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-   -   Santa Anita = Dirt (Starting with Winter Meet) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=37865)

Antitrust32 08-20-2010 04:03 PM

Honu, it is completely possible to build a much better dirt track than what they had before.

Check out Oaklawn & Saratoga.

I doubt SA is going to put 2 inches of sand over a paved road like they use to have.

Indian Charlie 08-20-2010 05:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honu (Post 685494)
I would love to see just one article from the past ( before synthetic) saying how great the tracks were here in SoCali. As I recall even Stronach wouldnt race his super horse at Santa Anita because of the track and so now all of a sudden " new" dirt is going to be way better.
Does anybody remember why it is the tracks here went to synthetics in the first place? Its because horses were dying at an alarming rate and the horsemen were screaming for something to be done. So they did something and now they are screaming again because they cant find the winners circle and that horses are having injuries where they are laid up instead of breaking their legs off which is cheaper I guess in the long run, just put em down and get a new one.
No wonder racing is in the crapper on a whole, you just cant fix stupid.

And I thought the problem was with drainage and using an unsafe version of a dirt track.

Little did I know that the problem was nothing at all.

Riot 08-20-2010 05:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honu (Post 685494)
I would love to see just one article from the past ( before synthetic) saying how great the tracks were here in SoCali. As I recall even Stronach wouldnt race his super horse at Santa Anita because of the track and so now all of a sudden " new" dirt is going to be way better.
Does anybody remember why it is the tracks here went to synthetics in the first place? Its because horses were dying at an alarming rate and the horsemen were screaming for something to be done. So they did something and now they are screaming again because they cant find the winners circle and that horses are having injuries where they are laid up instead of breaking their legs off which is cheaper I guess in the long run, just put em down and get a new one.
No wonder racing is in the crapper on a whole, you just cant fix stupid.

:tro:

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honu (Post 685494)
So they did something and now they are screaming again because they cant find the winners circle and that horses are having injuries where they are laid up instead of breaking their legs off which is cheaper I guess in the long run, just put em down and get a new one.

I'm gonna guess you don't have statistical proof of this.

NTamm1215 08-20-2010 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685534)
I'm gonna guess you don't have statistical proof of this.

The pro-synth rhetoric is either the horsemen complaining can't win or the handicappers can't figure out synthetics.

NT

Riot 08-20-2010 06:16 PM

Some references for those interested
 
http://www.grayson-jockeyclub.org/su...asp?section=41

Quote:

2010 Welfare and Safety of the Racehorse Summit reference page

Below are links to downloadable files for each of the public sessions held at the summit. Each video file size is between 150 - 275 MB. Download time depends on your computer’s speed and Internet connection.

To save the files on your local machine, right click the link and select "Save Link As."

Opening Session and Racetrack Surfaces Panel - Video

* Presentation Slides Ed Bowen, Introduction
* Dr. Peterson, Racing Surfaces Testing Laboratory
* Dr. Stover, Injuries and Racing Surfaces

Updates from RMTC, NTRA, TSC, and EID - Video

Presentation Slides
* Dr. Scot Waterman, Racing Medication and Testing Consortium
* Mike Ziegler, NTRA Saftey and Integrity Alliance
* Dr. Larry Bramlage, Thoroughbred Safety Committee
* Dr. Mary Scollay, EID Introduction
* Dr. Tim Parkin, Equine Injury Database

Racing Equipment and Safety Panel - Video

Presentation Slides
* Nich Nicholson, Keeneland Association
* Dr. Edward Hall, University of Kentucky

Racetrack Environment and Safe Training Practices Panel - Video

Transitioning Thoroughbreds to Second Careers Panel - Video

Work Group Objectives - Video
Presentation Slides - Group presentations

Implementation Panel - Video
Presentation Slides - Panel presentation

The third Welfare and Safety of the Racehorse Summit, held in Lexington, Ky., on June 28 and 29, concluded with the development of objectives in four areas and a discussion of implementation strategies to improve conditions in various facets of the Thoroughbred industry.

The four areas were Racing Equipment and Safety; Racetrack Environment and Training Practices; Education, Licensing and Continuing Education; and Transitioning Thoroughbreds to Second Careers.

The summit, which was coordinated and underwritten by Grayson-Jockey Club Research Foundation and The Jockey Club, and hosted by Keeneland, was held all day Monday and Tuesday morning.

Monday’s morning session included a panel discussion on Racetrack Surfaces, moderated by Ed Bowen, and updates on the following medication and safety initiatives: the Racing Medication and Testing Consortium, by executive director Dr. Scot Waterman; the NTRA Safety and Integrity Alliance, by executive director Mike Ziegler; and the Thoroughbred Safety Committee, by committee member Dr. Larry Bramlage. Dr. Tim Parkin, an epidemiologist with the University of Glasgow, and Dr. Mary Scollay, equine medical director for the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission, provided an update and statistics from one year of data in the Equine Injury Database to conclude the morning session.

