Washed out yesterday so I'll do double today. Pressed for time so recap tomorrow

Day 18
Best bet: Race 7- #1 Portfolio Company
Race 8- #6 Dorth Vader

Longshot- Race 3- #1 Ragtime Blues
Race 12- #2 Danzigwiththestars

Neither did much running

Gem Mint Ten ran 2nd paying $6 to place
Washed out

I didn’t love the ride Rosario gave Portfolio Company from the 1/2 mile pole on and he finished 3rd beaten about a neck. Dorth Vader was 4th in the saddest race I’ve ever seen. Ragtime Blues showed speed and stopped and Danzigwiththestars was a close 5th.

Meet totals
$144 wagered
$68.90 returned

Day 19
On the bright side, this has been my worst start to a meet I can remember, which means the second half has to be better.

Best bet: Race 1- #10 Ozara
They paid over $400k for this daughter of Lope de Vega at Tattersalls last year. Clement has a 2 year old winner going lawn on grass already and I really liked her work on 7/30. She stayed behind her stablemate and then when they turned for home she got outside and pinned her ears back and picked her up. She’s a small filly but I think there’s talent here. Use with the 8 and 11

Longshot- Race 9- #6 Up Her Sleeve
She was basically eased last time in a race that happened right after a huge storm. Many didn’t handle the course and I think she fits under that category. I like that they keep her at this level and I think she’s alone on the front end if Jaime Torres wants it.

Great Pick, and thanks!

Nice pick. I had her race 1 for $10. Thinking of stopping betting today after that. She was a nice price.

Thanks guys.

Off turf for second pick but I’m staying with it. Hoping to wire

Well done

Thanks buddy

Ozara was a lucky winner paying $26 and $9.90, she ran to her work, but runner up was best, but I'll take it.

Meet totals
$152 wagered
$104.80 returned

Day 20

Best bet: Race 9- #6 Timeless Journey
Sunset Louise is the obvious horse to beat here but I wonder if she is as good on a dry track as she is when it's wet. I think she will face a little pace pressure here and I think the race sets up well for Timeless Journey. She's fresh, gets a patient rider and I think a mile hits her right between the eyes.

Longshot: Race 6- #1 Buttercream Babe
They paid $180k for this daughter of Twirling Candy in April after she was a $140k buy in September. She worked 10 flat at the Ocala sale but I really liked the work I watched on XBTV. She was inside of two horses, battled well in hand while the rider struggled to get her on the correct lead, but once she did she took off again and was much the best. I think she has some ability

Substitute #1 Morethanafeeling in the 10th

Day 21

On the road, pressed for time

Best bet: Race 4- #3 Rocco Strong
Longshot: Race 8- #4 With Know Name

Timeless Journey got run down late, paying $6.70 to place. Morethanafeeling got up late, paying $5.70 and $3.20
Rocco Strong looked like a winner at the top of the stretch but was ultimately 2nd bets paying $4.40 to place. With Know Name stunk

Meet totals
$168 wagered
$124.80 returned

Day 22

Best bet: Race 5- #4 Lady Milagro
Scratches help this one out a lot as I think she’s alone on the lead as long as she breaks. Torres rides speed well and I think she’s long gone.

Longnshot: Race 6- #5 Provocateur
Last years Hutcheson winner is now with Bill Mott after being sold last fall and has been working well. He held his own with Art Collector in their work two back and I think he falls into a dream spot behind what should be a quick pace. Mott having a strong meet and he hasn’t missed a beat since mid May.

Lady Milagro was lone speed, set a fact pace and held well for 2nd paying $4.60 to place. I thought Provocatuer ran really well. Was on the fast pace, dropped back and then battled well just getting out finished for 2nd. Unfortunately you don’t get paid for running well.

Meet totals
$176 wagered
$129.40 returned

Day 23

Best bet: Race 5- #5 Deterministic
I really liked the way this colt looked in his August 5th work. Started about 2 lengths behind his workmate, was kept behind him into the stretch and then once he was shown daylight he really extended and picked up his workmate. Ive noticed this is something Clement has done with his two other 2 year old debut winners at the meet. They paid $625,000 for this son of Liam’s Map at the Keeneland September sale which made him the highest priced Liam’s Map sold at the sale.


