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GPK 08-14-2006 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dr.fager
At the same time, I don't like the fact EC hasn't seem to been able to settle along the backstretch when JV has a firm hold on him....he overcame it in the United Nations but not in this field.

Nice thing is come 10/7 he'll have Ramzutti to do the dirty work for him...kind of ironic considering all the talk about BTN having a rabbit.


thats strange to me too Bill. He has shown that a little in his last couple races. Im trying to think back to last years races, but I swear I don't recall him being unwilling to settle like that.

Gander 08-14-2006 10:29 AM

Brings me to a question. English Channel and Ramzautti are owned by 2 different people so how can Pletcher sacrifice Ramazutti as a rabbit to benefit English Channel, a horse owned by somebody else? Why would the owner of Ramazutti wanna fry his horse so Pletcher and the other owner of Eng Channel can put cash in their pockets? Or do they work up some sort of deal and split the purse?

Its why I like to bet speed in turf races. If your horse is good enough he/she wins. Never has excuses like the other ones who depend on trips.

oracle80 08-14-2006 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
thats strange to me too Bill. He has shown that a little in his last couple races. Im trying to think back to last years races, but I swear I don't recall him being unwilling to settle like that.

Man I ready to give up on this thread. Guys, he was being held off a pace that was slower than he works in the morning under wraps and you wanna know why he wouldnt settle? Man, I give up.

GPK 08-14-2006 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Man I ready to give up on this thread. Guys, he was being held off a pace that was slower than he works in the morning under wraps and you wanna know why he wouldnt settle? Man, I give up.


Mike...he always was a little rank in the United Nations too and the pace there was not that slow. I understand him being rank on Sat....with that pace...yes. But he was rank in the UN when they went :47 and 1:11...

You don't need to "give up".....we aren't idiots and don't need to be talked down to.

oracle80 08-14-2006 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Mike...he always was a little rank in the United Nations too and the pace there was not that slow. I understand him being rank on Sat....with that pace...yes. But he was rank in the UN when they went :47 and 1:11...

You don't need to "give up".....we aren't idiots and don't need to be talked down to.

If you don't understand why a horse who is being held hard off a 1:15 pace wouldnt settle you arent members of mensa either!!:)

GPK 08-14-2006 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
If you don't understand why a horse who is being held hard off a 1:15 pace wouldnt settle you arent members of mensa either!!:)


I DO UNDERSTAND why he was being held hard on Saturday. I mean sh*t...youd have to hold me hard from wanting to run that slow....its the UN race that has me confused. I even mentioned it to Randall that day because we watched it together at Colonial Downs.

Gander 08-14-2006 10:38 AM

Unless we have a time machine, we arent going back to Sat for this race. Why dont we focus on today's races so we can all earn enough money to buy our ladies some BBQ chicken and ice cream. Okay?

GPK 08-14-2006 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Unless we have a time machine, we arent going back to Sat for this race. Why dont we focus on today's races so we can all earn enough money to buy our ladies some BBQ chicken and ice cream. Okay?


F that....I got a big ass bag of M&M's heading to my house to have as I watch the races this afternoon..

GREAT card today at Toga:rolleyes:

sumitas 08-14-2006 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Tim...I hardly call that a spanking. You could have put a decent $50-$75K claimer in front of them with those fractions and they wouldn't have caught him either. IMO...that race was nothing buts other jockeys letting Tin Man get away with slow fractions....plain and simple.

The Tin Man outfoxed the field. He should be #1 or 2 on the turf now.

As far as the PC, I'm a fan of Papi Chullo and I hope he wins. I'm not saying bet him.

eurobounce 08-14-2006 10:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Man I ready to give up on this thread. Guys, he was being held off a pace that was slower than he works in the morning under wraps and you wanna know why he wouldnt settle? Man, I give up.

Oracle, you and I either agree with each other 100% of we are way way off. On this one I agree with you 100%. No horse is going to settle down and relax when they are running that slow. The dont even train that slow. And even if someone moved their horse in front of The Tin Man, The Tin Man would have grabbed the lead right back and then your horse and The Tin Man would have been fried. The race was void of speed and The Tin Man and Espinosa played it perfectly. Nothing that any horse could have done Saturday to beat The Tin Man by running their race. This race is a toss out when handicapping the races on Oct 7th.

