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-   -   Privman: Let the Horse of the Year Debate Begin (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=39383)

prudery 11-08-2010 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 720607)
When you have no argument, you turn to semantics. I get it.

No you don't get it but Drugs did a better job than I did to get the point across .

And BTW, I wasn't arguing --y tu ???

ateamstupid 11-08-2010 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by prudery (Post 720610)
No you don't get it but Drugs did a better job than I did to get the point across .

There's a stunner.

Merlinsky 11-08-2010 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 720542)
Ask any trainer other than John Shirreffs and they'll tell you who the winner is. Same thing with any owner outside of the Mosses.

Much to my surprise, and despite saying if Blame, Zenyatta, Quality Road, or Lookin At Lucky are HOTY if they win the Classic, Baffert said he'd pick Zenyatta.

We're all in mad love with that mare, but c'mon, Blame earned that. It's not Zenyatta's fault, it's not Mike Smith's fault. She's just as amazing whether she won it or not, but the horse that finished in front of her had a legitimate stake in HOTY going in. The Mosses could've gotten that for her, but it's all the eggs in one basket approach that backfired. As the Mig said, it's not just that dirt hit her in the face, it's that the speed of it was that much harder since there were a lot of horses and some were much faster than the fields from before. They took a risk, and it almost worked, but you gotta give credit where it's due. He gets it.

Someone made a Tara Lipinski/Michelle Kwan comparison with Blame and Zenyatta. As a Kwan fan, it's actually one that makes sense to me, but I have to point out that Michelle being the total package and one of our finest American athletes ever doesn't mean she gets the gold medal if that particular set of performances doesn't beat Tara's on the scoreboard. It's bad luck, someone else had the better day, peaked at the right time, and got the prize.

Indian Charlie 11-08-2010 07:36 PM

And people were naive enough to think that once Zenyatta lost, the Zenyattardism was going to die down!

Dahoss 11-08-2010 07:41 PM

If Blame's campaign was chickensh.it, what was Zenyatta's?

Dahoss 11-08-2010 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 720629)
And people were naive enough to think that once Zenyatta lost, the Zenyattardism was going to die down!

Not me. I'm on record as saying it would be worse.

prudery 11-08-2010 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 720634)
If Blame's campaign was chickensh.it, what was Zenyatta's?

Chickensh*t too--till the last one .

Everbody's was , is what I was saying--hence no dawrfing .

Indian Charlie 11-08-2010 07:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 720636)
Not me. I'm on record as saying it would be worse.

I didn't say anything, but I felt that it will likely continue until about a week after the HOY announcement is made.

By then, I expect all of the rest of us to have taken each others lives in a mass suicide pact.

BONZAI!

Indian Charlie 11-08-2010 07:47 PM

Uncle Mo's campaign was not chickenshit at all.

And yes, he is great. At least what he's done so far is. I'm not sure there is a difference.

Danzig 11-08-2010 07:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mark2061mn (Post 720428)
This was a comment left below the article by a reader. Name look familiar!!

Zenyatta 5 grade 1 wins and 1 grade 1 second. Blame 3 grade 1 wins and 1 grade 1 second. For all intents and purposes The BC classic was a tie, with Blame the edge on his Favorite track. Zenyatta Horse Of The Year.......
....
The Bid 08 Nov 2010 3

except the classic wasn't a tie.


and i love the delicious irony involved here...with people criticizing blame for being lightly raced, or with him winning on his 'home track'. lmao....where's all that criticism been regarding a certain other lightly raced horse who's made exactly one trip west of the mississippi??

Dahoss 11-08-2010 07:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by prudery (Post 720637)
Chickensh*t too--till the last one .

Everbody's was , is what I was saying--hence no dawrfing .

The difference is, history has shown that in order for a female to win HOY, they need to either defeat males or be really dominating and have there be no standout male during the year.

I'm not saying that is right, but that is how it has been for decades. If both of their campaigns sucked, which I'm not even sure I agree with, then the deciding factor should be head to head. I know it was a head, but Blame beat Zenyatta.

He defeated better horses and won the head to head matchup.

Indian Charlie 11-08-2010 07:49 PM

west?

