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Only a couple of dog shyte all-weather meetings, and keeping powder dry for first meeting at Cheltenham tomorrow, but a couple of smallish bets at Leafy.
Lingfield: 3:50 Johannesburg Cat 1pt win 4:20 Kabeer 2pts e/w 4:50 My Princess 2pts e/w |
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Big outlay today at HQ, but I like a few of these and sure the winner of the second will come from between these 2. Whilst Ofarel d'Airy & Gungadu have the potential to be very smart.
Cheltenham: 2:10 Paulo Dancer: 5pts win Legally Fast 2pts e/w 2:45 Lake Imperial: 6pts win Charming Fellow: 6pts win 3:20 Ofarel d'Airy: 4pts win 3:55 Le Jaguar 1pt e/w 4:20 Armariver: 2pts win Double Vodka 1pt e/w 5:05 Gungadu 4pts win 5:40: Solid As A Rock 1pt e/w |
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CARNAGE! Day Total: -13.78pts Total: +29.67pts. |
Getting stuck in again today.
Taunton. 2:10: Mollycarrsbrekfast 5pts win 2:40: My Condor 4pts win 4:10: Orion Express 2pts e/w 4:40: Spanchil Hill 3pts win 5:10: Pilca 10pts win Stratford. 2.30: Five Colours 8pts win 3:30: Yes My Lord 2pts win Lingfield. 2:50: Cabinet 6pts win 4:50: Areyoutalkingtome 3pts e/w. Betting £480 today...could do with some racing luck!! |
A huge day! Cannot believeAreyoutalkingtome was allowed to go off at 33/1. That's the kind of value you can only dream about, and in hindsight I should have had more on, can't complain though. Really got me out of a hole, because all of my other strong fancies let me down.
Taunton. 2:10: Mollycarrsbrekfast 5pts win: 5th of 7 @ 9/4: -5pts 2:40: My Condor 4pts win: 6th of 7 @ 6/5: -4pts 4:10: Orion Express 2pts e/w: 1st of 13 @ 6/1: +13pts 4:40: Spanchil Hill 3pts win: 5th of 10 @ 100/30: -3pts 5:10: Pilca 10pts win: 2nd of 9 @ evens: -10pts Stratford. 2.30: Five Colours 8pts win: 3rd of 12 @ 5/2: -8pts 3:30: Yes My Lord 2pts win: 2nd of 7 @ 8/11: -2pts Lingfield. 2:50: Cabinet 6pts win: 1st of 14 @ 8/13: +2.66pts 4:50: Areyoutalkingtome 3pts e/w: 1st of 14 @ 33/1: 123.75pts Day: +107.41pts Total: +132.08pts. |
Wetherby
2:25: Kayceece 1pt win 3:00: Levitski 4pts win 3:35: Show Me The River 6pts win Uttoxeter 2:50: Predestine 1pt e/w 3:25: Miss Shakira 2pts win Newmarket 2:05: La Presse 7pts win 2:40: Detente 2pts win 3:15: Into The Dark 3pts win 3:50: Dream Scheme 5pts win |
A quick bit of housekeeping (not including today's results):
Total Bets: 121 Wins: 35 28.93% Total Inv: 361.5pts Total Profit: 131.42pts POI: 36.35% Total Lays: 12 Wins (ie laid horses that lost): 8 66.67% Total Inv: 64.48pts Total Profit: 0.66pt POI: 1.02% Combined: Investments: 133 Successful Investments: 43 (32.33%) Total Invested: 425.98pts Total Profit: 132.08pts Total POI: 31.01% |
The standard is pretty poor today, but there are a few worth a small interest, without going overboard.
Plumpton: 1:40...Penny's Crown 1pt lay 2:10...Barclay Boy 4pts win 2:40...Carriage Ride 3pts win 3:40...Spuradich 3pts lay Warwick: 2:50...Howle Hill 2pts win 3:50...Ultimate Limit 2pts win Midnight Gunner 2pts lay 4:20...Lady Roania 1pt win Amaretto Rose 2pts lay Wolves: 1:30...La Cuvee 1pt win 2:00...Kyle of Lochalsh 1pt lay 3:00...Dancing Duo 2pts win 3:30...Indian Edge 1pt win Colton 1pt lay 4:00...Flylowflylong 2pts e/w |
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Nice job on the record-keeping, too. --Dunbar |
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Got ****y, some really childish bets there. I'm still very susceptible to putting too much on to horses I'm not at all 100% sure about after I've enjoyed a big success, one of the worst aspects of my game!
