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I think that there has to be a grade on a race before the race. There has to be something for people to point to. Otherwise, what's to stop Street Sense from going in the Travers, Hard Spun to the WV Derby, Curlin to the Penn Derby.......and all of them making the claim that their horse is the best horse and therefore their race is the biggest race and the others are ducking them? |
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If we put Secretariat and Forego in the gate with 11 $5k claimers, it would still be a grade one. Obviously there are some kinks to be worked-out. However, you'll never convince me that giving a race a rating before having horses for it makes even remote sense. It's like saying the 2009 Super Bowl will be the greatest two teams to play in history. It's cart before the horse. |
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In terms of pointing towards races... You can just reference the past year's race, or its historical trend. For example, the Travers will likely be a grade one every year. So that works. Let's use the Super Derby.. earlier this decade the rating might be a tad low. But with Lawyer Ron running second, and then getting all those big wins the following year, the rating would go up. Grasshopper is also helping the "rating" as well. So trainers/owners/breeders this year would say, "The Super Derby is now a high grade two versus a low grade two it was four years ago." Races would continually update with each passing day. When Monba runs on Sunday, he might help the rating of the CashCall Futurity if he runs well. Like I said, there are some kinks. But I think if this were hashed-out, and sadly, I have a few pages of notes on this, it could work. |
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Sniper is absolutely correct. If he were to go in the Suburban, it's very likely that no good ones would go to take him on. They might opt for the Foster and make that a tougher race depth wise. It would be like 2003. Mineshaft went to all of the big races and faced nobody while Medaglia d'Oro was facing Candy Ride in the Pacific Classic, Congaree was facing Perfect Drift in Kentucky and Pleasantly Perfect in California, they all were facing each other in the BC. If you were to look at the top six or seven ranked older males in 2003, Mineshaft only faced one of them. He only faced that one horse one time. And he lost to that horse. Other than that, he faced allowance quality fields and ended up as HOY. Was it his fault? No. When it was pretty clear that he was becoming really good and was moving to the leadership of the division, nobody went to face him. If they were grading those races after the fact, Mineshaft doesn't have any grade one wins and doesn't get horse of the year. But the truth is that we know that he was running in the best races and that others were ducking him. We know this because we know which races are supposed to be for the best before they run them. Doing it after the fact opens the door to too many people to duck and dodge and make claims that their race was the best and the other horses should have come to face them. |
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but if the fla derby can be a gr 1, then the ark derby should be as well, especially considering the type of horses who have been running there the last few years. certainly has left more of a mark recently then the bluegrass. |
Why not just go with size of the purse? Presumably the bigger purses should attract the best horses and presumably the best horses would win the biggest pots...
THey had this problem in chess, and finally they asked Kasparov "isnt the tournament with the most money the most important one?" "Yeah, basically that's it.." something like that. Bad analogy. I know, but there's a pt in there.. |
Oh?
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