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That said, he obviously worked hard yesterday and that should tighten him up. But I'm skeptical about his ability, at this point, to recapture his 2-year-old form. |
I'll just say that I'm really disappointed, though not shocked. He was handled this spring in a fashion that coming up short was almost to be expected, even for an enormously talented individual as he showed himself to be last year. I wanted to believe- really I did. I don't need better odds or a Derby "score", I wanted a superstar....I hope he's not hurt, and I hope he gets tight in the next 4 weeks, but this just sucks today.
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As good of a trainer as Pletcher is, and his numbers say he is the best in the game. That being said, he gets the best horses year after year and his Derby record is poor. So maybe his method of getting horses to the derby is not the best? I do not know.
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Is it April Fool's Day again. |
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And maybe I missed something, but the trainer is still Pletcher. Did he become beloved all of the sudden and I missed it? Wasn't there a thread just last week (after his horses ran like energizer bunnies at Gulfstream all weekend) about him? |
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If it's bringing you some satisfaction that Uncle Mo lost yesterday you're probably not envious, a miserable person, or someone who hates Indian Charlie. |
Once again, I posted that as a general comment in response to some people asking why this guy is not liked. It wasn't necessarily aimed at you.
I posted this after I researched and read up on the guy. I couldn't find anything negative about him. Therefore, the only thing I could come up with is envy. There are many out there that are pissed at their own lives, so they try to make themselves feel better by cutting others down. |
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Oh so it's an image thing. I get it. Hmmmmm |
:tro::tro::tro:
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I am envious of Richard Burch and his redboarding skills.
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I wanted him to win. I needed him for a bet (not paying much but better than ripping it up) and he seemed like a really good one, in an era with so few of them. I wasn't happy at all he lost. But it doesn't make his human connections easy to root for and it has nothing to do with envy. |
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Uncle Mo apparently will get some bloodwork. Hopefully he is not suffering from Lifeattenitis
http://www.drf.com/news/uncle-mo-hav...ky-derby-trail |
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To me on paper, I thought the horse looked unbeatable. I thought the Motion horse was a little intriguing with the addition of blinkers, but I thought that there was going to be other horses looking for the lead as well. That's why I was kind of shocked when Uncle Mo found the lead so early. The race just never came together the way I envisioned it. Also, I never thought Toby's Corner was going to be the one coming late especially with the addition of the shades. I didn't bet the race or the sequence, but I will admit Uncle Mo would have been a definite single on any ticket I would have put in. Then I could have spread in the other races where it looked like it was going to be needed. Like I said, I'm just curious why you feel like it was a bad bet. Quote:
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I had suggested a 5x5x2x1 play for $50. The P4 to Uncle Mo was paying $200, so you were getting 4-1 in that case. Toby's Corner was the right 'other' horse, if you believed there was an 'other' horse, and the P4 paid $4,000 (80-1). The problem with trying to get clever Saturday was that the Comely and Bay Shore were tricky, and required slightly wide-cast nets. (4 possible winners in the Comely? As many as 5 plausable winners in the Bay Shore?) The Carter was, for me anyway, Apriority and Morning Line only, so that helped. But trying to get to Toby's Corner on back-up tickets was hard to accept as a prop given that you easily could have ended up with an Ava K (3-2), JJ's Lucky Train (2-1), Apriority (3-2), Uncle Mo (1-9) parlay that returned $37.50. So in addition to spending $50 on the main ticket, which covers the vast majority of the most likely possible outcomes, your view is that public handicappers suggest to people that they spend an additional $50 to try and snare a much less likely outcome. And those handicappers are supposed to do that knowing that the likliest outcomes may not cover the cost of the tickets? And by the way, Arthur's Tale ended up every bit as 'good' in the race as the winner, so even if you backed up with Toby's Corner, you may have ended up losing had Arthur's Tale gotten to the wire. Or should it have been suggested that people spend another $50 covering Arthur's Tale? |
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Most public handicappers didn't say to spread at all here. And your P4 50.00 play was for a buck, so you where getting 2-1, not 4-1. |
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this is why you don't listen to public handicappers........uncle mo's race is the type i spread in everytime......do you want the pool? or do you want to share it with thousands of other people? those guys just care about win percentage and looking good to the public.......theres only a few that don't worry about ripping them up and thats their problem. or they have to say certain things for the venue they work at....the guy that hosts this site puts together good tickets (steve) watch how he does it.....heres a hint...the biggest Pick 3 scores come when horses like smarty jones, big brown, rachel and uncle mo lose....people should forget the envy talk and learn how to gamble....take a math class and learn how to take the biggest part of the pool......very few public handicappers even talk about this......THEY GIVE YOU THE 2-5 (1-9) SHOT.....good luck doing well in this game with that! instead of whining and envy talk you can be in line signing a huge win.........people give a crap about all the WRONG things......if uncle mo wins thats my saver...its more of a loss. when he loses...now its something worth cashing.....
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This is an argument of preference. I singled Uncle Mo as well because I was trying to find my value elsewhere. I went against Ava K in the first leg as a heavy false favorite and also tried for a price with Laysh Laysh Laysh in the third leg on my "A" ticket because of his high level of success at a specilist distance. I bet all of $20, a $1 2x3x3x1 plus a $2 single ticket, which died when Laysh completely missed the break. I was however very happy to see that I would get a gross return of about $101 on the $1 ticket with a win by Uncle Mo. So I actually did both things you are talking about. I tossed a heavy favorite I considered false and went single on another heavy favorite. I wasn't a huge fan of Mo, but even still he looked to tower above the rest. Ava K however didn't even look the 3rd best horse to me.
I think these are the only two reasonable options when facing heavy favorites in a sequence. Either single them or toss them completely. Anything else it throwing away money. Which you do though is preference. Would you rather swing for the fences with a high chance of striking out, or go for a smaller, but much more likely return. |
Uncle Mo was 20:1 on the internet and 1:9 at the windows.
Now we have proof that the vast majority of internet prognosticators don't bet. So unbelievably tiresome. The only reason internet bettors are blowing their horns is because Uncle Mo lost. When these results don't go their internet way we never hear a fukking peep. It's preposterous. Betting is done at the windows. |
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Some really smarty folks showed up to tell us about it AFTER the race. After trolling the boards and Twitter, I think someone needs to audit the NYRA, because it sure seems as if Toby's Corner took the majority of the money.
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I had $5,000 to win on Toby's Corner in the Wood, but I feel really bad, cause I had a huge exacta with Toby's Corner on top of Uncle Mo.
I'm such a dickwad. |
such a shame he didn't finish 4th for those moron bridgejumpers that xpressbet doesnt want
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