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-   -   Dubai Carnival Contest VI powered by brockguy (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=49639)

NoChanceToDance 01-23-2013 04:33 PM

The punting has been tough so far, laying Mariners Cross certainly helped last week. Looking forward to seeing him over more ground with more pace to attack.

R1 - Ottoman Empire, Jardim (alt Art Scholer)
R2 - Masteroftherolls, Burano (alt Samuri Sword)
R3 - Elderly Paradise, Novelty Seeker (alt Jamr)
R4 - Hitchens (NB), Balmont Mast (alt Whaileyy)
R5 - Sajjhaa, First City (alt Dark Orchid)
R6 - Rassam (NAP), Jet Legend (alt Mandaean)

brockguy 01-23-2013 04:52 PM

Scores after Day 2 - a tough week for us with a few hitting a blank. Our two newcomers gamblin4ever and Linny started well scoring in race 1 and - 109-1 exacta! I am probably having a personal best performance at this stage of the competition - I desperately want to win this.


Rank Name This Week Running Total
1 The Bart 0.00 2,113.00
2 viscount26 560.00 1,089.36
3 gamblin4ever 1070 1070
4 brockguy 349.20 638.56
5 jaripeo 220.00 595.50
6 NoChanceToDance 560.00 560.00
7 Linny 550 550
8 PatCummings 160.00 541.86
9 ryonker1 380.00 528.86
10 mclem0822 0.00 360.00
11 DJARUM 0.00 309.36
12 Arletta 0.00 161.00

jaripeo 01-23-2013 05:27 PM

Round 3
LAYALI AL / ART SCHOLAR ALT Rochdale
MASTEROFTHE / famous warrior Alt Rostrum
Spring / Jamma NAP alt Elderly
Reynaldo / Govinda Alt Tamaathul
Spellwork / Sajjhaa alt First City
Don call me / Rex Alt Jet Legen.

NoChanceToDance 01-23-2013 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy (Post 913012)
Scores after Day 2 - a tough week for us with a few hitting a blank. Our two newcomers gamblin4ever and Linny started well scoring in race 1 and - 109-1 exacta! I am probably having a personal best performance at this stage of the competition - I desperately want to win this.


Rank Name This Week Running Total
1 The Bart 0.00 2,113.00
2 viscount26 560.00 1,089.36
3 gamblin4ever 1070 1070
4 brockguy 349.20 638.56
5 jaripeo 220.00 595.50
6 NoChanceToDance 560.00 560.00
7 Linny 550 550
8 PatCummings 160.00 541.86
9 ryonker1 380.00 528.86
10 mclem0822 0.00 360.00
11 DJARUM 0.00 309.36
12 Arletta 0.00 161.00

Thanks for updating the scores mate.

Didn't it used to work where used to achieve minus figures for a bad week (i.e. no winners)?

brockguy 01-23-2013 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoChanceToDance (Post 913016)
Thanks for updating the scores mate.

Didn't it used to work where used to achieve minus figures for a bad week (i.e. no winners)?

Yep it did but I altered it now so it's a cumulative score on money returned - it at least helps the regular players and so there's not a situation where a person joins halfway through and is already ahead of a number of regular players.

If you take the naps into account anyone under 700 is in loss territory at the moment!!

mclem0822 01-23-2013 07:13 PM

1/24 Contest Picks.......
 
Race 1)#8 Ottoman Empire #6 Art Scholar (#2 Bay Willow)
Race 2)#4 Mushreq #9 Paene Magnus (#5 Masteroftherolls)
Race 3) #4 Elderly Paradise#3 Jamr (#8 Novelty Seeker)
Race 4)#8 Kavanagh (NAP)#3 Balmont Mast(#7 Hitchens)
Race 5)#2 Amanee #8 Sajjhaa(#1 Dark Orchid)
Race 6)#4 Don't Call Me #2 Disa Leader (#13 Jet Legend)

Good Luck All!

