Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Look Back at Saratoga Meet. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=38207)

the_fat_man 09-07-2010 11:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 693244)
My opinion of him is this.... From day 1 they wanted to go long with him. Repole was on Capital Otb Monday, I believe him. Everything he is doing now is on raw talent. Its likely one more race then BC. When he comes back sometime in Jan-Feb thats when I think we see the new horse. I could be wrong, but I just think there is a world of talent bottled up in this guy.

Let me get this straight: they want to go longer with him but he's still 'fast' enough to be the pacesetter yesterday, and his maiden win. Of course, he didn't really run that fast the 1st split yesterday and the winner was wider and won in hand (real easy). So, it's not like cutting the pace really worked against him. Now, how exactly is going longer supposed to improve this horse?

I know::rolleyes:

once they get him down to GP, he can wire going longer.

GPK 09-07-2010 01:03 PM

I don't see how Lezcano is incompetent. The guy had a tough meet on the win end. You don't win at an 18% clip at the premier winter meet, against the very same jocks, by being incompetent.

dalakhani 09-07-2010 01:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 693277)
I don't see how Lezcano is incompetent. The guy had a tough meet on the win end. You don't win at an 18% clip at the premier winter meet, against the very same jocks, by being incompetent.

I agree. He is a fine young rider that just had a bad meet.

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 02:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 693098)
We really need to put the notion that Lezcano is a competent jock to rest, once and for all.

+100

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 02:40 PM

I can name 15 other riders who get Fly Down to switch leads and get up to win the Travers.

RockHardTen1985 09-07-2010 02:45 PM

Not that I disagree, but please name all 15. I can name 10 that are simply better then him, maybe even 15.

Siena 16 09-07-2010 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693289)
I can name 15 other riders who get Fly Down to switch leads and get up to win the Travers.

Lezcano will be riding at Lone Star within two years.

RockHardTen1985 09-07-2010 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Siena 16 (Post 693292)
Lezcano will be riding at Lone Star within two years.


HARSH

Coach Pants 09-07-2010 03:02 PM

I could see him riding the FL circuit full time.

RockHardTen1985 09-07-2010 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 693296)
I could see him riding the FL circuit full time.

He could be a Calder legend.

MaTH716 09-07-2010 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 693298)
He could be a Calder legend.

Coach was talkin about Finger lakes..................

RockHardTen1985 09-07-2010 03:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 693299)
Coach was talkin about Finger lakes..................

He would do OK there also.

Cannon Shell 09-07-2010 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693289)
I can name 15 other riders who get Fly Down to switch leads and get up to win the Travers.

When 3 yo's in 1 1/4 Grade 1 races don't switch leads I would tend to think that the jockey probably isn't the issue.

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 06:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 693323)
When 3 yo's in 1 1/4 Grade 1 races don't switch leads I would tend to think that the jockey probably isn't the issue.

When you get beat a nose it is.

Cannon Shell 09-07-2010 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693325)
When you get beat a nose it is.

Why do you think the horses didn't switch?

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 06:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 693290)
Not that I disagree, but please name all 15. I can name 10 that are simply better then him, maybe even 15.

JV
Ramon
Lep
Gomez
Sleepy
Prado
Cornelio
S. Bridgmohan
Rosario
Bejarano
Pval
V. Espinoza
Martin Garcia
David Flores
Albarado

plenty more too but thats 15.

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 693327)
Why do you think the horses didn't switch?

He didnt even try to make him switch buddy.

the_fat_man 09-07-2010 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 693323)
When 3 yo's in 1 1/4 Grade 1 races don't switch leads I would tend to think that the jockey probably isn't the issue.

You'd probably be right if this were the occasional thing with Lezcano. But if you watch his rides up at SAR you find a common theme: can't keep horses on righty lead in the stretch.

His masterpiece was on Stevil, the other day. I counted at least FIVE lead changes in the lane.

In other words, Lezcano SUCKS when it comes to handling horses -- in general and especially under pressure.

Cannon Shell 09-07-2010 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693330)
He didnt even try to make him switch buddy.

