There is now a 100% chance that my bubble will remain intact.

Violette has had killer numbers with babies going all the way back to '98 -- and this one today isn't slow with the running start (was an 8k yearling turned 40k 2yo) -- but considering the stock he gets, this is not one of the ones of his you'd want and this one doesn't figure to be a fast breaker either. Maybe a look 2nd time out on the drop to high priced MCL.

Teen Pauline and My Happy Face were definitely the two correct first-time-starters in that race ... they blew the rest of the field into smithereens and I believe TP got the track record. Nice performance.

The experienced Pletcher runner couldn't even beat that Ritvo debuter that pin-hooked so well for 3rd. The Violette that was taken a lot of money will be in for a tag next time out.

I had a multiple dollar ticket live to Pletcher, but nothing... Managed a $.50 cover ticket that was ok. Thanks for input.

How is your bubble bubba?

burst

Good job narrowing the race down CL. Late money on TP told you she was alive. Nice $40 exacta payoff.

Blown up. Dropped 50 on that race.

Any thoughts on the 4th tomorrow?

Pletcher has a firster and Coach AJ. Coach AJ shows a Turf work on 7/23. Not sure what to make of that, if anything.

1 and 6 are A'S.
The 5 is a B.
Everyone else is a toss.
Goodluck.

1,5,6 are X's. Work from there Pat.

Park City supposedly is a good one.

Really good. So good Lukas is likely going to an X for me. Asmussen on the other hand is hard to toss 2nd time out. Plus hes having a big meet.

Its gotta be getting old. Plus your way more clever. And your starting to sound like IC. Do the research, you dont want to sound like him.

I'm passing the race.

Lukas looks best of the experienced runners but his numbers are just brutal. The only debuter is a Pletcher that has had decent workout reports...but wasn't a 2yo sale horse.

interesting debut tomorrow--Mth R1-Cut Class Trip-$125k purchase at OBS, in for 10k first time out

2yo with I believe great future in the Florida Stallion tomorrow-Putyourdreamsaway

A rare good piece of info in a Saratoga baby race - nice. . . tricky trip too. Suprised how dead on the board he was.

$42 cold exacta for the mush. plus $15 on the win.

Looks like the opening weekend disaster for Pletcher has come to an end.

From all the 2yo's TAP started off with last year, Gemologist is all he had left standing for the summer classics? Cmon man!

Pletcher with 2yo first-time starters at Saratoga:

31-for-151 (21% wins and $1.71 ROI)


Pletcher with all horses age 3 and up:

70-for-374 (19% wins and $1.27 ROI)


That's a 36.5% loss on every dollar bet -- from a 5-year sample. Way more than double the takeout.


Any horse he had who ran well at Gulfstream Park -- is an especially terrible bet at Saratoga.

What with Pletcher these days. Horses showing up with works in .59 , .47. etc. What happened to the cookie cutter works of .49, 1.02 for every horse. Change in training style ?

What do you do with Pletcher's pair in the finale tomorrow? Big Creek and Dan and Shiela?

Personally, I will be trying to get Springcourt involved (hopefully) at a price.

Ugh. That's one of those leap of faith races, either single Big Creek or go all.

I like Prince Arion to beat both the Pletchers.