Wetherby 2:25: Kayceece 1pt win: 4th of 6 @ 10/1: -1pt 3:00: Levitski 4pts win: last of 5 @ 2/1: -4pts 3:35: Show Me The River 6pts win: 2nd of 5 @ evens: -6pts Uttoxeter 2:50: Predestine 1pt e/w: 4th of 9 @ 7/1: -2pts 3:25: Miss Shakira 2pts win: 4th of 9 @ 11/2: -2pts Newmarket 2:05: La Presse 7pts win: 2nd of 11 @ 11/10: -7pts 2:40: Detente 2pts win: 8th of 16 @ 11/1: -2pts 3:15: Into The Dark 3pts win: 1st of 8 @ 11/4: +8.25pts 3:50: Dream Scheme 5pts win: 2nd of 7 @ 13/8: -5pts Daily Total:-20.75pts Total:+111.33pts |
Plumpton:
1:40...Penny's Crown 1pt lay: 10th of 11 @ 15/2: +1pt 2:10...Barclay Boy 4pts win: Fell @ 13/8: -4pts 2:40...Carriage Ride 3pts win: 4th of 7 @ 8/1: -3pts 3:40...Spuradich 3pts lay: Pulled Up @ 7/2: +3pts Warwick: 2:50...Howle Hill 2pts win: 1st of 7 @ 9/1: +18pts 3:50...Ultimate Limit 2pts win: Pulled Up @ 4/1: -2pts Midnight Gunner 2pts lay: 5th of 10 @ 7/2: +2pts 4:20...Lady Roania 1pt win: 3rd of 20 @ 8/1: -1pt Amaretto Rose 2pts lay: 1st of 20 @ 11/10: -2.2pts Wolves: 1:30...La Cuvee 1pt win: last of 13 @ 28/1: -1pt win 2:00...Kyle of Lochalsh 1pt lay: 5th of 13 @ 10/1: +1pt 3:00...Dancing Duo 2pts win: 1st of 11 @ 9/4: +4.5pts 3:30...Indian Edge 1pt win: 7th of 11 @ 9/2: -1pt Colton 1pt lay: 4th of 11 @ 6/1: +1pt4:00...Flylowflylong 2pts e/w: 3rd of 13 @ 6/1: +1pt Daily Total: +17.3pts Total: +128.63pts |
Towcester:
1:50 Bay Island, 8pts win 3:30 What'sonyourmind, 3pts win Haydock: 2:10 Manners, 2pts win 2:45 Abragante, 4pts win 3:20 Castleshane 2pts e/w |
Towcester:
1:50 Bay Island, 8pts win: 1st of 9 @ 6/4: +12pts 3:30 What'sonyourmind, 3pts win: 1st of 7 @ 3/1: +9pts Haydock: 2:10 Manners, 2pts win: 11th of 12 @ 3/1: -2pts 2:45 Abragante, 4pts win: 1st of 8 @ 11/8: +5.5pts 3:20 Castleshane 2pts e/w: last of 13 @ 7/1: -4pts Day Total: +20.5pts Total: +149.13pts |
BCFMT: Ouija Board 3pts win
BCS: Too Much Bling 1pt win BCM: Araafa 4pts win Sleeping Indian 2pts win BCD: Pool Land 2pts win BCT: Better Talk Now 1pt win, 2pts place BCC: George Washington 2pts win Invasor 2pts win |
Successful night. Ouija Board the emotional winner. Sleeping Indian slightly frustrating, although would never have beaten the winner. Also thought for a second that BTN might get past Red Rocks, but no complaints as Brian Meehan is a thoroughly decent guy.