Longshot: Race 2- #1/1A Entry
I prefer All About Tonite who looked like a little rocket ship in the 7/17 work from the gate. Dam a 3 time winner on the grass and The Factor is a decent grass sire. I think this one is quick and might end up getting lost on the board

LOL I suck.

The entry, more specifically the horse I preferred wasn’t good but I might be interested in the horse next time because he ran like a horse that needed one. Deterministic looked like a horse who has a date with stakes in his future. Off slow and swung widest of all and when he leveled out he ran and won paying $9.10 and $5.20

Meet totals
$184 wagered
$143.70 returned

Day 24

I love the card today which means I’ll probably go 0 for 10

Best bet: Race 7- #4 Saint Tapit
This is the kind of horse I normally don’t like. He’s obviously very talented but his last few have been bad. He went to the sidelines after his last bad start in January and didn’t show up on the work tab until June so I assume something was amiss. I really liked his last two works. First he outworked Dreamlike who runs later in the card and then stakes horse Wit. I just think we see his good race today and he should be a fair price.

Longshot: Race 10- #7 Private Creed
Race should feature a fast pace. I can make excuses for his last two. He got involved way too late two back. Last time he found himself ay closer to the pace than normal. Around the turn he bobbled, costing him a few lengths and then he re-engaged and fought down the lane. This is the kind of horse that aRosario usually rides well and Asmussen has been on a roll with his turf sprinters. Hopefully he can pick them all up late

Saint Tapit was an awful pick. Private Creed ran much better but wasn't able to catch the Adam Rice horse, paying $12.40 to place.

Meet totals
$192 wagered
$156.10 returned

Day 25

Best bet: Race 6- #8 Portage
She's looked like a totally different filly in Linda Rice's barn :rolleyes: and her last was her best yet. I think she projects to sit a very nice trip outside the speed and Rice has strong numbers with horses who have won their last race coming back.

Longshot: Race 8- #4 Bernt Again
I wanted to go outside the box here in a race that I think will feature some chaos. She's been much improved this year, ran well last time and is drawn well. If Manny can stay inside and find a seem, I think she can be right there

Portage ran her race but was no match for a filly with a future, paying $4.20 to place. I got the ride and trip I wanted with Brent Again, but she’s just not as good as some of these but ran well for 3rd

Meet totals
$200 wagered
$160.30 returned

Day 26

Best bet: Race 6- #10 King James
To me this is a case of this horse being much better than any of these other on dirt. Trainer is no bargain and I have no idea what the price will be, but he stands out to me.

Longshot: Race 4- #5 Western Ghent
Not necessarily a long shot per set but I think the price will be fair here and I like this horse a lot. If you look at his PPs you’ll see names like Two Phil’s, Extra Anejo and Slip Mahoney. He isn’t facing anywhere near that today. I think he’s been in way over his head class wise and I also think he’s a sprinter. He’s in the right spot today and should give a much better account of himself

Day 27

No time

Best bet: Race 9- #9 Wendell Fong
Longshot: Race 6- #5 Savage Spirit

The seconds are really piling up. King James got a ridiculous ride and rallied for 2nd paying $3.10 to place and Western Ghent ran a much improved race but was unable to hold off another Linda Rice horse :rolleyes: paying $4 to place
Wendell Fong got a decent ride getting inside and moving up what I thought was a good rail, then Katie got off it for no reason and looked like the horse was swimming. Savage Spirit was nowhere

Meet totals
$216 wagered
$167.40 returned

Day 28

Best bet: Race 7- #2 Aspray
I'm throwing out the Belmont Oaks, because I think she got the wrong kind of trip that day. She was uncovered and probably doesn't want to go that far. Her prior races were all very strong before that and I think with her draw she will be able to enjoy and good trip and prove best. Chad Brown won last years renewal of this with a horse who bombed in the Oaks and I'm hoping lightning strikes twice.