GPK 08-14-2006 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sumitas
The Tin Man outfoxed the field. He should be #1 or 2 on the turf now.

Espinoza outfoxed the field and the other jocks let him get away with murder. I said it before...you could have put a good $75K claimer in the same spot and he would have had enough left in the tank after going that slow to hold them off. Just a brilliant job by the jock to take advantage of the others not wanting to put pressure on him.

GPK 08-14-2006 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Oracle, you and I either agree with each other 100% of we are way way off. On this one I agree with you 100%. No horse is going to settle down and relax when they are running that slow. The dont even train that slow. And even if someone moved their horse in front of The Tin Man, The Tin Man would have grabbed the lead right back and then your horse and The Tin Man would have been fried. The race was void of speed and The Tin Man and Espinosa played it perfectly. Nothing that any horse could have done Saturday to beat The Tin Man by running their race. This race is a toss out when handicapping the races on Oct 7th.


exactly....

Gander 08-14-2006 10:51 AM

Okay, we get it. We have until Oct 7th to worry about these 2 running against each other again. Between today and then the 3 or 4 of us on this thread will probably wager on over 1,000 races combined. So let it go.

eurobounce 08-14-2006 10:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Okay, we get it. We have until Oct 7th to worry about these 2 running against each other again. Between today and then the 3 or 4 of us on this thread will probably wager on over 1,000 races combined. So let it go.

My wagering is done until Oct 7th. I have been so cold recently that it isnt even funny. Plus school just started and I got killed on school supplies. I had to buy a lap top for my oldest who is going to be a freshman. I looked at the required school supplies and a freaking lap top was on the list. I was like--you have to be kidding me.

somerfrost 08-14-2006 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Like I said, if there is a rematch and you wanna go heads up against either lemme know. hes a very good horse who got very lucky.

This looked like an European type pace...only I don't recall so many of those so-called great turf horses coming home as fast as the Tin Man. I agree with Oracle that the slow pace doomed anyone behind The Tin Man but his final quarter was still pretty damn amazing and I think it's grossly unfair to say a claimer could have won even with that pace...again, 22 and change for the final quarter equates to "real racehorse" talent regardless of the early fractions. Obviously the course was playing fast, but saw what you will, The Tin Man demonstrated that he continues to be a threat in any race...although I suspect he'll see more rabbits from here on out than could be produced by Bugs Bunny attending a three day orgy!

Gander 08-14-2006 10:59 AM

Let me ask again, how Ramzutti could be used as the sacrificial lamb for English Channel when they are owned by 2 different people?

Why would the owner care to help out English Channel on Oct 7th?

GPK 08-14-2006 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
My wagering is done until Oct 7th. I have been so cold recently that it isnt even funny. Plus school just started and I got killed on school supplies. I had to buy a lap top for my oldest who is going to be a freshman. I looked at the required school supplies and a freaking lap top was on the list. I was like--you have to be kidding me.


a freaking Laptop...REQUIRED?!?!?! holy crap....thats...wow...

eurobounce 08-14-2006 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Let me ask again, how Ramzutti could be used as the sacrificial lamb for English Channel when they are owned by 2 different people?

Why would the owner care to help out English Channel on Oct 7th?

I am sure all parties involved have a deal worked out amongst the three of them.

eurobounce 08-14-2006 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
a freaking Laptop...REQUIRED?!?!?! holy crap....thats...wow...

Yes, I was pissed. It cost $499. They worked out some sort of agreement with Dell. And the financially challenged students got help from Dell and some other organizations.

GPK 08-14-2006 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Yes, I was pissed. It cost $499. They worked out some sort of agreement with Dell. And the financially challenged students got help from Dell and some other organizations.

I'd have to put my finacially challenged foot up the schoolboards ass...

what state do you live in?

eurobounce 08-14-2006 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
I'd have to put my finacially challenged foot up the schoolboards ass...

what state do you live in?

Indiana. One teacher, I heard through the Grapevine, teaches from his lap top. He is able to write on it and all sorts of crap. I swear, what is wrong with chalk and chalkboards. The highlight of my day was being able to wash the chalkboard.