BCFMT: Ouija Board 3pts win: 1st of 10 @ 1.4/1: +4.2pts BCS: Too Much Bling 1pt win: 6th of 14: -1pt BCM: Araafa 4pts win: 9th of 14: -4pts Sleeping Indian 2pts win: 4th of 14: -2pts BCD: Pool Land 2pts win: 9th of 14: -2pts BCT: Better Talk Now 1pt win, 2pts place: 2nd of 11 @ 7.7/1: +14.4pts BCC: George Washington 2pts win: 6th of 13: -2pts Invasor 2pts win: 1st of 13 @ 6.7/1: +13.4pts BC TOTAL: +21pts Total: +170.13pts |
Melbourne Cup
Yeats 5pts win Geordieland 2pts win |
Ludlow
1:30 Mr Smithers Jones 1pt e/w Compton Star 2pts win lay 3:00 Sungates 3pts win Moonlit Harbour 2pts win lay Taunton 3:10 Figaro du Rocher 5pts win Mthodical 4pts win lay 3:40 Kerstino Two 6pts win Wolves 4:20 Gallileo Figaro 2pts win 5:20 Prince Tum Tum 2pts win |
Never bet with your heart!!
Melbourne Cup Yeats 5pts win: 7th of 23: -5pts Geordieland 2pts win: 18th of 23: -2pts Day: -7pts Total: +163.13pts |
Back from a few days off and raring to go again, ethusiasm very much boosted by the incredible performance of Kauto Star at the weekend. Watching truly great horses like that is why I love racing!
Ludlow: 1:20 She's Our Native 4pts win 1:50 Backbord 1pt win 3:20 Win A Rose 3pts win Southwell: 2:40 Johannesburg Cat 2pts win 3:10 Trinity Rose 2pts win |
Ludlow
1:30 Mr Smithers Jones 1pt e/w: 15th of 18 @ 33/1: -2pts Compton Star 2pts win lay: 6th of 18 @ 6.4/1: +2pts 3:00 Sungates 3pts win: 2nd of 5 @ 7/2: -3pts Moonlit Harbour 2pts win lay: Fell @ 4.98/1: +2pts Taunton 3:10 Figaro du Rocher 5pts win: 1st of 10 @ 5/2: +12.5pts Mthodical 4pts win lay: 5th of 10: +4pts 3:40 Kerstino Two 6pts win: 1st of 6 @ 4/6: +4pts Wolves 4:20 Gallileo Figaro 2pts win: 6th of 7 @ 9/1: -2pts 5:20 Prince Tum Tum 2pts win: 1st of 12 @ 7/1: +14pts Day Total: +31.5pts Total: +194.63pts |
Don't know why I bother with the all-weather Flat racing at this time of year....STICK TO THE JUMPS!!! Nevertheless that's the 200pt barrier reached.
Ludlow: 1:20 She's Our Native 4pts win: 1st of 5 @ 13/8: +6.5pts 1:50 Backbord 1pt win: 1st of 10 @ 5/6: +0.83pts 3:20 Win A Rose 3pts win: 1st of 16 @ 11/8: +4.13pts Southwell: 2:40 Johannesburg Cat 2pts win: last of 6: -2pts 3:10 Trinity Rose 2pts win: 2nd of 6: -2pts Day Total: +7.46pts Total: +202.09pts |
Sedgefield
12:50: Bougoure: 4pts win 2:15: Persian Point 2pts win 2:50: Negus de Beaumont 5pts win 3:20: Jballingall 3pts e/w Willie The Fish 1pt lay Kempton 1:00: The Big Canadian 2pts win 2:05: Inishturk 3pts win 2:40: The Luder 7pts win 3:10: Big Rob 5pts win 3:45: Tashkandi 3pts win Southwell 12:50: Haroldini 0.5pt e/w |
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Congrats again on an outstanding job of capping! --Dunbar |
Total Bets: 168
Wins: 51 30.36% Total Inv: 492.5pts Total Profit: 188.63pts POI: 38.30% Total Lays: 21 Wins (ie laid horses that lost): 16 76.19% Total Inv: 158.44pts Total Profit: 13.46pts POI: 8.5% Combined: Investments: 189 Successful Investments: 67 (35.45%) Total Invested: 650.94pts Total Profit: 202.09pts Total POI: 31.05% |
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Thanks Dunbar! Having a good streak at the moment...expect it to change very soon! Really enjoying putting the work in at the moment, think that's the secret, that and trying not to do too much. Also, it may sound silly, but have cut down my drinking, there's no more surefire way of backing losers than waking up with a banging head! The jumps season has been really good so far...I know it wont last forever, so will try and enjoy the good times for as long as they may last!! |
Good times!!:eek:
