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-   -   American Pharoah... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=57087)

declansharbor 04-30-2015 09:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1024606)
talking Baffert...it Is A Little Strange To Have 1 Trainer Likely Running The 2 Post Time Favs.

I Mean... How Can He Not Be Pulling For 1 Just A Little bit More?


they both have good posts...their race to lose.

i think firing line has a shot.

What made you reconsider your stance as AP and Dortmund being the only ones with a chance for the win?

Just wondering.

BOL

Kitan 05-01-2015 10:47 AM

I get that he is picture perfect in the mornings, but how does a 5f work translate to 10f?

Usain Bolt has a magnificent, effortless stride. He looks great doing it over 100m and 200m, and he's even won recently at 400m. But could he do it over 600m? 800m? Against Rushida?

I think he'll be struggling in the last furlong. I don't think he can stagger home fast enough to win.

blackthroatedwind 05-01-2015 11:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1024587)
Not tactics, but just raw ability.

He's just so much better.

Based on what?

Indian Charlie 05-01-2015 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1024899)
Based on what?

Based on watching both of them run.

That being said, I'm not as confident now that AP will be in front of Dortmund in the early running.

blackthroatedwind 05-01-2015 12:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1024913)
Based on watching both of them run.

That being said, I'm not as confident now that AP will be in front of Dortmund in the early running.

Is that handicapping method what led to your current status as a non-bettor?

Indian Charlie 05-01-2015 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1024926)
Is that handicapping method what led to your current status as a non-bettor?

No.

blackthroatedwind 05-01-2015 02:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1024949)
No.

So you are betting now?

my miss storm cat 05-02-2015 05:58 PM

Thrilled he won! :)

Kitan 05-02-2015 06:03 PM


cakes44 05-02-2015 07:55 PM

Has Upstart finished yet?

GenuineRisk 05-02-2015 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1025381)
Has Upstart finished yet?

I laughed. And then I cried.

cakes44 05-02-2015 08:28 PM

I'm certain that whoever called out IC about his opinions on AP and belittling him, and might have possibly touted the DFL horse, will be back here lettin IC know who was right. I'm holding my breath.

Sightseek 05-02-2015 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1025381)
Has Upstart finished yet?

If you watched the replay you would notice that he wasn't cantering so great over the wire.

richard burch 05-03-2015 01:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1024472)
big on...i like horses that lift their legs high in the stretch.

It feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.:):):):)

CONGRATS A.P., V. Espinoza and B. Baffert......I just like being right. It feels good to pick the right horse.

Indian Charlie 05-03-2015 01:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1025386)
I'm certain that whoever called out IC about his opinions on AP and belittling him, and might have possibly touted the DFL horse, will be back here lettin IC know who was right. I'm holding my breath.

LOL.

I hope you have big lungs.

Indian Charlie 05-03-2015 01:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 1025410)
If you watched the replay you would notice that he wasn't cantering so great over the wire.

I really thought Upstart was an impossible pick, but man, what happened to him?

Did he get hurt? I've been out all night immediately after the race ended, so I have no idea what happened to him.

cakes44 05-03-2015 05:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 1025410)
If you watched the replay you would notice that he wasn't cantering so great over the wire.

No, he did not look great finishing.

pointman 05-03-2015 08:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1025416)
It feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.:):):):)

CONGRATS A.P., V. Espinoza and B. Baffert......I just like being right. It feels good to pick the right horse.

You were? Way to go Dicky, this is a big accomplishment! You learned how to pick the favorite in a horse race!

But I wouldn't take off the helmet yet . . . .

DonGuido 05-03-2015 08:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1025439)
You were? Way to go Dicky, this is a big accomplishment! You learned how to pick the favorite in a horse race!

But I wouldn't take off the helmet yet . . . .

It's as hard to stick with chalk as it is to try and beat it. Sometimes you just have to say I'm betting the favorite, for good if not obvious reasons usually. I did and am very pleased with the results.

And a great grandson, I believe, of the great Storm Cat . . . even better in my book.

Sightseek 05-03-2015 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1025428)
No, he did not look great finishing.

So rubbing it in that he ran poorly (and way below expectations) was just to make yourself feel better? Well done.


Thankfully, he is reportedly ok for now.

my miss storm cat 05-03-2015 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman (Post 1025439)
You were? Way to go Dicky, this is a big accomplishment! You learned how to pick the favorite in a horse race!

But I wouldn't take off the helmet yet . . . .

Which is your favorite?

I think I like the one that begins with "I like winning" the best.

It's subtle, you know?

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1025417)
i would like to see a rematch....

but it feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.:)

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1025419)
I love winning!!!

It feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.:):)

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1025416)
It feels so good. I just like being right. It really feels good to pick the right horse.:)

CONGRATS A.P., V. Espinoza and B. Baffert......I just like being right. It feels good to pick the right horse.


blackthroatedwind 05-03-2015 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1025386)
I'm certain that whoever called out IC about his opinions on AP and belittling him, and might have possibly touted the DFL horse, will be back here lettin IC know who was right. I'm holding my breath.

I hope you're not talking about me. All I did was ask him three questions. He answered two of them. In the conversation, the only thing left unsaid is whether or not he is currently betting. The onus is on him.

Rudeboyelvis 05-03-2015 04:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat (Post 1025476)
Which is your favorite?

I think I like the one that begins with "I like winning" the best.

It's subtle, you know?