Arletta 01-23-2013 08:46 PM

Race 1) #8 Ottoman Empire / #10 Layali Al Andalus ~ #2 Bay Willow
Race 2) #5 Masterofrolls / #9 Paene Magnus ~ #6 Counter GLow
Race 3) #4 Elderly Paradise/ #3 Jamr ~ #2 Ostinato
Race 4)
#7 Hitchens :{>: (NAP) / Whaileyy ~ #14 Garbah
Race 5) #4 Falls of Lora ;) / #2 Amanee ~ #8 Sajjhaa
Race 6)
#7 Trade Storm / Disa Leader ~ #4 Don't Call Me

gamblin4ever 01-23-2013 09:01 PM

R1) (NAP) #8 Ottoman Empire,#10 Layla Al Andalus - Alt:#2 Bay Willow
R2) #4 Mushreq,#5 Masteroftherolls - Alt: #10 Samurai Sword
R3) #3 Jamr,#4 Elderly Paradise - Alt: #1 Spring Of Fame
R4) #13 Whaileyy,#7 Hitchens - Alt: #14 Garbah
R5) #2 Amanee,#4 Falls Of Lora - Alt: #7 First City
R6) #4 Don't Call Me,#2 Disa Leader - Alt: #7 Trade Storm

Linny 01-23-2013 10:11 PM

Jan 24

Race 1
Art Scholar (NAP), Ottoman Empire alt Layali al Andalus

Race 2
Masteroftherolls, Famous Warrior alt Counterglow

Race 3
Jamr, Spring of Fame alt Novelty Seeker

Race 4
Ganas, Hitchens alt Garbah

Race 5
Dark Orchid, Falls of Lora alt Amanee

Race 6
Trade Storm, Jet Legend alt Energia Dust

The Bart 01-23-2013 10:25 PM

1-24

1) Jardim, Arthur's Tale, Bay Willow
2) Burano, Rostrum, Masteroftherolls
3) Jamr, Spring of Fame, Elderly Paradise
4) Dohasa, Hitchens, Garbah
5) Falls of Lora, Forever Show, Dark Orchid
6) Iguazu Falls (NAP) Canwinn, Energia Dust

DJARUM 01-24-2013 05:40 AM

1) #7 Arthurs Tale #8 Ottoman Empire (Bay Willow)
2) #4 Mushreq #5 Masteroftherolls (Rostrum)
3) #4 Elderly Paradise #3 Jamr (Muck N Brass)
4) #9 Hichens #5 Ganas (Garbah)
5) #7 First City #8 Sajjhaa (Amanee)
6) #2 Disa Leader nap #9 Iguazu Falls (Jet Legend)

Gl..............

brockguy 01-24-2013 06:40 AM

Day 3

Ottoman Empire, Jardim alt Art Scholar
Theo Danon, Burano alt Paene Magnus
Elderly Paradise, Novelty Seeker alt Ostinato
Hitchens, Ballista alt Smooth Operator
Sajjhaa, Falls of Lora alt Forever Snow
Jet Legend NAP, Rassam alt Disa Leader

Best of luck all

viscount26 01-24-2013 09:10 AM

I missed the first 2 races

3. Novelty Seeker, Muck N Brass
4. Ganas(Nap), Hitchens
5. Amanee, Spellwork
6. Trade Storm, Jet Legend

Arletta 01-24-2013 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jaripeo (Post 913015)
Round 3
LAYALI AL / ART SCHOLAR ALT Rochdale
MASTEROFTHE / famous warrior Alt Rostrum
Spring / Jamma NAP alt Elderly
Reynaldo / Govinda Alt Tamaathul
Spellwork / Sajjhaa alt First City
Don call me / Rex Alt Jet Legen.

Fine work :tro:

brockguy 01-24-2013 06:20 PM

Scores after Day 3 -
Previous champ jaripeo scored on a nice 20-1 shot to close the gap on The Bart. As ever if anyone has any issues with scoring, shout it out!!