There are two primary reasons why a horse wont switch leads. One is they are green and can become distracted. The other is physical. Perhaps the horse didn't switch because he was already on his more comfortable lead? Horses running in the Travers shouldn't need the jockey to "ask" him to change leads. And how do you know he didn't "ask" him? Did you see him fail to hit the change leads button?

RockHardTen1985 09-07-2010 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693328)
JV
Ramon
Lep
Gomez
Sleepy
Prado
Cornelio
S. Bridgmohan
Rosario
Bejarano
Pval
V. Espinoza
Martin Garcia
David Flores
Albarado

plenty more too but thats 15.


Who is sleepy?

alysheba4 09-07-2010 06:20 PM

he has a magical eye for horses........

Cannon Shell 09-07-2010 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 693331)
You'd probably be right if this were the occasional thing with Lezcano. But if you watch his rides up at SAR you find a common theme: can't keep horses on righty lead in the stretch.

His masterpiece was on Stevil, the other day. I counted at least FIVE lead changes in the lane.

Jockeys dont keep horses from changing leads. A horse that changes leads in the stretch 5 times is a horse that has some issues. About the only thing that you can accurately glean from lead changes is that a horse that wont change or changes back to the wrong lead is probably hurting. Everything else is pretty much horse specific.

Cannon Shell 09-07-2010 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 693333)
Who is sleepy?

Rip Van Winkle

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 693333)
Who is sleepy?

Kent D.

the_fat_man 09-07-2010 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 693335)
Jockeys dont keep horses from changing leads. A horse that changes leads in the stretch 5 times is a horse that has some issues. About the only thing that you can accurately glean from lead changes is that a horse that wont change or changes back to the wrong lead is probably hurting. Everything else is pretty much horse specific.

You're missing the point. MOST good jocks can keep horses on righty lead in the drive. If you watch enough races you realize that while horses do win when they don't change leads, they win even less when they stay on righty lead briefly, changing back lefty. This is because, obviously, they've gone around the turn lefty. Watching a few of Lezcano's rides makes it obvious that he not only is a very weak handler of horses when it counts, in the lane, but he's unable to keep them on righty lead. Clearly, there are horses that don't change leads or, even, more rarely, horses that change repeatedly. Typically, multiple changers are cheaper horses, mostly fillies, and sore horses. This isn't the case with Stevil. In fact, I believe that just about any other jock wins with Stevil last time out.

Is there an argument that maintaining the same lead, and thus continuity of stride, is a huge plus in winning a race? Your better jocks, those, in particular, that can finish well, excel at this. Your weaker finishers don't.

Dahoss 09-07-2010 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693328)
Prado
Cornelio
S. Bridgmohan
David Flores


Any credibility gets lost with the inclusion of these names.

Sightseek 09-07-2010 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 693244)
My opinion of him is this.... From day 1 they wanted to go long with him. Repole was on Capital Otb Monday, I believe him. Everything he is doing now is on raw talent. Its likely one more race then BC. When he comes back sometime in Jan-Feb thats when I think we see the new horse. I could be wrong, but I just think there is a world of talent bottled up in this guy.

Do you believe in Santa everytime you see him on TV too?

blackthroatedwind 09-07-2010 08:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693328)
JV
Ramon
Lep
Gomez
Sleepy
Prado
Cornelio
S. Bridgmohan
Rosario
Bejarano
Pval
V. Espinoza
Martin Garcia
David Flores
Albarado

plenty more too but thats 15.

Go to class.

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 693397)
Go to class.

Written in class. When do I get your job?

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 693365)
You're missing the point. MOST good jocks can keep horses on righty lead in the drive. If you watch enough races you realize that while horses do win when they don't change leads, they win even less when they stay on righty lead briefly, changing back lefty. This is because, obviously, they've gone around the turn lefty. Watching a few of Lezcano's rides makes it obvious that he not only is a very weak handler of horses when it counts, in the lane, but he's unable to keep them on righty lead. Clearly, there are horses that don't change leads or, even, more rarely, horses that change repeatedly. Typically, multiple changers are cheaper horses, mostly fillies, and sore horses. This isn't the case with Stevil. In fact, I believe that just about any other jock wins with Stevil last time out.

