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Here's the ML and PT prices of the 4 faves. Cross Traffic (2.50 ML; 3.40 PT) Flat Out (3.00 ML; 2.50 PT) Palace Malice (4.00 ML; 2.75 PT) Orb (4.50 ML; 3.50) |
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Cross Traffic lost all chance at the start. To use his performance as a true indication off how he is might be a bit aggressive. I won't be surprised if he bounces back or is done for a 125 return Beyer at Gulfstream or is retired.
I don't think you can honestly say though that the early wagering in the race wasn't curious. Cross Traffic figured to be lone speed on a speedy good rail and had big figures to boot with Pletcher's hot hand. To open up at something like 6-1 or 7-1 is pretty high I think. I don't know who "they" is and what they know that we don't, but his price was really high early in the betting. |
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flat out was mott at home and more importantly flat out at home palice malice was the best horse in travers and classic winner cross traffic was a monster 4 year ols with the hottest bsf he was 5 to 1 with 7 minutes to go.. ice city... the word was out period |
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Here's a question for those that must really be in the know... With all the smart money 'that knew', how did the winner go off at 21-1?
"They knew" yet "they" let the winner go at an obvious overlay number. I guess only 'they' that really know among the they that knew got in on the winner. |
Okay, we have now flushed out the Jockey club Gold cup. We now need to figure out how to tackle the breeders cup. Obviously, we will watch the works and listen to the usual chatter associated with the horses coming up to the big days. That being said, I still have gotten little knowledge from this past weekend.
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What if there were nine horses, would 8&9 both have stumbled? How about the 7 horse.....was he breaking from firm ground? Steve, this is REALLY stupid. |
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Just repeating things that others say is VERY dangerous. |
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Going into the race I was more concerned that the connections decided to skip the Woodward with Cross Traffic. Why skip a race, over a surface you had just won at, if he was doing good?
Bad start and all, I think there is some merit to how cold he was on the board being a possible indication that he was not going to put forth his best. |
What posts did Tiznow, Saint Liam, and Unbridled break from when winning their BC Classics at Belmont?
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Horses break Poorly and stumble on all surfaces in all types of races. Sometimes they are relatively minor, like War Emblem's in the Belmont or Seattle Slew's in his very slow Derby win. Starts are more important for front end speed horses. Game on Dude broke a half step slow and bobbled in last years Breeders Cup Classic...that very minor poor break is far more detrimental to him than it would have been to a horse without a one dimensional running style.
The hardest thing to do in horse racing is simply say 'I don't know why' A lot of horses open up extremely cold on the board, they don't go out and break like that, almost ever. Palace Malice was just one stall inside of Cross Traffic, and he broke like a shot. There's a lot of good racing stuff to talk about now, guessing as to why the start wasn't cleaner in this years JCGC is a bit of a silly exercise. |
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Why waste the time trying to read between the lines when the horse didn't even get a fair chance to run his best? I will be more concerned on whether he will hold up to the pace pressure he will meet in the BCC than any idea that he was over the top because the 3 year olds took more money. |
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Another one have thoughts on Cross Traffic being bred to Dreaming of Julia..lol
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the 2 year old fillies in the east are slow and will be nowhere in the BC
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I'll be using Palace Malice coming out of the JCGC, noting Welsh's workout reports since he is usually a fantastic worker. I didn't hate Authenticity's last race -- just the trip she received. The field is looking very short for the Lady's Classic. |
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Despite getting beat 6 3/4 lengths in the JC Gold Cup, Palace Malice's time would have won the previous nine Gold Cups. #freakywinner |
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The surface changes speed day to day, let alone year to year.
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In order to improve fan understanding of the game, the last thing we need to do is mislead them, and comments like that are misleading. |
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You mean Monarchos wouldn't have won every Derby but Secretariat's? I'm crushed....time only matters in prison boys and girls.
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Jay Cronley's column about his handicapping on the Gold Cup was entertaining reading:
http://espn.go.com/horse-racing/stor...988/we-execute |
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I saw those comments on Twitter and was literally laughing out loud. I knew it would be a topic of discussion here.
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