Rank Name This Week Running Total
1 The Bart 0.00 2,113.00
2 jaripeo 1,012.50 1,608.00
3 NoChanceToDance 566.67 1,126.67
4 gamblin4ever 52.50 1,122.50
5 viscount26 0.00 1,089.36
6 brockguy 206.67 845.23
7 PatCummings 286.67 828.53
8 Linny 120.00 670.00
9 ryonker1 114.17 643.03
10 mclem0822 240.00 600.00
11 DJARUM 192.50 501.86
12 Arletta 312.50 473.50

The Bart 01-25-2013 09:40 PM

Spring Of Fame was scratched, so I hit that BIIIGGGGGGGGGG ex with Jamr and the other horse, so you can add that big price to my score. Yipppeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!

jaripeo 01-26-2013 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bart (Post 913269)
Spring Of Fame was scratched, so I hit that BIIIGGGGGGGGGG ex with Jamr and the other horse, so you can add that big price to my score. Yipppeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!


SO AM I WITH NAP..........??????? YUPI :)

brockguy 01-30-2013 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Bart (Post 913269)
Spring Of Fame was scratched, so I hit that BIIIGGGGGGGGGG ex with Jamr and the other horse, so you can add that big price to my score. Yipppeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!!

Ill get this sorted for the scores tomorrow :)

jaripeo 01-30-2013 06:36 PM

Round 4th

Salon Soldier / Alkimos Alt Paene Magnus

Con Artist / Without Fear Alt Kassiano

Sholaan Nap / Temple Meads Alt Stonefield

Alaaeyab / Arnold Lane Alt Pied Terre

Sharestan / Aesops Fable Alt Derbaas

Time Prisioner / Final Button Alt Justineo

mclem0822 01-30-2013 08:19 PM

Thurs. 1/31 Contest Picks......
 
Race 1-#6 MUSHREQ #4 ROYAL EMPIRE (#9 ANAROBIO)
Race 2-#7 SANDAGIYR #12 FARRIER(#6 NOT A GIVEN)
Race 3-#6 TEMPLE MEADS#3 INXILE (#1 SHEA, SHEA)
Race 4-#6 ALAZEYAB (NAP)#5 REROUTED(#1 SILVER OCEAN)
Race 5-#1 SHARESTAN #6 THE APACHE (#9 SO BEAUTIFUL)
Race 6-#4 TIME PRISONER #1 SAAMIDD(#3 KAVANAGH)

GOOD LUCK ALL!

Arletta 01-30-2013 08:50 PM

Race 1) #4 Royal Empire / #6 Mushreq ~ #10 Tanfeeth
Race 2) #11 Kassiano:tro: / #9 Not a Given ~ #2 Banna Boirche
Race 3) #13 Russian Soul / #1 Shea Shea ~ #6 Temple Meads
Race 4) #4 Free Wheeling /#8 Rerouted~ #13 Ariete Arrollador

Race 5) #5 Sharestan / #9 So Beautiful ~ #3 Aesop's Fable
Race 6)
#14 Benji's Empire / #4 Time Prisoner (ha ha!)
~ #3 Kavanagh

ryonker1 01-30-2013 09:38 PM

Race 1 Alkimos, Royal Empire (alt Mushreq)
Race 2 Sandagiyr, Kassiano (alt Con Artist)
Race 3 Inxile, Russian Soul (alt Shea Shea)
Race 4 Silver Ocean, Ariete Arrollador (alt Nordic Truce)
Race 5 City Style, The Apache (alt Sharestan)
Race 6 (NAP) Field of Dream, Time Prisoner (alt Dux Scholar)

thanks
Ron

The Bart 01-30-2013 10:38 PM

1) Tanfeeth, Royal Empire, Mushreq
2) Sandagiyr(NAP), Farrier, Not A Given
3) Inxile, Shea Shea, Temple Meads
4) Iver Bridge Lad, First City, Rerouted
5) Sharestan, So Beautiful, Derbaas
6) Jaasoos, Red Dubawi, Time Prisoner

NoChanceToDance 01-30-2013 11:28 PM

I might be getting this completely wrong, but I will be laying Sharestan at the current prices being offered at the moment. I know he was very impressive last time, but there was a lot NOT to like about that performance and eventually I think the form will look poor.

He's racing against some very talented group performers (he is not), and while he may win (i'll be prepared to hold my hands up) but he has to be opposed at the prices. I'll also be leaving him out of my selections, which I will post shortly.