Sedgefield 12:50: Bougoure: 4pts win: 2nd of 10 @ 1/1: -4pts 2:15: Persian Point 2pts win: 4th of 10 @ 7/2: -2pts 2:50: Negus de Beaumont 5pts win: 1st of 8 @ 4/5: +4pts 3:20: Jballingall 3pts e/w: 1st of 15 @ 5/1: +18.75pts Willie The Fish 1pt lay: 9th of 15 @ 8.2/1: +1pt Kempton 1:00: The Big Canadian 2pts win: 2nd of 13 @ 11/4: -2pts 2:05: Inishturk 3pts win: 1st of 12 @ 7/1: +21pts 2:40: The Luder 7pts win: 1st of 8 @ 4/6: +4.66pts 3:10: Big Rob 5pts win: Pulled up @ 6/4: -5pts 3:45: Tashkandi 3pts win: 1st of 16 @ 9/4: +6.75 pts Southwell 12:50: Haroldini 0.5pt e/w: 2nd of 14 @ 25/1: +2pts Daily Total: +45.16pts Total: +247.25pts |
Simply can't envisage defeat for this well handicapped horse for his excellent new yard (Gary Moore)
Lingfield 1:50: Myson 10pts win. |
24/11/06
Musselburgh: 2:30 Kings Quay 4pts win 3:00 Lascar de Ferbet 3pts win Newbury: 1:35 Wogan 1pt win 2:10 Oscar Park 4pts win Nyborg Madrik 4pts win 2:40 Gungadu 8pts win 3:10 Lou du Moulin Mas 6pts win Wolves: 1:40 A Little Bit Left 4pts win |
The horse dogged it!!
Lingfield 1:50: Myson 10pts win: 3rd of 5 @ 11/8: -10pts Total: +237.25pts |
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Hwjb, It seems to me you have been betting more units than you did initially. Here's what you wrote in answer to an early question of mine: Quote:
This is natural, and even makes sense from a math standpoint if you have been building a bankroll. But if one reason you are keeping a bet log is for the purpose of seeing how skilled you are in the long run, then raising your bets throws a lot more uncertainty into interpreting your results. The more your results hinge on just a few races, the less meaningful they are. In your case, you had one whopper where you collected something like 124 units. But of the remaining 103 units profit, I think no single race contributed more than 35 pts. That makes your result more impressive than if you were having lots of 5-10 pt plays that were returning 50+ pts when they win. --Dunbar |
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Dunbar, You're absolutely right. In large part it's simply a case of human fallibility...with a large balance in my betting account I find it hard to restrict myself to the smaller bets, and I have been making some unnecessarily large plays of late which were speculative in nature, and should have been much smaller in outlay. That said, some (a minority) of the larger bets I've been placing (including Wednesday's maximum) have been because we are really getting going in the jumps season of late, and this time of year often tends to provide worthily juicy bets. Anyway, thanks for bringing me to account on this score, clearly the staking should remain the same throughout, and if I want to put more on I just need to change the amount of cash (currently £10) I bet per point. However, I'm not going to do this yet and will instead just try to exercise a little more self-control!! Thanks for the input! Harry. |
Musselburgh:
2:30 Kings Quay 4pts win: 3rd of 11 @ 5/4: -4pts 3:00 Lascar de Ferbet 3pts win: unseated @ 3/1: -3pts Newbury: 1:35 Wogan 1pt win: 4th of 6 @ 8/1: -1pt 2:10 Oscar Park 4pts win: 2nd of 21 @ 8/1: -4pts. Can't believe Tom Doyle failed to win on this, gave the leader 10 lengths starts then outfought in the finish. That boy really needs to get to the gym! Nyborg Madrik 4pts win: 13th of 21 @ 33/1: -4pts 2:40 Gungadu 8pts win: 2nd of 5 @ 1/2: -8pts. THOMAS!!! 3:10 Lou du Moulin Mas 6pts win: 1st of 9 @ 2/1: +12pts Wolves: 1:40 A Little Bit Left 4pts win: 1st of 9 @ 2/1: +8pts Total: -4pts Total: +233.25pts |
A cracking day's racing at Newbury, and I'm sure the winner of the Hennessy comes from Montgermont and Idle Talk. Can't split the though!
