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If they send Smooth Jazz, it would be a disservice to the horse, because he ran out of gas going 9f, what will happen at 10f? |
I'm not saying he will or wont win the derby, but i have a hard time saying horse has no shot at winning a race in 5 weeks after what he just ran. Of course he could come out of the race with a injury, he could not like the churchill track in training etc. It's not like hes going to be 3-5 in the derby.. There are still several grade 1 races left and at least one horse will step out and have a great race. If you dont want to use him in the derby thats fine, but im not tossing horses 5 weeks out.
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Big Brown will have to buck the same trend that Curlin couldn't last year and that no other horse has since 90 years ago. I know I won't bet on it happening.
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That was freaking awesome.
He won't be my Derby choice, but I'm not dumb enough to completely toss him. |
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And you're already talking about tossing him out? Will you be so sure if he comes out of this just fine and his connections continue to exude confidence right up to the Derby? I don't necessarily disagree with your logic, but I'm waiting and watching how things develop. |
Will I use him on my tickets on May 3rd in L-ville? Sure. Do I think he's the winner? No chance, lance.
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Looking forward to hearing how BB comes out of the Race...very impressive today but hard to imagine that the effort won't have taken a lot out of a horse who has foot problems....Dutrow didn't seem to want to take much time to talk with J Edwards right after the race...
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I'll be interested to see the final fractions in particular.
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you guys do know that no horse has ever come back sound and healthy after winning from the 12 post 9 furlongs GP main track
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The race replay is up on Bloodhorse TCM page. Here's the link: http://tcm.bloodhorse.com/index.asp
1/4 22.76 11.28 1/2 45.83 11.46 3/4 1:10:08 11.68 1m 1:35:18 11.89 1 1/8 1:48:16 12.98 My take: Smooth Air looked good at top of stretch, then struggled a bit, but then got straightened out and was closing well and striding out - did have BB in his sights. Probably will get Derby distance fine. Big Brown ran against nobody, with no real pressure, out front all by himself. Jock knew he had it in the middle of the turn. He was being wrapped up on the last 1/16 (as Smooth Air was indeed closing a bit) No question he'll get Derby distance easily. And he didn't look hard used at all. Tomicito - may close into 3 or 4th in the Derby. |
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Times in 100ths: :22.76 :45.83 1:10.08 1:35.18 1:48.16
Which means by comparision, for what its worth BB would have beaten Shes All Eltish by 18 lengths. The race before was: Times in 100ths: :24.35 :48.36 1:12.79 1:38.17 1:51.80 With all the talk about the girls beating the boys in times this year this puts another stamp on this race. |
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Electrify is faster.
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