NoChanceToDance 01-30-2013 11:54 PM

1. Mushreq, Anaerobio (Alt Alkimos)
2. Kassiano (NB), Con Artist (Alt Sandagiyr)
3. Temple Meads, Shea Shea (Alt Humidor)
4. Free Wheeling (NAP), Van Ellis (Alt Rerouted)
5. City Style, Albaasil (Alt Aesop's Fables)
6. Kavanagh, Saamidd (Alt Dubawi Sound)

gamblin4ever 01-31-2013 12:08 AM

R1) #8 Alkimos, #4 Royal Empire, (#6 Mushreq)
R2)(NAP)#11 Kassiano,#6 Not A Given, (#12 Farrier)
R3) #1 Shea Shea, #11 Desert Law, (#13 Russian Soul)
R4) #12 Pied A Terre, #13 Ariete Arollador (#5 Rerouted)
R5) #1 Sharestan, #8 City Style (#9 So Beautiful)
R6) #14 Benji's Empire, #5 Capt. Ramius (#7 Kenny Powers)

DJARUM 01-31-2013 02:34 AM

1) Mushreq, Anerobio
2) Sandagiyr , Kassiano
3) Inxile, Temple Meads
4) Rerouted (nap) Alazeyab
5) Sharestan, City Style
6) Time Prisoner, Kavanagh

brockguy 01-31-2013 05:34 AM

Day 4

Mushreq NAP - Paene Magnus alt Bank of Burden
Banna Boirche - Plantagenet alt Con Artist
Inxile - Medicean Man alt Desert Law
Ariete Arrollador - Smooth Operator alt First City
City Style - Light Heavy alt Aesop's Fables
Benji's Empire - Field of Dream alt Red Dubawi

Best of Luck people

PatCummings 01-31-2013 07:14 AM

Mushreq - Anaerobio (Royal Empire)
Plantagenet - Sandagiyr (Farrier)
Sholaan NAP - Temple Meads (Shea Shea)
Pied A Terre - Silver Ocean (Rerouted)
Sharestan - So Beautiful (The Apache)
Kavanagh - Time Prisoner (Kenny Powers)

Linny 01-31-2013 07:40 AM

Race 1
Salon Soldier, Bank of Burden alt Alkimos

Race 2
Kassiano (NAP) Banna Boirche alt Maritimer

Race 3
Russian Soul, Inxile alt Temple Meads

Race 4
Ariete Arrollador, Saint Bernard alt Van Ellis

Race 5
Aesop's Fables, City Style alt Sharestan

Race 6
Benji's Empire, Kavanaugh alt Kenny Powers

NoChanceToDance 01-31-2013 03:26 PM

Happy with my days work. Nice sum made laying Sharestan (although maybe unlucky I still don't think he would have won, other may beg to differ).

Annoyed with my fourth race selections - first three, but not in the correct order. The summary states that Free Wheeling covered over two lengths more than the rest of the field - probably the difference in the end. Could have been a huge pay day.

ryonker1 02-06-2013 11:47 AM

For Feb 7

Race 2 Muck N Brass, Layali al Andalus (alt Blue Corner)
Race 3 Elleval, I'm Back (alt El Estruendoso)
Race 4 (NAP) More than Sotka, Pure Excellence (alt Shuroq)
Race 5 Star Empire, Ahzeemah (alt In the Spotlight)
Race 6 Mendip, Hunter's Light (alt Alpha)
Race 7 Rutland Boy, Yaa Wayl (alt Don't Call Me)

thanks
Ron

PatCummings 02-06-2013 01:39 PM

Think this is going to look like the most wide-open day of racing for the Carnival so far.

R2 - Ottoman Empire NAP, Layali Al Andalus (Arthur's Tale)
R3 - El Estruendoso, I'm Back (Filfil)
R4 - Emotif, Lovely Pass (Music Chart)
R5 - In The Spotlight, Ahzeemah (Star Empire)
R6 - Jamr, Saint Baudolino (Surfer)
R7 - Don't Call Me, Royal Ridge (Ariete Arrollador)

The Bart 02-06-2013 03:03 PM

2-7

2) Modern History, Layali Al Andalus, Universal
3) Energia El Giganti (ALT NAP) Hototo, Bircham
4) Emotif, Shuruq, Mar Mar
5) Star Empire, Ahzeemah, Art Scholar
6) Mufarrh (NAP) Prince Bishop, Zain Shamardal
7) Red Dubawi, Yaal Wayl, Rutland Boy