Indian Charlie 11-08-2010 07:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 720642)
The difference is, history has shown that in order for a female to win HOY, they need to either defeat males or be really dominating and have there be no standout male during the year.

I'm not saying that is right, but that is how it has been for decades. If both of their campaigns sucked, which I'm not even sure I agree with, then the deciding factor should be head to head. I know it was a head, but Blame beat Zenyatta.

He defeated better horses and won the head to head matchup.

But Z kicked Blames ASS all over the dance floor.

prudery 11-08-2010 08:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 720642)
The difference is, history has shown that in order for a female to win HOY, they need to either defeat males or be really dominating and have there be no standout male during the year.

I'm not saying that is right, but that is how it has been for decades. If both of their campaigns sucked, which I'm not even sure I agree with, then the deciding factor should be head to head. I know it was a head, but Blame beat Zenyatta.

He defeated better horses and won the head to head matchup.

I agree about history, but I may agree that Blame was standout. or dwarfed his competition .

I really get that he won, but I really do feel she ran a better race.

As for the males vs females in the HOY choices, of course Azeri got it ibecause there was no stickout male, and Busher got it on her own.

Historically--if you have been around as long as I have , one could say both campaigns and QRs sucked because they were infrequent and spaced and carefully selected--but I didn't say they sucked .

This is what we get these days, and it does make it a little difficult with less information and actual seeing these guys on track with these programs.

In the old days, you truly got a better pictures of who was who because we saw them more, they raced more, and they did take more risks .

Even so, HOY decsions were not always universally approved either .

I still don't know what those rules are for HOY, and that was my main b*tch .

Thank you for your civility ..

ateamstupid 11-08-2010 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by prudery (Post 720682)
I really get that he won, but I really do feel she ran a better race.

Feelings > Results in Ztard land.

prudery 11-08-2010 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 720699)
Feelings > Results in Ztard land.

That's a wrap ..

Your opinion and off topic again .

Next .

jimmy the T 11-08-2010 08:54 PM

The sport of horse racing is dying. Zenyatta put fans in the stands, raced her heart out and should win HOY. BRING HER BACK NEXT YEAR AND CREATE A MEDIA EVENT ALL AROUND THE COUNTRY TO SAVE HORSE RACING. Big Z can save racing no other horse can.

ateamstupid 11-08-2010 09:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by prudery (Post 720708)
That's a wrap ..

Your opinion and off topic again .

Next .

Pot kettle black. I still haven't heard your justification for why Blame shouldn't get HOY. Yours, not Doug's.

prudery 11-08-2010 09:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 720724)
Pot kettle black. I still haven't heard your justification for why Blame shouldn't get HOY. Yours, not Doug's.

HELLLOOOOO ---I referenced Drugs' post to indicate that accomplishments are subjective, not to argue who got HOY.

If you read all my posts--and don't do me any favors--you might realize that I wasn't arguing HOY on your terms, I was saying the qualifications for HOY are subjective, and Blame dwarfed no one .

Taht is is ..

It can't be any simpler .

Really .

The original post indicated that I was taking umbrage in the fact that there were no set RULES for determining HOY--WTF ...

If I was justify anything,I was trying to justify subjectivity in the term accomplishment .

I really really can not make myself plainer ...

Any further queries will convince me I am dealing with a mammoth pudenda ..

That can't be right, can it ???


.

ateamstupid 11-08-2010 09:26 PM

The structure of your posts really reflects the your presence here. Unnecessary space and a lot of words to really say nothing. There's no way you can twist Zenyatta's year into being on par with Blame's. Period. By any measure. So your 'HOY is subjective' point has no relevance here. I'm not arguing with a tard like you who has nothing worthwhile to say and just wants to antagonize people who know more than you.

philcski 11-08-2010 09:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by prudery (Post 720525)
Handle and tv ratings soared big this year, and I assure you it had nothing to do with Blame--and all of that is FACT .

No... it had everything to do with it being on real, actual DIRT at Churchill Downs. Nothing else.

CSC 11-09-2010 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 720589)
Let's look at what Blame accomplished this year ... in his punishing five race season ...

* After a lengthy freshening - Blame makes his 2010 debut in the Grade 3Schaffer at Pimlico. Talk about a SOFT win and stressless comeback ... No Advantage was 2nd .. the late Timber Reserve was 3rd.



