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-   -   capping 101..the "SPOCK HORSE" (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=19395)

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-16-2008 01:33 PM

well there goes that case nice call ..it was fun for a tuesday..7/2 ..funny i think btw dumped late.. on the 7 at 4-1..lol this crow is tasty..but the 2 did break poorly again.

blackthroatedwind 01-16-2008 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
well there goes that case nice call ..it was fun for a tuesday..7/2 ..funny i think btw dumped late.. on the 7 at 4-1..lol


No, but I did make a score......I bet that CT Phone Home would run last.

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-16-2008 01:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
No, but I did make a score......I bet that CT Phone Home would run last.

the 5 ran big....

declansharbor 01-16-2008 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
horses that break bad usually do it again ...im just not sold that these two are world beaters..like i said we will see weds..

Right on. Didnt break well today.

blackthroatedwind 01-16-2008 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
the 5 ran big....

Surprisingly big.

And you were right about Jet Setting and the break. He came in and bothered Anlyn at the start.

I highly doubt think anyone was beating the winner regardless.

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-16-2008 01:42 PM

nope the 7 is pretty nice ....

Bobby Fischer 01-16-2008 01:45 PM

decent odds for I Promise and decent odds for the I Promise-Jet Setting straight exacta. I didn't have a ton of confidence in I Promise so the value wasn't there for me.

They ran to form as much as we pretty much knew that if I Promise was right, she would win here, and Jet Setting was in good form and would outfinish these.

We capped this race more than we cap some stakes races! :D

Dunbar 01-16-2008 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
No, but I did make a score......I bet that CT Phone Home would run last.

Ouch!

;>)
Dunbar

3kings 01-16-2008 05:52 PM

Thanks guys for a great thread. Interesting to see everyones perspective and betting discipline at work. Threads like this are very helpful for a weekend handicapper like myself. Thank you

miraja2 01-16-2008 06:27 PM

I couldn't have hit that trifecta if I had used 7 out of the 8 horses. I didn't think there was any chance that Mrs Bunny Foo Foo (or whatever her name was) would hit the board. She would have been my pick for last. That shows what I know.

Dunbar 01-16-2008 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
I couldn't have hit that trifecta if I had used 7 out of the 8 horses. I didn't think there was any chance that Mrs Bunny Foo Foo (or whatever her name was) would hit the board. She would have been my pick for last. That shows what I know.

I don't know about picking her for last, but I did have her as LEAST likely to win. And was I hearing the announcer right? Was he pronouncing Mrs Rabbit as "Mrs Wabbit"?!


Quote:

Originally Posted by 3kings
Thanks guys for a great thread. Interesting to see everyones perspective and betting discipline at work. Threads like this are very helpful for a weekend handicapper like myself. Thank you

I like the way this thread developed, too. Maybe we should have our own Race of the Week here at Derby Trail?

--Dunbar

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-16-2008 08:12 PM

agreed .. lets do it again gulfstream park sat race 9 6f 75ko/c good luck

robfla 01-17-2008 04:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
agreed .. lets do it again gulfstream park sat race 9 6f 75ko/c good luck


that race is going to be a LOT harder to dissect. 11 horses, a couple coming off long layoffs or recent long layoffs. At first glance Bold Start seems to be the class, but is making his first start as a 4 y.o. and first start against older horses, could be McPeek has bigger plans for him down the road. Love his workout pattern. Bribon looks to have run some nice races and is in good current form, see if he can transfer that to GP surface having never run in Florida. I also think that Winnie's Tigger Too, who should be a long price, has run some deceptively good races against decent horses at CRC.

3kings 01-17-2008 04:53 AM

If someone has access to free PP's, can they post them for the 'Race of the Week" to fascilitate more discussion and analysis. This way people who might not be playing that particular card would have reference material to follow along.

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-17-2008 09:49 AM

ive got the top 4 as

st damon who on his best day can run with these .off the lay off he looks ready to fire..very good work patern

mr mastre had a good tune up for this and his best running has been done on the dirt

city dweller won the lost code then faded ..layed off for clemont and though shy on figs may improve

bribon the one to beat..top selection ..current form very good and his running lines are tough..that second to diamond isle is a good indicator he can press then clear..

Bobby Fischer 01-17-2008 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3kings
If someone has access to free PP's, can they post them for the 'Race of the Week" to fascilitate more discussion and analysis. This way people who might not be playing that particular card would have reference material to follow along.

Sat GP R9
http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/mcpeek_99839.pdf

Dunbar 01-17-2008 10:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robfla
that race is going to be a LOT harder to dissect. 11 horses, a couple coming off long layoffs or recent long layoffs.

Right, and I'm going to pass on even looking hard at this one. One of my goals when capping is to minimize the amount of inside info that I am up against. When you have possibly good horses coming off year-long layoffs, you are really up against it, IMO.

I'll wait for the next DT Race of the Week.

--Dunbar

declansharbor 01-17-2008 11:29 AM

A return to Bushmill's Best last wins this one IMO. Retains Elvis who gave a good ride last out. Ziadie barn can never be overlooked. Elvis should have this one forwardly placed. I see it as having to hold off St. Daimon, on the cutback with a POSITIVE jock switch with Lezcano up after the 1 year layoff. St. Daimon's worktab says he's ready to fire one, possibly on/near the front. Maybe the time off gave him some fresh legs for the cutback try.

miraja2 01-17-2008 11:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunbar
Maybe we should have our own Race of the Week here at Derby Trail?

I don't like the idea of demonstrating to everyone on here that I'm an idiot every single week.

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-19-2008 09:00 AM

well.go for it steve likes mr mastre..


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