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Bums for Saturday:
Arlington Park Race #3: Callaloo Arlington Park Race #5: Direct Breeze Arlington Park Race #7: Lemonade Kid Arapahoe Park Race #2: Dixie's Lil Dandy and Unbridled Pollyann Araphoe Park Race #4: Slip Away Darlin Arapahoe Park Race #9: County Slip Canterbury Park Race #5: Brave Little Bull Charles Town Race #4: Banner Time Charles Town Race #8: Reach For The Gold Del Mar Race #4: Tiz Final Ellis Park Race #2: D's Littlebit Wild Evangeline Downs Race #3: Diamondsforjulia and High on the List Evangline Race #5: Miss Juror Evangline Race #10: Big W's La Tee Finger Lakes Race #5: Patron's Emma K and First Dine Fairmount Park Race #3: Hay Ring Louisiana Downs Race #6: Twin City Thunder Louisiana Downs Race #8: Main Stage Remington Park Race #9: Oklahoma Traveler Saratoga Race #1: Hookdonchurchpunch Saratoga Race #11: Proud Siren Suffolk Race #1: Bold Dream Thistle Downs Race #7: Third Wish and Classic Reward Woodbine Race #9: Cat Steps |
That's an ambitious list for Saturday.
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90 down, only 910 more to go. |
Bums for Sunday:
Canterbury Park: Race #1: Sammy Ray Canterbury Park: Race #8: Orfan Ole Del Mar Race #4: Undaunted Rally Ellis Park Race #3: Go for Four Buddy Ellis Park Race #6: Jennifer Ashton (Turf Only) Emerald Downs Race #8: Jump Up and Kissme Emerald Downs Race #9: Sharp Focus Golden Gate: Race #5: Tiz Savy Louisiana Downs Race #7: Wiggly River Downs Race #8: Jaf Saratoga Race #2: Tootsie's Girl Saratoga Race #3: Harry Consolidator Saratoga Race #7: Sucre and Rachini Woodbine Race #2: Osculator Woodbine Race #9: Real Hero |
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Ranger, you're slipping on the total! Will this Saturday top last Saturday's? Over a hundred now. It feels like 5,000 -- this is a grind! |
just curious how many of your pics have been in top 3
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sorry just saw answer above
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Saturday, however, was a record day for the nags, as they managed a combined $29,646 in losses, bringing the new total to $98,271. Hookdonchurchpunch in the first at the spa was only 18-1 and was responsible for $9,147 just by herself. So far the record low was on Friday at Arapahoe, Robyns Return drew only $21 in win bets. It's a grind keeping up with you, so I can only imagine how it is for you, but I will persevere through the end, it is amazing to get this far and not have even one horse be respoonsible for any winning wager of any kind so far. |
Thanks for the good record keeping Ranger.
I was flirting with taking Sea Island in the Alabama Stakes -- who was 13/1 in a race with over $1 million in the WPS pool -- but the unique distance of 10fs and the likelihood of a very fast pace was just enough to discourage me. 112 down, only 888 more to go. |
Bums for Monday:
Finger Lakes Race #3: Flag Handler Finger Lakes Race #9: Sea Slice Mountaineer Park Race #4: Trust in Frank Parx Race #5: Wild And Away Parx Race #6: Marco Be Good Parx Race #10: Brave Samson Saratoga Race #1: Praetorian Guard and Burned Bridges Saratoga Race #3: Thunderville Suffolk Race #1: Castiel |
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124 down, only 876 more to go. |
This was really a banner weekend for the bums, as Sunday alone they accounted for $22,006 in failed win wagers, bringing the grand total to $120,277. That's enough to buy a decent house in large portions of the country. Just this weekend $51,652 was wasted, or enough to buy a new Mercedes.
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This is a really fascinating and entertaining thread. But, Doug--my main question is how can you follow so many tracks at one time and still have conviction in your opinions?