This race was a glorified public workout for Blame.

* Blame makes 2010 start #2 in the Grade 1 Stephen Foster.

Battle Plan appears home free as the favorite - but suddenly starts struggling with his action inside the 1/16th pole and is caught by Blame. General Quarters and Giant Oak 3rd and 4th. The final time is slower than Rachel Alexandra's super impressive 9f win by a double digit length margin on the undercard that day.

Battle Plan is retired with an injury the very next day.



* Blame makes 2010 start #3 in the Whitney. This was the toughest field assembled all year for a horse race in America leading into the Breeders Cup Classic.

Blame beats Quality Road, Musket Man, and Haynesfield - and does it without any pace help at all.

However, Quality Road's performance wasn't up to par for him - and it was the start of a sharp downward spiral.

Musket Man was a troubled 3rd - the race obviously took a lot out of him. He missed his return engagement - and was desperately rushed into a start in the Monmouth Stakes off of just a single workout - a race in which he lost to Etched and fitness clearly his undoing as he appeared to have Etched clearly beaten on the turn.

Haynesfield broke through the starting gate that day - and was not himself.


* Blame makes start #4 in the Jockey Club Gold Cup - no serious pace pressure for Haynesfield - and Haynesfield sets a very legit but unpressured pace and absolutely toys with Blame and Fly Down. Blame's lack of tactical speed is finally exposed.


* Blame beats Zenyatta by a slim margin in the Breeders Cup Classic. It was one of the all-time lowest rated BC Classic's in terms of figures. In victory, I believe Blame even failed to demenstate that he is a better dirt horse than Zenyatta.

I realize Blame was closer to a faster and collapsing pace - but Zenyatta was being ridden harder early. I think it's wrong to assume the fast pace benefitted her more than Blame.


I admire the campaign of Blind Luck - I understand the campaign of Zenyatta (trying to nurse a perfect record) - I HATE the campaign of Blame. Pure chicken sh!t.

I'd have less problem with Blame's campaign if he was a brilliant speed horse like a Ghostzapper - who goes out and runs extremely hard the whole way. He isn't that kind of horse though.

When you hate Blame's 2010 campaign as much as I do - if I'm going to award him Horse of the Year - the silver lining should come in his performances on the race track ... and those five performances were simply not good enough for me... and there was nothing special about a single one of them.

I have no problem with Blame winning, but personally - I wouldn't vote for him.

This is well thought out and argued, originally I was leaning towards Blame, but now I am not so sure.

Edit - On second thought I think Blame should get it, but it's close.

Thunder Gulch 11-09-2010 09:05 AM

I honestly can't believe the HOY debate is beginning, I thought it ended Saturday.

Best race by each was the classic and Blame beats Zenyatta. No matter the margin, the photo says he hit the wire first. ADVANTAGE BLAME

Race #2. Blame's Whitney win over QR, Musket, et al or Zenyatta's Vanity win over St. Trinians (who was hurt if you want to use the Battle Plan argument later). The Whitney was the best field of the year before the classic. ADVANTAGE BLAME

Race #3 Blame's Foster win over Battle Plan or Zenyatta's -what? Apple Blossom? The Foster wasn't a deep field, but Zenyatta's races after the aforementioned were so poor in quality it's hard to determine which field of allowance horses was better. The Foster is one of the most prestigious G1 races for older horses in America. ADVANTAGE BLAME

Races #4,5 Who knows at this point? Neither beat much or you could say Blame's JC Gold Cup loss gives the edge to Zenyatta. ADVANTAGE ZENYATTA for not losing.

In a nutshell, Blame won the two best races of the year and his only loss was in an open G1. Zenyatta's lone loss is better than Blame's, but his two great wins make it easy to see who deserves recognition.

slotdirt 11-09-2010 09:12 AM

DrugS and CSC in perfect agreement on the HOTY discussion. That should tell someone something.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-09-2010 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 720910)
DrugS and CSC in perfect agreement on the HOTY discussion. That should tell someone something.

I don't think we're in that much agreement. If I had a vote - which I don't - I would piss it away on Uncle Mo as a form of protest.

