Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   BEL: $60K C/O (4th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1717)

ironprospect 06-09-2006 11:33 AM

friday/belmont
 
5th 4 boysik

6th 3 sunshine johanne
4 game card

7th 2 zinzan
6 monsoon rain
7 regent spirit
8 another look

8th 12 benlaya

9th 2 wild gams
7 khalila

10th 2 spider power


pick6 4 -- 3 4 -- 2 6 7 8 -- 12 - 2 7 - 2 $32

pick4 2 6 7 8 -- 12 -- 2 7 -- 2 $8

grand slam 3 4 -- 2 6 7 8 -- 12 -- 2 7 $16

Kasept 06-09-2006 09:02 PM

Belmont Stakes Day Analysis (r1-13)
 
The 138th running of the Belmont Stakes may lack some star power this year, but a solid undercard featuring five more graded stakesand a spirited wagering menu should make for an enjoyable afternoon at America's Ascot...

R1: EX, TRI, DD
R2: EX, QUI, TRI, P3 (2-3-4), P4 (2-3-4-5)
R3: EX, TRI, P3 (3-4-5)
R4: EX, QUI, TRI, P3 (4-5-6)
R5: EX, TRI, P3 (5-6-7)
R6: EX, TRI, P3 (6-7-8), P6 (6-11)
R7: EX, TRI, P3 (7-8-9), Grand Slam (7-8-9-10)
R8: EX, TRI, P4 (8-9-10-11)
R9: EX, TRI, Super, P3 (9-10-11), DD
R10: EX, TRI, Super, P4 (10-13), DD
R11: EX, TRI, Super, P3 (11-12-13), DD
R12: EX, TRI, DD
R13: EX, TRI, Super

Note that the track should be fast the majority of the day and the turf likely good at best, yielding at worst..


SELECTIONS--Belmont Park, 6/10/06


R1: Clm, 8.5f, 4+

1. #1 Neon Magic 5-2: Lake bay 4/2-1-1 BEL; just missed last
2. #7 Dual Jewels 6-1: Contessa on roll; Velasquez took photo with this one
A. #5 Light Night 8-1
B. #8 Sir Tyler T 7-2


R2: MSW, 6.5f, 3+

1. #1 Spring at Last 5-1: Well meant Pletcvher firster
2. #6 Fly Now 7-2: Zito's Toga trainees running well
A. #7 Calculated Risk 3-1: Phipps homebred working well for return
B. #2 Sandy's Blitz 30-1: Serpe Forestry faced toughies; gets Leparoux


R3: OC/N2x, 7f, 3+

1. #6 Freedom Isn't Free 7-2: Just missed this level in '06 debut
2. #3 Satsoof 5-2: Godolphin bay solid in NA debut
A. #7 Lieutenant Danz 12-1: Toss previous and Contessa adds Bejarano
B. #5 Aristocrat 4-1: Frankel-Stronach bay overcame KEE bias last


R4: Alw/N1x, 7f, NYB-3+

1. #9 He's a Lumberjack 9-5: Faced open stakes company credibly
2. #8 Precise Action 2-1: Violette hot and red always fires
A. #3 Long Lost Pal 8-1
B. #1a Unconcerned 10-1


R5: OC/N1x, 6f, 3+

1. #2 Cool Springs Saint 4-1: Away since Nov., but tough if ready
2. #9 Lively Yourself Up 12-1: Gelding regularly earns smaller checks
A. #1 Saratoga Jet 8-1: Dutrow state-bred on 4 race tear; tries open
B. #3 Afrashad 5-2: Smoke Glacken red gone 23 months; gets Lasix


R6: 28th True North H. (Gr. II), $200k, 6f, 3+

1. #5 Spanish Chestnut 4-1: Square number on solid comeback player
2. #1e Tiger/Voodoo: 6-5: Jerkens doublely eligible with these
3. #4 Celtic Innis 12-1 Scored with this Ritvo gelding Preakness Day


R7: 13th Just a Game (Gr. II), $300k, 1m-T, F&M-3+

1. #2 Gorella 6-5: Imposing chestnut faces males gamely; should cruise
2. #5 Mirabilis 5-1: Derby Day Gr. III winner gets GoGo; stalks
3. #4 Bright Abundance 15-1: Adding exotic value with Clement Gr. III winner


