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He was a mere 46-for-90 (51% wins) with a $2.96 ROI with all dirt starters at Calder in '08. But you are right - anyone who takes washed up old claimers from Bill Mott and gets them to draw off in the Breeders Cup Mile should never be grouped with those others. |
hahahahahahah, i laughed my ass off
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As for the 117 figure... it looks pretty cut and dry.
I think CJ pretty much covered the straight forward obvious way to look at it. Here's more of an esoteric way... When Lost in the Fog won the '05 Sunshine Million Dash at GP - he ran 0.44 seconds faster than Alix M did in the F & M dirt sprint at the same distance 30 minutes later. By comparison, This Ones for Phil ran 1.45 seconds faster than High Resolve did in the F & M dirt sprint one hour later. Both Alix M. and High Resolve got 96 Beyers for those wins. LITF got a 102 and TOfP got a 117 .. as one full second at 6fs equals 15 Beyer points. If you want to try and make a case that the track got much slower after TOfP ran ... well, thats a hard case to make, because the previous dirt races earlier on in the card all could have been timed with a sundial. |
compound that with High Resolve ran an unbelievable great race as it is
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It's not a big deal for cappers, but it would be a lot more fun to cap the horse(than to cap the trainer.) Uh, the people who are gunna have to change this are the ones that have the most to lose(other trainers and owners.) BTW, is Ramsey giving horses to Dutrow yet?
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long range problem is the owners who dont win the 30% of races with these guys will be knocked out of the game and for example in fla we will have a 3 horse stakes field with entries from maybe wesley ward, kirk ziadie and wolfson
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I also don't get an erection whenever a new gelding is announced. |
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I hate to answer for the fat man, but the guys I know that focus mostly on trip-handicapping don't bet too many races with a bunch of first-time starters.
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Miesque's Approval had won several stakes that year leading up to the Breeder's Cup starting with the Sunshine Millions Turf in January. He won the Eclipse that year because of the whole campaign. It is not like that win came from no where. Paul |
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You're correct. Marty Wolfson did not just turn him around for a miracle win in the BC Mile. He also turned this 7YO claimer around for several wins in stakes. Just mentioning the BC doesn't do this particular miracle justice. |
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Help us Steve please! Are you Milk or are you Meat? If you are going to defend guys like Dutrow and Wolfson and not call them out then why would you suggest Beyer's article is an important read? Can you agree with Beyer and not denounce the likes of the chemists mentioned? |
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I was drawing the comparsion from the previous year. What the horse would have done in the same race 12 months earlier. ( before Marty Miracle) |
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He surely would have had Cigar running on dirt. He could have won the Jackie Wackie, my personal fav Stake, like 5 straight years. |
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Such distrust has corroded the very foundation of the sport. Honest owners are reluctant to invest in the game when they believe they can't compete with the cheaters. Many bettors have lost enthusiasm because the art of handicapping has become an exercise in guessing who has the best "juice." The public at large is alienated when it suspects that drugs are tainting the sport's greatest events. This is what happened in last year's Triple Crown series, and it could happen again in 2009. Yeah, you can put me in that group, Andy. Seeing the re-breaking, pharmacologically-altered freak known as Curlin nose the likely 'roid-free Street Sense in that '07 Preakness was really the last straw for me. Been playing poker ever since. Seeing the freak get absolutely trounced at the first-ever 'roid-free Breeders' Cup by those two young Euros will always be one of my fondest memories, though... |
Let's not forget the wonders that Wolfson has performed with Slewfoundmoney, another Live Oak horse who couldn't get out of her own way with Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott.
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Why waste time and money with guys like Mott amd Malcolm Pierce. Not to mention the biggest joke for a trainer in NY, John Kimmel. |
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A disturbing column by Beyer that points to the many miles this sport needs to go to remove the cheaters, permanently. One can't really appreciate the horses fully when juicers ply their trade .
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When the owner was gunna retire M APPROVAL, Wolfson begged to "let me try " with the horse. Almost like he knew (for sure) that he had the answer.
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Still waiting for Wolfson to work his magic on Onoitsmymothernlaw. |
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I know some guys are taking advantages and pressing the envelope and I know others are using every skill a horseman has to maximize performance legally. I'm sure that some efforts that many label 'cheating' are actually horsemanship, and others identified as horsemanship are likely cheating. Everyone draws their own conclusions based on their level of knowledge and depth of understanding. I try to add to the information base by bringing out all I can from those that will discuss the subject openly. |
Now you know who can replace Larry King (when he kicks it.)
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uh-huh. and the surface and fact that Curlin was clearly tailing off at the end of the year had nothing to do with it. |
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I didnt realize you were Swiss..Sorry my bad |
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Somewhere up there (or down there) Oscar Barrera is smiling on this topic.
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