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Buffymommy 09-19-2006 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Hilarious, Buffy. I'm going to make a guess that Bernardini doesn't hit the board at all. I say 4th or 5th... :eek: Here is my prediction:

Perfect Drift
Invasor
Lava Man
Sun King
Bernardini

HAHA :D


OHHH Lava Man MAY get my third place in the tri too. I say Sun King above Invasor though. I like Bernardini. He has won his races very easily, but there is just something that keeps me from falling head over heels for this horse. OH yeah, Barbaro. A wall comes up because of Bernardini's win in the Preakness. I think of that day as a dark one and I can't get past it. I think if Bernardini had not run in the Preakness I may be more on his bandwagon. Call me crazy...

eurobounce 09-19-2006 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
I like him too. I really think that this year he is beginning to figure this racing thing out. He has been improving in every race. He will be in my tris because he tries hard everytime. IMO, he will be in one of the top three spots at the finish line.

If the field for Classic is what I think it is going to be then I love Sun King in this race. He is really the only horse who can make a strong middle move. Churchill plays right into his running style. I will be in Louisville the week of the BC and I will report back on how Sun King is doing.

Buffymommy 09-19-2006 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
I would personally like to see her in the mile again because she was so close last year (3rd; lost by a length), and she didn't have the best of trips. Love this mare. With that being said, Aragorn sure is nice too.


I was VERY mad at Gary last year after that ride. I know it wasn't REALLY his fault, but I was still mad at him.

Buffymommy 09-19-2006 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
If the field for Classic is what I think it is going to be then I love Sun King in this race. He is really the only horse who can make a strong middle move. Churchill plays right into his running style. I will be in Louisville the week of the BC and I will report back on how Sun King is doing.


Cool! Thanks Euro. Fill us in on what you see with all the horses.

Cunningham Racing 09-19-2006 12:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
How does that make sense? So Silver Train won the BC Sprint at 6 furlongs and then went and won the Met Mile at 8 furlongs. By your logic if those two extra furlongs weren't an issue then he should have no problem adding two more furlongs and going a mile and a quarter.

It is pretty easy to justify that she is best at a mile since that is where her trainer, who knows way more about her than any of us, thinks she is best.

:eek:

No sir, your wrong there....the differnece between a mile and 1 1/4 miles is the TWO TURNS MORE THAN ANYTHING....Could Silver Train get a mile anywhere other than a place like Belmont, AQU, CD or ARL where it is a ONE TURN race?...I doubt it....But, could Silver Train get 1 1/4 miles if there were such thing as a one turn 10-furlong race, who knows...maybe...

What people don't undertstand about stamina is that most of the time it has to do with having the ability to negotiiate the second turn rather than the distance....your exapmle was dead horrible and I'm really shocked you used it...

Cajungator26 09-19-2006 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
OHHH Lava Man MAY get my third place in the tri too. I say Sun King above Invasor though. I like Bernardini. He has won his races very easily, but there is just something that keeps me from falling head over heels for this horse. OH yeah, Barbaro. A wall comes up because of Bernardini's win in the Preakness. I think of that day as a dark one and I can't get past it. I think if Bernardini had not run in the Preakness I may be more on his bandwagon. Call me crazy...

I'm kind of on the same boat, but I think my problem with Bernardini is his connections (which surely isn't his fault) and to be completely honest, I don't like the way he looks. LOL Other than those two things, the horse is amazing. What most people need to remember though is that he hasn't faced older horses yet. I want to see him race against older horses. I was extremely impressed with Showing Up even though he didn't win the race against Cacique. For a 3 year old, he "showed up" literally. :cool:

Pointg5 09-19-2006 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I'm kind of on the same boat, but I think my problem with Bernardini is his connections (which surely isn't his fault) and to be completely honest, I don't like the way he looks. LOL literally.

You don't like how he looks? You must need glasses, how can you say that about the greatest race horse of all time?:D

King Glorious 09-19-2006 12:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
:eek:

No sir, your wrong there....the differnece between a mile and 1 1/4 miles is the TWO TURNS MORE THAN ANYTHING....Could Silver Train get a mile anywhere other than a place like Belmont, AQU, CD or ARL where it is a ONE TURN race?...I doubt it....But, could Silver Train get 1 1/4 miles if there were such thing as a one turn 10-furlong race, who knows...maybe...