R8: 1st Woody Stephens (or 22nd Riva Ridge) Gr. II, $250k, 7f, 3 yo's

1. #9 Songster 3-1: Right back after monster Hirsch Jacobs
2. #2 Likely 6-1: Biancone listed winner gets plus pace scenario
A. #4 Fabulous Strike 12-1: Sharp gelding from savvy Philly helmsman
B. ##6 Doc Cheney 12-1: Red was cut out to be nice; Chased Bernardini


R9: 76th Acorn, Gr. I, $250,000, Fillies-3 yo, 1m

1. #8 Hello Liberty 6-1: Clever Jones prepped with Gr. II Nassau win
2. #9 Ermine 4-1: Wiseguy KY Oaks runner-up found world of trouble
A. #2 Adieu 2-1: No shame finishing between Joint Effort/Smart n Pretty last
B. #7 Teammate 6-1: Jerkens' Bonnie Miss winner missed earlier target race


R10: 105th Manhattan, Gr. I, $400,000, 3+, 10f-IT

1. #4 Cacique 3-1: .5 length behind 'Channel' in Turf Classic
2. #8 English Channel 5-2: Tough to seperate these 2 classy grassys
A. #3 Sabre d'Argent 20-1: Over head, but Albertrani must think he's ready
B. #2 Relaxed Gesture 5-1: Desert flop aside, a consistent performer


R11: 138th Belmont Stakes, Gr. I, $1,000,000, 12f, 3 yo

1. #7 DEPUTY GLITTERS 15-1: Unique opportunity for heartbroken rider of Barbero Prado and under-lauded Bernardini trainer Albertrani to combine on pair of Classic Double wins. Had better-than-it looked try in Derby and adds winner of 2 "test of the Champion". Owns speed AND tactical option while being one of the few proven commodities available at a price.

2. #11 STEPPENWOLFER 9-2: Show of morning speed an eye-opener last week, and Dan Pietz' Aptitude grey certain to be striding when most others are begging for the line. Has been expertly handled all spring. Horse most likely to hit board.

3. #2 SUNRIVER 4-1: Given circumstances of M/M Jones' homebred being denied Derby saddlecloth, have to believe Pletcher has this Peter Pan winner ready to explode in this spot. Simple as that..

4. #8 JAZIL 10-1: McLaughlin thrilled with progress of pocket rocket that quashed the naysayers in Derby DH 4th, and no reason to think Seeking the Gold bay doesn't at least finish as well at 12f as he did 10. As sweet a colt as you'll ever meet, and another that can jazz the gimmicks.



R12: MSW, 9f-IT, 3+

1. #3 Mantle 7-2: $400k Grand Slam from Pletcher just missed last
2. #6 Ace on the River 12-1: Toner's TGulch bay looks like he's catching on
A. #5 Carson's Band 5-1: Possible lone speed under good Mig
B. #7 Tiz Stormin 15-1: Hough tough 2nd career effort (23% W, 59 % ITM)


R13: MSW, 6f, NYB-3+

1. #6 First Expression 8-1: Take shot that Leparoux makes the difference
2. #9 Crafty Drive 3-1: Tries 2nd career for NYRA exec Duncker, Hauswald
A. #3 Peconic Bay 6-1:
B. #2 Midtown South 7-2:


Best of luck to all..

Enjoy Belmont Day!

Steve Byk

sumitas 06-09-2006 09:23 PM

i was real impressed with new testament. early move but he held up well in the stretch.
http://www.racereplays.com/nybreds/i...cename=friday3

sumitas 06-09-2006 09:37 PM

i'll go with what i consider the 3 best pedigrees for this race, sunriver, jazil, and steppenwolfer...i'll box the 3 for the ex and tri.

we'll leave the forms for another day.

Kasept 06-09-2006 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
A really professional job Steve. I'm glad I have found ya. Enjoy you and Oracle a lot.
You are destined to mke it big all your racing ventures.

Track bothers me, but Cacique is sitting on a big one. Pass on Mirabilis.
My first selections on here. I hope I don't wind up hiding under the bed later.

:D

D/P,

A generous compliment and the sentiment is greatly appreciated.. Am equally glad you've 'signed' on to DT..

Good luck tomorrow..
SB

Togacapper 06-10-2006 02:56 AM

Steve, Wish you good luck tomorrow. I seem to agree with most accept, I really Like Steppen alot tomorrow. Taking a big shot on him. I wouldn't listen to anyone else except you or Andy S. Keep up the great work. Oh and we had another fun night last night Down Under "IAA" .

