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pgardn 01-14-2007 08:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Yes the Tuck game was luck. The game as 14 point dogs to the Rams luck, the Colts game luck, the 2 road Pitt games luck. They are just a lucky team. Who cares how they win, they win? At +200 they are free money. They would've covered the game at +5.5 whether they won or not. They are 3 point dogs in Indy right now. And they will be lucky there as well no doubt.

I dont care about past games I care about the present matchup. THis particular matchup was 4 points only because of the Pats history. Brady's 11-1 record pregame should have made the Patriots huge favorites. I did not have any stake in this game whatsoever. But I would never ever take the Pats if that game was replayed. They should have been blown off the field. San Diego is the better team (and I really was not sure which team was better before the game). I always try and bet the best teams knowing that I have the greatest chance of winning, but I also realize the best team does not always win on the scoreboard. After watching that game, it is clear to me San Diego is a better team that lost.

But good for you if that was easy money. I think that was hard earned money. I would have been sweatin.

randallscott35 01-14-2007 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
I dont care about past games I care about the present matchup. THis particular matchup was 4 points only because of the Pats history. Brady's 11-1 record pregame should have made the Patriots huge favorites. I did not have any stake in this game whatsoever. But I would never ever take the Pats if that game was replayed. They should have been blown off the field. San Diego is the better team (and I really was not sure which team was better before the game). I always try and bet the best teams knowing that I have the greatest chance of winning, but I also realize the best team does not always win on the scoreboard. After watching that game, it is clear to me San Diego is a better team that lost.

But good for you if that was easy money. I think that was hard earned money. I would have been sweatin.

And N.O. was the better team last night, but they didn't cover. And the Bears were the best team today, but they didn't cover. And the Yankees are best baseball team year in and year out but they don't win the World Series. Again, the only way to make money, just like horse racing is to bet underdogs. Find the live ones and bet them. The best teams lose all the time.

pgardn 01-14-2007 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
And N.O. was the better team last night, but they didn't cover. And the Bears were the best team today, but they didn't cover. And the Yankees are best baseball team year in and year out but they don't win the World Series. Again, the only way to make money, just like horse racing is to bet underdogs. Find the live ones and bet them. The best teams lose all the time.

I have better luck finding better teams getting points. College mostly. But the pros occasionally. The biggest one this year in the pros for me (really my brother) was St. Louis getting points at Oakland. We wait patiently. Oh well you got the money, so you got the bragging rights. Congrats.

Suffolk Shippers 01-14-2007 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Suffolk Shippers
-Patriots excel at shutting down what a team does best and makes that team beat them some other way. That being said, Pats will NOT shutdown LT, it's impossible. But they will slow him down. He will not be the game changer. That leaves the game in Rivers' hands. Belichick will be salivating. Rookie QB in the playoffs. Advantage NE

-SD's defense is stout. Pats will be hard pressed to make hay. However, SD and NE play the same 3-4 with speed rushers. So did the now departed NY Jets. Pats will throw a few wrinkles, but Brady will make his plays.

-Sidelines. Belichick vs Schottenheimer. Like asking if you want a blow job or a kick in the balls. The choice is obvious.

New England 26, San Diego 20

appears I wasnt too off base...and I'll take the blow job every time :cool:

randallscott35 01-14-2007 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Suffolk Shippers
appears I wasnt too off base...and I'll take the blow job every time :cool:

Hopefully you got both.

Suffolk Shippers 01-14-2007 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Hopefully you got both.

I dont like to brag, but the Patriots did win and I'd put last night in the "good night" column if you know what I mean haha

2 Dollar Bill 01-15-2007 08:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2 Dollar Bill
Be careful....... Marty ball against Brady ball ? Didnt the Jets win a playoff game in SD a few years ago ?


Leave it to Marty Ball !!!

skippy3481 01-15-2007 04:01 PM

2 dollar, that loss had absolutely nothing to do with marty ball. That had to do with two very bad turnovers( the last one was utterly retarded)

hi_im_god 01-13-2008 09:03 PM

i'm going out on a limb.

i think new england wins this game but loses to eventual super bowl champ indianapolis. they'll trade a 4th round draft choice for randy moss and then come back 16-0 in 2007 and play san diego again for the afc championship.

i just have a feeling.

pgardn 01-13-2008 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hi_im_god
i'm going out on a limb.

i think new england wins this game but loses to eventual super bowl champ indianapolis. they'll trade a 4th round draft choice for randy moss and then come back 16-0 in 2007 and play san diego again for the afc championship.

i just have a feeling.

NO you are David Blaine
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AYxu_MQSTTY

3kings 01-14-2008 05:06 AM

Isn't Sid Gillman still the coach of the Chargers? He's known for his innovative defense, they may shut out the Patriots.

