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Sun King is not running in the Jockey Club and who says he won't race next year? |
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I would guess he will be retired, although they may hang around another year to try and win that elusive grade one to cement his stallion career. |
There's always the Clark.
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i can't help but take a moment of my time to applaud the GREATEST horse ever to wear a saddle,
the one the only, winner of the JCGC, from a predetermined inside post, bernardini. (INVASOR will get the far most post, because after all we are dealing with new yorkers here, don't think so, just ask richard mandella what he thinks of the fairness of the track folks in new york when it comes to the draw and the positions world champion horses from out of state get assigned) |
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Have you ever seen them draw posts Blocky? I've seen it a million times at Saratoga in the racing office, the actual draw that is. Trust me, the guys shaking the pills have no clue whats gonna happen unil the pill comes out. If you think its done in a back room full of smoke with guys conspiring to give someone a better draw, you're sadly mistaken. Its done at the counter of the racing office in full view of all the jockey agents and some trainers. This is insanity. |
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Other than winning the BC Classic I don't think it will severly increase his value. He's fairly established.
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Bernardini doesn't impress me one bit -- Brother Derek should have been rested after the Derby and same with SNS. Both were shot from their Derby efforts. Brother Derek took forever to get back to the track and ran poorly his first time back. SNS was so wiped out that he still hasn't made it back to the races. SNS was staggering down the stretch in the Preakness, Derek folded before the turn, and Bernardini looked a lot better than he should have. Donna Brothers called it before the Preakness. She said both BD and SNS didn't look good. In the Jim Dandy, Sunriver was injured. The rest of the Jim Dandy field were allowance horses at best. Bernardini ran through slow fractions in the Travers (gimme a break -- 48 and nearly 1:13), was urged strongly, hit and urged, yet didn't come home in any riveting fashion. After those fractions, if Bernardini was truly "very special" or "gifted" or whatever Albertrani and his hype machine has been calling him, he should have cooked home in :22 or so. A healthy Bluegrass Cat would have run away from. Bright One would have been in the next county by the time Bernardini hit the wire. Discreet Cat would have been long gone. Bernardini has just been very lucky so far. He's no superhorse. If the shieks let Invasor run he'll beat Bernardini. |
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jeez someone from del mar actually knows something bout dem horses. good to see an enlightened poster, even if you are from that other board. (too bad joel ruined it for everyone). |
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And all of those other horses are allowance horses that Bernardini ran against in the Travers too. High Cotton is definitely an allowance horse...yep. As is Dr. Pleasure, Hesanoldsalt, and Minister's Bid. Shame on Pletcher, Zito, and Ward for even putting those horses in that race. |
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I agree with most of what you said, but I think he's a very good horse, not the super horse hype machine kind, but we will see when things haven't always gone his way... |
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Moving my tack here, so to speak. Seems to be a better mix of midwest, east, south, and such. Could just read the racing press and skip the chatboards, but sometimes I find I get more truth on the chatboards from people who look at racing from the bettor/fans side. Despite the arguments and such. |
How do you know hes not a super horse? What has he ever done to put any doubts in your head? While I agree he hasnt been tested, its not his fault and that certainly isnt a flaw. Hes just been that much better than the horses he has been running against. Whos to say how super he'll be. What more could Bernardini have done up to this point? I really dont get it? Did you want him to stop while in midstretch, take a crap and sprint on 2 legs to the wire?
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I really haven't said a word on this because there is really no way to tell until he meets elders. His wins have been so dominant that there isn't any way to knock him based on what hes beaten. Its not like hes been beating them by a length.
Still the only question I have is what will happen if he gets looked in the eye in the stretch. I'm very curious as to what will happen if and when this occurs. |
Exactly. But whos to say he will ever get looked in the eye?
Stay tuned, he meets a very good Invasor next week and Dylan Thomas who supposedly is all the rage. I hear they sing folk songs about him in the mountains. |
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Gander, Just look at the cold hard facts, he's beaten nobody in average times, he's done nothing to justify the "superhorse" label he has received. Don't tell me about Grade I wins either -- Giacomo won a bigger race than Bernardini, Smarty won more impressively without a rest, Birdstone took down the Belmont and then the Travers. None were called "superhorse". Why should Bernardini be? To me, and he may prove me wrong (but I doubt it), he's a product of the press hoping to move away from Barbaro. A "superhorse" proves it against tough company. Ghostzapper vs. Roses In May or St. Liam cutting a 1 1/4 in 1:59 and change. Bernardini may get a free ride all the way. He surely doesn't have any Ghostzapper, Roses In May, or St. Liam to run against even if he gets past Invasor. He's just a lucky horse in the right place at the right time -- just like Giacomo was. |
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I think this is known as posting for a reaction. This is your 8th post here...perhaps proving you are NOT a troll would be a great idea before trolling. |
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I'll have to resepctfully disagree, but I get your point.