NoChanceToDance 02-06-2013 05:09 PM

I think we can safely say this round will be one of the toughest tipping weeks of the carnvial, the firstbtwo races are littered with dead wood, and I'm at risk of following Ottoman Empire off a cliff. He has been so unlucky on two starts thus far (no pace and caught very wide with no pace yet again). This time he's arguably recieved an even worse draw for a hold up performer (gate 1) and I'm not convinced there is a huge amount of pace in the race yet again, however if things do drop right, he'll simply win!

The second race I don't really want to get involved in at all. I'm interested to see Stasio, could be anything but would have prefered the race on the synthetics.

I maybe reading the form all wrong, but Lovely Pass in the 1000 guineas looks a great bet. Seemingly best when fresh, had looked in need of the mile before finally getting the chance as a 2yo and won with ease. A daughter of Raven's Pass and related to a couple of sythetic track winners, I expect her to appreciate the surface. She has finished in front of Music Chart as a 2yo (both have improved since). Ticks all of the boxes for me. Emotif could blow them all away and MDK has been very bullish in recent interviews, but too many question marks after just one start and the penalty makes life harder for her.

The Maktoum Challenge is probably the toughest race of the night in my opinion, lots of question marks about the whole field and not a single runner I'd be very confident about.

I remember saying I'd be laying Mariner's Cross until he reached a distance of 10f, he's back at a mile again this time, but if I've read the form correctly I think there could be a fair amount of pace on and this is a weaker race than he contested last time. There is no doubt he is well handicapped on the best of his British form and if there is plenty of pace on, his stamina should come into play and I expect him to be there or there abouts at the finish. However, I'm certain we'll see a horse capable of winning a few in a row once stepped up to 10f.

Good luck everyone.

R1 - Ottoman Empire (NAP), Mustaheel (Alt Layali Al Andalus)
R2 - Luhaif, Stasio (Alt I'm Back)
R3 - Lovely Pass (NB), Emotif (Alt Music Chart)
R4 - Ahzeemah, In The Spotlight (Alt Star Empire)
R5 - Hunter's Light, Mendip (Alt Prince Bishop)
R6 - Don't Call Me, Mariner's Cross (Alt Banna Boirche)

jaripeo 02-06-2013 06:49 PM

4th Round.

2.- LAYALI AL.... / JARDIN ALT OTTOMAN
3.- IM BACK / mister big alt Hototo
4.- EMOTIV / LOVELY PASS alT More than S
5.- TROIS ROIS nap / KIDNAPPED ALT BOBLE
6.- PRINCE BISHOP / ALPHA ALT SAINT BAU....
7.- BANNA BOICHE / RE DUBAWI ALT ARIETE.

mclem0822 02-06-2013 07:08 PM

Thurs. 2/7 Contest Picks........
 
Race 2-#1 MODERN HISTORY #7 OTTOMAN EMPIRE (#5 BLUE CORNER)
Race 3-#8 I'M BACK #5 ELLEVAL (#1 EL ESTRUENDOSO)
Race 4-#2 EMOTIF #4 MORE THAN SOTKA (#8 LOVELY PASS)
Race 5-#5 STAR EMPIRE (NAP)#3 IN THE SPOTLIGHT(#2 CERTERACH)
Race 6-#10 JAMR #4 SAINT BAUDOLINO(#1 PRINCE BISHOP)
Race 7-#7 ROYAL RIDGE #3 DON'T CALL ME(#9 ARRIETE ARROLLADOR)

Good Luck All!

PatCummings 02-06-2013 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoChanceToDance (Post 914895)
I think we can safely say this round will be one of the toughest tipping weeks of the carnvial, the firstbtwo races are littered with dead wood, and I'm at risk of following Ottoman Empire off a cliff. He has been so unlucky on two starts thus far (no pace and caught very wide with no pace yet again). This time he's arguably recieved an even worse draw for a hold up performer (gate 1) and I'm not convinced there is a huge amount of pace in the race yet again, however if things do drop right, he'll simply win!