What people don't undertstand about stamina is that most of the time it has to do with having the ability to negotiiate the second turn rather than the distance....your exapmle was dead horrible and I'm really shocked you used it...

This is correct in my opinion. Take a horse like Pleasant Tap back in in 1991-92. Couldn't win a race around two turns ANYWHERE. But put him at 10f at Belmont where it's only one-turn and he dominated the Suburban (1:58 4/5) and the JCGC.

He's just one example but there are plenty more of those horses that couldn't stay 10f anywhere but Belmont. I agree that the second turn is more of a reason than distance as to why more horses can't handle it.

Cajungator26 09-19-2006 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
You don't like how he looks? You must need glasses, how can you say that about the greatest race horse of all time?:D

There's something about his eyes I don't like... LOL He looks likes a fruit loop, but like I said, that's just my stupid opinion and obviously it holds no merit for how fast he can run. :D

Buffymommy 09-19-2006 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
You don't like how he looks? You must need glasses, how can you say that about the greatest race horse of all time?:D


HUH? Now I think he is a nice horse, but the greatest of all time? HUH? Maybe you need glasses or have you just been following racing since the Preakness? Don't dub him that yet. Let him prove it first. :p

Cajungator26 09-19-2006 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
HUH? Now I think he is a nice horse, but the greatest of all time? HUH? Maybe you need glasses or have you just been following racing since the Preakness? Don't dub him that yet. Let him prove it first. :p

I think he was kidding, Buffy. LMAO :D

Buffymommy 09-19-2006 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
There's something about his eyes I don't like... LOL He looks likes a fruit loop, but like I said, that's just my stupid opinion and obviously it holds no merit for how fast he can run. :D


I think he is a pretty horse. I know what you are saying Cajun. I thought the same thing about his eyes. Just didn't know what it was and I can't put a label on it.

Buffymommy 09-19-2006 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I think he was kidding, Buffy. LMAO :D


Then I apologize PointG. I was really only responding with sarcasim.

Pointg5 09-19-2006 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I think he was kidding, Buffy. LMAO :D

That's funny, Buffy always telling people to be nice, then she cracks on me, lol...Keep it up Buffy, I love when people crack on each other, even if it's me being cracked on....

kentuckyrosesinmay 09-19-2006 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
If the field for Classic is what I think it is going to be then I love Sun King in this race. He is really the only horse who can make a strong middle move. Churchill plays right into his running style. I will be in Louisville the week of the BC and I will report back on how Sun King is doing.

Thanks Euro. Any information will certainly be appreciated on this end.

Sightseek 09-19-2006 01:14 PM

Bernardini is the most amazing and intelligent looking animal I have ever laid eyes on. I was seriously wow'ed everytime I saw him at Saratoga. He knows he is King of the Land. :)

Buffymommy 09-19-2006 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
That's funny, Buffy always telling people to be nice, then she cracks on me, lol...Keep it up Buffy, I love when people crack on each other, even if it's me being cracked on....


I am in a silly mood today and am being very sarcastic today. Luckily my boss is out of the office today! :D

Cajungator26 09-19-2006 01:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Bernardini is the most amazing and intelligent looking animal I have ever laid eyes on. I was seriously wow'ed everytime I saw him at Saratoga. He knows he is King of the Land. :)

Kind of like his connections, which might be why I don't like him. LMAO :D

Dunbar 09-19-2006 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hwjb
RATINGS:
Ouija Board 125
Alexandrova 123+
Gorella 122

I feel that the BCFMT is the race where the Euros are strongest.

Ouija Board has been campaigned with greater regularity than in previous seasons, but runs with credit race in race out. The 11f trip will prove ideal, she is amenable as regards her positioning through a race, and is a certainty to finish in the first 3: I'd put my life on that!

Alexandrova could scarcely have been more impressive in winning the Epsom/Irish/Yorkshire Oaks, seemingly well within herself. She relaxes well during her races and has a lethal turn of foot. She is a league apart amongst 3yo fillies (and the 3 4yos she faced at York).

Gorella switches off so well during her races that I imagine that she probably will prove effective over 11f, and her ability to quicken so well make her a formidable opponent in any company. However with even the slightest doubt over stamina the two fillies listed above will take advantage. I get the impression the Mile is shaping up into the less competitive race, and that may be the one they should aim for.