JJP 01-16-2008 06:12 PM

How about New England against the spread? 2-7 ATS in their last 9.

3kings 01-16-2008 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I was talking about that with someone today. If you look at some of the spreads though they were pretty tough to take. It almost feels like Vegas took a big hit early this year with NE, because I believe they covered in their first 8 games. So much so that they are basically daring people to bet NE.

Hoss,
Where Vegas is really getting killed is on the over, they can't make it high enough. I don't have the exact # but during the middle of the season other than the Indy game they went over 10-11 weeks in a row.

IrishofNDMan 01-16-2008 07:13 PM

I'd like the Bolts to beat the Patriots, but this game is probably going to get UGLY! I will probably load up on the Patriots -14.

NoChanceToDance 01-18-2008 02:45 PM

Can't see this being a high scoring game, myself. I think that Chargers +14 is a massive bet.

horseofcourse 01-18-2008 05:52 PM

I see no possible way the Chargers don't cover this. Call me crazy, but haven't they won 8 straight games?? NE a great team, but they are starting to get figured out...just not figured out good enough as someone mentioned they're 2-7 against the spread their last 9. If I were a betting man I would completely load up on the Chargers this game. I guess if Rivers is out that changes things...but even then...the Eagle backup and Kyle Boller beat the spread against them. Very easy money in my opinion to be made here.

Danzig 01-18-2008 06:11 PM

i think the patriots win. and then win the super bowl. i know some teams have played some hellacious games against new england, managing to get themselves up for the game of their lives...but the pats still find a way to win. i don't see sunday being any different. and the chargers are pretty dinged up--rivers has a partial tear of his ACL, i don't see him playing. and i'm not sure how much LT will get accomplished, he's pretty sore as well.

SniperSB23 01-18-2008 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
I see no possible way the Chargers don't cover this. Call me crazy, but haven't they won 8 straight games?? NE a great team, but they are starting to get figured out...just not figured out good enough as someone mentioned they're 2-7 against the spread their last 9. If I were a betting man I would completely load up on the Chargers this game. I guess if Rivers is out that changes things...but even then...the Eagle backup and Kyle Boller beat the spread against them. Very easy money in my opinion to be made here.

Looks like pointgiven got a hold of horseofcourse's password. I think the Chargers will cover but I can see about 600,000 scenarios where the Patriots blow them out.

IrishofNDMan 01-18-2008 08:28 PM

Patriots cover, eventhough I hate them!

41-17

it will be that bad!

Cannon Shell 01-18-2008 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
Patriots cover, eventhough I hate them!

41-17

it will be that bad!

17-1 is still a pretty good year

geeker2 01-18-2008 10:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
Patriots cover, eventhough I hate them!

41-17

it will be that bad!

I don't know Irish...your fav Rivers looks like he will play..could be closer than most think.:)

IrishofNDMan 01-18-2008 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2
I don't know Irish...your fav Rivers looks like he will play..could be closer than most think.:)

I actually hope Rivers plays, I said it before and I mean it, Volek is a more dangerous QB than Rivers.

IrishofNDMan 01-18-2008 10:19 PM

Don't get me wrong though, I would love for the Chargers to win, which is probably why I won't end up betting it.

geeker2 01-18-2008 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
Don't get me wrong though, I would love for the Chargers to win, which is probably why I won't end up betting it.


It would be great for San Diego Chargers to win..cause it looks like in the future they may soon be called the Chula Vista Chargers.

I was just tweaking you on Rivers....I bet Billy plays most of the game...and so far I haven't been a fan of his ..but he played AOK last game.

Go Chargers!

IrishofNDMan 01-18-2008 10:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2
It would be great for San Diego Chargers to win..cause it looks like in the future they may soon be called the Chula Vista Chargers.

I was just tweaking you on Rivers....I bet Billy plays most of the game...and so far I haven't been a fan of his ..but he played AOK last game.

Go Chargers!

I look at the success Volek had as a Titan, he was throwing the ball all over the field and putting up 300 yard games consistently with them, and with what Wr's????

geeker2 01-18-2008 10:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
I look at the success Volek had as a Titan, he was throwing the ball all over the field and putting up 300 yard games consistently with them, and with what Wr's????


If he has a great game Sunday...I'll be singing his praises 4 sure...

JJP 01-18-2008 11:49 PM

As much as I hate New England, I think they'll destroy San Diego. You don't go from 70 degree weather into 0 wind chill and not have it effect you. And if anyone wants to compare Jax going into Pitt, forget it. Jacksonville gets chillier than SD and it was about 30 degrees when they played at Pitt.

NoChanceToDance 01-19-2008 06:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJP
As much as I hate New England, I think they'll destroy San Diego. You don't go from 70 degree weather into 0 wind chill and not have it effect you. And if anyone wants to compare Jax going into Pitt, forget it. Jacksonville gets chillier than SD and it was about 30 degrees when they played at Pitt.