Longshot: Race 9- #5 Fireline
Another pick where I'm just throwing out my horses last race. Delaware is a weird track and to me it looked like she was running in spots. For Chad to run here, have to think he thinks she fits and I thought her last few works I watched were very good. 10 furlongs at Saratoga is a war and I think she's the kind of horse that will apprciate it more than others.

Fireline will probably be a big price because of that Delaware race. I thought the track was playing to speed horses that day and she just never had much of a chance to win that one. I wouldn’t be surprised to see her run big today. Good luck.

Day 29

Traveling so no time for a write up

Best bet: Race 4- #5 She’s Fire
Longshot: Race 7- #2 Set Sail

Aspray sat a good trip and won going away paying $8.70 and $4.80. Fireline was awful
She's Fire didn't fire. Set Sail set the pace, tired late finishing 3rd

Meet totals
$232 wagered
$180.90 returned

Hard to believe we're down to the last two weeks of the meet. Big week coming up, hoping the weather cooperates a little.

Day 30
Best bet: Race 3- #1/1A Jacobson entry
I prefer Mid Day Image on the cutback here. If he ends up scratching I might have to alter this pick. I like the cutback, Jacobson barn going well right now and I think he fits really well. If High Front wins, I lose. That Canterbury race sticks out like a sore thumb and I need to see him do that again

Longshot: Race 6- #1 Albedo
I thought this one ran okay in spots in his debut. Didn't break sharp, but made his way into contention and was green through the lane. Blinkers, Saez and projected improvement 2nd out make this one dangerous IMO

Both picks were awful. Can’t get any momentum started and am pressing at this point.

Meet totals
$240 wagered
$180.90 returned

Day 31

Best bet- Race 6- #5 Sousa Summer
Loses Rosario, who gave him a perfect ride last time when he ran down a well meant horse. Should get plenty of pace to run at and he really seems to thrive here

Longshot: Race 3- #5 Unanimous Consent
I expect a much better effort today 2nd off the long break. At one point this one was one of Chad’s better 3 year olds. He’s a horse that needs a busy ride, so in retrospect Irad might’ve been a bad fit last time. Gets Manny Franco back, should get some pace to run at.

Nice call on SS.

Nice call there.

That'll get you back on track Hossy.. Great job in a tough race.

I used Sosua last time as a DePaula Play and just had co-owner Gary Barber Wednesday (and brought him up on air..) and then didn't use him yesterday.. :zz:

Nice

Thanks guys. Blind squirrel

Unanimous Consent was bad, but Sousa Summer got a prefect ride to just hold off Fauci who got an even better ride, paying $8.70 and $4

Meet totals
$248 wagered
$193.60 returned

Day 32

Best bet: Race 5- #3 Alternate Reality
Katie takes over for Jackie here and I think this one still has some upside. Was very game two back wearing down the leader who got away with an easy half. Throw out the Dwyer as he’s not in the class of those horses. As long as the field stays intact, should get pace to run in to and I think he will be coming beat of all late.

Longshot: Race 6- #5 Change of Command
I have a lot of thoughts about this race. I’ve heard rumblings that at least 4 of them can really run. I would love Air of Defiance if he was breaking from any other post than the rail. He’s a huge son of Quality Road and he outworked Slip Mahoney in the morning. I just think the rail will be his undoing here. They paid a lot of money for Wajda in March after he worked 10 flat while not being asked. I just didn’t like what I saw in the works I watched locally and want to give him one. Apollo Ten worked with strong debut winner Deterministic and held his own, but dam was all turf and best sibling to race was all turf as well. Fierceness might be a good one. Has looked fast and strong in the mornings and looks like the prototypical Pletcher good thing first out, but I’m going to take a shot with another one.

They paid over a million for Change of Command last fall at Keeneland. Dam was 0 for 3 in her career, but second dam won multiple stakes sprinting. He’s looked very good in the morning looking like he has much more run to give and I expect him to run very well. Im a little concerned that Shug has had such a tough meet but I think he has a good one here.

Day 33

Best bet: Race 12- #4 Mage
Longshot: Race 5- #3 English Conqueror