I wanna play poker with him. ;)

my miss storm cat 05-03-2015 05:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis (Post 1025520)
I wanna play poker with him. ;)

:D :p

cakes44 05-03-2015 08:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1025479)
I hope you're not talking about me. All I did was ask him three questions. He answered two of them. In the conversation, the only thing left unsaid is whether or not he is currently betting. The onus is on him.

Yep. Got it.

Danzig 05-03-2015 08:16 PM

Aps owner from egypt, right?
Who the heck spelled the horses name? ☺

cakes44 05-03-2015 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 1025471)
So rubbing it in that he ran poorly (and way below expectations) was just to make yourself feel better? Well done.


Thankfully, he is reportedly ok for now.

Read better.

Indian Charlie 05-03-2015 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1025613)
Yep. Got it.

Yep, that went about as expected.

I do like the inference however that since I don't bet, my opinion is invalid.

I guess since I don't bet it invalidates his horrible handicapping of that race.

Sightseek 05-03-2015 10:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1025616)
Read better.

You mean where you so snidely asked if Upstart had finished the race yet?

GenuineRisk 05-03-2015 10:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig (Post 1025614)
Aps owner from egypt, right?
Who the heck spelled the horses name? ☺

Coincidentally, I just had a conversation with a friend about this- in fact, Zayat didn't name the horse, but Justin Zayat did try to blame the Jockey Club for it:

http://www.sbnation.com/lookit/2015/...-wrong-pharaoh

Heh. Props for the Jockey Club's response.

pointman 05-03-2015 10:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GenuineRisk (Post 1025628)
Coincidentally, I just had a conversation with a friend about this- in fact, Zayat didn't name the horse, but Justin Zayat did try to blame the Jockey Club for it:

http://www.sbnation.com/lookit/2015/...-wrong-pharaoh

Heh. Props for the Jockey Club's response.

We can only hope that Johnny Weir and Tara Lapinski get to the bottom of this major breaking story.

Arletta 05-04-2015 05:35 AM

32 times seems a bit much...

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...d-papadopoulos

Danzig 05-04-2015 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arletta (Post 1025646)

it worked

Danzig 05-04-2015 07:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GenuineRisk (Post 1025628)
Coincidentally, I just had a conversation with a friend about this- in fact, Zayat didn't name the horse, but Justin Zayat did try to blame the Jockey Club for it:

http://www.sbnation.com/lookit/2015/...-wrong-pharaoh

Heh. Props for the Jockey Club's response.

I knew they'd had a naming contest, and wondered if that contributed to the error.
you never know tho. I have my last name spelled incorrectly constantly....just gave out two scholarships, and the home office had my name spelled wrong on them! hello, been with you guys four years now.
when youngest was born, I submitted his ss paperwork. his card came in misspelled. I called, they asked if I was sure that it was wrong. er, I'm sure-I know how to spell my name! all they had to do was copy what I wrote....

bare it all 05-04-2015 07:54 AM

Husband was watching me with me pointed out down the stretch that the jock was whacking away on Pharoah and the jock on Firing Line wasn't smacking his horse near as much. Kind of hard to explain it really.

3kings 05-04-2015 08:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bare it all (Post 1025656)
Husband was watching me with me pointed out down the stretch that the jock was whacking away on Pharoah and the jock on Firing Line wasn't smacking his horse near as much. Kind of hard to explain it really.

I'll explain it for you. Some horses need more urging than others to keep to the task at hand. Let's start a new thread about the "whacking" so those who realize it's part of the game and it doesn't hurt the horses don't have to filter through this crap again.

blackthroatedwind 05-04-2015 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1025617)
Yep, that went about as expected.

I do like the inference however that since I don't bet, my opinion is invalid.

I guess since I don't bet it invalidates his horrible handicapping of that race.

I didn't offer any opinion whatsoever on your opinion. You, on the other hand, by not betting, have made it clear that YOU have no value for YOUR opinion.

That's all. For all I know, you're a genius. You just don't think so.

Indian Charlie 05-04-2015 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1025662)
I didn't offer any opinion whatsoever on your opinion. You, on the other hand, by not betting, have made it clear that YOU have no value for YOUR opinion.

That's all. For all I know, you're a genius. You just don't think so.

Fair enough.


However, my primary reasons for not betting are two. First, I get too wrapped up in it and get nothing else done in life.

Second, I lost too many races by jockey ineptitude and shady training practices.

I internalize that stuff too much.

bare it all 05-04-2015 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3kings (Post 1025660)
I'll explain it for you. Some horses need more urging than others to keep to the task at hand. Let's start a new thread about the "whacking" so those who realize it's part of the game and it doesn't hurt the horses don't have to filter through this crap again.

No need to get snarky. I'm fine with the whip and understand why it's there. What you said - that's more or less what I told him - just that the horse was probably wasn't used to a horse coming up on him and needed extra urging. You can call it what you want, but to someone who is just watching a sport that is very new for them, it's whacking, regardless of if it hurts the animal or not. Visually, it's not something a neophyte likes to see or understands. It IS hard to explain this part (crop/whip) part of the sport when there is a stark contrast in the urging of the two final competitors coming to the wire.

blackthroatedwind 05-04-2015 10:13 AM

So American Pharoah, who we were told has three or four gears, and can run as fast as need be to win ( essentially ) any race, needed 32 stings of the whip to run ( effectively ) the same race he ran in Arkansas?

American Pharoah got a dream trip to win the Derby by three quarters of a length over a horse that didn't change leads in the stretch. The pre-race BS about this horse was completely exposed.


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