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-   -   BC Sprint Purse Being Withheld (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=61364)

KidCruz 12-23-2016 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1082921)
FTFY.

What is wrong with you?

jms62 12-23-2016 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1082921)
FTFY.

Wow.... Maybe it is you that is miserable cause there is nothing this guy wrote deserving of that kind of outburst. Outrageous and doesn't paint you in a very good light. Were you hacked? Is this Shtick?

RHT2004 12-23-2016 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 1082923)
Wow.... Maybe it is you that is miserable cause there is nothing this guy wrote deserving of that kind of outburst. Outrageous and doesn't paint you in a very good light. Were you hacked? Is this Shtick?

In his defense there are shots being taken on other boards that appear to be KC.

KidCruz 12-23-2016 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1082925)
In his defense there are shots being taken on other boards that appear to be KC.

They aren't me. I am KidCruz only.

jnunan4759 12-23-2016 06:54 PM

I agree with Steve. This situation wouldn't have happened years ago because the efforts hadn't been made yet to do this kind of testing and at these type of levels. There are still a lot of variables to be resolved, which this situation has highlighted.

However, they do have to do something about compounded drugs. That is ridiculous. There are little or no controls.

freddymo 12-24-2016 07:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jnunan4759 (Post 1082958)
I agree with Steve. This situation wouldn't have happened years ago because the efforts hadn't been made yet to do this kind of testing and at these type of levels. There are still a lot of variables to be resolved, which this situation has highlighted.

However, they do have to do something about compounded drugs. That is ridiculous. There are little or no controls.

Uhm the biggest control is in place and always has been in place..You don't have to use such drugs. You don't have to practice this type of regiment. I don't think Ellis did a darn thing shady BUT he got caught speeding. He clearly has experience using this drug.

Would more have been done to prevent the horse from running if the field was larger?

If this was a trainer with less backstretch cred would BC scratched horse?

Whatever drug guidelines you set up people are going to exploit to the N'th degree.

SCUDSBROTHER 12-25-2016 02:54 PM

Wow. Over the last 30 some odd years (out here) this has been our cleanest trainer. He'd rather lose than win the wrong way. Always been too conservative for many owners' taste.

philcski 12-26-2016 11:47 PM

Those that are saying "I want my money for the Drefong-MYB exacta" yadda yadda think about this: Caffeine has a half life of about 6 hours. Stanozolol (injected, which I'm assuming was the administering method) has a half life of about 24 hours. We are talking about 60 half-lifes- so the performance equivalent of that coffee you had at Starbucks 2 weeks ago. Impact: Zero, zip, nada.

For full disclosure, I completely pitched Masochistic, so I lost money on intrarace bets.

declansharbor 12-27-2016 06:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 1083203)
Those that are saying "I want my money for the Drefong-MYB exacta" yadda yadda think about this: Caffeine has a half life of about 6 hours. Stanozolol (injected, which I'm assuming was the administering method) has a half life of about 24 hours. We are talking about 60 half-lifes- so the performance equivalent of that coffee you had at Starbucks 2 weeks ago. Impact: Zero, zip, nada.

For full disclosure, I completely pitched Masochistic, so I lost money on intrarace bets.

People wager on other people drinking Starbucks?

There was a systemic failure here during the biggest weekend of racing in the US.

freddymo 12-27-2016 08:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 1083207)
People wager on other people drinking Starbucks?

There was a systemic failure here during the biggest weekend of racing in the US.

System worked the way it was structured, it didn't fail. The system structure is flawed. Your post suggests corruption, which may or may not be intended. I agree the horse in theory should not have run. I don't agree the system was in place to prevent him from running and CHRB elected to allow him to run, in essence defrauding the bettors. It's one thing to say the system is broke let's fix it and another to imply it failed to operate as intended. Connects were given information and CHRB expected them to make a decision based on that information. Connects were of opinion based on previous dosing practice that gelding would test clean. oops

jms62 12-27-2016 08:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 1083208)
System worked the way it was structured, it didn't fail. The system structure is flawed. Your post suggests corruption, which may or may not be intended. I agree the horse in theory should not have run. I don't agree the system was in place to prevent him from running and CHRB elected to allow him to run, in essence defrauding the bettors. It's one thing to say the system is broke let's fix it and another to imply it failed to operate as intended. Connects were given information and CHRB expected them to make a decision based on that information. Connects were of opinion based on previous dosing practice that gelding would test clean. oops