Good post. Thanks.

(I'm a bit prejudiced toward any post that lauds Ouija Board, though!)

--Dunbar

LARHAGE 09-19-2006 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pointg5
You don't like how he looks? You must need glasses, how can you say that about the greatest race horse of all time?:D

I'm not going to be so silly as to call him the greatest racehorse of all time, but his looks are quite frankly flawless, the horse moves and looks like a painting, a very fine one at that!

LARHAGE 09-19-2006 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
I think he is a pretty horse. I know what you are saying Cajun. I thought the same thing about his eyes. Just didn't know what it was and I can't put a label on it.

I think the picture she was referring to him about his eyes is where he was focused and looking intently at something, his eyes were wide and he looked surprised, of course me being an Arabian breeder we love that look, it accentuates a lovely face, our magazines are full of stallions snorting and blowing and looking so alive! It's part of their beauty to me. I've never been a walk, trot, stumble kind of Quarter Horse fan, give me the hotbloods anyday! :D

Cunningham Racing 09-19-2006 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
As dominating as Gorella's Beverly D was, one thing we are forgetting about is she closed into a very fast pace that day. In my opinion it helped her get the 1 3/16. They went 23 and 1, 46 and 4 and 1:11 flat for the first 3 quarters. By comparison, the million went 24 and 3, 50 and 1, 1:15 flat. Gorella would have been nowhere had she run in the million, and I doubt she will get a pace like that again in the F&M turf. Her best shot is in the mile in my opinion.

DaHoss,

I would never compare times from different races on Million day...that'll get you in trouble....Showing Up ran a much faster time than Cacique did yet Cacique ran by him like he was standing still in the Man o'War the other day...and two years ago Kitten's Joy ran faster than Powerscourt when winning the Secretariat, but we found out which horse was difinitively better the next year in the Million.....don't always judge times....

Also, I'd like to point out that Film Maker, whom many believe is definately in the top 5 turf fillies and mares maybe in the world, closed into that same fast pace yet she was still no match for Gorella who was closing with strides that were 2-to-1 better than Film Maker's....and she won easily under the wire..

I'm telling you, I'd bet ANYTHING 1 3/8 miles would not be an issue with her....

kentuckyrosesinmay 09-19-2006 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LARHAGE
I think the picture she was referring to him about his eyes is where he was focused and looking intently at something, his eyes were wide and he looked surprised, of course me being an Arabian breeder we love that look, it accentuates a lovely face, our magazines are full of stallions snorting and blowing and looking so alive! It's part of their beauty to me. I've never been a walk, trot, stumble kind of Quarter Horse fan, give me the hotbloods anyday! :D

You should see some of the Quarter Horses hunters/jumpers and dressage horses that I ride. Why, some of them are more hot-headed than some of the Arabs that I've ridden! In fact, the Anglo-Arab mare that I once owned behaved 10 times better than my Quarter Horse does now...LOL! No, I know how rambuctious the halter Arabs can be. I was at a Regional Arab show practicing judging once in Raleigh, NC, and a darn Arab stallion reared up, fell backwards, and rolled over. He was the most correct horse in the class though, and in halter, you know that it doesn't matter if they act up so long as they are still long enough for the judge to get a good look at them. He stood right back up as if nothing had happened and won the class!

I too like those bright burning eyes that Bernardini has. He is a very mature and regal looking horse. His eye reminds me of the Slew's eye. I think that Bernardini epitomizes the "look of eagles". I'm also pretty sure that he is probably a mean and rambuctious horse, but highly intelligent. He sure is beautiful and can run though which is all that matters. Champion screams out at you when you lay eyes upon him.

Cajungator26 09-19-2006 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LARHAGE
I think the picture she was referring to him about his eyes is where he was focused and looking intently at something, his eyes were wide and he looked surprised, of course me being an Arabian breeder we love that look, it accentuates a lovely face, our magazines are full of stallions snorting and blowing and looking so alive! It's part of their beauty to me. I've never been a walk, trot, stumble kind of Quarter Horse fan, give me the hotbloods anyday! :D

And that's probably why I don't like the way he looks. I was never big on Arabians. (No offense.) I'm not a QH person either, but nothing beats a horse with wideset liquid eyes. (Kind of like Barbaro. ;))

Danzig 09-19-2006 06:24 PM

Juvenile Fillies: Point Ashley
Juvenile: chief officer
Mile: aragorn
Distaff: pine island
F & M Turf: ouija board
Sprint: back to ya on this one...
Turf: cacique
Classic: see sprint above!