Monday’s afternoon session was composed of panel discussions on Racing Equipment and Safety, moderated by Dr. Mick Peterson, executive director, Racing Surfaces Testing Laboratory; Racetrack Environment and Safe Training Practices, moderated by Dr. Rick Arthur, equine medical director, California Horse Racing Board; and Transitioning Thoroughbred Racehorses to Second Careers, moderated by Mike Ziegler.

The summit concluded with a panel discussion concerning implementation of safety and soundness recommendations, moderated by Jim Gagliano, president and chief operating officer of The Jockey Club.

Riot 08-20-2010 06:20 PM

http://www.jockeyclub.com/initiatives.asp

Quote:

The Equine Injury DatabaseTM is the Thoroughbred industry’s first national database of racing injuries. Launched by The Jockey Club in July 2008, the Equine Injury Database seeks to:

* identify the frequency, types and outcome of racing injuries using a standardized format that will generate valid statistics
* identify markers for horses at increased risk of injury
* serve as a data source for research directed at improving safety and preventing injuries

The Equine Injury Database is funded entirely by The Jockey Club, through its commercial subsidiaries InCompass Solutions Inc. and The Jockey Club Technology Services Inc., as a service to the industry.

The software module that enables racetracks, racing organizations and training centers to participate in the program is provided free of charge through the InCompass Race Track Operations (RTO) system, which is installed at every racetrack in North America.

Click here for a list of racetracks participating in the Equine Injury Database.

The database was first proposed at the Welfare and Safety of the Racehorse Summit in October 2006 and its launch in July 2008 followed a 13-month pilot program whereby more than 3,000 injury reports were received and recorded.

The following are links to press releases concerning the Equine Injury Database.

* Equine Injury Database Statistics Discussed at Third Welfare and Safety
of the Racehorse Summit, June 28, 2010
* Equine Injury Database Statistic Released by The Jockey Club, March 23, 2010
* The Jockey Club Announces Launch of Equine Injury Database, July 22, 2008

Riot 08-20-2010 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 685537)
The pro-synth rhetoric is either the horsemen complaining can't win or the handicappers can't figure out synthetics.

NT

Or the safety and welfare of the horse.

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 685540)
Or the safety and welfare of the horse.

Right, unless you actually, you know, read the study you're referencing.

Quote:

The conclusions presented by Dr. Parkin included:

The incidence of fatality for the one-year period was not significantly different for dirt, synthetic and turf racing surfaces, or condition of the dirt and turf racing surfaces

The Indomitable DrugS 08-20-2010 06:31 PM

^

Forget the Paddock - you're needed as a voice of reason in the Sports section.

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS (Post 685545)
^

Forget the Paddock - you're needed as a voice of reason in the Sports section.

When you stop your quest to become the Nascar of that room, I'll get right on it.

Honu 08-20-2010 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685534)
I'm gonna guess you don't have statistical proof of this.

I know what Ive seen, I think the number for the last year we had a dirt track at Del Mar was something like 21 dead horses at the meet and this year it is something like 3, not including the heart attack of Tuscan Evening.

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 07:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Honu (Post 685556)
I know what Ive seen

Sweet, well there's no statistical evidence that synthetic tracks are safer than dirt ones, meaning they failed miserably at their one purpose while diluting the game in numerous other ways. So you might understand why some people would be happy to see real dirt come back.

Riot 08-20-2010 07:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685543)
Right, unless you actually, you know, read the study you're referencing.

I didn't reference "a study". What are you talking about?

Riot 08-20-2010 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685558)
Sweet, well there's no statistical evidence that synthetic tracks are safer than dirt ones, meaning they failed miserably at their one purpose while diluting the game in numerous other ways.

Ah. I see. Well, if you actually read what you are referencing, you will note the different results over time. Rather than quoting only one year's initial data.

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 07:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 685564)
I didn't reference "a study". What are you talking about?

One of the references you linked to included this study: http://www.jockeyclub.com/mediaCenter.asp?story=434

It says there's no significant difference in fatalities between dirt and synthetic tracks. What's hard to understand about that?

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 685567)
Ah. I see. Well, if you actually read what you are referencing, you will note the different results over time. Rather than quoting only one year's initial data.

So go ahead and show me the stats that say synthetic tracks are significantly safer than dirt tracks. I'm still waiting.

Rupert Pupkin 08-20-2010 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685558)
Sweet, well there's no statistical evidence that synthetic tracks are safer than dirt ones, meaning they failed miserably at their one purpose while diluting the game in numerous other ways. So you might understand why some people would be happy to see real dirt come back.

I would say the synthetic tracks in California are safer than what we had before, but that's not saying much. The tracks we had before were terrible. They were in desperate need of some serious renovation.

However, if you compare our current synthetic tracks in California to good dirt tracks, I think that a good dirt track is safer. I think there are actually more injuries on the synthetic tracks.

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 07:13 PM

Here's another study from 2008, showing 2.02 fatalities per 1,000 starts on dirt to the microscopic 1.47 fatalities per 1,000 starts on synthetic. Hardly a huge difference.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...-ratio-changes

Riot 08-20-2010 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685568)
One of the references you linked to included this study: http://www.jockeyclub.com/mediaCenter.asp?story=434

It says there's no significant difference in fatalities between dirt and synthetic tracks. What's hard to understand about that?