I don't know how you can get that he suggested corruption from that post. I didn't get that at all.

freddymo 12-27-2016 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 1083203)
Those that are saying "I want my money for the Drefong-MYB exacta" yadda yadda think about this: Caffeine has a half life of about 6 hours. Stanozolol (injected, which I'm assuming was the administering method) has a half life of about 24 hours. We are talking about 60 half-lifes- so the performance equivalent of that coffee you had at Starbucks 2 weeks ago. Impact: Zero, zip, nada.

For full disclosure, I completely pitched Masochistic, so I lost money on intrarace bets.

This is a dubious position. 2 days after galloping in an allowance the gelding was treated for bleeding and appetite enhancement. Within 48 hours after a stroll THEY KNEW the horse needed therapeutic anabolic steroids in order to compete at maximum levels 70 days later and test clean(or so they thought.
I get the trace elements in the geldings system had 0 impact that day on the horses effort but is that really the spirit of banning them from performance enhancement? This horse needed steroids to trainer harder keep weight on so that on race day he would be at optimum fitness. And there are several professional that have written that anabolic steroids continue to have dramatic benefit even after complete detectable withdrawal.

cmorioles 12-28-2016 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 1083216)
This is a dubious position. 2 days after galloping in an allowance the gelding was treated for bleeding and appetite enhancement. Within 48 hours after a stroll THEY KNEW the horse needed therapeutic anabolic steroids in order to compete at maximum levels 70 days later and test clean(or so they thought.
I get the trace elements in the geldings system had 0 impact that day on the horses effort but is that really the spirit of banning them from performance enhancement? This horse needed steroids to trainer harder keep weight on so that on race day he would be at optimum fitness. And there are several professional that have written that anabolic steroids continue to have dramatic benefit even after complete detectable withdrawal.

We all know what Ellis was doing here. He was giving the horse as much steroid as he thought he could possibly get away with and stay within the rules. This wasn't therapeutic. But he didn't know as much as he thought he did about using it and it burned him.

How do you tell the owner you have to scratch from the race you've been doping...err...planning for all year?

Indian Charlie 12-28-2016 11:49 PM

I want to know if Ellis tried to enter Masochistic in the Malibu!

Alabama Stakes 12-29-2016 12:07 AM

Yes but was denied

Kasept 12-29-2016 04:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1083258)
I want to know if Ellis tried to enter Masochistic in the Malibu!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1083259)
Yes but was denied

Needs to test clear before running.

Kasept 12-29-2016 04:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles (Post 1083257)
We all know what Ellis was doing here. He was giving the horse as much steroid as he thought he could possibly get away with and stay within the rules. This wasn't therapeutic. But he didn't know as much as he thought he did about using it and it burned him.

How do you tell the owner you have to scratch from the race you've been doping...err...planning for all year?

Craig.. I get that despite being fully aware of the difference you're eager to paint every horseman with the same brush, but to call the Ellis training plan 'doping' is a disservice to the broader discussion.

cakes44 12-29-2016 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1083258)
I want to know if Ellis tried to enter Masochistic in the Malibu!

This is very good. Not sure how many get the reference anymore though.

freddymo 12-29-2016 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1083261)
Craig.. I get that despite being fully aware of the difference you're eager to paint every horseman with the same brush, but to call the Ellis training plan 'doping' is a disservice to the broader discussion.

"Training Plan"? Ok the definition is now in place, a Training Plan is defined and can include the administration of banned race day drugs on a specific date based on guidelines set forth for a previously manufactured drug that is no longer available.

Let's see if I can use it in a sentence. We should claim that horse, he will go into my training program, and will race better.

In my training program we see horses able to train harder and eat well even if they have trouble keeping weight on when trained aggressively.