The second race I don't really want to get involved in at all. I'm interested to see Stasio, could be anything but would have prefered the race on the synthetics.

I maybe reading the form all wrong, but Lovely Pass in the 1000 guineas looks a great bet. Seemingly best when fresh, had looked in need of the mile before finally getting the chance as a 2yo and won with ease. A daughter of Raven's Pass and related to a couple of sythetic track winners, I expect her to appreciate the surface. She has finished in front of Music Chart as a 2yo (both have improved since). Ticks all of the boxes for me. Emotif could blow them all away and MDK has been very bullish in recent interviews, but too many question marks after just one start and the penalty makes life harder for her.

The Maktoum Challenge is probably the toughest race of the night in my opinion, lots of question marks about the whole field and not a single runner I'd be very confident about.

I remember saying I'd be laying Mariner's Cross until he reached a distance of 10f, he's back at a mile again this time, but if I've read the form correctly I think there could be a fair amount of pace on and this is a weaker race than he contested last time. There is no doubt he is well handicapped on the best of his British form and if there is plenty of pace on, his stamina should come into play and I expect him to be there or there abouts at the finish. However, I'm certain we'll see a horse capable of winning a few in a row once stepped up to 10f.

Good luck everyone.

R1 - Ottoman Empire (NAP), Mustaheel (Alt Layali Al Andalus)
R2 - Luhaif, Stasio (Alt I'm Back)
R3 - Lovely Pass (NB), Emotif (Alt Music Chart)
R4 - Ahzeemah, In The Spotlight (Alt Star Empire)
R5 - Hunter's Light, Mendip (Alt Prince Bishop)
R6 - Don't Call Me, Mariner's Cross (Alt Banna Boirche)

I think you've capped the overall feel of the card incredibly well. This is the has the look of a day with some good value and once again, some over bet horses. Lovely Pass was way better than Music Chart last season, and Music Chart likely to go short in the Guineas...and I don't think she is anything special.

Luhaif wouldn't be the first to shock in the Guineas. Mariner's Cross was SO bad first up, just don't know what to do with him, but think that last race is a time to go against the home team. There does seem a ton of pace in that race.

NoChanceToDance 02-06-2013 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PatCummings (Post 914907)
I think you've capped the overall feel of the card incredibly well. This is the has the look of a day with some good value and once again, some over bet horses. Lovely Pass was way better than Music Chart last season, and Music Chart likely to go short in the Guineas...and I don't think she is anything special.

Luhaif wouldn't be the first to shock in the Guineas. Mariner's Cross was SO bad first up, just don't know what to do with him, but think that last race is a time to go against the home team. There does seem a ton of pace in that race.

Luhaif isn't a horse I particularly like (struggling to like anything in that field) but a horse who should race handily and unlike the other horse that is likely to force the early pace (Hototo), is a definite stayer over this distance, has solid form in the book and is likely to be forgotten by the market. Do I believe she'll win? No. Do I believe she'll go off at over the odds and give me a good run for my money? Definitley.

Se I expected Mariner's Cross to run that poorly last time. He showed against Noble Mission that he has plenty of stamina and is more likely to grind out a result rather than put up a dazzling display of speed. That last race looked as though the speed would be minimal (and that's exactly how it turned out) and over a mile it just wasn't going to be a stiff enough stamina test for him. I'm at pains to include him in another mile race, but in my opinion it is weaker than the race two weeks ago and there should be plenty of pace for him to aim at and run them down late. Once again, I'm not sure if he'll win but I do expect him to go close at nice odds. But my big money won't go down until I see him over ten furlongs.

DJARUM 02-07-2013 03:10 AM

2) #2 Mustaheel, #8 Arthur's Tale (Ottoman Empire)
3) #8 I'm Back, #13 Stasio (Filfil)
4) #9 Pure Excellance, #8 Lovely Pass (Emotif)
5) #3 In The Spotlight, #5 Star Empire (Ahzeemah)
6) #6 Hunter's Light (nap) #4 Saint Baudolino (Mufarah)
7) #14 Jet Legend, #5 Kinlet (Rutland Boy)

:zz:Gl...............


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