Is there an argument that maintaining the same lead, and thus continuity of stride, is a huge plus in winning a race? Your better jocks, those, in particular, that can finish well, excel at this. Your weaker finishers don't.

Co-sign.

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 693371)
Any credibility gets lost with the inclusion of these names.

All four win the Travers on Fly Down.

trackrat59 09-07-2010 08:57 PM

I made my first trip to Saratoga the first week in August. I can see why so many of you love the place. It's a very special track and a wonderful experience. I'm so glad I decided to go.

My very special moment came when I got to see Rachel in her stall. I recognized her very distinctive blaze and knew it was her. I'm thrilled I got to see her and especially at that moment. It was cool to see her chilled out in her stall munching on her hay like every other horse that morning.

Oh, and I got to meet Steve B. and Steve H. Not comparable to meeting Rachel but still exciting enough. ;)

dalakhani 09-07-2010 08:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693416)
All four win the Travers on Fly Down.


All four would have found traffic.

David Flores? Are you on crack?

Dahoss 09-07-2010 09:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693416)
All four win the Travers on Fly Down.

Simply not true at all.

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 09:15 PM

The point is, when a furlong out on the wrong lead in a million dollar race, you at least try to get him on the right lead. There was not even an attempt to get him to switch leads, he should have won the race, theres no other way to put it.

iamthelurker 09-07-2010 09:16 PM

And ill take my time to bump this thread when Lezcano is nowhere to be found on the NY circuit in 2 years.

Dahoss 09-07-2010 10:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693428)
The point is, when a furlong out on the wrong lead in a million dollar race, you at least try to get him on the right lead. There was not even an attempt to get him to switch leads, he should have won the race, theres no other way to put it.

Your "point" is debateable. Lezcano had a dreadful meet, no denying that. But he's hardly the rider that many are making him. People go through slumps. The funny thing is I didn't see anyone saying many negative things about his riding before this meet. He's 25 years old. He has his entire career ahead of him.

We'll see where he is two years.

RockHardTen1985 09-07-2010 10:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 693443)
Your "point" is debateable. Lezcano had a dreadful meet, no denying that. But he's hardly the rider that many are making him. People go through slumps. The funny thing is I didn't see anyone saying many negative things about his riding before this meet. He's 25 years old. He has his entire career ahead of him.

We'll see where he is two years.

Its a lose lose for him after this meet. I dont totally disagree with you that he might be OK, but even if he bounces back strong he is still not better then Ramon, JV, JC, JL, GG,AG, and at least a few others... Maybe Maragh, and thats just on that Fla-NY circuit. Is he even that much better then Corny or a guy like Cohen that Todd is throwing bones 2.

Dahoss 09-07-2010 11:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 693447)
Its a lose lose for him after this meet. I dont totally disagree with you that he might be OK, but even if he bounces back strong he is still not better then Ramon, JV, JC, JL, GG,AG, and at least a few others... Maybe Maragh, and thats just on that Fla-NY circuit. Is he even that much better then Corny or a guy like Cohen that Todd is throwing bones 2.

Lose lose? How so? He still rides for Zito, Chad Brown, Carlos Martin, Tom Proctor, etc. He had a bad...okay, really bad meet. No one is denying that. But to act like a 25 year old jock's career is over because of a bad meet is ridiculous.

Here are the stats for Gulfstream this past winter.

http://www.gulfstreampark.com/RACING...ll+Statistics/

Lezcano rode more winners than Velazquez, Garcia, maragh and Leparoux. He won at a rate of 18%. Leparoux was 13%.

Here are the stats for the Spring Belmont meet.

http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbT...AT=J&STYLE=BEL

Lezcano won with 23% of his mounts and was 4th in wins despite riding many fewer horses than many of the top jocks.

Again, he had a bad meet. His career is far from over.

blackthroatedwind 09-07-2010 11:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by iamthelurker (Post 693412)
Written in class. When do I get your job?

Wasn't getting my money enough?


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 11:24 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.