Once a horse is in my training program they race every 70 days and test clean of any administered compounded banned race day anabolic steroids.


good grief please dont suggest that calling a spade a spade detracts from potential for the Industry to redine the definition of a "training program circa 2016"

Do I think Ellis cheated NO. He is smart great trainer. He learned what to do legally to give his barn and connections the best opportunity to compete and earn. Did he push envelope to edge cross the line, and make a horrid decision, of course.

cmorioles 12-29-2016 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1083261)
Craig.. I get that despite being fully aware of the difference you're eager to paint every horseman with the same brush, but to call the Ellis training plan 'doping' is a disservice to the broader discussion.

You are painting me with a broad brush. I'm addressing one guy that I think was trying to get the maximum amount of steroids into a horse before the big race. It isn't like this is the only horse he does it with. A recently claimed filly went on the 60 day vet list two days after being claimed. He does this all the time. I just do see any way this is therapeutic.

He found a way to get around the alleged "steroids ban", until he didn't. You know who else does it a lot? Peter Miller. I don't see Bob Baffert's name popping up repeatedly on the vet's list for 60 days. I don't see lots of other name trainers, so I can only assume they aren't using steroids. It isn't a broad brush at all, it is about pointing out the guys that are doing shady things playing around the edges of the rules.

And yes, I agree there were other issues regarding this race that should be addressed. Are they more or less serious? I'm not sure to be honest. The horse never should have been allowed to race in the BC Sprint. But let us not forget the root of the problem...Ellis routinely using steroids to train, all the while skipping G1 races to do it.

cmorioles 12-29-2016 09:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 1083271)
Do I think Ellis cheated NO. He is smart great trainer. He learned what to do legally to give his barn and connections the best opportunity to compete and earn. Did he push envelope to edge cross the line, and make a horrid decision, of course.

He wasn't as smart as he thought he was in the end though.

freddymo 12-29-2016 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles (Post 1083274)
He wasn't as smart as he thought he was in the end though.

Yeah it's going to leave a mark. I don't think Miller or Ellis are cheating, until they fix the loopholes its within guidelines and guidelines are set forth to educate people what is and isnt acceptable tolerance to medication use. Very hard to fault anyone who knows the rules and comes as close as they possible can to breaking them without crossing line. The real puzzle in this is why the heck did he take such a risk given the info he had. Now the jig is up for all these 70 day steroid guys, I bet they would have paid him to scratch the horse so not to further expose the recipe..lol Kidding

Rupert Pupkin 01-01-2017 12:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1083266)
This is very good. Not sure how many get the reference anymore though.

It is complete BS. I have no idea why IC keeps bringing this up when I pointed out to him years ago that it was BS. We found the article. The only guy who didn't know the age of the horse was the guy who wrote the article. Ellis never said anything about the Malibu or the Strub Series. He knew how old his horse was.

Indian Charlie 01-01-2017 11:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin (Post 1083459)
It is complete BS. I have no idea why IC keeps bringing this up when I pointed out to him years ago that it was BS. We found the article. The only guy who didn't know the age of the horse was the guy who wrote the article. Ellis never said anything about the Malibu or the Strub Series. He knew how old his horse was.

I remember that. I bring it up repeatedly because of how absurd it was and I'm skeptical about your claim of ellis's innocence. I'm not saying you were lying, but I am saying your claim seemed far fetched. I don't think that writer made other mistakes and I never thought of Ellis as blessed with an overabundance of intelligence. The explanation you gave was also a very obvious one that anyone could come up with. Unless that writer came out and said it was his mistake, all evidence points to Ellis. Especially how specific it was.

Rupert Pupkin 01-01-2017 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1083474)
I remember that. I bring it up repeatedly because of how absurd it was and I'm skeptical about your claim of ellis's innocence. I'm not saying you were lying, but I am saying your claim seemed far fetched. I don't think that writer made other mistakes and I never thought of Ellis as blessed with an overabundance of intelligence. The explanation you gave was also a very obvious one that anyone could come up with. Unless that writer came out and said it was his mistake, all evidence points to Ellis. Especially how specific it was.