Your ability to do that alone makes you one of the greatest handicappers I know. Paul |
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Between the two of us, we make figures for every track in the country, so at a glance I can pull up every race in the country and look for spots where real handicaping appears worthwhile. The rest is obviously all handicapping...and I still do have a trip note collection of future bet backs that has always been my bread and butter. For this task, I'm simply using the CJ figures -- finding the least competitive horses -- and studying the past performances to make sure there are no angles I can see that should give a horse a chance to improve and win. |
What happened to those great videos you were doing?
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The one trip handicapping video I did where I took one-horse from each circuit as a bet-back for next time -- 3 of the 7 in the video won their next start (one of them by 8+ lengths at 30/1 odds) and even a few of the ones who didn't win their next start improved by a lot. That's really my strongest advantage as a handicapper -- is to isolate the right kind of race to watch, watch it, and find the right horse to play back next time. |
Bums for Tuesday
Finger Lakes Race #5: Dear Marylou Hoosier Race #1: Stormin Sherman Hoosier Race #2: My Friend Ann Hoosier Race #3: Da Suga Man Hoosier Race #5: Rapid Survivor Presque Isle Downs Race #6: Mighty Missy Suffolk Race #5: Speed Diva Suffolk Race #7: Sociano's Legacy |
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One of them was dead last throughout at Finger Lakes at just 16/1 odds. Another one was buried at Saratoga at 25/1. However, Trust In Frank finished 2nd (beaten about 10 lengths) at Mountaineer Park...he broke the streak of 133 straight to finish out of the top 3. Be sure to bet against everything he beat in that race, next time. Current record stands at 134 starts, 0 wins, 1 second, 0 thirds, 2 fourths. 134 down, only 866 more to go. |
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Paul |
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Today also set a record for longest off odds of any of the bums, as Brave Samson in the 10th at Parx went off at 195-1. He was never better than 11th at any call and was beaten 22 lengths. |
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141 down, only 859 more to go. |
Bums for Wednesday
Del Mar Race #8: Searfavoritesecret Hoosier Race #3: My Friend Ann Hoosier Race #9: Push Button Northlands Park Race #7: Genie's Gem and Wee Blue Bayou Penn National Race #9: I'm a Lumberjack Portland Meadows Race #5: Maui and Me Portland Meadows Race #6: Cougar Bob Saratoga Race #3: Warrior Marie Suffolk Race #4: Majestics Adonis Suffolk Race #7: Say Sandy Baby Suffolk Race #9: Bright Alice Thistle Downs Race #6: Alexi's Gold Woodbine Race #7: Liftoff Lady Probably going to take a few days off while I'm away. |
As is typically the case, the bums had a major falloff in money lost on Tuesday versus where they had been, but still managed to court $2,029 in losses, bringing the grand total so far to $133,913.
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I saw a horse won at Suffolk at 83/1 about the same time. Had to go on tonight and check and make sure it wasn't disaster for the bums. http://www1.drf.com/drfPDFChartRaces...=20120822&RN=5 |
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154 down, only 846 more to go. |
I was out of town so I didn't have a chance to calculate until this morning, the Wednesday bums lost an estimated $10,202 bringing the grand total so far to $144,115.
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Bums for Friday (Quick glance at a few tracks edition)
Monmouth Race #1: Daring Saint Monmouth Race #2: Sidney Anne and China Clipper Monmouth Race #4: Tea Party Boy Saratoga Race #4: Dontrainonmyparade and Sucre Saratoga Race #10: Londoness Thistle Downs Race #2: Bam Bam Jam Del Mar: Race #1: Brother Ernie Mountainner Race #4: Kyle's Treasury Ellis Park Race #3: Cloudy Vision Ellis Park Race #5: Johna's Hope |
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165 down, only 835 more to go. |
Today's bums managed to lose a staggering $22,552 bringing the grand total wasted so far to $166,667.