I put the over/under on total number of votes Uncle Mo gets for Horse of the Year at 1.5

CSC 11-09-2010 09:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 720910)
DrugS and CSC in perfect agreement on the HOTY discussion. That should tell someone something.

I edited, Blame should get it, but it's a nose difference. Hey I can give credit when I see a well argued point.

randallscott35 11-09-2010 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 720913)
I don't think we're in that much agreement. If I had a vote - which I don't - I would piss it away on Uncle Mo as a form of protest.

I put the over/under on total number of votes Uncle Mo gets for Horse of the Year at 1.5

I pegged you for a Presque Isle vote myself.

CSC 11-09-2010 09:20 AM

One thing I will add, Goldikova should not be HOY if anyone has any ideas.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-09-2010 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 720915)
I pegged you for a Presque Isle vote myself.

Chamberlin Bridge broke his maiden at Presque Isle for a maiden 25k claiming tag.

My haterd for turf sprint races knows no bounds. If they ever give an eclipse for Champion Turf Sprinter - I would abstain from using my non-existant vote every year.

randallscott35 11-09-2010 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 720917)
Chamberlin Bridge broke his maiden at Presque Isle for a maiden 25k claiming tag.

My haterd for turf sprint races knows no bounds. If they ever give an eclipse for Champion Turf Sprinter - I would abstain from using my non-existant vote every year.

Used Unzip me in that race. Don't know why really.

Dahoss 11-09-2010 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 720910)
DrugS and CSC in perfect agreement on the HOTY discussion. That should tell someone something.

:tro:

classhandicapper 11-09-2010 10:45 AM

I hate the idea of these soft, selective, extra well spaced campaigns as much as the next guy, but I think we are going to have to get used to it.

Many trainers believe that spacing maximizes the chances of keeping a horse fresh for a full year and that really fast and tough races wear a horse down. Since the BC is now such a huge target, that gives them ample motivation to look for easy spots, to skip races, and to avoid tough ones. They also have opportunity to do so because there are many stakes around the country to look for those easier spots.

I'm not sure which of the two is the better horse based on the Classic. I'm still looking at the replay of the start of the race and other things. But I'm a huge Zenyatta fan and think being this good on two surfaces is rather mind boggling, but I'd still vote for Blame. The precedent is to vote the best older male unless the division wasn't sorted out or was very weak and someone else was a monster. It's also not typical to make a lot of subjective judgments about pace, trip, bias etc... and evaluate horses that way. Usually whoever wins on the track gets the edge.

the_fat_man 11-09-2010 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 720589)

I'd have less problem with Blame's campaign if he was a brilliant speed horse like a Ghostzapper - who goes out and runs extremely hard the whole way. He isn't that kind of horse though.

Yeah. You know, I'd have less problem with pre-steriod Barry Bonds if he'd just have hit as many home runs as post-steriod BB did. :rolleyes: But he wasn't that kind of slugger though.

Indian Charlie 11-09-2010 02:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 721067)
Yeah. You know, I'd have less problem with people if I wasn't such a cantankerous whiny bitch of a complainer. :rolleyes: But I'm just that kind of person though.

Fixed that up for you.

Clip-Clop 11-09-2010 02:47 PM

Blind Luck. Even in defeat.

Scav 11-09-2010 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 720589)
I'd have less problem with Blame's campaign if he was a brilliant speed horse like a Ghostzapper - who goes out and runs extremely hard the whole way. He isn't that kind of horse though.

I'm not sure if this will change your mind at all but someone down there this week called me and told me that Blame had some serious quarter cracks, after further investigation, he had them for a while and while it wasn't bothersome, one has to think if they ran him more, those could have become more of an issue.

slotdirt 11-09-2010 03:00 PM

Now I'm seeing the "Zenyatta's going to the Hall of Fame, but Blame isn't, so Zenyatta is obviously HOTY" arguments coming along. That's a juicy one. I bet we could easily find a dozen examples of horses losing HOTY to non-HOF horses and still going to the HOF.

Indian Charlie 11-09-2010 03:06 PM

I think Boys at Tosconova should win the Eclipse for best 2yo, since he ran second in the BC race.

alysheba4 11-09-2010 06:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 720483)
Who cares?

....who cares with any of it....


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