We looked at the article. There was no quote from Ellis mentioning the Malibu or the Strub Series. There is not even a 1% chance that Ellis did not know Declan's Moon's age. The chances are zero.

To accuse a guy of saying something when there is no quote is absurd. It doesn't matter whether we are talking about politics, horses, or any other subject. If you are going to claim that a guy said something publicly, you need to have a quote. In this case, there was no quote. There was no quote because he never said it. In addition, Samantha Siegel is a very hands-on owner. She and Ron speak practically every day. So you would have to be claiming that she didn't know how old the horse was either. What you're saying is beyond absurd.

Benny 01-04-2017 04:21 AM

Cali steroids treatments and list
 
Wins Often Followed 2016 Steroid Treatments in California
By Frank Angst

While it’s a small sample size, horses reported to receive steroid administrations in 2016 in California who have come back to race fared very well in their first starts after those treatments, winning at about three times the normal rate.

Looking at the reported anabolic steroid administrations in 2016 in California, 16 times horses have raced after receiving one of those treatments (through Dec. 29). In the first start after one of those treatments those horses won six times, a 37.5% win rate. For 2015—the most recent full year available—the average win rate for all horses in California was 13.5%.

Three other times in those initial starts after a steroid treatment, horses earned placings. Combined with the wins, that’s a 56.2% placing rate, also well above the norm of 40.5%. (The 56.2% counts Masochistic’s runner-up finish in the TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1), although he has since been disqualified to last.)

While it’s a small sample size, the 37.5% win rate and 56.2% placing rate are particularly impressive considering that steroid administrations are called for when a horse is debilitated, anorexic, or anemic.

The average number of days between these 16 administrations and the first start after a treatment was 99 days. Horses who receive a reported steroid administration in California must wait at least 60 days before returning to racing.

In California in 2016 there were 44 reported anabolic steroid administrations to 35 Thoroughbreds by 15 trainers. All were placed on the vet's list. Anabolic steroid administrations can be identified as they are the only treatments for Thoroughbreds listed as: “medication-60 days.”

Of those 35 horses who received at least one steroid administration reported to the California Horse Racing Board, 16 have come back to race, 14 are eligible to return but have not yet started, and five received the steroid administration in the past 60 days (through Dec. 29) and are currently ineligible to race.

Of course the interest in the administrations was sparked by Masochistic’s positive for the synthetic anabolic steroid stanozolol following his runner-up finish in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. The race came 68 days after a reported Aug. 29 stanozolol treatment. It was the third time in 2016 that Masochistic received a steroid treatment.

The California Horse Racing Board publicly reports its vet’s list, but interestingly enough, none of the three times Masochistic was placed on the vet’s list in 2016 for anabolic steroid treatments is listed on the publicly posted information at the CHRB’s web site. Masochistic is the most accomplished horse in 2016 to have a reported anabolic steroid treatment in California and his three reported treatments are tied for most in the state.

Observing this inconsistency on Dec. 30 I requested access to the full list of reported anabolic steroid treatments in 2016 in California and CHRB spokesman Mike Marten quickly responded with access to an InCompass program to generate the full list. Marten said the publicly available vet’s list on the CHRB site is not as advanced as the InCompass program he provided.

Masochistic is trained by Ron Ellis, who accounted for seven of the 44 reported steroid administrations in California in 2016 through Dec. 29. For the full list of 2016 anabolic steroid treatments reported to the CHRB, click here.

10 pnt move up 01-04-2017 08:48 AM

Barn tips have been replaced by steroid injection lists.....this game

philcski 01-04-2017 09:48 AM

Good article by my man Frank as always, but I would like to see it broken down by off odds as well.

Kasept 01-04-2017 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 1083567)
Good article by my man Frank as always, but I would like to see it broken down by off odds as well.

With all due respect to Frank whom I like and think highly of, it's yet the latest disingenuous BH propaganda piece. It's a mash-up of half truths and distortions of information and statistically insignificant results derived from.. wait for it.. the legal administration and reporting of medications.