I do think the weather could be a problem for The Chargers, but it isn't as if they aren't expecting it. These professionals should be too focused to let the cold bother tham too much.

I wouldn't be concerned who started as Quarter back. Rivers has found some form in recent weeks and before he went off against The Colts he was looking pretty good.

I knew little about Volek before that game, but he impressed me in the final quarter, when most people thought The Chargers would fold without Rivers. I keep hearing about his success at The Titans with nothing like the offence he has to work with at San Diego. The only concern would be lack of game practice. A full game might be just out of reach.

I don't agree with those who think The Pats will run away with this one. Sure, they will almost certainly win, but I cannot see a winning margin any higher than 14.

The Pats defence will be tested to the limit with the Chargers recievers being massive to say the least. Jackon is huge and can collect almost anything at the moment.

Pats have come close to defeat a few times so I have heard this season and many have said it was the opposition making silly mistakes rather than the Pats being too good that have kept them undefeated this year.

Would love to see The Chargers win, but I think The Pats will just edge it.

geeker2 01-19-2008 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJP
As much as I hate New England, I think they'll destroy San Diego. You don't go from 70 degree weather into 0 wind chill and not have it effect you. And if anyone wants to compare Jax going into Pitt, forget it. Jacksonville gets chillier than SD and it was about 30 degrees when they played at Pitt.


I think the wind would have a bigger effect than the cold... unless your on the bench away from the warmers - can't see it making any difference.

JJP 01-19-2008 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2
I think the wind would have a bigger effect than the cold... unless your on the bench away from the warmers - can't see it making any difference.

I see you are from San Diego. If you think the cold will make no difference, you are crazy. Teams from California, Florida, Arizona, Texas and Louisiana have very poor ATS records when venturing into sub 32 degree weather. It takes several days to get adjusted. There's many people who've lived their whole lives in the north and still have trouble adjusting to winter.

hi_im_god 01-19-2008 08:13 PM

ne 38 sd 14 shouldn't be the controlling factor here. this isn't week 2.

san diego might like the cold. and maybe they're healthier.

personally, i love san diego.

i just don't want to be there for the tidal wave.

horseofcourse 01-19-2008 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Looks like pointgiven got a hold of horseofcourse's password. I think the Chargers will cover but I can see about 600,000 scenarios where the Patriots blow them out.

See Tom Brady in strong wind in NE against the Jets. That's about all you need to know about this game.

pgardn 01-19-2008 08:37 PM

A significant number of SD players have been on cold weather teams.
I dont think weather should be a problem. I think NE is the problem.

And LT not full speed...
Rivers????
Gates.....

SD does have two very good CB's. If they can possibly match up and allow some creativity on defense... Nah... NE. Rootin for San Diego.

herkhorse 01-19-2008 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
See Tom Brady in strong wind in NE against the Jets. That's about all you need to know about this game.


!!!!!!!!!!!!

hi_im_god 01-19-2008 09:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by horseofcourse
See Tom Brady in strong wind in NE against the Jets. That's about all you need to know about this game.

maroney gets a career high rushing and the pats win like in that game?

or the wind only blows against brady?

geeker2 01-19-2008 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJP
I see you are from San Diego. If you think the cold will make no difference, you are crazy. Teams from California, Florida, Arizona, Texas and Louisiana have very poor ATS records when venturing into sub 32 degree weather. It takes several days to get adjusted. There's many people who've lived their whole lives in the north and still have trouble adjusting to winter.


Raised in the snow/cold winter crap of upstate NY...got smart and left 25+ years ago...if necessary I could suit up in the cold no problem...I just choose not to..I like 70F and sunny better.

Keating kicks a field goal with no time left and Chargers win.....Brady has a bad day as Jessica Simpson decides to dump Romo and keeps waving at Tom during the game. He throws 12 interseptions and fumbles 5 times.....but gets Laid after the game...which is nice!

Go Chargers

horseofcourse 01-19-2008 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hi_im_god
maroney gets a career high rushing and the pats win like in that game?

or the wind only blows against brady?

Yes, hopefully by 7 or 10 points whichever it was. I think they are favored by 14. So yes, I would love it if the Pats win just like that game!! I think it will be an interesting game.

hi_im_god 01-19-2008 11:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeker2
Raised in the snow/cold winter crap of upstate NY...got smart and left 25+ years ago...if necessary I could suit up in the cold no problem...I just choose not to..I like 70F and sunny better.

Keating kicks a field goal with no time left and Chargers win.....Brady has a bad day as Jessica Simpson decides to dump Romo and keeps waving at Tom during the game. He throws 12 interseptions and fumbles 5 times.....but gets Laid after the game...which is nice!

Go Chargers

calling on yoko romo for help is a sign of desperation.


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