GPK 08-14-2006 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
Indiana. One teacher, I heard through the Grapevine, teaches from his lap top. He is able to write on it and all sorts of crap. I swear, what is wrong with chalk and chalkboards. The highlight of my day was being able to wash the chalkboard.

Boggles my mind that something that expensive can be a required item.

eurobounce 08-14-2006 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Boggles my mind that something that expensive can be a required item.

I remember my parents being pissed that they had to get me a graphic calculator.

Slewbopper 08-14-2006 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce
I remember my parents being pissed that they had to get me a graphic calculator.


What's a calculator? Paper and pencil was all I knew back in the stone age.

Slewbopper 08-14-2006 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
All I can say is they are lucky Surf Cat is on the sidelines....

Speaking of Surf Cat, where is Borrego? Is he retired?

Slewbopper 08-14-2006 12:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Well now that Flower Alley has lost any chance he ever had at HOY, there is only Bernardini to worry about for those honors.
.

Invasor has 3 G1s. I wouldn't throw him out of the race for HOY

eurobounce 08-14-2006 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slewbopper
Invasor has 3 G1s. I wouldn't throw him out of the race for HOY

Good point. He is wins his next two he is HOY. What makes me mad is that Showing Up can win his next two and wont even get a sniff at HOY.

Gander 08-14-2006 12:52 PM

Showing Up could win HOY if he were to run in the BC Classic and win it.

GPK 08-14-2006 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Showing Up could win HOY if he were to run in the BC Classic and win it.

They would be nuts to return him to dirt.

Cajungator26 08-14-2006 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
They would be nuts to return him to dirt.

Agreed. He obviously likes the turf, so he should stay there. I wonder if they'll run him in the BC Turf?

Dunbar 08-14-2006 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
However if you feel so strongly that he is better than those two horses I will be happy to bet you straight up if they meet again that both horses beat the Tin man. be happy to give you that proposal, very happy. They got fooled once, they won't get fooled the next time.

IMO, that would be a very poor bet on your part, oracle. It's as if you are ignoring the Dubai race and the rest of TTM's resume since he came back. I would take that proposition even with a sacrificial rabbit in the race. For that matter, I would have taken the Tin Man side of that proposition even before the Arlington Million.

I'm not saying he is clearly better than either EC or Cacique. (Though I suspect he is every bit as good as either) But I would definitely take him to finish ahead of at least one of them if all 3 meet in the BC Turf or other upcoming race.

--Dunbar

ninetoone 08-14-2006 01:14 PM

Numbers 3-5 on this list are hilarious. It's hard to pick which one is the most funny.

I will repeat what's already been said...this race is & was a complete toss. Anyone who gives The Tin Man too much credit (see #5) or takes too much away from the others (see #3/4) has a very short memory of this sport. I hope to God this Tin Man bandwagon continues to the Breeder's Cup...it will give the rest of us better odds.

Watch the replay & enjoy...but when it comes to handicapping, put a line through this race!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
Let me add that I was very much against Tin Man when originally analyzing this race and the horses I thought most likely to win were Ace and Better Talk Now.

After watching the race, this is clearly what I think:

1) Yes the other jockeys were mistaken to let Tin Man go out and run slow.
2) Yes English Channel got a wide trip, but whos to say it cost him a win? Will never know.
3) Cacique got the best trip of anyone besides Tin Man and even with the pace being as slow as it was, he had every shot to go by if he was really that good. He wasnt.
4) Better Talk Now should retire. First time in his life hes run 2 very poor back to back races.
5) Tin Man is a lot better than I thought.


sumitas 08-14-2006 01:19 PM

Sons of Affirmed do not like to get caught.

KY_Sasquash 08-14-2006 02:05 PM

Seems everybody has forgotten about Aragorn, although i still think he could lose the BC Mile b/c not certain that he's as good on non firm ground that he'll likely get at Churchill in November. Also, I think Lava Man loses this weekend and is a quality play against at 3-5 or however low he'll be, too whom? not sure, havent looked at the race, but possibly Good Reward or Magnum off the top of my head.


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