Here's an added layer of info, the Thoro-Graph sheets of the 15 horses (Link in TG forum post): https://www.thorograph.com/phorum/re...845#msg-105845

freddymo 01-04-2017 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1083574)
With all due respect to Frank whom I like and think highly of, it's yet the latest disingenuous BH propaganda piece. It's a mash-up of half truths and distortions of information and statistically insignificant results derived from.. wait for it.. the legal administration and reporting of medications.

Here's an added layer of info, the Thoro-Graph sheets of the 15 horses: https://www.thorograph.com/phorum/file.php?1,file=212

Have a heart..Just say these guys are loading up their claims and runners with ROIDS and then running them within the the boundaries of said rules LEGALLY.. Its sorry to suggest these beasts are being HELPED and CARED for out of the goodness of man kind.. Geez man call a spade a spade or say nothing

taxicab 01-04-2017 09:43 PM

So.....
This entire "story" has obviously turned into a black eye for the CHRB.
Looking into the Derby Trail Crystal Ball....
Does anyone think the California Horse Racing Board will "tweak" their rules on steroid applications ?
The way I see it, the CHRB has three choices:
A) Bump up the steroid withdrawl time to at least double what it is now.
B) Ban any steroid use in horses........period.
C) Don't make any changes in the current policy/rules.

I would think C is not a great idea.......:wf

philcski 01-05-2017 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1083574)
With all due respect to Frank whom I like and think highly of, it's yet the latest disingenuous BH propaganda piece. It's a mash-up of half truths and distortions of information and statistically insignificant results derived from.. wait for it.. the legal administration and reporting of medications.

Here's an added layer of info, the Thoro-Graph sheets of the 15 horses: https://www.thorograph.com/phorum/file.php?1,file=212

Download doesn't work directly but for anyone wanting to view the sheets, it's under the thread "CA Steroids". As I suspected, the horses are not running out of their skin, but rather maintaining form, most likely pairing their last. Looking at these without knowing they were on a steroid list no one would blink an eye.

I don't think it's a hit piece, it's reporting the statistics- which do stand out as abnormal, however the ROI/off odds are important to color the picture.

RolloTomasi 01-05-2017 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 1083597)
Download doesn't work directly but for anyone wanting to view the sheets, it's under the thread "CA Steroids". As I suspected, the horses are not running out of their skin, but rather maintaining form, most likely pairing their last. Looking at these without knowing they were on a steroid list no one would blink an eye.

I don't think it's a hit piece, it's reporting the statistics- which do stand out as abnormal, however the ROI/off odds are important to color the picture.

The article certainly doesn't dig very deep. For the most part, all the other SoCal horses were coming off long layoffs (5-6 months) or making their debuts. Some of those horses were administered steroids presumably at the start of the layoff (Silent Bird, Longstocking) while others (the Miller horses) seemed to get them at the end of the layoff (~3 months out of a race). It's debatable whether this is appropriate use, but it is certainly more palatable than this BC fiasco.

What makes Masochistic unique, and what cmorioles has pointed out already, is that this horse was administered steroids while actively campaigning, which defies the intent of the regulatory changes surrounding anabolic steroids that started in 2008 to keep them out of sanctioned races.

Did the CHRB do a good enough job hammering the intent of the rule changes into the horsemen's heads?

In the last year when the Vet List wait period was 30 days, there was ~500 administrations of steroids in CA racehorses. In the first year that the wait time was extended to 60 days, there was ~50 administrations.

Crudely speaking, I'd say about 90% of the horsemen got the message.

10 pnt move up 01-10-2017 11:15 AM

Ellis got slapped pretty hard, basically if you have a top class horse you better move barns for 2017.

bare it all 01-10-2017 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 1083943)
Ellis got slapped pretty hard, basically if you have a top class horse you better move barns for 2017.

Even if someone moved now, is the horse already banned by being in the barn at the beginning of the year?

10 pnt move up 01-10-2017 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bare it all (Post 1083947)
Even if someone moved now, is the horse already banned by being in the barn at the beginning of the year?

i dont think that would be fair and how they would look, am sure there is a "no horse transferred by x date" in the ruling can run.

Benny 01-13-2017 07:36 AM

ellis banned from 2017 BC
 
http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports...test/96406784/


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