Newbury: 1:05: Arumun 2pts win Allumee 1pt win 1:35: Bambi de L'Orme 2pts win Saintsaire 1pt win Roofing Spirit 1pt lay 2:05: Inglis Drever 3pts win 2:40: Idle Talk 3pts win Montgetmont 3pts win Vodka Bleu 2pt place lay 3:15: Big Rob 1pt win 3:45: Mida Way 3pts win Newcastle: 12:55: Ellerslie George 1pt win 2:25: Nifty Roy 1pt win Alfy Rich 1pt win 3:00: Bob Bob Bobbin 3pts win Truckers Tavern 1pt e/w Another Promise 1pt e/w Hautclan 2pt win lay 3:30: Straw Bear 4pts win Towcester: 1:45: Herecomestanley 3pts win Lingfield 1:00: Autograph Hunter 8pts win 1:30: Miss Saafend Plaza 1pt win 2:35: Alpine Reel 2pts win Kempton 4:50: Homes By Woodford 3pts e/w |
Time to take the value about the mare.
Japan Cup @ Tokyo 5pt e/w Ouija Board. |
Ouch!!!
Newbury: 1:05: Arumun 2pts win: Fell @ 11/1: -2pts Allumee 1pt win: Pulled up @ 12/1: -1pt 1:35: Bambi de L'Orme 2pts win: 2nd of 9 @ 5/1: -2pts Saintsaire 1pt win: 1st of 9 @ 15/8: +1.88pts Roofing Spirit 1pt lay: 5th of 9 @ 9/1: +1pt 2:05: Inglis Drever 3pts win: 1st of 5 @ 2/1: +6pts 2:40: Idle Talk 3pts win: 6th of 16 @ 8/1: -3pts Montgetmont 3pts win 7th of 16 @ 9/2: -3pts Vodka Bleu 2pt place lay: Pulled up @ 2.7/1: +2pts 3:15: Big Rob 1pt win: Pulled up @ 11/1: -1pt 3:45: Midas Way 3pts win: 4th of 9 @ 4/1: -3pts Newcastle: 12:55: Ellerslie George 1pt win: 3rd of 18 @ 15/8: -1pt 2:25: Nifty Roy 1pt win: last of 7 finishers @ 8/1: -1pt Alfy Rich 1pt win: 3rd of 8 @ 7/1: -1pt 3:00: Bob Bob Bobbin 3pts win: 4th of 11 @ 11/4: -3pts Truckers Tavern 1pt e/w: 6th of 11 @ 33/1: -2pts Another Promise 1pt e/w: 2nd of 11 @ 14/1: +2.5pts Hautclan 2pt win lay: 5th of 11 @ 10.9/1: +0.9pts 3:30: Straw Bear 4pts win: 1st of 9 @ 1/1: +4pts Towcester: 1:45: Herecomestanley 3pts win: N/R Lingfield 1:00: Autograph Hunter 8pts win: 2nd of 4 @ 1/2: -8pts 1:30: Miss Saafend Plaza 1pt win: 2nd of 6 @ 5/1: -1pt 2:35: Alpine Reel 2pts win: 2nd of 8 @ 13/8: -2pts Kempton 4:50: Homes By Woodford 3pts e/w: 4th of 10 @ 16/1: -6pts Daily Total: -21.72pts Total: +211.53pts |
Japan Cup @ Tokyo
5pt e/w Ouija Board: 3rd of 11 @ 17/2: +3.5pts Total: +215.03pts |
Wolves:
1:20: Cumbrian Knight 1pt win Blue Hedges 1pt lay 1:50: Desert Opal 2pts lay 2:20: Finished Article 1pt win Saltrio 2pts lay 2:50: Captain Darling 1pt lay 3:20 Keep Your Distance 4pts win Folkestone: 2:00: Billy Bray 5pts win The Hardy Boy 2pts lay 2:30: Isle de Maurice 3pts win Silverio 2pts lay 3:00: Magic of Sydney 3pts win 3:30: Phardessa 2pts win |
Plumpton
1:40: Alexander Exchange 3pts win 2:10: Le Layon 1pt win 2:40: Shared Account 2pts win 3:15: Mayoun 4pts win Ayr 2:00: Wild Cane Ridge 3pts win 3:05: Negus de Beaumont 3pts win Risetotheoccasion 1pt lay Catterick 1:20: Count Fosco 1pt win 2:20: Flake 2pts win 2:55: Bedlam Boy 4pts win Kempton 5:50: Purus 4pts win |
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