.

also, the only other solid performance that I've seen this year, other than from Big Brown, was Harlem Rocker. I don't know that he's as good as Big Brown, perhaps not at this point. But I do know that he will offer more resistance than those that showed up on Saturday.

pgardn 05-05-2008 05:48 PM

how many times has harlem rocker gone two turns?

ateamstupid 05-05-2008 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
how many times has harlem rocker gone two turns?

How many times did Bernardini go two turns before the '06 Preakness?

CSC 05-05-2008 08:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Why? Don't horses usually come back after a trip to Canada?

I think this would really depend on Stronach's national patriotism. The Canadian dollar is equal to the U.S dollar, their triple crown is certainly worth some prestige and I think there is a monetary bonus to boot. If he does go in and wins the Plate Trial, I think it is almost assured he will go to the Plate and it might be the Travers or Haskell that he reappears here again.

packerbacker7964 05-05-2008 08:39 PM

Yeah like the Year Fu Peg was looking so good going into the Preakness then along came Red Bullet then the rest is history.

stonegossard 05-05-2008 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Why? Don't horses usually come back after a trip to Canada?


Ummmmm No.......Obviously you have never heard of The Canada Triangle.

AlexP 05-05-2008 09:49 PM

Actually I think the Canadian dollar is worth slightly less than the U.S. dollar. But I agree, I think if he won the Plate Trial he'd go to the Queen's Plate. However, the Preakness would fit in just as well schedule wise as the Trial, and he could then go to the Queen's Plate. The question is, has he raced on synthetics? If he hasn't, and I don't think he has, maybe part of the Plate Trial would to be try him on synthetics first. Also, Canada does have the rule that you have to race twice, I believe, in the country to be considered for a Sovereign Award. I don't believe this would be an issue for Harlem Rocker, because I think if he did well in the Queen's Plate (and maybe even if not) he'd go on to the Prince of Wales which would give him two starts, but any successful run in Canada would enhance his chances at a championship.

pgardn 05-05-2008 10:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
How many times did Bernardini go two turns before the '06 Preakness?

This is Bernardini?
We are truly reaching.

RolloTomasi 05-05-2008 10:25 PM

Not that I'd consider him a major contender, but does anyone know whether or not that Godolphin colt that was a close 2nd in the Lafayette (Hatta Fort or something like that) is pointing to the Preakness? Not sure if he's even a Triple Crown nominee.

hockey2315 05-05-2008 11:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
This is Bernardini?
We are truly reaching.

Does he have to be Bernardini to make the comparison?

And he might be. . .

pgardn 05-05-2008 11:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Does he have to be Bernardini to make the comparison?

And he might be. . .

He better be really good to beat Big Brown.
If the horse's feet stay in good shape there
is no reason to think he still has big upside.

He might be...
I'll bet his not.

Its an extremely convenient comparison.
Grasping.

The track is muddy at Pimlico and we may
have a brand new type of race. If we want
Big Brown to get beat so badly.

ateamstupid 05-05-2008 11:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
This is Bernardini?
We are truly reaching.

What? What evidence makes you say that it's a reach? He probably isn't as good, but he's done just as much through May 6 as Bernardini had done.

mac attack 05-05-2008 11:24 PM

big brown will be runnin in belmont for the tc
 
i'm not a big fan of big brown but his last 2 races he hasn't even had to run hard, so i'm doubtin any horse is gonna run past big brown without him turnin it on and shartin all over their face and destroying their confidence, your best bet is to key him on top and try to hit the tri, and if available, the super, be weiry of el gato malo

pgardn 05-05-2008 11:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
What? What evidence makes you say that it's a reach? He probably isn't as good, but he's done just as much through May 6 as Bernardini had done.

Because Bernardini has already proven himself.
We already know what he did at and after the
Preakness.


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