Amazingly, the two bums in the 4th at Saratoga were separated by only $6 in the wagering, Dontrainonmyparade had $4,599 lost on him while Sucre blew $4,605. 'Parade outran his rival though, beating him by 7 lengths, although he was still 6th of 7 beaten 32 lengths, and beaten 14 3/4 by the 5th place finisher. |
Bums for Saturday:
Arlington Race #7: Midnight Lace Arlington Race #8: A Nice Slewish Boy Canterbury Race #5: Eighteen Belowe Canterbury Race #9: Demi's Bold Ruler Calder Race #10: G. T. Tabu Charles Town Race #2: Dazzling Iolite Charles Town Race #8: Nicknmina Emerald Downs Race #8: Bookitbrooke Ferndale Race #9: Castle of Dreams Finger Lakes Race #5: Desert Doctor Hoosier Race #7: Arrogantly Shabby Monmouth Race #9: Blazing Honor Northlands Park Race #13: Siberian Slewpy Penn National Race #1: Mata Da Hot Tomata Penn National Race #5: Jake's Mission Parx Race #1: Potnia's Song Parx Race #6: J P's Fling Remington Park Race #1: Nine Degrees Saratoga Race #4: Bank On Basta Saratoga Race #7: Mad Bomber Saratoga Race #9: Mykindofladyfriend Saratoga Race #10: Well Kept Saratoga Race #12: Speightscity Suffolk Race #1: Share the Dance Suffolk Race #5: Bold Dream Suffolk Race #7: Brian's Spitfire Suffolk Race #9: Agave Ridge Thistle Downs Race #2: Black Potion Timonioum Race #1: Satdnitejukbox Timonium Race #3: Athena's Action Timonium Race #6: Money Drive |
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27 of them ran -- only one of them finished in the top 3 -- that was Black Potion who finished 3rd beaten 13 lengths at 31/1 odds in Thistle Downs 2nd race. I can't believe $743 was bet on the hopeless bum in the last race at Northlands Park. They must have had one hell of a nice turnout for Canadian Derby day. Ranger might get dizzy adding all of those up. 192 down, only 808 more to go. |
Bums for Sunday:
Del Mar Race #3: Warren's Tyler S. Del Mar Race #8: Carams and Shiver Ye Timbers Del Mar Race #9: Riveting Reason Albuquerque Race #3: Bandontheloose Albuquerque Race #8: Voo Doo Duke Albuquerque Race #11: Flood Zone and Green Tea Canterbury Race #1: Inspired Demi Canterbury Race #2: Sammy Ray Canterbury Race #8: Scat On Charles Town Race #3: God's Grace Valley and Siouxperhappy Ellis Park Race #4: All Jacked Up Golden Gate Race #8: Sukara Parx Race #1: Ava's Saphire Saratoga Race #2: Seven Dreams Saratoga Race #8: Tiger Willie Timonioum Race #4: Heir To The Kingdom Timonioum Race #5: Spring Dragon Timonioum Race #6: Atomic Guy |
Thanks largely to the fleecing of the crowd at Saratoga, the bums managed to lose a single day record of $62,878 bringing the new (quite) grand total to $229,445 of real money.
I confess I could not find any info about the horse at Northlands as I don't have pool information for there and both DRF and Equibase charts only go up to race 10, but I will take your word about the $743 he lost and it is included in the total. |
Bums for Monday:
Delaware Park Race #3: Alex For Dinner Delaware Park Race #5: Is That Blue Fort Erie Race #7: Deputy Lor Finger Lakes Race #4: Beach Harber Man and Winged Warrior FInger Lakes Race #7: Buddy System Mountaineer Race #5: Day Road Mountaineer Race #7: Seaside Native Saratoga Race #9: Alykela Suffolk Race #9: Double Your Dollar Thistle Downs Race #7: Wegotta |
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Stunningly, one of the ones who didn't run was 6/1 in a five horse field at Timonioum with just 1 mintue to post before the entire card was cancelled.
209 down, only 791 more to go. (This is long -- I'm tempted to start taking 80 horses a day) |
The bums today managed to incinerate another $30,553 bringing the total up to an impressive $260,002.
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Bums for Tuesday:
Hoosier Race #1: Lilli Soprano Hoosier Race #5: Greys Indy Princes Mountaineer Race #1: City Warrior and Hot Air Mountaineer Race #4: Misty's Idenity Mountaineer Race #10: Dr. Nicole Suffolk Race #2: Pats Love Suffolk Race #4: K O's Puffalumps Suffolk Race #6: Numerous One Suffolk Race #9: South Jak |
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