As far as final times go, why would this horse exert himself when he has an open length lead at the 1/8th pole and barely ran that fast to get it? Do you want him to sprint home like 3 turf horses in a flying finish to the wire? What we should agree on is that next weekend will answer many of the doubts about Bernardini. Like him or not, we should all appreciate that hes sticking around to try elders. Unlike Point Given who never gave it a shot, yet gets heralded as some super horse when all he did was beat E Dubai and Touch Tone. |
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I don't think that Invasor will be any match for this horse. One could also say that Invasor has gotten lucky from a weak older handicap division as well. Who has he beaten? An injured Flower Alley? Where are those extraordinary times that he has been putting up? Now I think Invasor is an extremely nice horse and deserves top older horse honors in the division if he can outdo Lava Man in the BCC, but I think Bernardini is going to prove to be better than him. My opinion is that Bernardini is going to be your HOY. Another thing, I don't know how much weight this holds because something might have been going on with Invasor in Dubai (didn't like the climate, minor injury, didn't ship well), but look at what Discreet Cat did to him in Dubai... |
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Off the top of my head, I'd say there's maybe a 1/3 chance that Invasor will finish ahead of Bernardini. It's not going to shock me either way. However, it WOULD shock me if Invasor wins by 8. It would not shock me if Bernardini wins by 8. That's the difference to me. We've probably seen the best or nearly the best from Invasor. We don't know what Bernardini's best is yet. --Dunbar |
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Well, personally I can't wait until the JCGC. I haven't been as impressed with Bernardini as most either and I think that Invasor will beat him. If I'm wrong, then I'll admit that I'm wrong, but I think that Invasor is the better horse.
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Bluegrass Cat wore front wraps for the first time in the Travers. He had issues before the race. It might not be on the pps, but look at the tapes. Any horse that has run like he has run in GI races can't cut better than a :48+ and 1:12+? He was not the same BC than ran in the Derby and afterward we found that out. Lucky he's alive. He normally wouldn't be injured trying to keep up with a :48+ half and a nearly 1:13 6f call. He was very capable of keeping up with those fractions given normal health. It's not like Bernardini was Ghostzapper and Bluegrass Cat blew out a pastern trying to keep up with a phenomenal pace. A healthy BC would have been well ahead of Bernardini. |
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You obviously didn't watch Bernardini's Preakness when he sat off the pace of a sub 47 half mile and made a brillant move around the far turn. Why run any faster than you have to? I think Bernardini's best races are going to be those in which he sits off of the pace, and blows by horses, like he did in the Preakness. He found himself on the lead in the Jim Dandy and the Travers because no one else took it. His final time for the Travers was still very fast. Anyway, I'm not excessively big on BSFs. I use them with a red flag because they can be biased. However, when a horse consistently puts up those kind of numbers, he is the real deal. The numbers also show that the horse is improving. A lot of people have had a lot of luck using the numbers and sheets. I personally like watching the replays and looking at the horses in the post parade when betting. Bernardini is the real deal. In watching his races, you can see that he is improving with every start, from his 4th place in his maiden to his Travers. He beat those same horses that he beat by nine lengths in the Jim Dandy, by about 15 lenghts in the Travers. It was also Bernardini's first race going a mile and a quarter. I watch the races, and what I see is a horse with extraordinary talent. |
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Why compare Ghostzapper and Bernardini now? Bernardini isn't done racing. You don't know what he will become. He could be another overhyped horse, or he could be the next superhorse. From what I have seen, I am banking on the latter. Even if the older horses do beat him...Secretariat, Spectacular Bid, and Affirmed even got beat by older as 3 yos. However, if he beats these horse in the JCGC and BCC, I don't think that there are too many people that are going to leave him off their greatest of all time lists. He'll definitely be on mine. |
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YES there is something that can be done
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NC Tony |
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Since this is a public moderated forum it gets a little messy at times and you do have to spend some time wading through stuff that doesn't always have the highest value. I think each person has certain types of stuff that interest them and causes them to post, and not all posts of every poster are constructive. I personally am not in favor of more police activity and more banning. I think the current balance is about right. |
ArlingtonJim,
You're correct. I don't want to bother with that(policing) either. I'll just lurk and chime in when I find something worthwhile and sift through the junk. What was I thinking. I should have known better than to even think it. This site has grown real fast, so ironing out the kinks is something that will take some time. Steve, you got a lot of supporters on this site including me. ( You should know that already) NC Tony |
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