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-10-2006 09:09 AM

way to go stevo..very nice .....sacred light gets in the top 3 in mine and the 11/1 in race 12...pulpiteer is ready to back up his breedeing..i hope..

dellinger63 06-10-2006 09:24 AM

Thanks Steve and we're pretty much looking at the same horses.
Good Luck All

Hooves give me a call your cell is blocking



My pic 4 starting out of the 8th and it's cheap is 9/2389/248/27

sumitas 06-10-2006 10:45 AM

Deputy Glitters has to be a fan favorite in that he runs beyond his pedigree. i love his true grit and he can win because he's a thoroughbred in the finest sense of the word. i'll support him today, he's earned it.

chromer 06-10-2006 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
A really professional job Steve. I'm glad I have found ya. Enjoy you and Oracle a lot.
You are destined to mke it big all your racing ventures.

Track bothers me, but Cacique is sitting on a big one. Pass on Mirabilis.
My first selections on here. I hope I don't wind up hiding under the bed later.

:D


Dix-

I think Cacique hangs. Hoss is plutonium for me when it comes to win bets. One of us will be under the bed after the race.

chromer 06-10-2006 05:01 PM

A lot of cat hair under here. I really should try to vacume.

Scav 06-10-2006 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63
Thanks Steve and we're pretty much looking at the same horses.
Good Luck All

Hooves give me a call your cell is blocking



My pic 4 starting out of the 8th and it's cheap is 9/2389/248/27


Good luck Dell, geter done

SCUDSBROTHER 06-10-2006 06:36 PM

Steve,you are lucky you got to spend time with the Belmont winner.They said he was "SLOW." They said all he won was his maiden.They said his late close in the Wood was a crap suck up parasite job. Little guy sent them all to bed tonight. Guess he was a little better than they all thought.Gee,he's so painfully "SLOW" that he got 4th in the Derby,and just took down the Belmont.

Bold Brooklynite 06-10-2006 06:49 PM

Get To Know Dixie
 
As usual ... Dixie takes it to the bank.

Hey folks ... those of you who are unfamiliar with the fabulous Mr. Dixie ... here's my word of advice --- Get familiar ... fast!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
A really professional job Steve. I'm glad I have found ya. Enjoy you and Oracle a lot.
You are destined to mke it big all your racing ventures.

Track bothers me, but Cacique is sitting on a big one. Pass on Mirabilis.
My first selections on here. I hope I don't wind up hiding under the bed later.

:D


foggyfan 06-10-2006 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
A really professional job Steve. I'm glad I have found ya. Enjoy you and Oracle a lot.
You are destined to mke it big all your racing ventures.

Track bothers me, but Cacique is sitting on a big one. Pass on Mirabilis.
My first selections on here. I hope I don't wind up hiding under the bed later.

:D

Wow, Cacique won, too! That's amazing!

foggyfan 06-10-2006 07:25 PM

I liked Jazil, but have never made a bet in my life!!!!! Maybe I can learn though.

Do you pronounce his name Jaz*i*l or Jaz*ee*l, though? I'm confused!

Kasept 06-11-2006 08:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by foggyfan
I liked Jazil, but have never made a bet in my life!!!!! Maybe I can learn though.

Do you pronounce his name Jaz*i*l or Jaz*ee*l, though? I'm confused!

The Shadwell folks say it's "Jaz-Zul"..

Kasept 06-11-2006 08:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Steve,you are lucky you got to spend time with the Belmont winner.They said he was "SLOW." They said all he won was his maiden.They said his late close in the Wood was a crap suck up parasite job. Little guy sent them all to bed tonight. Guess he was a little better than they all thought.Gee,he's so painfully "SLOW" that he got 4th in the Derby,and just took down the Belmont.


Scuds,

Ended a long day at Kieran's barn with a very happy crew, Rick Nichols of Shadwell and his wife, Steve Haskin and the winner...

Jazil came out as if he hadn't run.. He remains a delight to be around though he has matured considerably since Louisville even, and is more aggressive than he used to be.

Nichols said Sh. Hamdam will race Jazil as long as he remains healthy, and certainly through next year. "That's what we do.. We race them", he told me last night.

Couldn't be happier for Kieran, as great a guy as there is in the game, and of course Fernando Jara, who yesterday outshone MANY more experienced riders who have botched this unique race over the years. A life-changing 2:30minutes for Jara...

oracle80 06-11-2006 08:19 AM

Jara's ride was stellar, good for him!!!
Steve did you get the message I just left on your cell?

paisjpq 06-11-2006 11:40 AM

you know I tend to bet these races on sentiment--that's why I usually lose--BUT I was all over Jazil yesterday (knew his mother when she was a yearling) and sentiment paid well!


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:18 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.