I just posted those links for those that want the information, not as "support" of any particular view. Glad you at least used them.

Secondly, you might consider more than one years fatality-only data (injuries count, too)

Riot 08-20-2010 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685573)
Here's another study from 2008, showing 2.02 fatalities per 1,000 starts on dirt to the microscopic 1.47 fatalities per 1,000 starts on synthetic. Hardly a huge difference.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...-ratio-changes

No, statistically that is a huge difference.

The point is that Honu was right: there were plenty of dead and injured horses on SA old dirt track. Whether the various synthetics were right to use (the weather there is so different from where the synths are used in the rest of the world), or whether the track should have been torn up and redone from the base upwards, with that cushion retained - we'll see how the new dirt track is. And the new cushion.

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 685575)
No, statistically that is a huge difference.

The point is that Honu was right: there were plenty of dead and injured horses on SA old dirt track. Whether the various synthetics were right to use (the weather there is so different from where the synths are used in the rest of the world), or whether the track should have been torn up and redone from the base upwards, with that cushion retained - we'll see how the new dirt track is. And the new cushion.

From the same article, the sample before had 1.96 for dirt to 1.95 to synthetic. I'm still waiting for any kind of stats supporting synthetics' superior safety from you, since you said that pro-synth rhetoric is about "the safety and welfare of the horse."

Honu 08-20-2010 07:24 PM

I retract all my previous statements. I dont really give a *uck what they do with the track. March on.

Riot 08-20-2010 07:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685579)
From the same article, the sample before had 1.96 for dirt to 1.95 to synthetic. I'm still waiting for any kind of stats supporting synthetics' superior safety from you, since you said that pro-synth rhetoric is about "the safety and welfare of the horse."

You misunderstood why I said that. Many people talk synthetic track surfaces, and will continue to do so, because they were and are worried about the safety and welfare of the horse. To dismiss that concern out of hand is insulting to people that love the horse and it's place in a racing world, and to the people that are actively trying to create safer racetracks, safer racing environments. Synthetics are certainly part of that ongoing discussion. That is not a static field (artificial surfaces).

My point was that not everyone is worried about only gambling or winning, when the "rhetoric" is about synthetics.

You just dismissed out of hand stats from 2008 that showed synthetics were markedly safer (that year, regarding fatalities only) You only want to use 2010 year fatality stats - and only the early summary - because they support your view. 2010 stats don't "void" 2009 stats, or 2008 stats, or stats from elsewhere. They all matter. There are no detailed injury stats (types of injuries, etc) public yet - obviously those are important.

Both the figures you reference are American. Do you actually care about any of the stats from other countries? From individual tracks, American and not? From different types of synthetic surfaces? All the stats that were listed and quoted before American tracks considered going synthetic? All the stats are are in development now?

I don't think so - I think you just want to say, "synthetics are not safer", no matter how broad, generalized or unqualified that statement is, because you simply don't care for them. Fine.

ateamstupid 08-20-2010 08:00 PM

You don't get it. The onus is on the synthetic lovers to prove that synthetic tracks are safer than dirt. Because that was the synthetics' one main selling point, and there's no conclusive study that says they've done their job. There was a radical change to the racing landscape made, ostensibly to improve safety, and unless you can prove to me that that's happened, you lose your "we love synthetics because we care about horseys" argument. You've posted eight times in the last two hours and still don't have one statistic saying that synthetic = safer, and I'm the one making generalized statements?

iamthelurker 08-20-2010 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685588)
You don't get it. The onus is on the synthetic lovers to prove that synthetic tracks are safer than dirt. Because that was the synthetics' one main selling point, and there's no conclusive study that says they've done their job. There was a radical change to the racing landscape made, ostensibly to improve safety, and unless you can prove to me that that's happened, you lose your "we love synthetics because we care about horseys" argument. You've posted eight times in the last two hours and still don't have one statistic saying that synthetic = safer, and I'm the one making generalized statements?

+1

Riot 08-20-2010 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 685588)
You don't get it. The onus is on the synthetic lovers to prove that synthetic tracks are safer than dirt. Because that was the synthetics' one main selling point, and there's no conclusive study that says they've done their job. There was a radical change to the racing landscape made, ostensibly to improve safety, and unless you can prove to me that that's happened, you lose your "we love synthetics because we care about horseys" argument. You've posted eight times in the last two hours and still don't have one statistic saying that synthetic = safer, and I'm the one making generalized statements?

You don't get it. There is no one "conclusive study", and there never will (can) be. You are the one pulling up tiny soundbites from news stories to try and prove your point.

You also don't get that I haven't been posting on here trying to "prove" synthetics are safer.

I am not the one looking for an argument on the safety of synthetics, you apparently are.

I'll go back to my second post about SA going back to dirt: "Terrific".

SCUDSBROTHER 08-21-2010 10:01 AM

No More Pro Candy Ride?


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