Danzig 09-19-2006 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I'll trust Patrick's judgement. I think the added distance is a HUGE concern and to just assume that she will have that explosive kick regardless of the distance is a mistake.

The mile could be tougher, though I don't think the European contingency is considered all that tough this year ( let's see if George Washington can rebound to his pre-injury form ), but racing at the proper distance is FAR mre important than worrying about the possibly minor difference in field quality. Anyway, Ouiji Board could well be tougher than any Euro in the mile, and the same owner as Gorella has Lady of Venice.

have read in the past that it's hoped gorella could go in the mile, IF they felt lady of venice would have a good chance in the f+m...so one would have to think that if lady can't run, or they don't like their chances, that gorella would go in there instead of the mile.

also, people, please remember that this is the day the very best come together. no horse is guaranteed a win...cough cough rock of gibraltar....

i like gorella, love to watch her run, come in from way back and sweep by the field BUT i laugh every time i see her, or pretty much any horse, being 'given' an easy win by the fans. her style in particular is one that can see defeat, and with larger fields oftentimes does. don't get me wrong, i'll enjoy her winning as much as anyone, even more so if she does it against the boys--but please keep the hype down just a tad.

blackthroatedwind 09-19-2006 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig188
have read in the past that it's hoped gorella could go in the mile, IF they felt lady of venice would have a good chance in the f+m...so one would have to think that if lady can't run, or they don't like their chances, that gorella would go in there instead of the mile.

also, people, please remember that this is the day the very best come together. no horse is guaranteed a win...cough cough rock of gibraltar....

i like gorella, love to watch her run, come in from way back and sweep by the field BUT i laugh every time i see her, or pretty much any horse, being 'given' an easy win by the fans. her style in particular is one that can see defeat, and with larger fields oftentimes does. don't get me wrong, i'll enjoy her winning as much as anyone, even more so if she does it against the boys--but please keep the hype down just a tad.


He told me recently she was headed to the mile but I suppose that could change. You can always pre-enter in both races and take a look. I can easily understand arguments for both races, and while I would tend to prefer her chances in the mile, the fact is she will most likely be a shorter price in the F&M Turf and there's a reasonable argument that you are simply supposed to run her where her odds are the lowest ( on the board that is ). On the other hand, the Mile has a bigger purse and is probably considered a more prestigous race. Either way I guess it's a good predicament to be in.

I will root for her because I like Patrick but I doubt I would bet her in either spot. You're point about her running style possibly hurting her in a big field is a good one, just look what happened last year when she was arguably best, and it is far from clear she is the best horse in the race anyway. I guess we can wait and see the field.

I think one of the reasons she gets so much hype is her name....honestly. Another reason is she is an exceptionally good horse.

Danzig 09-19-2006 06:47 PM

she is a good horse...seems many go gaga a bit more tho over a horse with her late running style. i'm not trying to take a thing away from her, she's been remarkable all year. but i do get a grin on my face when i see people suggest that she would easily handle the likes of ouija board!!

i think she'll go in the mile, really regardless of where lady of venice ends up....because it's the better fit for her, better for her to run a late closing on the board finish, or maybe even the win, than to end up running out of gas, and out of the money, against the gals while going long the first time.

i wouldn't be surprised tho to see lady of venice show up in the f+m turf if she's training well. we all know anything can happen.

Cunningham Racing 09-19-2006 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I'm not comparing final times, I'm talking internal fractions. Gorella did have a fast pace to close into. Do you think she would have made a move like that if they were going the same fractions as they did in the million. And Showing Up's race was faster, but look at the final fraction in the million. They went the last 1/4 in 22 and change. When in comparison, Showing Up went the last quarter in 24 and 1, so an argument can be made that Cacique's race was better, especially when considering competition. I usually don't look to much into times when handicapping, but I definitely feel as though Gorella's performance was enhanced by the swift pace she was able to close into.

Comon, man.....Showing up ran like 15 lengths faster than The Tin Cup through the first six furlongs of the race, yet he still ran a faster overall time in the end....tomato/tomatoe, man....You still haven't answered the question of how Film Maker failed to match strides with Gorella closing into that fast pace.....Film Maker is a VERY respectable turf mare in the world with two very respectable BC F&M Turf finishes, yet Gorella's closing kick dwarfed Film Maker's and she won with complete ease at the wire.....just the facts....

Bottomline: I almost stake my ability to evaluate horse racing that Gorella will effectively get 1 3/8 miles....

Cunningham Racing 09-19-2006 07:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig188
she is a good horse...seems many go gaga a bit more tho over a horse with her late running style. i'm not trying to take a thing away from her, she's been remarkable all year. but i do get a grin on my face when i see people suggest that she would easily handle the likes of ouija board!!

i think she'll go in the mile, really regardless of where lady of venice ends up....because it's the better fit for her, better for her to run a late closing on the board finish, or maybe even the win, than to end up running out of gas, and out of the money, against the gals while going long the first time.

i wouldn't be surprised tho to see lady of venice show up in the f+m turf if she's training well. we all know anything can happen.

I'm not sure I suggested she'd easily handle the likes of Ouija Board...I simply said that she'd have a better chance of winning the F&M Turf based on waht I currently know IMO....that said, Ouija Board will be tough BUT THERE IS NO BREEDERS' CUP RACE EVER RUN THAT WAS A WALK OVER...comon man....

The FACTS here are that she WOULD be lower odds in the F&M Turf rather than the Mile....just the facts....

Danzig 09-19-2006 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
I'm not sure I suggested she'd easily handle the likes of Ouija Board...I simply said that she'd have a better chance of winning the F&M Turf based on waht I currently know IMO....that said, Ouija Board will be tough BUT THERE IS NO BREEDERS' CUP RACE EVER RUN THAT WAS A WALK OVER...comon man....

The FACTS here are that she WOULD be lower odds in the F&M Turf rather than the Mile....just the facts....

i didn't have you or your posts in mind when i typed my posts above. and i just said no race would be easy so i'm not sure why you felt you had to remind me that no race was a walkover. i do think that the f+m turf might be a bit easier than the mile for gorella...but ouija for one has been giving the boys fits all year, carrying more weight than she will in november at churchill (carrying as much or more weight than the males here as well!)...some of the others will be tough as well, and have been tried at that distance in the past. gorella facing top competition and a new, longer distance would be interesting to say the very least.

Cunningham Racing 09-19-2006 07:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I also believe she can get the 1 3/8, I just think she has a better shot in the mile. I don't think the 1 3/8 is her best distance. She was better than Film Maker that day, and probably better most days. There's your answer. I just don't think she will win the F&M Turf.

I respect that, but I still am sticking with the feeling that the F&M Turf field will be less quality all the way through than the Mile field....we'll see....it IS boys instead of girls in the Mile.....I'd rather face girls ALL DAY than the best male Milers in the world, regardless of Ouija Board being in the F&M Turf...she is only 1 horse....

Danzig 09-19-2006 07:42 PM

i belive librettist will also be in the mile.
and don't forget angara for the f+m turf either. altho i think at this point they're all a slight step behind ouija board.

kentuckyrosesinmay 09-19-2006 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
And that's probably why I don't like the way he looks. I was never big on Arabians. (No offense.) I'm not a QH person either, but nothing beats a horse with wideset liquid eyes. (Kind of like Barbaro. ;))

Yeah, I like the face on Barbaro too. My QH yearling that I had to put down had a face like Barbaro. That's the look of the kind of horse you want to have as a show horse. In my experience, horses that have a face like Barbaro's are highly, highly intelligent, very people oriented, and very sweet. My QH yearling was the most intelligent animal that I had every worked. He had such a wonderful, loving, and curious personality. He would come trotting up to you as soon as you went to the gate of the pasture. I didn't think that horses could have those kinds of relationships with people before I got him. He left me too soon:(

Sightseek 09-19-2006 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Yeah she is only one horse, but there are other nice ones as well. Wait A While has been nothing short of brilliant on the turf this year, so I think she has a big shot. Aside from what is coming over from Europe, which at this point no one knows for sure, she really just has to deal with Aragorn, and maybe Miesque's Approval in the mile , although I think that one will be in way over his head.

There is talk of the Mile for What A While as well.....


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